RSG

Republic Services, Inc.

58
Fundamentals61/ 100
Valuation42/ 100
Upside potential38/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

RSG's fundamentals are mixed: it turned 13% of its revenue into free cash flow, while its operating margin held steady at 18%. At 35x earnings, it's trading above its usual 32x. Analysts expect earnings growth.

RSG Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Healthy
Stable

RSG's profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its revenue and balance sheet are stable.

RSG PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x20x30x40x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x20x30x40x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap28x$206-19%
Fair32x$230-9.3%
Forward33x$253—
Expensive35x$252-0.6%
Current35x$253—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

RSG's PE is in its expensive range at 35x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 33x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

RSG Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for RSG, with profitability improving.

RSG Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+9%$276.80
Downside-15%$214.46

Calculated from the latest close: $253.00 on Nov 12.

RSG's one-year downside scenario is somewhat larger than its upside: −15% against +9.4%.

RSG Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $5.47Q1 2024: $5.70Q2 2024: $5.97Q3 2024: $6.25Q4 2024: $6.49Q1 2025: $6.63Q2 2025: $6.76Q3 2025: $6.72Q4 2025: $6.85Q1 2026: $6.97Q2 2026: $7.06Q3 2026: $7.23Forward: $7.75
Q4 2023: $5.47Q1 2024: $5.70Q2 2024: $5.97Q3 2024: $6.25Q4 2024: $6.49Q1 2025: $6.63Q2 2025: $6.76Q3 2025: $6.72Q4 2025: $6.85Q1 2026: $6.97Q2 2026: $7.06Q3 2026: $7.23Forward: $7.75
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$7.75+7.2%
Q3 2026$7.23+7.6%
Q2 2026$7.06+4.4%
Q1 2026$6.97+5.1%
Q4 2025$6.85+5.5%
Q3 2025$6.72+7.5%
Q2 2025$6.76+13%
Q1 2025$6.63+16%
Q4 2024$6.49+19%

RSG's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $7.23 over the past year, up 7.6% from the year before, and higher year over year for 22 quarters in a row.

RSG Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $4.4BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $4.7BQ3 2024: $4.7BQ4 2024: $4.6BQ1 2025: $4.6BQ2 2025: $4.9BQ3 2025: $4.8BQ4 2025: $4.7BQ1 2026: $4.7BQ2 2026: $5.1BQ3 2026: $5.2B
Q4 2023: $4.4BQ1 2024: $4.4BQ2 2024: $4.7BQ3 2024: $4.7BQ4 2024: $4.6BQ1 2025: $4.6BQ2 2025: $4.9BQ3 2025: $4.8BQ4 2025: $4.7BQ1 2026: $4.7BQ2 2026: $5.1BQ3 2026: $5.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$5.2B+7.8%
Q2 2026$5.1B+4%
Q1 2026$4.7B+2.3%
Q4 2025$4.7B+2%
Q3 2025$4.8B+3.1%
Q2 2025$4.9B+4.7%
Q1 2025$4.6B+3.5%
Q4 2024$4.6B+5.4%

RSG's revenue has grown year over year for 23 quarters in a row: $5.2B last quarter, up 7.8% from the same quarter a year ago.

RSG Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $351MQ1 2024: $297MQ2 2024: $696MQ3 2024: $549MQ4 2024: $524MQ1 2025: $566MQ2 2025: $702MQ3 2025: $737MQ4 2025: $404MQ1 2026: $751MQ2 2026: $761MQ3 2026: $644M
Q4 2023: $351MQ1 2024: $297MQ2 2024: $696MQ3 2024: $549MQ4 2024: $524MQ1 2025: $566MQ2 2025: $702MQ3 2025: $737MQ4 2025: $404MQ1 2026: $751MQ2 2026: $761MQ3 2026: $644M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$644M-13%
Q2 2026$761M+8.4%
Q1 2026$751M+33%
Q4 2025$404M-23%
Q3 2025$737M+34%
Q2 2025$702M+0.9%
Q1 2025$566M+91%
Q4 2024$524.4M+50%

RSG's free cash flow has been positive every quarter for seven years: $2.6B over the past year, up 1.2% from the year before.

RSG Total Shares

Q4 2023: 317MQ1 2024: 316MQ2 2024: 315MQ3 2024: 314MQ4 2024: 315MQ1 2025: 313MQ2 2025: 313MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 312MQ1 2026: 309MQ2 2026: 308MQ3 2026: 307M
Q4 2023: 317MQ1 2024: 316MQ2 2024: 315MQ3 2024: 314MQ4 2024: 315MQ1 2025: 313MQ2 2025: 313MQ3 2025: 312MQ4 2025: 312MQ1 2026: 309MQ2 2026: 308MQ3 2026: 307M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-1.1M shares
1 year-1.8%-5.5M shares
3 years-3.2%-10.1M shares
5 years-4%-12.9M shares
Available history-4.8%-15.5M shares

RSG has 307M diluted shares, down 1.8% from a year ago, with $1.1B in buybacks over the past year.

RSG Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 3.0xQ1 2024: 2.9xQ2 2024: 2.7xQ3 2024: 2.6xQ4 2024: 2.6xQ1 2025: 2.7xQ2 2025: 2.5xQ3 2025: 2.6xQ4 2025: 2.6xQ1 2026: 2.7xQ2 2026: 2.7xQ3 2026: 2.6x
Q4 2023: 3.0xQ1 2024: 2.9xQ2 2024: 2.7xQ3 2024: 2.6xQ4 2024: 2.6xQ1 2025: 2.7xQ2 2025: 2.5xQ3 2025: 2.6xQ4 2025: 2.6xQ1 2026: 2.7xQ2 2026: 2.7xQ3 2026: 2.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.6xModerate
Q2 20262.7xModerate
Q1 20262.7xModerate
Q4 20252.6xModerate
Q3 20252.6xModerate
Q2 20252.5xModerate
Q1 20252.7xModerate
Q4 20242.6xModerate

RSG's net debt is about 2.6 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.

RSG Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI71.9Overbought
Stochastic90.0Overbought

RSG's weekly RSI is 72 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 90 (overbought).

RSG PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricRSGSector medianRelative
PE35x24x46% above
PE %855827 pts above

RSG is trading at 35x earnings, a 46% premium to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

RSG Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$231.89.1% above
20 week MA$223.813% above
50 week MA$218.016% above
100 week MA$224.413% above
200 week MA$196.829% above

RSG is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 29% above its 200-week average.

RSG Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$90.2$95.6+6%
2021$95.6$135.4+42%
2022$135.4$130.8-3.4%
2023$130.8$164.9+26%
2024$164.9$202.9+23%
2025$202.9$213.4+5.2%
2026 YTD$213.4$253.0+19%

RSG has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's up 19% so far in 2026.

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