BA
The Boeing Company
BA has the edge over FERG overall, supported by stronger fundamentals.
FERG
Ferguson plc
FERG has slightly lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
BA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Under pressure |
BA's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable, but its balance sheet is under pressure.
FERG Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Healthy |
FERG's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable.
BA PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 18x | $172 | — |
| Cheap | 51x | $496 | +189% |
| Fair | 82x | $790 | +360% |
| Expensive | 91x | $876 | +411% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
BA's PE is 18x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.
FERG PE Valuation
FERG has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
BA Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Returning to profit | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
BA has the edge over FERG on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and profitability expectations.
FERG Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Stable | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Moderate | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect FERG's revenue to grow, with its earnings and profitability holding steady.
BA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $9.66 | +$23.38 |
| Q2 2026 | $2.78 | +$19.33 |
| Q1 2026 | $2.53 | +$20.49 |
| Q4 2025 | $2.48 | +$20.84 |
| Q3 2025 | -$13.72 | -$0.83 |
| Q2 2025 | -$16.55 | -$10.93 |
| Q1 2025 | -$17.96 | -$14.42 |
| Q4 2024 | -$18.36 | -$14.69 |
BA has returned to profit: it earned $9.66 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.
FERG Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $12.52 | +18% |
| Q3 2026 | $10.63 | +7.6% |
| Q2 2026 | $10.45 | +12% |
| Q1 2026 | $10.55 | +32% |
| Q4 2025 | $10.49 | +29% |
| Q4 2025 | $9.88 | +19% |
| Q3 2025 | $9.32 | +9.3% |
| Q2 2025 | $8.02 | -12% |
| Q1 2025 | $8.13 | -5.5% |
FERG has the edge over BA on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
BA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $24.2B | +3.9% |
| Q2 2026 | $24.6B | +8% |
| Q1 2026 | $22.2B | +14% |
| Q4 2025 | $23.9B | +57% |
| Q3 2025 | $23.3B | +30% |
| Q2 2025 | $22.7B | +35% |
| Q1 2025 | $19.5B | +18% |
| Q4 2024 | $15.2B | -31% |
BA has the edge over FERG on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 1.5% | +22 points |
| Q2 2026 | 0.6% | +1.4 points |
| Q1 2026 | 2% | -0.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | 37% | +61 points |
| Q3 2025 | -21% | +12 points |
| Q2 2025 | -0.8% | +5.7 points |
| Q1 2025 | 2.4% | +2.9 points |
| Q4 2024 | -25% | -26 points |
BA's operating margin was 1.5% last quarter, up 22 points from the same quarter a year ago.
FERG Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $9B | +10% |
| Q2 2026 | $8.8B | +3% |
| Q1 2026 | $7.5B | -2% |
| Q4 2025 | $7.5B | +9.1% |
| Q4 2025 | $8.2B | +5.1% |
| Q3 2025 | $8.5B | +6.9% |
| Q2 2025 | $7.6B | +4.3% |
| Q1 2025 | $6.9B | +3% |
FERG's revenue has picked up after three years of holding roughly level: $9B last quarter, up 10% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 9.8% | +0.4 points |
| Q2 2026 | 10% | -0.7 points |
| Q1 2026 | 8.2% | +0.2 points |
| Q4 2025 | 8% | +2 points |
| Q4 2025 | 9.4% | +0.9 points |
| Q3 2025 | 11% | +0.7 points |
| Q2 2025 | 8% | -0.6 points |
| Q1 2025 | 6% | -1.2 points |
FERG has the edge over BA on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
BA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $464M | +95% |
| Q2 2026 | $631M | +$831M |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.5B | +$836M |
| Q4 2025 | $375M | +$4.5B |
| Q3 2025 | $238M | +$2.2B |
| Q2 2025 | -$200M | +$4.1B |
| Q1 2025 | -$2.3B | +$1.6B |
| Q4 2024 | -$4.1B | -239% |
BA's free cash flow has turned positive after six years mostly in the red: $16M over the past year.
FERG Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $648M | +108% |
| Q2 2026 | -$198M | -142% |
| Q1 2026 | $680M | +12% |
| Q4 2025 | $471M | +82% |
| Q4 2025 | $312M | +16% |
| Q3 2025 | $471M | +83% |
| Q2 2025 | $605M | +5.7% |
| Q1 2025 | $259M | +26% |
FERG still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2023 peak: $1.6B over the past year.
BA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.3% | +2.1M shares |
| 1 year | +4.3% | +32.8M shares |
| 3 years | +31% | +186M shares |
| 5 years | +35% | +204M shares |
| Available history | +40% | +227M shares |
BA has 793M diluted shares, up 4.3% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2019 | — |
FERG Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.1% | -100K shares |
| 1 year | -1.4% | -2.7M shares |
| 3 years | -5.2% | -10.7M shares |
| 5 years | -13% | -28.8M shares |
| Available history | -15% | -33.4M shares |
FERG has the edge over BA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | $202M |
| Q1 2026 | $236M |
| Q4 2025 | $189M |
| Q4 2025 | $208M |
| Q3 2025 | $189M |
| Q2 2025 | $251M |
| Q1 2025 | $252M |
FERG spent $627M buying back its own shares over the past year, down 30% from the year before.
BA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 3.0x | Elevated |
| Q2 2026 | 5.7x | High |
| Q1 2026 | 6.0x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 6.9x | High |
| Q2 2024 | 361.8x | High |
| Q1 2024 | 36.1x | High |
| Q4 2023 | 36.4x | High |
| Q3 2023 | 96.1x | High |
BA's net debt is about 3.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from more than 20 years a year ago.
FERG Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 1.7x | Healthy |
| Q2 2026 | 1.4x | Healthy |
| Q1 2026 | 1.0x | Healthy |
| Q4 2025 | 1.8x | Healthy |
| Q4 2025 | 1.2x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | 1.2x | Healthy |
| Q2 2025 | 1.3x | Healthy |
| Q1 2025 | 1.3x | Healthy |
FERG has the edge over BA on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
BA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 31.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 9.6 | Oversold |
BA's weekly RSI is 31 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).
FERG Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 60.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 54.4 | Neutral |
FERG's weekly RSI is 60 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 54 (neutral).
BA PE vs Industrials Sector
| Metric | BA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 18x | 24x | 26% below |
| PE % | 0 | 58 | 58 pts below |
BA is trading at 18x earnings, a 26% discount to the Industrials sector's median of 24x, though its earnings don't support one.
FERG PE vs Industrials Sector
| Metric | FERG | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 24x | — |
FERG has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
BA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $184.6 | 7.1% below |
| 20 week MA | $203.8 | 16% below |
| 50 week MA | $215.5 | 20% below |
| 100 week MA | $205.9 | 17% below |
| 200 week MA | $200.6 | 14% below |
BA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 14% below its 200-week average.
FERG Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $231.5 | 10% above |
| 20 week MA | $232.2 | 9.8% above |
| 50 week MA | $237.2 | 7.5% above |
| 100 week MA | $219.8 | 16% above |
| 200 week MA | $199.1 | 28% above |
FERG has the edge over BA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
BA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $330.1 | $217.2 | -34% |
| 2021 | $217.2 | $204.2 | -6% |
| 2022 | $204.2 | $189.1 | -7.4% |
| 2023 | $189.1 | $260.7 | +38% |
| 2024 | $260.7 | $180.7 | -31% |
| 2025 | $180.7 | $216.4 | +20% |
| 2026 YTD | $216.4 | $171.6 | -21% |
BA has finished lower in four of the last six years. It's down 21% so far in 2026.
FERG Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $91.3 | $118.5 | +30% |
| 2021 | $118.5 | $175.9 | +48% |
| 2022 | $175.9 | $124.9 | -29% |
| 2023 | $124.9 | $193.1 | +55% |
| 2024 | $193.1 | $175.1 | -9.3% |
| 2025 | $175.1 | $228.7 | +31% |
| 2026 YTD | $228.7 | $254.9 | +11% |
FERG has the edge over BA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.