BA

The Boeing Company

57
Fundamentals73/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential20/ 100

BA has a slight edge over HLMN overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger fundamentals.

HLMN

Hillman Solutions Corp.

57
Fundamentals49/ 100
Valuation55/ 100
Upside potential27/ 100
Risk potential34/ 100

HLMN offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

BA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Stable
Under pressure

BA's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable, but its balance sheet is under pressure.

HLMN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Stable
Healthy
Under pressure

HLMN's revenue and cash flow are currently healthy, and its profitability is stable, but its balance sheet is under pressure.

BA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE25x51x76x102x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE25x51x76x102x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current18x$172—
Cheap51x$496+189%
Fair82x$790+360%
Expensive91x$876+411%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BA has the edge over HLMN in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

HLMN PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE135x270x405x540x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE135x270x405x540x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward13x$7.90—
Cheap42x$5.03-36%
Current66x$7.90—
Fair78x$9.31+18%
Expensive337x$40.48+412%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

HLMN's PE is in its fair range at 66x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 13x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

BA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Growth
Improving
Limited
Low

BA has the edge over HLMN on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

HLMN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Growth
Growth
Stable
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for HLMN, with profitability holding steady.

BA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+26%$216.09
Downside-20%$137.47

Calculated from the latest close: $171.55 on Nov 12.

BA has a better modeled risk to reward balance than HLMN, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

HLMN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+13%$8.90
Downside-34%$5.20

Calculated from the latest close: $7.90 on Nov 12.

HLMN trails BA on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

BA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-3.67Q1 2024: $-3.54Q2 2024: $-5.62Q3 2024: $-12.89Q4 2024: $-18.36Q1 2025: $-17.96Q2 2025: $-16.55Q3 2025: $-13.72Q4 2025: $2.48Q1 2026: $2.53Q2 2026: $2.78Q3 2026: $9.66
Q4 2023: $-3.67Q1 2024: $-3.54Q2 2024: $-5.62Q3 2024: $-12.89Q4 2024: $-18.36Q1 2025: $-17.96Q2 2025: $-16.55Q3 2025: $-13.72Q4 2025: $2.48Q1 2026: $2.53Q2 2026: $2.78Q3 2026: $9.66
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$9.66+$23.38
Q2 2026$2.78+$19.33
Q1 2026$2.53+$20.49
Q4 2025$2.48+$20.84
Q3 2025-$13.72-$0.83
Q2 2025-$16.55-$10.93
Q1 2025-$17.96-$14.42
Q4 2024-$18.36-$14.69

BA has returned to profit: it earned $9.66 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.

HLMN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.05Q1 2024: $-0.01Q2 2024: $0.03Q3 2024: $0.04Q4 2024: $0.09Q1 2025: $0.10Q2 2025: $0.12Q3 2025: $0.20Q4 2025: $0.20Q1 2026: $0.18Q2 2026: $0.21Q3 2026: $0.12Forward: $0.63
Q4 2023: $-0.05Q1 2024: $-0.01Q2 2024: $0.03Q3 2024: $0.04Q4 2024: $0.09Q1 2025: $0.10Q2 2025: $0.12Q3 2025: $0.20Q4 2025: $0.20Q1 2026: $0.18Q2 2026: $0.21Q3 2026: $0.12Forward: $0.63
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$0.63+422%
Q3 2026$0.12-40%
Q2 2026$0.21+75%
Q1 2026$0.18+80%
Q4 2025$0.20+122%
Q3 2025$0.20+400%
Q2 2025$0.12+300%
Q1 2025$0.10+$0.11
Q4 2024$0.09+$0.14

HLMN has the edge over BA on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $22BQ1 2024: $16.6BQ2 2024: $16.9BQ3 2024: $17.8BQ4 2024: $15.2BQ1 2025: $19.5BQ2 2025: $22.7BQ3 2025: $23.3BQ4 2025: $23.9BQ1 2026: $22.2BQ2 2026: $24.6BQ3 2026: $24.2B
Q4 2023: $22BQ1 2024: $16.6BQ2 2024: $16.9BQ3 2024: $17.8BQ4 2024: $15.2BQ1 2025: $19.5BQ2 2025: $22.7BQ3 2025: $23.3BQ4 2025: $23.9BQ1 2026: $22.2BQ2 2026: $24.6BQ3 2026: $24.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$24.2B+3.9%
Q2 2026$24.6B+8%
Q1 2026$22.2B+14%
Q4 2025$23.9B+57%
Q3 2025$23.3B+30%
Q2 2025$22.7B+35%
Q1 2025$19.5B+18%
Q4 2024$15.2B-31%

BA's revenue has grown year over year for seven quarters in a row: $24.2B last quarter, up 3.9% from the same quarter a year ago.

HLMN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $348MQ1 2024: $350MQ2 2024: $379MQ3 2024: $393MQ4 2024: $350MQ1 2025: $359MQ2 2025: $403MQ3 2025: $425MQ4 2025: $365MQ1 2026: $370MQ2 2026: $442MQ3 2026: $457M
Q4 2023: $348MQ1 2024: $350MQ2 2024: $379MQ3 2024: $393MQ4 2024: $350MQ1 2025: $359MQ2 2025: $403MQ3 2025: $425MQ4 2025: $365MQ1 2026: $370MQ2 2026: $442MQ3 2026: $457M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$457.5M+7.7%
Q2 2026$442.3M+9.8%
Q1 2026$370.1M+3%
Q4 2025$365.1M+4.5%
Q3 2025$424.9M+8%
Q2 2025$402.8M+6.2%
Q1 2025$359.3M+2.6%
Q4 2024$349.6M+0.5%

HLMN's revenue has grown year over year for eight quarters in a row: $457M last quarter, up 7.7% from the same quarter a year ago.

BA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $3BQ1 2024: −$3.9BQ2 2024: −$4.3BQ3 2024: −$2BQ4 2024: −$4.1BQ1 2025: −$2.3BQ2 2025: −$200MQ3 2025: $238MQ4 2025: $375MQ1 2026: −$1.5BQ2 2026: $631MQ3 2026: $464M
Q4 2023: $3BQ1 2024: −$3.9BQ2 2024: −$4.3BQ3 2024: −$2BQ4 2024: −$4.1BQ1 2025: −$2.3BQ2 2025: −$200MQ3 2025: $238MQ4 2025: $375MQ1 2026: −$1.5BQ2 2026: $631MQ3 2026: $464M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$464M+95%
Q2 2026$631M+$831M
Q1 2026-$1.5B+$836M
Q4 2025$375M+$4.5B
Q3 2025$238M+$2.2B
Q2 2025-$200M+$4.1B
Q1 2025-$2.3B+$1.6B
Q4 2024-$4.1B-239%

BA has the edge over HLMN on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

HLMN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $53MQ1 2024: −$6MQ2 2024: $42MQ3 2024: $40MQ4 2024: $22MQ1 2025: −$21MQ2 2025: $31MQ3 2025: $9MQ4 2025: $16MQ1 2026: −$34MQ2 2026: $70MQ3 2026: $51M
Q4 2023: $53MQ1 2024: −$6MQ2 2024: $42MQ3 2024: $40MQ4 2024: $22MQ1 2025: −$21MQ2 2025: $31MQ3 2025: $9MQ4 2025: $16MQ1 2026: −$34MQ2 2026: $70MQ3 2026: $51M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$51.1M+464%
Q2 2026$70.2M+125%
Q1 2026-$34.3M-$13M
Q4 2025$16.1M-27%
Q3 2025$9.1M-77%
Q2 2025$31.2M-27%
Q1 2025-$21.3M-$15.2M
Q4 2024$22.1M-58%

HLMN still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2026 peak: $103M over the past year.

BA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 606MQ1 2024: 613MQ2 2024: 616MQ3 2024: 619MQ4 2024: 647MQ1 2025: 753MQ2 2025: 757MQ3 2025: 760MQ4 2025: 762MQ1 2026: 788MQ2 2026: 791MQ3 2026: 793M
Q4 2023: 606MQ1 2024: 613MQ2 2024: 616MQ3 2024: 619MQ4 2024: 647MQ1 2025: 753MQ2 2025: 757MQ3 2025: 760MQ4 2025: 762MQ1 2026: 788MQ2 2026: 791MQ3 2026: 793M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.3%+2.1M shares
1 year+4.3%+32.8M shares
3 years+31%+186M shares
5 years+35%+204M shares
Available history+40%+227M shares

BA has 793M diluted shares, up 4.3% from a year ago.

HLMN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 195MQ1 2024: 195MQ2 2024: 198MQ3 2024: 199MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 197MQ2 2025: 199MQ3 2025: 200MQ4 2025: 199MQ1 2026: 197MQ2 2026: 197MQ3 2026: 196M
Q4 2023: 195MQ1 2024: 195MQ2 2024: 198MQ3 2024: 199MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 197MQ2 2025: 199MQ3 2025: 200MQ4 2025: 199MQ1 2026: 197MQ2 2026: 197MQ3 2026: 196M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-833K shares
1 year-1.9%-3.8M shares
3 years-0.3%-517K shares
5 years+1056%+179M shares

HLMN has the edge over BA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

BA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 36.4xQ1 2024: 36.1xQ2 2024: 361.8xQ4 2025: 6.9xQ1 2026: 6.0xQ2 2026: 5.7xQ3 2026: 3.0x
Q4 2023: 36.4xQ1 2024: 36.1xQ2 2024: 361.8xQ4 2025: 6.9xQ1 2026: 6.0xQ2 2026: 5.7xQ3 2026: 3.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20263.0xElevated
Q2 20265.7xHigh
Q1 20266.0xHigh
Q4 20256.9xHigh
Q2 2024361.8xHigh
Q1 202436.1xHigh
Q4 202336.4xHigh
Q3 202396.1xHigh

BA has the edge over HLMN on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

HLMN Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 3.9xQ1 2024: 3.7xQ2 2024: 3.3xQ3 2024: 3.3xQ4 2024: 3.0xQ1 2025: 3.1xQ2 2025: 2.9xQ3 2025: 2.6xQ4 2025: 2.6xQ1 2026: 2.8xQ2 2026: 2.6xQ3 2026: 3.7x
Q4 2023: 3.9xQ1 2024: 3.7xQ2 2024: 3.3xQ3 2024: 3.3xQ4 2024: 3.0xQ1 2025: 3.1xQ2 2025: 2.9xQ3 2025: 2.6xQ4 2025: 2.6xQ1 2026: 2.8xQ2 2026: 2.6xQ3 2026: 3.7x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20263.7xElevated
Q2 20262.6xModerate
Q1 20262.8xModerate
Q4 20252.6xModerate
Q3 20252.6xModerate
Q2 20252.9xModerate
Q1 20253.1xElevated
Q4 20243.0xElevated

HLMN's net debt is about 3.7 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 2.6 years a year ago.

BA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI31.1Neutral
Stochastic9.6Oversold

BA's weekly RSI is 31 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).

HLMN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI50.9Neutral
Stochastic48.0Neutral

HLMN's weekly RSI is 51 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 48 (neutral).

BA PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricBASector medianRelative
PE18x24x26% below
PE %05858 pts below

BA has the edge over HLMN on valuation relative to its sector.

HLMN PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricHLMNSector medianRelative
PE66x24x173% above
PE %395617 pts below

HLMN is trading at 66x earnings, a 173% premium to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

BA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$184.67.1% below
20 week MA$203.816% below
50 week MA$215.520% below
100 week MA$205.917% below
200 week MA$200.614% below

BA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 14% below its 200-week average.

HLMN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$7.465.9% above
20 week MA$7.761.8% above
50 week MA$8.244.1% below
100 week MA$8.527.3% below
200 week MA$8.8311% below

HLMN has the edge over BA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

BA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$330.1$217.2-34%
2021$217.2$204.2-6%
2022$204.2$189.1-7.4%
2023$189.1$260.7+38%
2024$260.7$180.7-31%
2025$180.7$216.4+20%
2026 YTD$216.4$171.6-21%

BA has finished lower in four of the last six years. It's down 21% so far in 2026.

HLMN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.95$10.2+2.9%
2021$10.2$10.5+2.5%
2022$10.5$6.82-35%
2023$6.82$9.21+35%
2024$9.21$9.80+6.4%
2025$9.80$9.09-7.2%
2026 YTD$9.09$7.90-13%

HLMN has the edge over BA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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