BA
The Boeing Company
BA has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
MG
Mistras Group, Inc.
MG has the edge over BA overall, supported by stronger valuation.
BA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Under pressure |
BA's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable, but its balance sheet is under pressure.
MG Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Stable |
MG's profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its revenue and balance sheet are stable.
BA PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 18x | $172 | — |
| Cheap | 51x | $496 | +189% |
| Fair | 82x | $790 | +360% |
| Expensive | 91x | $876 | +411% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
BA has the edge over MG in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
MG PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 16x | $20.19 | — |
| Cheap | 22x | $13.98 | -31% |
| Current | 32x | $20.19 | — |
| Fair | 33x | $20.98 | +3.9% |
| Expensive | 65x | $40.64 | +101% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
MG's PE is in its fair range at 32x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 16x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.
BA Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Returning to profit | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect BA to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
MG Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for MG, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
BA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $9.66 | +$23.38 |
| Q2 2026 | $2.78 | +$19.33 |
| Q1 2026 | $2.53 | +$20.49 |
| Q4 2025 | $2.48 | +$20.84 |
| Q3 2025 | -$13.72 | -$0.83 |
| Q2 2025 | -$16.55 | -$10.93 |
| Q1 2025 | -$17.96 | -$14.42 |
| Q4 2024 | -$18.36 | -$14.69 |
BA has returned to profit: it earned $9.66 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.
MG Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.23 | +95% |
| Q3 2026 | $0.63 | +8.6% |
| Q2 2026 | $0.83 | +124% |
| Q1 2026 | $0.70 | +49% |
| Q4 2025 | $0.53 | -12% |
| Q3 2025 | $0.58 | +66% |
| Q2 2025 | $0.37 | +$0.56 |
| Q1 2025 | $0.47 | +$0.85 |
| Q4 2024 | $0.60 | +$1.18 |
MG has the edge over BA on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
BA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $24.2B | +3.9% |
| Q2 2026 | $24.6B | +8% |
| Q1 2026 | $22.2B | +14% |
| Q4 2025 | $23.9B | +57% |
| Q3 2025 | $23.3B | +30% |
| Q2 2025 | $22.7B | +35% |
| Q1 2025 | $19.5B | +18% |
| Q4 2024 | $15.2B | -31% |
BA has the edge over MG on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 1.5% | +22 points |
| Q2 2026 | 0.6% | +1.4 points |
| Q1 2026 | 2% | -0.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | 37% | +61 points |
| Q3 2025 | -21% | +12 points |
| Q2 2025 | -0.8% | +5.7 points |
| Q1 2025 | 2.4% | +2.9 points |
| Q4 2024 | -25% | -26 points |
BA's operating margin was 1.5% last quarter, up 22 points from the same quarter a year ago.
MG Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $204.6M | +4.6% |
| Q2 2026 | $193.1M | +4.2% |
| Q1 2026 | $169M | +4.6% |
| Q4 2025 | $181.5M | +5.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $195.5M | +7% |
| Q2 2025 | $185.4M | -2.3% |
| Q1 2025 | $161.6M | -12% |
| Q4 2024 | $172.7M | -5.1% |
MG's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $205M last quarter, up 4.6% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 7.3% | -3.1 points |
| Q2 2026 | 6.7% | +2.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 2.8% | +3.4 points |
| Q4 2025 | 7% | +1 points |
| Q3 2025 | 10% | +3.9 points |
| Q2 2025 | 4.5% | -1.8 points |
| Q1 2025 | -0.6% | -3.6 points |
| Q4 2024 | 6% | +5.7 points |
MG has the edge over BA on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
BA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $464M | +95% |
| Q2 2026 | $631M | +$831M |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.5B | +$836M |
| Q4 2025 | $375M | +$4.5B |
| Q3 2025 | $238M | +$2.2B |
| Q2 2025 | -$200M | +$4.1B |
| Q1 2025 | -$2.3B | +$1.6B |
| Q4 2024 | -$4.1B | -239% |
BA has the edge over MG on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
MG Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $686K | +$4.8M |
| Q2 2026 | $10.1M | +$24.9M |
| Q1 2026 | -$3.2M | -390% |
| Q4 2025 | $26M | +18% |
| Q3 2025 | -$4.1M | -128% |
| Q2 2025 | -$14.7M | -$14.4M |
| Q1 2025 | $1.1M | +$5.3M |
| Q4 2024 | $22.1M | +130% |
MG still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2025 peak: $34M over the past year.
BA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 3.0x | Elevated |
| Q2 2026 | 5.7x | High |
| Q1 2026 | 6.0x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 6.9x | High |
| Q2 2024 | 361.8x | High |
| Q1 2024 | 36.1x | High |
| Q4 2023 | 36.4x | High |
| Q3 2023 | 96.1x | High |
BA's net debt is about 3.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from more than 20 years a year ago.
MG Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.3x | Moderate |
| Q2 2026 | 2.1x | Moderate |
| Q1 2026 | 2.4x | Moderate |
| Q4 2025 | 2.5x | Moderate |
| Q3 2025 | 3.0x | Moderate |
| Q2 2025 | 3.0x | Elevated |
| Q1 2025 | 2.3x | Moderate |
| Q4 2024 | 2.1x | Moderate |
MG has the edge over BA on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
BA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 31.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 9.6 | Oversold |
BA's weekly RSI is 31 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).
MG Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 59.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 73.9 | Neutral |
MG's weekly RSI is 59 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 74 (neutral).
BA PE vs Industrials Sector
| Metric | BA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 18x | 24x | 26% below |
| PE % | 0 | 58 | 58 pts below |
BA has the edge over MG on valuation relative to its sector.
MG PE vs Industrials Sector
| Metric | MG | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 32x | 24x | 33% above |
| PE % | 48 | 58 | 10 pts below |
MG is trading at 32x earnings, a 33% premium to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.
BA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $184.6 | 7.1% below |
| 20 week MA | $203.8 | 16% below |
| 50 week MA | $215.5 | 20% below |
| 100 week MA | $205.9 | 17% below |
| 200 week MA | $200.6 | 14% below |
BA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 14% below its 200-week average.
MG Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $20.8 | 3% below |
| 20 week MA | $18.9 | 7.1% above |
| 50 week MA | $16.9 | 20% above |
| 100 week MA | $13.1 | 54% above |
| 200 week MA | $10.5 | 92% above |
MG has the edge over BA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
BA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $330.1 | $217.2 | -34% |
| 2021 | $217.2 | $204.2 | -6% |
| 2022 | $204.2 | $189.1 | -7.4% |
| 2023 | $189.1 | $260.7 | +38% |
| 2024 | $260.7 | $180.7 | -31% |
| 2025 | $180.7 | $216.4 | +20% |
| 2026 YTD | $216.4 | $171.6 | -21% |
BA has finished lower in four of the last six years. It's down 21% so far in 2026.
MG Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $13.9 | $7.65 | -45% |
| 2021 | $7.65 | $7.46 | -2.5% |
| 2022 | $7.46 | $5.12 | -31% |
| 2023 | $5.12 | $7.32 | +43% |
| 2024 | $7.32 | $8.95 | +22% |
| 2025 | $8.95 | $13.2 | +47% |
| 2026 YTD | $13.2 | $20.2 | +53% |
MG has the edge over BA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.