BA

The Boeing Company

57
Fundamentals73/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential20/ 100

BA has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

MG

Mistras Group, Inc.

64
Fundamentals59/ 100
Valuation58/ 100
Upside potential53/ 100
Risk potential21/ 100

MG has the edge over BA overall, supported by stronger valuation.

BA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Stable
Under pressure

BA's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable, but its balance sheet is under pressure.

MG Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Healthy
Stable

MG's profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its revenue and balance sheet are stable.

BA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE25x51x76x102x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE25x51x76x102x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current18x$172—
Cheap51x$496+189%
Fair82x$790+360%
Expensive91x$876+411%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BA has the edge over MG in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

MG PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE27x54x81x107x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE27x54x81x107x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward16x$20.19—
Cheap22x$13.98-31%
Current32x$20.19—
Fair33x$20.98+3.9%
Expensive65x$40.64+101%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MG's PE is in its fair range at 32x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 16x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

BA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Growth
Improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect BA to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

MG Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for MG, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

BA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+26%$216.09
Downside-20%$137.47

Calculated from the latest close: $171.55 on Nov 12.

BA has a better modeled risk to reward balance than MG, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

MG Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+24%$25.11
Downside-21%$15.87

Calculated from the latest close: $20.19 on Nov 12.

MG trails BA on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

BA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-3.67Q1 2024: $-3.54Q2 2024: $-5.62Q3 2024: $-12.89Q4 2024: $-18.36Q1 2025: $-17.96Q2 2025: $-16.55Q3 2025: $-13.72Q4 2025: $2.48Q1 2026: $2.53Q2 2026: $2.78Q3 2026: $9.66
Q4 2023: $-3.67Q1 2024: $-3.54Q2 2024: $-5.62Q3 2024: $-12.89Q4 2024: $-18.36Q1 2025: $-17.96Q2 2025: $-16.55Q3 2025: $-13.72Q4 2025: $2.48Q1 2026: $2.53Q2 2026: $2.78Q3 2026: $9.66
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$9.66+$23.38
Q2 2026$2.78+$19.33
Q1 2026$2.53+$20.49
Q4 2025$2.48+$20.84
Q3 2025-$13.72-$0.83
Q2 2025-$16.55-$10.93
Q1 2025-$17.96-$14.42
Q4 2024-$18.36-$14.69

BA has returned to profit: it earned $9.66 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.

MG Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.58Q1 2024: $-0.38Q2 2024: $-0.19Q3 2024: $0.35Q4 2024: $0.60Q1 2025: $0.47Q2 2025: $0.37Q3 2025: $0.58Q4 2025: $0.53Q1 2026: $0.70Q2 2026: $0.83Q3 2026: $0.63Forward: $1.23
Q4 2023: $-0.58Q1 2024: $-0.38Q2 2024: $-0.19Q3 2024: $0.35Q4 2024: $0.60Q1 2025: $0.47Q2 2025: $0.37Q3 2025: $0.58Q4 2025: $0.53Q1 2026: $0.70Q2 2026: $0.83Q3 2026: $0.63Forward: $1.23
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.23+95%
Q3 2026$0.63+8.6%
Q2 2026$0.83+124%
Q1 2026$0.70+49%
Q4 2025$0.53-12%
Q3 2025$0.58+66%
Q2 2025$0.37+$0.56
Q1 2025$0.47+$0.85
Q4 2024$0.60+$1.18

MG has the edge over BA on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $22BQ1 2024: $16.6BQ2 2024: $16.9BQ3 2024: $17.8BQ4 2024: $15.2BQ1 2025: $19.5BQ2 2025: $22.7BQ3 2025: $23.3BQ4 2025: $23.9BQ1 2026: $22.2BQ2 2026: $24.6BQ3 2026: $24.2B
Q4 2023: $22BQ1 2024: $16.6BQ2 2024: $16.9BQ3 2024: $17.8BQ4 2024: $15.2BQ1 2025: $19.5BQ2 2025: $22.7BQ3 2025: $23.3BQ4 2025: $23.9BQ1 2026: $22.2BQ2 2026: $24.6BQ3 2026: $24.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$24.2B+3.9%
Q2 2026$24.6B+8%
Q1 2026$22.2B+14%
Q4 2025$23.9B+57%
Q3 2025$23.3B+30%
Q2 2025$22.7B+35%
Q1 2025$19.5B+18%
Q4 2024$15.2B-31%

BA has the edge over MG on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MG Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $182MQ1 2024: $184MQ2 2024: $190MQ3 2024: $183MQ4 2024: $173MQ1 2025: $162MQ2 2025: $185MQ3 2025: $196MQ4 2025: $181MQ1 2026: $169MQ2 2026: $193MQ3 2026: $205M
Q4 2023: $182MQ1 2024: $184MQ2 2024: $190MQ3 2024: $183MQ4 2024: $173MQ1 2025: $162MQ2 2025: $185MQ3 2025: $196MQ4 2025: $181MQ1 2026: $169MQ2 2026: $193MQ3 2026: $205M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$204.6M+4.6%
Q2 2026$193.1M+4.2%
Q1 2026$169M+4.6%
Q4 2025$181.5M+5.1%
Q3 2025$195.5M+7%
Q2 2025$185.4M-2.3%
Q1 2025$161.6M-12%
Q4 2024$172.7M-5.1%

MG's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $205M last quarter, up 4.6% from the same quarter a year ago.

BA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $3BQ1 2024: −$3.9BQ2 2024: −$4.3BQ3 2024: −$2BQ4 2024: −$4.1BQ1 2025: −$2.3BQ2 2025: −$200MQ3 2025: $238MQ4 2025: $375MQ1 2026: −$1.5BQ2 2026: $631MQ3 2026: $464M
Q4 2023: $3BQ1 2024: −$3.9BQ2 2024: −$4.3BQ3 2024: −$2BQ4 2024: −$4.1BQ1 2025: −$2.3BQ2 2025: −$200MQ3 2025: $238MQ4 2025: $375MQ1 2026: −$1.5BQ2 2026: $631MQ3 2026: $464M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$464M+95%
Q2 2026$631M+$831M
Q1 2026-$1.5B+$836M
Q4 2025$375M+$4.5B
Q3 2025$238M+$2.2B
Q2 2025-$200M+$4.1B
Q1 2025-$2.3B+$1.6B
Q4 2024-$4.1B-239%

BA has the edge over MG on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

MG Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $10MQ1 2024: −$4MQ2 2024: −$284,000Q3 2024: $15MQ4 2024: $22MQ1 2025: $1MQ2 2025: −$15MQ3 2025: −$4MQ4 2025: $26MQ1 2026: −$3MQ2 2026: $10MQ3 2026: $686,000
Q4 2023: $10MQ1 2024: −$4MQ2 2024: −$284,000Q3 2024: $15MQ4 2024: $22MQ1 2025: $1MQ2 2025: −$15MQ3 2025: −$4MQ4 2025: $26MQ1 2026: −$3MQ2 2026: $10MQ3 2026: $686,000
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$686K+$4.8M
Q2 2026$10.1M+$24.9M
Q1 2026-$3.2M-390%
Q4 2025$26M+18%
Q3 2025-$4.1M-128%
Q2 2025-$14.7M-$14.4M
Q1 2025$1.1M+$5.3M
Q4 2024$22.1M+130%

MG still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2025 peak: $34M over the past year.

BA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 606MQ1 2024: 613MQ2 2024: 616MQ3 2024: 619MQ4 2024: 647MQ1 2025: 753MQ2 2025: 757MQ3 2025: 760MQ4 2025: 762MQ1 2026: 788MQ2 2026: 791MQ3 2026: 793M
Q4 2023: 606MQ1 2024: 613MQ2 2024: 616MQ3 2024: 619MQ4 2024: 647MQ1 2025: 753MQ2 2025: 757MQ3 2025: 760MQ4 2025: 762MQ1 2026: 788MQ2 2026: 791MQ3 2026: 793M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.3%+2.1M shares
1 year+4.3%+32.8M shares
3 years+31%+186M shares
5 years+35%+204M shares
Available history+40%+227M shares

BA has 793M diluted shares, up 4.3% from a year ago.

MG Total Shares

Q4 2023: 30MQ1 2024: 31MQ2 2024: 31MQ3 2024: 32MQ4 2024: 32MQ1 2025: 31MQ2 2025: 32MQ3 2025: 32MQ4 2025: 32MQ1 2026: 33MQ2 2026: 33MQ3 2026: 33M
Q4 2023: 30MQ1 2024: 31MQ2 2024: 31MQ3 2024: 32MQ4 2024: 32MQ1 2025: 31MQ2 2025: 32MQ3 2025: 32MQ4 2025: 32MQ1 2026: 33MQ2 2026: 33MQ3 2026: 33M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.3%+115K shares
1 year+3.6%+1.2M shares
3 years+8.7%+2.6M shares
5 years+9.7%+2.9M shares
Available history+14%+4M shares

MG has the edge over BA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

BA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 36.4xQ1 2024: 36.1xQ2 2024: 361.8xQ4 2025: 6.9xQ1 2026: 6.0xQ2 2026: 5.7xQ3 2026: 3.0x
Q4 2023: 36.4xQ1 2024: 36.1xQ2 2024: 361.8xQ4 2025: 6.9xQ1 2026: 6.0xQ2 2026: 5.7xQ3 2026: 3.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20263.0xElevated
Q2 20265.7xHigh
Q1 20266.0xHigh
Q4 20256.9xHigh
Q2 2024361.8xHigh
Q1 202436.1xHigh
Q4 202336.4xHigh
Q3 202396.1xHigh

BA's net debt is about 3.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from more than 20 years a year ago.

MG Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 5.4xQ1 2024: 4.6xQ2 2024: 3.8xQ3 2024: 2.7xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 3.0xQ3 2025: 3.0xQ4 2025: 2.5xQ1 2026: 2.4xQ2 2026: 2.1xQ3 2026: 2.3x
Q4 2023: 5.4xQ1 2024: 4.6xQ2 2024: 3.8xQ3 2024: 2.7xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 3.0xQ3 2025: 3.0xQ4 2025: 2.5xQ1 2026: 2.4xQ2 2026: 2.1xQ3 2026: 2.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.3xModerate
Q2 20262.1xModerate
Q1 20262.4xModerate
Q4 20252.5xModerate
Q3 20253.0xModerate
Q2 20253.0xElevated
Q1 20252.3xModerate
Q4 20242.1xModerate

MG has the edge over BA on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

BA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI31.1Neutral
Stochastic9.6Oversold

BA's weekly RSI is 31 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).

MG Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI59.1Neutral
Stochastic73.9Neutral

MG's weekly RSI is 59 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 74 (neutral).

BA PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricBASector medianRelative
PE18x24x26% below
PE %05858 pts below

BA has the edge over MG on valuation relative to its sector.

MG PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricMGSector medianRelative
PE32x24x33% above
PE %485810 pts below

MG is trading at 32x earnings, a 33% premium to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

BA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$184.67.1% below
20 week MA$203.816% below
50 week MA$215.520% below
100 week MA$205.917% below
200 week MA$200.614% below

BA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 14% below its 200-week average.

MG Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$20.83% below
20 week MA$18.97.1% above
50 week MA$16.920% above
100 week MA$13.154% above
200 week MA$10.592% above

MG has the edge over BA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

BA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$330.1$217.2-34%
2021$217.2$204.2-6%
2022$204.2$189.1-7.4%
2023$189.1$260.7+38%
2024$260.7$180.7-31%
2025$180.7$216.4+20%
2026 YTD$216.4$171.6-21%

BA has finished lower in four of the last six years. It's down 21% so far in 2026.

MG Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$13.9$7.65-45%
2021$7.65$7.46-2.5%
2022$7.46$5.12-31%
2023$5.12$7.32+43%
2024$7.32$8.95+22%
2025$8.95$13.2+47%
2026 YTD$13.2$20.2+53%

MG has the edge over BA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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