BA
The Boeing Company
BA has the edge over RAIL overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.
RAIL
FreightCar America, Inc.
RAIL offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
BA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Under pressure |
BA's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable, but its balance sheet is under pressure.
RAIL Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Weak | |
| Under pressure | |
| Healthy | |
| Stable |
RAIL's cash flow is currently healthy, and its balance sheet is stable, but its revenue and profitability are under pressure.
BA PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 18x | $172 | — |
| Cheap | 51x | $496 | +189% |
| Fair | 82x | $790 | +360% |
| Expensive | 91x | $876 | +411% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
BA's PE is 18x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.
RAIL PE Valuation
RAIL has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 8.2x next year's earnings.
BA Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Returning to profit | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect BA to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
RAIL Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Returning to profit | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect RAIL to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
BA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $9.66 | +$23.38 |
| Q2 2026 | $2.78 | +$19.33 |
| Q1 2026 | $2.53 | +$20.49 |
| Q4 2025 | $2.48 | +$20.84 |
| Q3 2025 | -$13.72 | -$0.83 |
| Q2 2025 | -$16.55 | -$10.93 |
| Q1 2025 | -$17.96 | -$14.42 |
| Q4 2024 | -$18.36 | -$14.69 |
BA has the edge over RAIL on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
RAIL Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $0.65 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$0.33 | -113% |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.56 | +$0.27 |
| Q1 2026 | $0.72 | +$1.78 |
| Q4 2025 | $1.09 | +$4.21 |
| Q3 2025 | $2.51 | +$6.74 |
| Q2 2025 | -$0.83 | -$0.14 |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.06 | +$0.47 |
| Q4 2024 | -$3.12 | -$1.94 |
RAIL has swung to a loss: it lost $0.33 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.
BA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $24.2B | +3.9% |
| Q2 2026 | $24.6B | +8% |
| Q1 2026 | $22.2B | +14% |
| Q4 2025 | $23.9B | +57% |
| Q3 2025 | $23.3B | +30% |
| Q2 2025 | $22.7B | +35% |
| Q1 2025 | $19.5B | +18% |
| Q4 2024 | $15.2B | -31% |
BA has the edge over RAIL on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 1.5% | +22 points |
| Q2 2026 | 0.6% | +1.4 points |
| Q1 2026 | 2% | -0.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | 37% | +61 points |
| Q3 2025 | -21% | +12 points |
| Q2 2025 | -0.8% | +5.7 points |
| Q1 2025 | 2.4% | +2.9 points |
| Q4 2024 | -25% | -26 points |
BA has the edge over RAIL on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
RAIL Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $76.5M | -52% |
| Q2 2026 | $113.1M | -4.6% |
| Q1 2026 | $64.3M | -33% |
| Q4 2025 | $125.6M | -8.8% |
| Q3 2025 | $160.5M | +42% |
| Q2 2025 | $118.6M | -20% |
| Q1 2025 | $96.3M | -40% |
| Q4 2024 | $137.7M | +8.8% |
RAIL's revenue has slid since its 2024 peak: $76M last quarter, down 52% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -4% | -13 points |
| Q2 2026 | -3.8% | -10 points |
| Q1 2026 | -0.9% | -4.9 points |
| Q4 2025 | 6.2% | -2.2 points |
| Q3 2025 | 9.1% | +1.4 points |
| Q2 2025 | 6.5% | -2.4 points |
| Q1 2025 | 4% | +1.6 points |
| Q4 2024 | 8.4% | +8.2 points |
RAIL's operating margin was −4% last quarter, down 13 points from the same quarter a year ago.
BA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $464M | +95% |
| Q2 2026 | $631M | +$831M |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.5B | +$836M |
| Q4 2025 | $375M | +$4.5B |
| Q3 2025 | $238M | +$2.2B |
| Q2 2025 | -$200M | +$4.1B |
| Q1 2025 | -$2.3B | +$1.6B |
| Q4 2024 | -$4.1B | -239% |
BA has the edge over RAIL on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
RAIL Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $25M | +1014% |
| Q2 2026 | $11.3M | +43% |
| Q1 2026 | -$4.5M | -136% |
| Q4 2025 | $8.8M | +91% |
| Q3 2025 | $2.2M | -61% |
| Q2 2025 | $7.9M | -86% |
| Q1 2025 | $12.5M | +$38.8M |
| Q4 2024 | $4.6M | -83% |
RAIL still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2024 peak: $41M over the past year.
BA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.3% | +2.1M shares |
| 1 year | +4.3% | +32.8M shares |
| 3 years | +31% | +186M shares |
| 5 years | +35% | +204M shares |
| Available history | +40% | +227M shares |
BA has the edge over RAIL on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2019 | — |
RAIL Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +10% | +3.3M shares |
| 1 year | +5.4% | +1.8M shares |
| 3 years | +37% | +9.5M shares |
| 5 years | +184% | +22.8M shares |
RAIL has 35M diluted shares, up 5.4% from a year ago.
BA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 3.0x | Elevated |
| Q2 2026 | 5.7x | High |
| Q1 2026 | 6.0x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 6.9x | High |
| Q2 2024 | 361.8x | High |
| Q1 2024 | 36.1x | High |
| Q4 2023 | 36.4x | High |
| Q3 2023 | 96.1x | High |
BA's net debt is about 3.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from more than 20 years a year ago.
RAIL Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 1.9x | Healthy |
| Q2 2026 | 1.6x | Healthy |
| Q1 2026 | 1.3x | Healthy |
| Q4 2025 | 1.1x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | 1.0x | Healthy |
| Q2 2025 | 1.2x | Healthy |
| Q1 2025 | 1.3x | Healthy |
| Q4 2024 | 1.5x | Healthy |
RAIL has the edge over BA on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
BA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 31.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 9.6 | Oversold |
BA's weekly RSI is 31 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).
RAIL Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 38.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 16.5 | Oversold |
RAIL's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).
BA PE vs Industrials Sector
| Metric | BA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 18x | 24x | 26% below |
| PE % | 0 | 58 | 58 pts below |
BA is trading at 18x earnings, a 26% discount to the Industrials sector's median of 24x, though its earnings don't support one.
RAIL PE vs Industrials Sector
| Metric | RAIL | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 24x | — |
RAIL has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
BA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $184.6 | 7.1% below |
| 20 week MA | $203.8 | 16% below |
| 50 week MA | $215.5 | 20% below |
| 100 week MA | $205.9 | 17% below |
| 200 week MA | $200.6 | 14% below |
BA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 14% below its 200-week average.
RAIL Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $5.53 | 3.8% below |
| 20 week MA | $6.81 | 22% below |
| 50 week MA | $8.63 | 38% below |
| 100 week MA | $8.68 | 39% below |
| 200 week MA | $6.54 | 19% below |
RAIL is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 19% below its 200-week average.
BA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $330.1 | $217.2 | -34% |
| 2021 | $217.2 | $204.2 | -6% |
| 2022 | $204.2 | $189.1 | -7.4% |
| 2023 | $189.1 | $260.7 | +38% |
| 2024 | $260.7 | $180.7 | -31% |
| 2025 | $180.7 | $216.4 | +20% |
| 2026 YTD | $216.4 | $171.6 | -21% |
BA has the edge over RAIL on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
RAIL Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $2.21 | $2.57 | +16% |
| 2021 | $2.57 | $3.93 | +53% |
| 2022 | $3.93 | $3.25 | -17% |
| 2023 | $3.25 | $2.70 | -17% |
| 2024 | $2.70 | $9.23 | +242% |
| 2025 | $9.23 | $11.5 | +25% |
| 2026 YTD | $11.5 | $5.32 | -54% |
RAIL is down 54% so far in 2026, after finishing higher in four of the previous six years.