BA

The Boeing Company

57
Fundamentals73/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential20/ 100

BA has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

KTOS

Kratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc.

61
Fundamentals53/ 100
Valuation58/ 100
Upside potential73/ 100
Risk potential24/ 100

KTOS has the edge over BA overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger valuation.

BA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Stable
Under pressure

BA's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable, but its balance sheet is under pressure.

KTOS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Stable
Weak
Strong

KTOS's revenue and balance sheet are currently strong, and its profitability is stable, but its cash flow is weak.

BA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE25x51x76x102x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE25x51x76x102x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current18x$172—
Cheap51x$496+189%
Fair82x$790+360%
Expensive91x$876+411%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BA has the edge over KTOS in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

KTOS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE261x523x784x1046x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE261x523x784x1046x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap42x$5.00-86%
Current290x$34.75—
Fair291x$34.94+0.5%
Expensive584x$70.12+102%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

KTOS's PE is in its fair range at 290x.

BA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Growth
Improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect BA to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

KTOS Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for KTOS to show an outlook.

BA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+26%$216.09
Downside-20%$137.47

Calculated from the latest close: $171.55 on Nov 12.

BA trails KTOS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

KTOS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+63%$56.70
Downside-24%$26.54

Calculated from the latest close: $34.75 on Nov 12.

KTOS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than BA, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

BA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-3.67Q1 2024: $-3.54Q2 2024: $-5.62Q3 2024: $-12.89Q4 2024: $-18.36Q1 2025: $-17.96Q2 2025: $-16.55Q3 2025: $-13.72Q4 2025: $2.48Q1 2026: $2.53Q2 2026: $2.78Q3 2026: $9.66
Q4 2023: $-3.67Q1 2024: $-3.54Q2 2024: $-5.62Q3 2024: $-12.89Q4 2024: $-18.36Q1 2025: $-17.96Q2 2025: $-16.55Q3 2025: $-13.72Q4 2025: $2.48Q1 2026: $2.53Q2 2026: $2.78Q3 2026: $9.66
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$9.66+$23.38
Q2 2026$2.78+$19.33
Q1 2026$2.53+$20.49
Q4 2025$2.48+$20.84
Q3 2025-$13.72-$0.83
Q2 2025-$16.55-$10.93
Q1 2025-$17.96-$14.42
Q4 2024-$18.36-$14.69

BA has returned to profit: it earned $9.66 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.

KTOS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.07Q1 2024: $-0.01Q2 2024: $0.06Q3 2024: $0.09Q4 2024: $0.11Q1 2025: $0.13Q2 2025: $0.10Q3 2025: $0.13Q4 2025: $0.13Q1 2026: $0.17Q2 2026: $0.17Q3 2026: $0.12
Q4 2023: $-0.07Q1 2024: $-0.01Q2 2024: $0.06Q3 2024: $0.09Q4 2024: $0.11Q1 2025: $0.13Q2 2025: $0.10Q3 2025: $0.13Q4 2025: $0.13Q1 2026: $0.17Q2 2026: $0.17Q3 2026: $0.12
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$0.12-7.7%
Q2 2026$0.17+70%
Q1 2026$0.17+31%
Q4 2025$0.13+18%
Q3 2025$0.13+44%
Q2 2025$0.10+67%
Q1 2025$0.13+$0.14
Q4 2024$0.11+$0.18

KTOS has the edge over BA on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $22BQ1 2024: $16.6BQ2 2024: $16.9BQ3 2024: $17.8BQ4 2024: $15.2BQ1 2025: $19.5BQ2 2025: $22.7BQ3 2025: $23.3BQ4 2025: $23.9BQ1 2026: $22.2BQ2 2026: $24.6BQ3 2026: $24.2B
Q4 2023: $22BQ1 2024: $16.6BQ2 2024: $16.9BQ3 2024: $17.8BQ4 2024: $15.2BQ1 2025: $19.5BQ2 2025: $22.7BQ3 2025: $23.3BQ4 2025: $23.9BQ1 2026: $22.2BQ2 2026: $24.6BQ3 2026: $24.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$24.2B+3.9%
Q2 2026$24.6B+8%
Q1 2026$22.2B+14%
Q4 2025$23.9B+57%
Q3 2025$23.3B+30%
Q2 2025$22.7B+35%
Q1 2025$19.5B+18%
Q4 2024$15.2B-31%

BA's revenue has grown year over year for seven quarters in a row: $24.2B last quarter, up 3.9% from the same quarter a year ago.

KTOS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $274MQ1 2024: $277MQ2 2024: $300MQ3 2024: $276MQ4 2024: $283MQ1 2025: $303MQ2 2025: $352MQ3 2025: $348MQ4 2025: $345MQ1 2026: $371MQ2 2026: $459MQ3 2026: $472M
Q4 2023: $274MQ1 2024: $277MQ2 2024: $300MQ3 2024: $276MQ4 2024: $283MQ1 2025: $303MQ2 2025: $352MQ3 2025: $348MQ4 2025: $345MQ1 2026: $371MQ2 2026: $459MQ3 2026: $472M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$471.8M+36%
Q2 2026$458.8M+31%
Q1 2026$371M+23%
Q4 2025$345.1M+22%
Q3 2025$347.6M+26%
Q2 2025$351.5M+17%
Q1 2025$302.6M+9.2%
Q4 2024$283.1M+3.4%

KTOS has the edge over BA on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $3BQ1 2024: −$3.9BQ2 2024: −$4.3BQ3 2024: −$2BQ4 2024: −$4.1BQ1 2025: −$2.3BQ2 2025: −$200MQ3 2025: $238MQ4 2025: $375MQ1 2026: −$1.5BQ2 2026: $631MQ3 2026: $464M
Q4 2023: $3BQ1 2024: −$3.9BQ2 2024: −$4.3BQ3 2024: −$2BQ4 2024: −$4.1BQ1 2025: −$2.3BQ2 2025: −$200MQ3 2025: $238MQ4 2025: $375MQ1 2026: −$1.5BQ2 2026: $631MQ3 2026: $464M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$464M+95%
Q2 2026$631M+$831M
Q1 2026-$1.5B+$836M
Q4 2025$375M+$4.5B
Q3 2025$238M+$2.2B
Q2 2025-$200M+$4.1B
Q1 2025-$2.3B+$1.6B
Q4 2024-$4.1B-239%

BA has the edge over KTOS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

KTOS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $48MQ1 2024: −$16MQ2 2024: −$15MQ3 2024: −$9MQ4 2024: $32MQ1 2025: −$52MQ2 2025: −$32MQ3 2025: −$41MQ4 2025: −$12MQ1 2026: −$47MQ2 2026: −$28MQ3 2026: −$35M
Q4 2023: $48MQ1 2024: −$16MQ2 2024: −$15MQ3 2024: −$9MQ4 2024: $32MQ1 2025: −$52MQ2 2025: −$32MQ3 2025: −$41MQ4 2025: −$12MQ1 2026: −$47MQ2 2026: −$28MQ3 2026: −$35M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$35.4M+$5.9M
Q2 2026-$28.2M+$4M
Q1 2026-$47.3M+$4.5M
Q4 2025-$12.1M-138%
Q3 2025-$41.3M-$32.1M
Q2 2025-$32.2M-$16.8M
Q1 2025-$51.8M-$35.9M
Q4 2024$32M-33%

KTOS has burned cash in most quarters: −$123M over the past year, against −$93M the year before.

BA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 606MQ1 2024: 613MQ2 2024: 616MQ3 2024: 619MQ4 2024: 647MQ1 2025: 753MQ2 2025: 757MQ3 2025: 760MQ4 2025: 762MQ1 2026: 788MQ2 2026: 791MQ3 2026: 793M
Q4 2023: 606MQ1 2024: 613MQ2 2024: 616MQ3 2024: 619MQ4 2024: 647MQ1 2025: 753MQ2 2025: 757MQ3 2025: 760MQ4 2025: 762MQ1 2026: 788MQ2 2026: 791MQ3 2026: 793M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.3%+2.1M shares
1 year+4.3%+32.8M shares
3 years+31%+186M shares
5 years+35%+204M shares
Available history+40%+227M shares

BA has the edge over KTOS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

KTOS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 130MQ1 2024: 142MQ2 2024: 154MQ3 2024: 154MQ4 2024: 151MQ1 2025: 156MQ2 2025: 157MQ3 2025: 173MQ4 2025: 165MQ1 2026: 179MQ2 2026: 190MQ3 2026: 189M
Q4 2023: 130MQ1 2024: 142MQ2 2024: 154MQ3 2024: 154MQ4 2024: 151MQ1 2025: 156MQ2 2025: 157MQ3 2025: 173MQ4 2025: 165MQ1 2026: 179MQ2 2026: 190MQ3 2026: 189M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.7%-1.3M shares
1 year+9.2%+15.9M shares
3 years+46%+59.2M shares
5 years+51%+63.9M shares
Available history+73%+79.6M shares

KTOS has 189M diluted shares, up 9.2% from a year ago.

BA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 36.4xQ1 2024: 36.1xQ2 2024: 361.8xQ4 2025: 6.9xQ1 2026: 6.0xQ2 2026: 5.7xQ3 2026: 3.0x
Q4 2023: 36.4xQ1 2024: 36.1xQ2 2024: 361.8xQ4 2025: 6.9xQ1 2026: 6.0xQ2 2026: 5.7xQ3 2026: 3.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20263.0xElevated
Q2 20265.7xHigh
Q1 20266.0xHigh
Q4 20256.9xHigh
Q2 2024361.8xHigh
Q1 202436.1xHigh
Q4 202336.4xHigh
Q3 202396.1xHigh

BA's net debt is about 3.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from more than 20 years a year ago.

KTOS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.3xQ1 2024: -2.2xQ2 2024: -1.6xQ3 2024: -1.6xQ4 2024: -2.2xQ1 2025: -1.3xQ2 2025: -9.8xQ3 2025: -8.7xQ4 2025: -7.7xQ1 2026: -19.0xQ2 2026: -17.5xQ3 2026: -16.9x
Q4 2023: 2.3xQ1 2024: -2.2xQ2 2024: -1.6xQ3 2024: -1.6xQ4 2024: -2.2xQ1 2025: -1.3xQ2 2025: -9.8xQ3 2025: -8.7xQ4 2025: -7.7xQ1 2026: -19.0xQ2 2026: -17.5xQ3 2026: -16.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-16.9xNet Cash
Q2 2026-17.5xNet Cash
Q1 2026-19.0xNet Cash
Q4 2025-7.7xNet Cash
Q3 2025-8.7xNet Cash
Q2 2025-9.8xNet Cash
Q1 2025-1.3xNet Cash
Q4 2024-2.2xNet Cash

KTOS has the edge over BA on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

BA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI31.1Neutral
Stochastic9.6Oversold

BA's weekly RSI is 31 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).

KTOS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.0Neutral
Stochastic11.4Oversold

KTOS's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 11 (oversold).

BA PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricBASector medianRelative
PE18x24x26% below
PE %05858 pts below

BA has the edge over KTOS on valuation relative to its sector.

KTOS PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricKTOSSector medianRelative
PE290x24x1,103% above
PE %49589 pts below

KTOS is trading at 290x earnings, a 1103% premium to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

BA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$184.67.1% below
20 week MA$203.816% below
50 week MA$215.520% below
100 week MA$205.917% below
200 week MA$200.614% below

BA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 14% below its 200-week average.

KTOS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$40.113% below
20 week MA$47.126% below
50 week MA$65.247% below
100 week MA$57.740% below
200 week MA$37.88.2% below

KTOS is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 8.2% below its 200-week average.

BA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$330.1$217.2-34%
2021$217.2$204.2-6%
2022$204.2$189.1-7.4%
2023$189.1$260.7+38%
2024$260.7$180.7-31%
2025$180.7$216.4+20%
2026 YTD$216.4$171.6-21%

BA has the edge over KTOS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

KTOS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$17.8$26.4+49%
2021$26.4$19.8-25%
2022$19.8$9.44-52%
2023$9.44$20.3+115%
2024$20.3$26.5+31%
2025$26.5$77.7+193%
2026 YTD$77.7$34.8-55%

KTOS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +193% in 2025 to −52% in 2022. It's down 55% so far in 2026.

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