ORN

Orion Group Holdings, Inc.

38
Fundamentals46/ 100
Valuation32/ 100
Upside potential61/ 100
Risk potential32/ 100

ORN's fundamentals are mixed, but it looks expensive: trading at 48x earnings, more than twice its usual 22x. Analysts expect strong earnings growth, though they disagree widely on how much.

ORN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Stable
Under pressure
Under pressure

ORN's revenue is currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its cash flow and balance sheet are under pressure.

ORN PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE53x106x160x213x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE53x106x160x213x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap8.7x$1.40-82%
Fair21x$3.30-57%
Forward27x$7.65—
Current48x$7.65—
Expensive85x$13.65+78%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ORN's PE is in its expensive range at 48x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 27x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

ORN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Stable
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for ORN, with profitability holding steady. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

ORN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+51%$11.57
Downside-32%$5.17

Calculated from the latest close: $7.65 on Nov 12.

ORN's one-year upside scenario is somewhat larger than its downside: +51% against −32%.

ORN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.55Q1 2024: $-0.35Q2 2024: $-0.54Q3 2024: $-0.40Q4 2024: $-0.05Q1 2025: $0.10Q2 2025: $0.32Q3 2025: $0.28Q4 2025: $0.06Q1 2026: $0.22Q2 2026: $0.10Q3 2026: $0.16Forward: $0.28
Q4 2023: $-0.55Q1 2024: $-0.35Q2 2024: $-0.54Q3 2024: $-0.40Q4 2024: $-0.05Q1 2025: $0.10Q2 2025: $0.32Q3 2025: $0.28Q4 2025: $0.06Q1 2026: $0.22Q2 2026: $0.10Q3 2026: $0.16Forward: $0.28
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.28+76%
Q3 2026$0.16-43%
Q2 2026$0.10-69%
Q1 2026$0.22+120%
Q4 2025$0.06+$0.11
Q3 2025$0.28+$0.68
Q2 2025$0.32+$0.86
Q1 2025$0.10+$0.45
Q4 2024-$0.05+$0.50

ORN's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.16 over the past year, against $0.67 in late 2020.

ORN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $202MQ1 2024: $161MQ2 2024: $192MQ3 2024: $227MQ4 2024: $217MQ1 2025: $189MQ2 2025: $205MQ3 2025: $225MQ4 2025: $233MQ1 2026: $216MQ2 2026: $222MQ3 2026: $256M
Q4 2023: $202MQ1 2024: $161MQ2 2024: $192MQ3 2024: $227MQ4 2024: $217MQ1 2025: $189MQ2 2025: $205MQ3 2025: $225MQ4 2025: $233MQ1 2026: $216MQ2 2026: $222MQ3 2026: $256M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$256.2M+14%
Q2 2026$221.9M+8.1%
Q1 2026$216.3M+15%
Q4 2025$233.2M+7.5%
Q3 2025$225.1M-0.7%
Q2 2025$205.3M+6.8%
Q1 2025$188.7M+17%
Q4 2024$216.9M+7.6%

ORN's revenue has grown year over year for four quarters in a row: $256M last quarter, up 14% from the same quarter a year ago.

ORN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $43MQ1 2024: −$25MQ2 2024: −$20MQ3 2024: $33MQ4 2024: $10MQ1 2025: −$12MQ2 2025: −$13MQ3 2025: $14MQ4 2025: $454,000Q1 2026: −$4MQ2 2026: −$29MQ3 2026: −$6M
Q4 2023: $43MQ1 2024: −$25MQ2 2024: −$20MQ3 2024: $33MQ4 2024: $10MQ1 2025: −$12MQ2 2025: −$13MQ3 2025: $14MQ4 2025: $454,000Q1 2026: −$4MQ2 2026: −$29MQ3 2026: −$6M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$6M-143%
Q2 2026-$29.2M-$16.5M
Q1 2026-$3.7M+$8.8M
Q4 2025$454K-95%
Q3 2025$13.9M-58%
Q2 2025-$12.7M+$7.3M
Q1 2025-$12.5M+$12.2M
Q4 2024$9.9M-77%

ORN has burned cash in most quarters: −$38M over the past year, against −$1M the year before.

ORN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 33MQ2 2024: 33MQ3 2024: 35MQ4 2024: 35MQ1 2025: 39MQ2 2025: 40MQ3 2025: 40MQ4 2025: 40MQ1 2026: 40MQ2 2026: 40MQ3 2026: 41M
Q4 2023: 32MQ1 2024: 33MQ2 2024: 33MQ3 2024: 35MQ4 2024: 35MQ1 2025: 39MQ2 2025: 40MQ3 2025: 40MQ4 2025: 40MQ1 2026: 40MQ2 2026: 40MQ3 2026: 41M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+39.6K shares
1 year+1.8%+731K shares
3 years+25%+8.1M shares
5 years+31%+9.5M shares
Available history+38%+11.2M shares

ORN has 41M diluted shares, up 1.8% from a year ago.

ORN Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.5xQ1 2024: 1.7xQ2 2024: 4.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: -0.2xQ1 2025: 0.4xQ2 2025: 0.9xQ3 2025: 0.6xQ4 2025: 0.2xQ1 2026: 2.4xQ2 2026: 3.8xQ3 2026: 3.4x
Q4 2023: 0.5xQ1 2024: 1.7xQ2 2024: 4.0xQ3 2024: -0.0xQ4 2024: -0.2xQ1 2025: 0.4xQ2 2025: 0.9xQ3 2025: 0.6xQ4 2025: 0.2xQ1 2026: 2.4xQ2 2026: 3.8xQ3 2026: 3.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20263.4xElevated
Q2 20263.8xElevated
Q1 20262.4xModerate
Q4 20250.2xVery low
Q3 20250.6xVery low
Q2 20250.9xVery low
Q1 20250.4xVery low
Q4 2024-0.2xNet Cash

ORN's net debt is about 3.4 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from less than a year a year ago.

ORN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.0Neutral
Stochastic13.2Oversold

ORN's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 13 (oversold).

ORN PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricORNSector medianRelative
PE48x24x99% above
PE %67589 pts above

ORN is trading at 48x earnings, a 99% premium to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

ORN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$8.449.4% below
20 week MA$9.8923% below
50 week MA$11.533% below
100 week MA$9.6521% below
200 week MA$7.620.4% above

ORN has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 0.4% above its 200-week average.

ORN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$5.00$4.94-1.2%
2021$4.94$3.78-23%
2022$3.78$2.29-39%
2023$2.29$4.94+116%
2024$4.94$7.53+52%
2025$7.53$10.4+38%
2026 YTD$10.4$7.65-27%

ORN has finished lower in three of the last six years. It's down 27% so far in 2026.

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