BA

The Boeing Company

57
Fundamentals73/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential20/ 100

BA has the edge over ORN overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger valuation.

ORN

Orion Group Holdings, Inc.

38
Fundamentals46/ 100
Valuation32/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential32/ 100

ORN offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

BA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Stable
Under pressure

BA's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable, but its balance sheet is under pressure.

ORN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Stable
Under pressure
Under pressure

ORN's revenue is currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its cash flow and balance sheet are under pressure.

BA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE25x51x76x102x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE25x51x76x102x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current18x$172—
Cheap51x$496+189%
Fair82x$790+360%
Expensive91x$876+411%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BA has the edge over ORN in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

ORN PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE53x106x160x213x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE53x106x160x213x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap8.7x$1.40-82%
Fair21x$3.30-57%
Forward27x$7.65—
Current48x$7.65—
Expensive85x$13.65+78%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ORN's PE is in its expensive range at 48x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 27x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

BA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Growth
Improving
Limited
Low

BA has the edge over ORN on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

ORN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Stable
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for ORN, with profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

BA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+26%$216.09
Downside-20%$137.47

Calculated from the latest close: $171.55 on Nov 12.

BA trails ORN on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ORN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+51%$11.57
Downside-32%$5.17

Calculated from the latest close: $7.65 on Nov 12.

ORN has a better modeled risk to reward balance than BA, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

BA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-3.67Q1 2024: $-3.54Q2 2024: $-5.62Q3 2024: $-12.89Q4 2024: $-18.36Q1 2025: $-17.96Q2 2025: $-16.55Q3 2025: $-13.72Q4 2025: $2.48Q1 2026: $2.53Q2 2026: $2.78Q3 2026: $9.66
Q4 2023: $-3.67Q1 2024: $-3.54Q2 2024: $-5.62Q3 2024: $-12.89Q4 2024: $-18.36Q1 2025: $-17.96Q2 2025: $-16.55Q3 2025: $-13.72Q4 2025: $2.48Q1 2026: $2.53Q2 2026: $2.78Q3 2026: $9.66
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$9.66+$23.38
Q2 2026$2.78+$19.33
Q1 2026$2.53+$20.49
Q4 2025$2.48+$20.84
Q3 2025-$13.72-$0.83
Q2 2025-$16.55-$10.93
Q1 2025-$17.96-$14.42
Q4 2024-$18.36-$14.69

BA has returned to profit: it earned $9.66 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.

ORN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.55Q1 2024: $-0.35Q2 2024: $-0.54Q3 2024: $-0.40Q4 2024: $-0.05Q1 2025: $0.10Q2 2025: $0.32Q3 2025: $0.28Q4 2025: $0.06Q1 2026: $0.22Q2 2026: $0.10Q3 2026: $0.16Forward: $0.28
Q4 2023: $-0.55Q1 2024: $-0.35Q2 2024: $-0.54Q3 2024: $-0.40Q4 2024: $-0.05Q1 2025: $0.10Q2 2025: $0.32Q3 2025: $0.28Q4 2025: $0.06Q1 2026: $0.22Q2 2026: $0.10Q3 2026: $0.16Forward: $0.28
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.28+76%
Q3 2026$0.16-43%
Q2 2026$0.10-69%
Q1 2026$0.22+120%
Q4 2025$0.06+$0.11
Q3 2025$0.28+$0.68
Q2 2025$0.32+$0.86
Q1 2025$0.10+$0.45
Q4 2024-$0.05+$0.50

ORN has the edge over BA on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $22BQ1 2024: $16.6BQ2 2024: $16.9BQ3 2024: $17.8BQ4 2024: $15.2BQ1 2025: $19.5BQ2 2025: $22.7BQ3 2025: $23.3BQ4 2025: $23.9BQ1 2026: $22.2BQ2 2026: $24.6BQ3 2026: $24.2B
Q4 2023: $22BQ1 2024: $16.6BQ2 2024: $16.9BQ3 2024: $17.8BQ4 2024: $15.2BQ1 2025: $19.5BQ2 2025: $22.7BQ3 2025: $23.3BQ4 2025: $23.9BQ1 2026: $22.2BQ2 2026: $24.6BQ3 2026: $24.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$24.2B+3.9%
Q2 2026$24.6B+8%
Q1 2026$22.2B+14%
Q4 2025$23.9B+57%
Q3 2025$23.3B+30%
Q2 2025$22.7B+35%
Q1 2025$19.5B+18%
Q4 2024$15.2B-31%

BA has the edge over ORN on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

ORN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $202MQ1 2024: $161MQ2 2024: $192MQ3 2024: $227MQ4 2024: $217MQ1 2025: $189MQ2 2025: $205MQ3 2025: $225MQ4 2025: $233MQ1 2026: $216MQ2 2026: $222MQ3 2026: $256M
Q4 2023: $202MQ1 2024: $161MQ2 2024: $192MQ3 2024: $227MQ4 2024: $217MQ1 2025: $189MQ2 2025: $205MQ3 2025: $225MQ4 2025: $233MQ1 2026: $216MQ2 2026: $222MQ3 2026: $256M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$256.2M+14%
Q2 2026$221.9M+8.1%
Q1 2026$216.3M+15%
Q4 2025$233.2M+7.5%
Q3 2025$225.1M-0.7%
Q2 2025$205.3M+6.8%
Q1 2025$188.7M+17%
Q4 2024$216.9M+7.6%

ORN's revenue has grown year over year for four quarters in a row: $256M last quarter, up 14% from the same quarter a year ago.

BA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $3BQ1 2024: −$3.9BQ2 2024: −$4.3BQ3 2024: −$2BQ4 2024: −$4.1BQ1 2025: −$2.3BQ2 2025: −$200MQ3 2025: $238MQ4 2025: $375MQ1 2026: −$1.5BQ2 2026: $631MQ3 2026: $464M
Q4 2023: $3BQ1 2024: −$3.9BQ2 2024: −$4.3BQ3 2024: −$2BQ4 2024: −$4.1BQ1 2025: −$2.3BQ2 2025: −$200MQ3 2025: $238MQ4 2025: $375MQ1 2026: −$1.5BQ2 2026: $631MQ3 2026: $464M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$464M+95%
Q2 2026$631M+$831M
Q1 2026-$1.5B+$836M
Q4 2025$375M+$4.5B
Q3 2025$238M+$2.2B
Q2 2025-$200M+$4.1B
Q1 2025-$2.3B+$1.6B
Q4 2024-$4.1B-239%

BA has the edge over ORN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

ORN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $43MQ1 2024: −$25MQ2 2024: −$20MQ3 2024: $33MQ4 2024: $10MQ1 2025: −$12MQ2 2025: −$13MQ3 2025: $14MQ4 2025: $454,000Q1 2026: −$4MQ2 2026: −$29MQ3 2026: −$6M
Q4 2023: $43MQ1 2024: −$25MQ2 2024: −$20MQ3 2024: $33MQ4 2024: $10MQ1 2025: −$12MQ2 2025: −$13MQ3 2025: $14MQ4 2025: $454,000Q1 2026: −$4MQ2 2026: −$29MQ3 2026: −$6M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$6M-143%
Q2 2026-$29.2M-$16.5M
Q1 2026-$3.7M+$8.8M
Q4 2025$454K-95%
Q3 2025$13.9M-58%
Q2 2025-$12.7M+$7.3M
Q1 2025-$12.5M+$12.2M
Q4 2024$9.9M-77%

ORN has burned cash in most quarters: −$38M over the past year, against −$1M the year before.

BA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 606MQ1 2024: 613MQ2 2024: 616MQ3 2024: 619MQ4 2024: 647MQ1 2025: 753MQ2 2025: 757MQ3 2025: 760MQ4 2025: 762MQ1 2026: 788MQ2 2026: 791MQ3 2026: 793M
Q4 2023: 606MQ1 2024: 613MQ2 2024: 616MQ3 2024: 619MQ4 2024: 647MQ1 2025: 753MQ2 2025: 757MQ3 2025: 760MQ4 2025: 762MQ1 2026: 788MQ2 2026: 791MQ3 2026: 793M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.3%+2.1M shares
1 year+4.3%+32.8M shares
3 years+31%+186M shares
5 years+35%+204M shares
Available history+40%+227M shares

BA has 793M diluted shares, up 4.3% from a year ago.

ORN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 33MQ2 2024: 33MQ3 2024: 35MQ4 2024: 35MQ1 2025: 39MQ2 2025: 40MQ3 2025: 40MQ4 2025: 40MQ1 2026: 40MQ2 2026: 40MQ3 2026: 41M
Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 33MQ2 2024: 33MQ3 2024: 35MQ4 2024: 35MQ1 2025: 39MQ2 2025: 40MQ3 2025: 40MQ4 2025: 40MQ1 2026: 40MQ2 2026: 40MQ3 2026: 41M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+39.6K shares
1 year+1.8%+731K shares
3 years+25%+8.1M shares
5 years+31%+9.5M shares
Available history+38%+11.2M shares

ORN has the edge over BA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

BA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 36.4xQ1 2024: 36.1xQ2 2024: 361.8xQ4 2025: 6.9xQ1 2026: 6.0xQ2 2026: 5.7xQ3 2026: 3.0x
Q4 2023: 36.4xQ1 2024: 36.1xQ2 2024: 361.8xQ4 2025: 6.9xQ1 2026: 6.0xQ2 2026: 5.7xQ3 2026: 3.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20263.0xElevated
Q2 20265.7xHigh
Q1 20266.0xHigh
Q4 20256.9xHigh
Q2 2024361.8xHigh
Q1 202436.1xHigh
Q4 202336.4xHigh
Q3 202396.1xHigh

BA has the edge over ORN on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

ORN Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.5xQ1 2024: 1.7xQ2 2024: 4.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: -0.2xQ1 2025: 0.4xQ2 2025: 0.9xQ3 2025: 0.6xQ4 2025: 0.2xQ1 2026: 2.4xQ2 2026: 3.8xQ3 2026: 3.4x
Q4 2023: 0.5xQ1 2024: 1.7xQ2 2024: 4.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: -0.2xQ1 2025: 0.4xQ2 2025: 0.9xQ3 2025: 0.6xQ4 2025: 0.2xQ1 2026: 2.4xQ2 2026: 3.8xQ3 2026: 3.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20263.4xElevated
Q2 20263.8xElevated
Q1 20262.4xModerate
Q4 20250.2xVery low
Q3 20250.6xVery low
Q2 20250.9xVery low
Q1 20250.4xVery low
Q4 2024-0.2xNet Cash

ORN's net debt is about 3.4 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from less than a year a year ago.

BA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI31.1Neutral
Stochastic9.6Oversold

BA's weekly RSI is 31 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).

ORN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.0Neutral
Stochastic13.2Oversold

ORN's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).

BA PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricBASector medianRelative
PE18x24x26% below
PE %05858 pts below

BA has the edge over ORN on valuation relative to its sector.

ORN PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricORNSector medianRelative
PE48x24x99% above
PE %67589 pts above

ORN is trading at 48x earnings, a 99% premium to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

BA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$184.67.1% below
20 week MA$203.816% below
50 week MA$215.520% below
100 week MA$205.917% below
200 week MA$200.614% below

BA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 14% below its 200-week average.

ORN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$8.449.4% below
20 week MA$9.8923% below
50 week MA$11.533% below
100 week MA$9.6521% below
200 week MA$7.620.4% above

ORN has the edge over BA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

BA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$330.1$217.2-34%
2021$217.2$204.2-6%
2022$204.2$189.1-7.4%
2023$189.1$260.7+38%
2024$260.7$180.7-31%
2025$180.7$216.4+20%
2026 YTD$216.4$171.6-21%

BA has the edge over ORN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

ORN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$5.00$4.94-1.2%
2021$4.94$3.78-23%
2022$3.78$2.29-39%
2023$2.29$4.94+116%
2024$4.94$7.53+52%
2025$7.53$10.4+38%
2026 YTD$10.4$7.65-27%

ORN has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 27% so far in 2026.

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