BA

The Boeing Company

57
Fundamentals73/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential20/ 100

BA has the edge over CVLG overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

CVLG

Covenant Logistics Group, Inc.

49
Fundamentals42/ 100
Valuation16/ 100
Upside potential78/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

CVLG has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

BA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Stable
Under pressure

BA's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable, but its balance sheet is under pressure.

CVLG Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Stable
Under pressure
Stable

CVLG's revenue is currently healthy, and its profitability and balance sheet are stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.

BA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE25x51x76x102x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE25x51x76x102x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current18x$172—
Cheap51x$496+189%
Fair82x$790+360%
Expensive91x$876+411%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BA has the edge over CVLG in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

CVLG PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE62x123x185x246x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE62x123x185x246x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap5.9x$1.24-96%
Forward13x$32.82—
Fair16x$3.45-90%
Expensive82x$17.22-48%
Current156x$32.82—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CVLG's PE is in its expensive range at 156x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 13x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

BA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Growth
Improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect BA to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

CVLG Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for CVLG, with profitability improving.

BA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+26%$216.09
Downside-20%$137.47

Calculated from the latest close: $171.55 on Nov 12.

BA trails CVLG on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

CVLG Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+52%$49.84
Downside-14%$28.12

Calculated from the latest close: $32.82 on Nov 12.

CVLG has a better modeled risk to reward balance than BA, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

BA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-3.67Q1 2024: $-3.54Q2 2024: $-5.62Q3 2024: $-12.89Q4 2024: $-18.36Q1 2025: $-17.96Q2 2025: $-16.55Q3 2025: $-13.72Q4 2025: $2.48Q1 2026: $2.53Q2 2026: $2.78Q3 2026: $9.66
Q4 2023: $-3.67Q1 2024: $-3.54Q2 2024: $-5.62Q3 2024: $-12.89Q4 2024: $-18.36Q1 2025: $-17.96Q2 2025: $-16.55Q3 2025: $-13.72Q4 2025: $2.48Q1 2026: $2.53Q2 2026: $2.78Q3 2026: $9.66
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$9.66+$23.38
Q2 2026$2.78+$19.33
Q1 2026$2.53+$20.49
Q4 2025$2.48+$20.84
Q3 2025-$13.72-$0.83
Q2 2025-$16.55-$10.93
Q1 2025-$17.96-$14.42
Q4 2024-$18.36-$14.69

BA has the edge over CVLG on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CVLG Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $2.00Q1 2024: $1.54Q2 2024: $1.53Q3 2024: $1.50Q4 2024: $1.30Q1 2025: $1.40Q2 2025: $1.31Q3 2025: $1.19Q4 2025: $0.27Q1 2026: $0.20Q2 2026: $0.16Q3 2026: $0.21Forward: $2.56
Q4 2023: $2.00Q1 2024: $1.54Q2 2024: $1.53Q3 2024: $1.50Q4 2024: $1.30Q1 2025: $1.40Q2 2025: $1.31Q3 2025: $1.19Q4 2025: $0.27Q1 2026: $0.20Q2 2026: $0.16Q3 2026: $0.21Forward: $2.56
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.56+1120%
Q3 2026$0.21-82%
Q2 2026$0.16-88%
Q1 2026$0.20-86%
Q4 2025$0.27-79%
Q3 2025$1.19-21%
Q2 2025$1.31-14%
Q1 2025$1.40-9.1%
Q4 2024$1.30-35%

CVLG's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $0.21 over the past year, against $3.65 in late 2022.

BA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $22BQ1 2024: $16.6BQ2 2024: $16.9BQ3 2024: $17.8BQ4 2024: $15.2BQ1 2025: $19.5BQ2 2025: $22.7BQ3 2025: $23.3BQ4 2025: $23.9BQ1 2026: $22.2BQ2 2026: $24.6BQ3 2026: $24.2B
Q4 2023: $22BQ1 2024: $16.6BQ2 2024: $16.9BQ3 2024: $17.8BQ4 2024: $15.2BQ1 2025: $19.5BQ2 2025: $22.7BQ3 2025: $23.3BQ4 2025: $23.9BQ1 2026: $22.2BQ2 2026: $24.6BQ3 2026: $24.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$24.2B+3.9%
Q2 2026$24.6B+8%
Q1 2026$22.2B+14%
Q4 2025$23.9B+57%
Q3 2025$23.3B+30%
Q2 2025$22.7B+35%
Q1 2025$19.5B+18%
Q4 2024$15.2B-31%

BA has the edge over CVLG on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

CVLG Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $274MQ1 2024: $279MQ2 2024: $287MQ3 2024: $288MQ4 2024: $277MQ1 2025: $269MQ2 2025: $303MQ3 2025: $297MQ4 2025: $295MQ1 2026: $307MQ2 2026: $333MQ3 2026: $354M
Q4 2023: $274MQ1 2024: $279MQ2 2024: $287MQ3 2024: $288MQ4 2024: $277MQ1 2025: $269MQ2 2025: $303MQ3 2025: $297MQ4 2025: $295MQ1 2026: $307MQ2 2026: $333MQ3 2026: $354M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$353.9M+19%
Q2 2026$332.9M+9.9%
Q1 2026$307.2M+14%
Q4 2025$295.4M+6.5%
Q3 2025$296.9M+3.1%
Q2 2025$302.9M+5.3%
Q1 2025$269.4M-3.4%
Q4 2024$277.3M+1.2%

CVLG's revenue has grown year over year for six quarters in a row: $354M last quarter, up 19% from the same quarter a year ago.

BA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $3BQ1 2024: −$3.9BQ2 2024: −$4.3BQ3 2024: −$2BQ4 2024: −$4.1BQ1 2025: −$2.3BQ2 2025: −$200MQ3 2025: $238MQ4 2025: $375MQ1 2026: −$1.5BQ2 2026: $631MQ3 2026: $464M
Q4 2023: $3BQ1 2024: −$3.9BQ2 2024: −$4.3BQ3 2024: −$2BQ4 2024: −$4.1BQ1 2025: −$2.3BQ2 2025: −$200MQ3 2025: $238MQ4 2025: $375MQ1 2026: −$1.5BQ2 2026: $631MQ3 2026: $464M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$464M+95%
Q2 2026$631M+$831M
Q1 2026-$1.5B+$836M
Q4 2025$375M+$4.5B
Q3 2025$238M+$2.2B
Q2 2025-$200M+$4.1B
Q1 2025-$2.3B+$1.6B
Q4 2024-$4.1B-239%

BA has the edge over CVLG on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

CVLG Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$74MQ1 2024: −$27MQ2 2024: −$28MQ3 2024: $24MQ4 2024: $464,000Q1 2025: −$9MQ2 2025: −$15MQ3 2025: −$8MQ4 2025: −$3MQ1 2026: $18MQ2 2026: −$45MQ3 2026: −$7M
Q4 2023: −$74MQ1 2024: −$27MQ2 2024: −$28MQ3 2024: $24MQ4 2024: $464,000Q1 2025: −$9MQ2 2025: −$15MQ3 2025: −$8MQ4 2025: −$3MQ1 2026: $18MQ2 2026: −$45MQ3 2026: −$7M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$7.1M+$687K
Q2 2026-$44.7M-$30.1M
Q1 2026$17.6M+$26.2M
Q4 2025-$3M-742%
Q3 2025-$7.8M-132%
Q2 2025-$14.5M+$13.6M
Q1 2025-$8.6M+$18.1M
Q4 2024$464K+$74.2M

CVLG has burned cash in six of the last eight quarters: −$37M over the past year, against −$30M the year before.

BA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 606MQ1 2024: 613MQ2 2024: 616MQ3 2024: 619MQ4 2024: 647MQ1 2025: 753MQ2 2025: 757MQ3 2025: 760MQ4 2025: 762MQ1 2026: 788MQ2 2026: 791MQ3 2026: 793M
Q4 2023: 606MQ1 2024: 613MQ2 2024: 616MQ3 2024: 619MQ4 2024: 647MQ1 2025: 753MQ2 2025: 757MQ3 2025: 760MQ4 2025: 762MQ1 2026: 788MQ2 2026: 791MQ3 2026: 793M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.3%+2.1M shares
1 year+4.3%+32.8M shares
3 years+31%+186M shares
5 years+35%+204M shares
Available history+40%+227M shares

BA has 793M diluted shares, up 4.3% from a year ago.

CVLG Total Shares

Q4 2023: 28MQ1 2024: 28MQ2 2024: 28MQ3 2024: 28MQ4 2024: 28MQ1 2025: 28MQ2 2025: 27MQ3 2025: 26MQ4 2025: 27MQ1 2026: 26MQ2 2026: 27MQ3 2026: 27M
Q4 2023: 28MQ1 2024: 28MQ2 2024: 28MQ3 2024: 28MQ4 2024: 28MQ1 2025: 28MQ2 2025: 27MQ3 2025: 26MQ4 2025: 27MQ1 2026: 26MQ2 2026: 27MQ3 2026: 27M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+14K shares
1 year+1.1%+302K shares
3 years-2.8%-755K shares
5 years-22%-7.3M shares
Available history-29%-10.7M shares

CVLG has the edge over BA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

BA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 36.4xQ1 2024: 36.1xQ2 2024: 361.8xQ4 2025: 6.9xQ1 2026: 6.0xQ2 2026: 5.7xQ3 2026: 3.0x
Q4 2023: 36.4xQ1 2024: 36.1xQ2 2024: 361.8xQ4 2025: 6.9xQ1 2026: 6.0xQ2 2026: 5.7xQ3 2026: 3.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20263.0xElevated
Q2 20265.7xHigh
Q1 20266.0xHigh
Q4 20256.9xHigh
Q2 2024361.8xHigh
Q1 202436.1xHigh
Q4 202336.4xHigh
Q3 202396.1xHigh

BA's net debt is about 3.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from more than 20 years a year ago.

CVLG Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.9xQ1 2024: 2.0xQ2 2024: 2.1xQ3 2024: 1.7xQ4 2024: 1.6xQ1 2025: 1.6xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 2.1xQ4 2025: 3.1xQ1 2026: 2.5xQ2 2026: 3.1xQ3 2026: 2.9x
Q4 2023: 1.9xQ1 2024: 2.0xQ2 2024: 2.1xQ3 2024: 1.7xQ4 2024: 1.6xQ1 2025: 1.6xQ2 2025: 2.0xQ3 2025: 2.1xQ4 2025: 3.1xQ1 2026: 2.5xQ2 2026: 3.1xQ3 2026: 2.9x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.9xModerate
Q2 20263.1xElevated
Q1 20262.5xModerate
Q4 20253.1xElevated
Q3 20252.1xModerate
Q2 20252.0xModerate
Q1 20251.6xHealthy
Q4 20241.6xHealthy

CVLG has the edge over BA on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

BA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI31.1Neutral
Stochastic9.6Oversold

BA's weekly RSI is 31 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).

CVLG Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI47.2Neutral
Stochastic35.2Neutral

CVLG's weekly RSI is 47 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 35 (neutral).

BA PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricBASector medianRelative
PE18x24x26% below
PE %05858 pts below

BA has the edge over CVLG on valuation relative to its sector.

CVLG PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricCVLGSector medianRelative
PE156x24x549% above
PE %905832 pts above

CVLG is trading at 156x earnings, a 549% premium to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

BA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$184.67.1% below
20 week MA$203.816% below
50 week MA$215.520% below
100 week MA$205.917% below
200 week MA$200.614% below

BA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 14% below its 200-week average.

CVLG Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$31.73.6% above
20 week MA$35.98.5% below
50 week MA$32.60.8% above
100 week MA$27.918% above
200 week MA$25.429% above

CVLG has the edge over BA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

BA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$330.1$217.2-34%
2021$217.2$204.2-6%
2022$204.2$189.1-7.4%
2023$189.1$260.7+38%
2024$260.7$180.7-31%
2025$180.7$216.4+20%
2026 YTD$216.4$171.6-21%

BA has finished lower in four of the last six years. It's down 21% so far in 2026.

CVLG Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$6.45$7.70+19%
2021$7.70$12.0+56%
2022$12.0$18.0+49%
2023$18.0$23.0+28%
2024$23.0$27.3+19%
2025$27.3$22.4-18%
2026 YTD$22.4$32.8+46%

CVLG has the edge over BA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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