BA

The Boeing Company

57
Fundamentals73/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential20/ 100

BA has the edge over GFL overall, supported by stronger fundamentals.

GFL

GFL Environmental Inc.

54
Fundamentals52/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential16/ 100

GFL has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

BA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Stable
Under pressure

BA's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable, but its balance sheet is under pressure.

GFL Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Under pressure
Stable
Weak

GFL's revenue is currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable, but its profitability and balance sheet are under pressure.

BA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE25x51x76x102x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE25x51x76x102x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current18x$172—
Cheap51x$496+189%
Fair82x$790+360%
Expensive91x$876+411%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BA's PE is 18x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

GFL PE Valuation

GFL has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

BA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Growth
Improving
Limited
Low

BA has the edge over GFL on the outlook, with more favorable profitability expectations.

GFL Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Strong growth
Weakening
Limited
Low

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for GFL, but weaker profitability. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

BA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+26%$216.09
Downside-20%$137.47

Calculated from the latest close: $171.55 on Nov 12.

BA trails GFL on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

GFL Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+22%$51.06
Downside-16%$35.19

Calculated from the latest close: $41.94 on Nov 12.

GFL has a better modeled risk to reward balance than BA, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

BA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-3.67Q1 2024: $-3.54Q2 2024: $-5.62Q3 2024: $-12.89Q4 2024: $-18.36Q1 2025: $-17.96Q2 2025: $-16.55Q3 2025: $-13.72Q4 2025: $2.48Q1 2026: $2.53Q2 2026: $2.78Q3 2026: $9.66
Q4 2023: $-3.67Q1 2024: $-3.54Q2 2024: $-5.62Q3 2024: $-12.89Q4 2024: $-18.36Q1 2025: $-17.96Q2 2025: $-16.55Q3 2025: $-13.72Q4 2025: $2.48Q1 2026: $2.53Q2 2026: $2.78Q3 2026: $9.66
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$9.66+$23.38
Q2 2026$2.78+$19.33
Q1 2026$2.53+$20.49
Q4 2025$2.48+$20.84
Q3 2025-$13.72-$0.83
Q2 2025-$16.55-$10.93
Q1 2025-$17.96-$14.42
Q4 2024-$18.36-$14.69

BA has the edge over GFL on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

GFL Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.04Q1 2024: $0.00Q2 2024: $-1.40Q3 2024: $-1.28Q4 2024: $-1.50Q1 2025: $4.97Q2 2025: $6.38Q3 2025: $6.42Q4 2025: $6.83Q1 2026: $0.31Q2 2026: $-0.49Q3 2026: $-0.73
Q4 2023: $-0.04Q1 2024: $0.00Q2 2024: $-1.40Q3 2024: $-1.28Q4 2024: $-1.50Q1 2025: $4.97Q2 2025: $6.38Q3 2025: $6.42Q4 2025: $6.83Q1 2026: $0.31Q2 2026: $-0.49Q3 2026: $-0.73
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.73-111%
Q2 2026-$0.49-108%
Q1 2026$0.31-94%
Q4 2025$6.83+$8.33
Q3 2025$6.42+$7.70
Q2 2025$6.38+$7.78
Q1 2025$4.97+$4.97
Q4 2024-$1.50-$1.46

GFL has swung to a loss: it lost $0.73 per share over the past year, after a profit the year before.

BA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $22BQ1 2024: $16.6BQ2 2024: $16.9BQ3 2024: $17.8BQ4 2024: $15.2BQ1 2025: $19.5BQ2 2025: $22.7BQ3 2025: $23.3BQ4 2025: $23.9BQ1 2026: $22.2BQ2 2026: $24.6BQ3 2026: $24.2B
Q4 2023: $22BQ1 2024: $16.6BQ2 2024: $16.9BQ3 2024: $17.8BQ4 2024: $15.2BQ1 2025: $19.5BQ2 2025: $22.7BQ3 2025: $23.3BQ4 2025: $23.9BQ1 2026: $22.2BQ2 2026: $24.6BQ3 2026: $24.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$24.2B+3.9%
Q2 2026$24.6B+8%
Q1 2026$22.2B+14%
Q4 2025$23.9B+57%
Q3 2025$23.3B+30%
Q2 2025$22.7B+35%
Q1 2025$19.5B+18%
Q4 2024$15.2B-31%

BA has the edge over GFL on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

GFL Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.3BQ2 2024: $1.1BQ3 2024: $1.1BQ4 2024: $1.4BQ1 2025: $1.1BQ2 2025: $1.2BQ3 2025: $1.2BQ4 2025: $1.2BQ1 2026: $1.2BQ2 2026: $1.4BQ3 2026: $1.5B
Q4 2023: $1.3BQ1 2024: $1.3BQ2 2024: $1.1BQ3 2024: $1.1BQ4 2024: $1.4BQ1 2025: $1.1BQ2 2025: $1.2BQ3 2025: $1.2BQ4 2025: $1.2BQ1 2026: $1.2BQ2 2026: $1.4BQ3 2026: $1.5B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.5B+24%
Q2 2026$1.4B+16%
Q1 2026$1.2B+5.4%
Q4 2025$1.2B-15%
Q3 2025$1.2B+9%
Q2 2025$1.2B+5.9%
Q1 2025$1.1B-13%
Q4 2024$1.4B+5.5%

GFL's revenue has picked up after three years of holding roughly level: $1.5B last quarter, up 24% from the same quarter a year ago.

BA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $3BQ1 2024: −$3.9BQ2 2024: −$4.3BQ3 2024: −$2BQ4 2024: −$4.1BQ1 2025: −$2.3BQ2 2025: −$200MQ3 2025: $238MQ4 2025: $375MQ1 2026: −$1.5BQ2 2026: $631MQ3 2026: $464M
Q4 2023: $3BQ1 2024: −$3.9BQ2 2024: −$4.3BQ3 2024: −$2BQ4 2024: −$4.1BQ1 2025: −$2.3BQ2 2025: −$200MQ3 2025: $238MQ4 2025: $375MQ1 2026: −$1.5BQ2 2026: $631MQ3 2026: $464M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$464M+95%
Q2 2026$631M+$831M
Q1 2026-$1.5B+$836M
Q4 2025$375M+$4.5B
Q3 2025$238M+$2.2B
Q2 2025-$200M+$4.1B
Q1 2025-$2.3B+$1.6B
Q4 2024-$4.1B-239%

BA has the edge over GFL on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

GFL Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $119MQ1 2024: −$15MQ2 2024: $32MQ3 2024: $46MQ4 2024: $174MQ1 2025: −$99MQ2 2025: $12MQ3 2025: $71MQ4 2025: $138MQ1 2026: −$160MQ2 2026: $86MQ3 2026: $89M
Q4 2023: $119MQ1 2024: −$15MQ2 2024: $32MQ3 2024: $46MQ4 2024: $174MQ1 2025: −$99MQ2 2025: $12MQ3 2025: $71MQ4 2025: $138MQ1 2026: −$160MQ2 2026: $86MQ3 2026: $89M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$88.6M+24%
Q2 2026$85.7M+613%
Q1 2026-$160.5M-$61.3M
Q4 2025$138.5M-21%
Q3 2025$71.4M+54%
Q2 2025$12M-62%
Q1 2025-$99.2M-$84M
Q4 2024$174.4M+46%

GFL still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2024 peak: $152M over the past year.

BA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 606MQ1 2024: 613MQ2 2024: 616MQ3 2024: 619MQ4 2024: 647MQ1 2025: 753MQ2 2025: 757MQ3 2025: 760MQ4 2025: 762MQ1 2026: 788MQ2 2026: 791MQ3 2026: 793M
Q4 2023: 606MQ1 2024: 613MQ2 2024: 616MQ3 2024: 619MQ4 2024: 647MQ1 2025: 753MQ2 2025: 757MQ3 2025: 760MQ4 2025: 762MQ1 2026: 788MQ2 2026: 791MQ3 2026: 793M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.3%+2.1M shares
1 year+4.3%+32.8M shares
3 years+31%+186M shares
5 years+35%+204M shares
Available history+40%+227M shares

BA has 793M diluted shares, up 4.3% from a year ago.

GFL Total Shares

Q4 2023: 371MQ1 2024: 373MQ2 2024: 377MQ3 2024: 385MQ4 2024: 394MQ1 2025: 391MQ2 2025: 383MQ3 2025: 370MQ4 2025: 367MQ1 2026: 358MQ2 2026: 361MQ3 2026: 386M
Q4 2023: 371MQ1 2024: 373MQ2 2024: 377MQ3 2024: 385MQ4 2024: 394MQ1 2025: 391MQ2 2025: 383MQ3 2025: 370MQ4 2025: 367MQ1 2026: 358MQ2 2026: 361MQ3 2026: 386M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+6.7%+24.3M shares
1 year+4.2%+15.4M shares
3 years+4.4%+16.1M shares
5 years+6.5%+23.6M shares
Available history+7%+25.3M shares

GFL has the edge over BA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

BA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 36.4xQ1 2024: 36.1xQ2 2024: 361.8xQ4 2025: 6.9xQ1 2026: 6.0xQ2 2026: 5.7xQ3 2026: 3.0x
Q4 2023: 36.4xQ1 2024: 36.1xQ2 2024: 361.8xQ4 2025: 6.9xQ1 2026: 6.0xQ2 2026: 5.7xQ3 2026: 3.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20263.0xElevated
Q2 20265.7xHigh
Q1 20266.0xHigh
Q4 20256.9xHigh
Q2 2024361.8xHigh
Q1 202436.1xHigh
Q4 202336.4xHigh
Q3 202396.1xHigh

BA has the edge over GFL on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

GFL Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 5.3xQ1 2024: 5.5xQ2 2024: 8.5xQ3 2024: 7.7xQ4 2024: 9.7xQ1 2025: 6.6xQ2 2025: 3.9xQ3 2025: 4.2xQ4 2025: 3.8xQ1 2026: 4.2xQ2 2026: 5.6xQ3 2026: 6.6x
Q4 2023: 5.3xQ1 2024: 5.5xQ2 2024: 8.5xQ3 2024: 7.7xQ4 2024: 9.7xQ1 2025: 6.6xQ2 2025: 3.9xQ3 2025: 4.2xQ4 2025: 3.8xQ1 2026: 4.2xQ2 2026: 5.6xQ3 2026: 6.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20266.6xHigh
Q2 20265.6xHigh
Q1 20264.2xHigh
Q4 20253.8xElevated
Q3 20254.2xHigh
Q2 20253.9xElevated
Q1 20256.6xHigh
Q4 20249.7xHigh

GFL's net debt is about 6.6 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from 4.2 years a year ago.

BA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI31.1Neutral
Stochastic9.6Oversold

BA's weekly RSI is 31 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).

GFL Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI49.3Neutral
Stochastic70.0Neutral

GFL's weekly RSI is 49 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 70 (neutral).

BA PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricBASector medianRelative
PE18x24x26% below
PE %05858 pts below

BA is trading at 18x earnings, a 26% discount to the Industrials sector's median of 24x, though its earnings don't support one.

GFL PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricGFLSector medianRelative
PEN/A24x—

GFL has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

BA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$184.67.1% below
20 week MA$203.816% below
50 week MA$215.520% below
100 week MA$205.917% below
200 week MA$200.614% below

BA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 14% below its 200-week average.

GFL Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$43.74.1% below
20 week MA$42.20.6% below
50 week MA$41.31.5% above
100 week MA$44.25.1% below
200 week MA$39.95.2% above

GFL has the edge over BA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

BA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$330.1$217.2-34%
2021$217.2$204.2-6%
2022$204.2$189.1-7.4%
2023$189.1$260.7+38%
2024$260.7$180.7-31%
2025$180.7$216.4+20%
2026 YTD$216.4$171.6-21%

BA has finished lower in four of the last six years. It's down 21% so far in 2026.

GFL Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$17.0$28.2+66%
2021$28.2$38.0+35%
2022$38.0$28.2-26%
2023$28.2$34.5+22%
2024$34.5$44.6+29%
2025$44.6$43.2-3%
2026 YTD$43.2$41.9-3%

GFL has the edge over BA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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