MG

Mistras Group, Inc.

64
Fundamentals59/ 100
Valuation58/ 100
Upside potential53/ 100
Risk potential21/ 100

MG's fundamentals are mixed: free cash flow more than tripled, while its operating margin held steady at 6.1%. At 32x earnings, it's trading in line with its usual 34x. Analysts expect strong earnings growth, though they disagree widely on how much.

MG Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Healthy
Stable

MG's profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its revenue and balance sheet are stable.

MG PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE27x54x81x107x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE27x54x81x107x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward16x$20.19—
Cheap22x$13.98-31%
Current32x$20.19—
Fair33x$20.98+3.9%
Expensive65x$40.64+101%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

MG's PE is in its fair range at 32x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 16x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

MG Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for MG, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

MG Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+24%$25.11
Downside-21%$15.87

Calculated from the latest close: $20.19 on Nov 12.

MG's one-year upside and downside scenarios are about the same size: +24% against −21%.

MG Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.58Q1 2024: $-0.38Q2 2024: $-0.19Q3 2024: $0.35Q4 2024: $0.60Q1 2025: $0.47Q2 2025: $0.37Q3 2025: $0.58Q4 2025: $0.53Q1 2026: $0.70Q2 2026: $0.83Q3 2026: $0.63Forward: $1.23
Q4 2023: $-0.58Q1 2024: $-0.38Q2 2024: $-0.19Q3 2024: $0.35Q4 2024: $0.60Q1 2025: $0.47Q2 2025: $0.37Q3 2025: $0.58Q4 2025: $0.53Q1 2026: $0.70Q2 2026: $0.83Q3 2026: $0.63Forward: $1.23
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.23+95%
Q3 2026$0.63+8.6%
Q2 2026$0.83+124%
Q1 2026$0.70+49%
Q4 2025$0.53-12%
Q3 2025$0.58+66%
Q2 2025$0.37+$0.56
Q1 2025$0.47+$0.85
Q4 2024$0.60+$1.18

MG earned $0.63 per share over the past year, up 8.6% from the year before.

MG Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $182MQ1 2024: $184MQ2 2024: $190MQ3 2024: $183MQ4 2024: $173MQ1 2025: $162MQ2 2025: $185MQ3 2025: $196MQ4 2025: $181MQ1 2026: $169MQ2 2026: $193MQ3 2026: $205M
Q4 2023: $182MQ1 2024: $184MQ2 2024: $190MQ3 2024: $183MQ4 2024: $173MQ1 2025: $162MQ2 2025: $185MQ3 2025: $196MQ4 2025: $181MQ1 2026: $169MQ2 2026: $193MQ3 2026: $205M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$204.6M+4.6%
Q2 2026$193.1M+4.2%
Q1 2026$169M+4.6%
Q4 2025$181.5M+5.1%
Q3 2025$195.5M+7%
Q2 2025$185.4M-2.3%
Q1 2025$161.6M-12%
Q4 2024$172.7M-5.1%

MG's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $205M last quarter, up 4.6% from the same quarter a year ago.

MG Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $10MQ1 2024: −$4MQ2 2024: −$284,000Q3 2024: $15MQ4 2024: $22MQ1 2025: $1MQ2 2025: −$15MQ3 2025: −$4MQ4 2025: $26MQ1 2026: −$3MQ2 2026: $10MQ3 2026: $686,000
Q4 2023: $10MQ1 2024: −$4MQ2 2024: −$284,000Q3 2024: $15MQ4 2024: $22MQ1 2025: $1MQ2 2025: −$15MQ3 2025: −$4MQ4 2025: $26MQ1 2026: −$3MQ2 2026: $10MQ3 2026: $686,000
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$686K+$4.8M
Q2 2026$10.1M+$24.9M
Q1 2026-$3.2M-390%
Q4 2025$26M+18%
Q3 2025-$4.1M-128%
Q2 2025-$14.7M-$14.4M
Q1 2025$1.1M+$5.3M
Q4 2024$22.1M+130%

MG still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2025 peak: $34M over the past year.

MG Total Shares

Q4 2023: 30MQ1 2024: 31MQ2 2024: 31MQ3 2024: 32MQ4 2024: 32MQ1 2025: 31MQ2 2025: 32MQ3 2025: 32MQ4 2025: 32MQ1 2026: 33MQ2 2026: 33MQ3 2026: 33M
Q4 2023: 30MQ1 2024: 31MQ2 2024: 31MQ3 2024: 32MQ4 2024: 32MQ1 2025: 31MQ2 2025: 32MQ3 2025: 32MQ4 2025: 32MQ1 2026: 33MQ2 2026: 33MQ3 2026: 33M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.3%+115K shares
1 year+3.6%+1.2M shares
3 years+8.7%+2.6M shares
5 years+9.7%+2.9M shares
Available history+14%+4M shares

MG has 33M diluted shares, up 3.6% from a year ago.

MG Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 5.4xQ1 2024: 4.6xQ2 2024: 3.8xQ3 2024: 2.7xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 3.0xQ3 2025: 3.0xQ4 2025: 2.5xQ1 2026: 2.4xQ2 2026: 2.1xQ3 2026: 2.3x
Q4 2023: 5.4xQ1 2024: 4.6xQ2 2024: 3.8xQ3 2024: 2.7xQ4 2024: 2.1xQ1 2025: 2.3xQ2 2025: 3.0xQ3 2025: 3.0xQ4 2025: 2.5xQ1 2026: 2.4xQ2 2026: 2.1xQ3 2026: 2.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.3xModerate
Q2 20262.1xModerate
Q1 20262.4xModerate
Q4 20252.5xModerate
Q3 20253.0xModerate
Q2 20253.0xElevated
Q1 20252.3xModerate
Q4 20242.1xModerate

MG's net debt is about 2.3 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 3.0 years a year ago.

MG Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI59.1Neutral
Stochastic73.9Neutral

MG's weekly RSI is 59 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 74 (neutral).

MG PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricMGSector medianRelative
PE32x24x33% above
PE %485810 pts below

MG is trading at 32x earnings, a 33% premium to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

MG Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$20.83% below
20 week MA$18.97.1% above
50 week MA$16.920% above
100 week MA$13.154% above
200 week MA$10.592% above

MG's trend is up, with a small recent dip: it's below only its 8-week average, and 92% above its 200-week average.

MG Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$13.9$7.65-45%
2021$7.65$7.46-2.5%
2022$7.46$5.12-31%
2023$5.12$7.32+43%
2024$7.32$8.95+22%
2025$8.95$13.2+47%
2026 YTD$13.2$20.2+53%

MG is up 53% so far in 2026, after finishing lower in three of the previous six years.

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