BA

The Boeing Company

57
Fundamentals73/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential20/ 100

BA offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

CSX

CSX Corporation

63
Fundamentals77/ 100
Valuation31/ 100
Upside potential68/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

CSX has the edge over BA overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and lower modeled downside.

BA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Stable
Under pressure

BA's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable, but its balance sheet is under pressure.

CSX Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Stable

CSX's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its balance sheet is stable.

BA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE25x51x76x102x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE25x51x76x102x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current18x$172—
Cheap51x$496+189%
Fair82x$790+360%
Expensive91x$876+411%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BA has the edge over CSX in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

CSX PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE8.1x16x24x32x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE8.1x16x24x32x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap16x$31.56-40%
Fair19x$36.91-30%
Forward23x$52.40—
Expensive25x$49.12-6.3%
Current27x$52.40—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CSX's PE is in its expensive range at 27x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 23x next year's earnings.

BA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Growth
Improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect BA to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

CSX Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for CSX, with profitability improving.

BA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+26%$216.09
Downside-20%$137.47

Calculated from the latest close: $171.55 on Nov 12.

BA trails CSX on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

CSX Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+21%$63.66
Downside-10%$47.03

Calculated from the latest close: $52.40 on Nov 12.

CSX has a better modeled risk to reward balance than BA, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

BA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-3.67Q1 2024: $-3.54Q2 2024: $-5.62Q3 2024: $-12.89Q4 2024: $-18.36Q1 2025: $-17.96Q2 2025: $-16.55Q3 2025: $-13.72Q4 2025: $2.48Q1 2026: $2.53Q2 2026: $2.78Q3 2026: $9.66
Q4 2023: $-3.67Q1 2024: $-3.54Q2 2024: $-5.62Q3 2024: $-12.89Q4 2024: $-18.36Q1 2025: $-17.96Q2 2025: $-16.55Q3 2025: $-13.72Q4 2025: $2.48Q1 2026: $2.53Q2 2026: $2.78Q3 2026: $9.66
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$9.66+$23.38
Q2 2026$2.78+$19.33
Q1 2026$2.53+$20.49
Q4 2025$2.48+$20.84
Q3 2025-$13.72-$0.83
Q2 2025-$16.55-$10.93
Q1 2025-$17.96-$14.42
Q4 2024-$18.36-$14.69

BA has the edge over CSX on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CSX Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.85Q1 2024: $1.83Q2 2024: $1.83Q3 2024: $1.87Q4 2024: $1.80Q1 2025: $1.68Q2 2025: $1.63Q3 2025: $1.54Q4 2025: $1.54Q1 2026: $1.63Q2 2026: $1.73Q3 2026: $1.93Forward: $2.29
Q4 2023: $1.85Q1 2024: $1.83Q2 2024: $1.83Q3 2024: $1.87Q4 2024: $1.80Q1 2025: $1.68Q2 2025: $1.63Q3 2025: $1.54Q4 2025: $1.54Q1 2026: $1.63Q2 2026: $1.73Q3 2026: $1.93Forward: $2.29
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$2.29+19%
Q3 2026$1.93+25%
Q2 2026$1.73+6.1%
Q1 2026$1.63-3%
Q4 2025$1.54-14%
Q3 2025$1.54-18%
Q2 2025$1.63-11%
Q1 2025$1.68-8.2%
Q4 2024$1.80-2.7%

CSX earned $1.93 per share over the past year, up 25% from the year before.

BA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $22BQ1 2024: $16.6BQ2 2024: $16.9BQ3 2024: $17.8BQ4 2024: $15.2BQ1 2025: $19.5BQ2 2025: $22.7BQ3 2025: $23.3BQ4 2025: $23.9BQ1 2026: $22.2BQ2 2026: $24.6BQ3 2026: $24.2B
Q4 2023: $22BQ1 2024: $16.6BQ2 2024: $16.9BQ3 2024: $17.8BQ4 2024: $15.2BQ1 2025: $19.5BQ2 2025: $22.7BQ3 2025: $23.3BQ4 2025: $23.9BQ1 2026: $22.2BQ2 2026: $24.6BQ3 2026: $24.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$24.2B+3.9%
Q2 2026$24.6B+8%
Q1 2026$22.2B+14%
Q4 2025$23.9B+57%
Q3 2025$23.3B+30%
Q2 2025$22.7B+35%
Q1 2025$19.5B+18%
Q4 2024$15.2B-31%

BA has the edge over CSX on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CSX Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $3.7BQ1 2024: $3.7BQ2 2024: $3.7BQ3 2024: $3.6BQ4 2024: $3.5BQ1 2025: $3.4BQ2 2025: $3.6BQ3 2025: $3.6BQ4 2025: $3.5BQ1 2026: $3.5BQ2 2026: $3.9BQ3 2026: $4B
Q4 2023: $3.7BQ1 2024: $3.7BQ2 2024: $3.7BQ3 2024: $3.6BQ4 2024: $3.5BQ1 2025: $3.4BQ2 2025: $3.6BQ3 2025: $3.6BQ4 2025: $3.5BQ1 2026: $3.5BQ2 2026: $3.9BQ3 2026: $4B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$4B+12%
Q2 2026$3.9B+10%
Q1 2026$3.5B+1.7%
Q4 2025$3.5B-0.9%
Q3 2025$3.6B-0.9%
Q2 2025$3.6B-3.4%
Q1 2025$3.4B-7%
Q4 2024$3.5B-3.8%

CSX's revenue has picked up after three years of holding roughly level: $4B last quarter, up 12% from the same quarter a year ago.

BA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $3BQ1 2024: −$3.9BQ2 2024: −$4.3BQ3 2024: −$2BQ4 2024: −$4.1BQ1 2025: −$2.3BQ2 2025: −$200MQ3 2025: $238MQ4 2025: $375MQ1 2026: −$1.5BQ2 2026: $631MQ3 2026: $464M
Q4 2023: $3BQ1 2024: −$3.9BQ2 2024: −$4.3BQ3 2024: −$2BQ4 2024: −$4.1BQ1 2025: −$2.3BQ2 2025: −$200MQ3 2025: $238MQ4 2025: $375MQ1 2026: −$1.5BQ2 2026: $631MQ3 2026: $464M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$464M+95%
Q2 2026$631M+$831M
Q1 2026-$1.5B+$836M
Q4 2025$375M+$4.5B
Q3 2025$238M+$2.2B
Q2 2025-$200M+$4.1B
Q1 2025-$2.3B+$1.6B
Q4 2024-$4.1B-239%

BA has the edge over CSX on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CSX Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $809MQ1 2024: $560MQ2 2024: $558MQ3 2024: $1.1BQ4 2024: $550MQ1 2025: $536MQ2 2025: −$141MQ3 2025: $607MQ4 2025: $709MQ1 2026: $729MQ2 2026: $751MQ3 2026: $1B
Q4 2023: $809MQ1 2024: $560MQ2 2024: $558MQ3 2024: $1.1BQ4 2024: $550MQ1 2025: $536MQ2 2025: −$141MQ3 2025: $607MQ4 2025: $709MQ1 2026: $729MQ2 2026: $751MQ3 2026: $1B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$1B+69%
Q2 2026$751M+$892M
Q1 2026$729M+36%
Q4 2025$709M+29%
Q3 2025$607M-43%
Q2 2025-$141M-125%
Q1 2025$536M-4.3%
Q4 2024$550M-32%

CSX generated $3.2B in free cash flow over the past year, up 107% from the year before.

BA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 606MQ1 2024: 613MQ2 2024: 616MQ3 2024: 619MQ4 2024: 647MQ1 2025: 753MQ2 2025: 757MQ3 2025: 760MQ4 2025: 762MQ1 2026: 788MQ2 2026: 791MQ3 2026: 793M
Q4 2023: 606MQ1 2024: 613MQ2 2024: 616MQ3 2024: 619MQ4 2024: 647MQ1 2025: 753MQ2 2025: 757MQ3 2025: 760MQ4 2025: 762MQ1 2026: 788MQ2 2026: 791MQ3 2026: 793M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.3%+2.1M shares
1 year+4.3%+32.8M shares
3 years+31%+186M shares
5 years+35%+204M shares
Available history+40%+227M shares

BA has 793M diluted shares, up 4.3% from a year ago.

CSX Total Shares

Q4 2023: 2BQ1 2024: 2BQ2 2024: 1.9BQ3 2024: 1.9BQ4 2024: 1.9BQ1 2025: 1.9BQ2 2025: 1.9BQ3 2025: 1.9BQ4 2025: 1.9BQ1 2026: 1.9BQ2 2026: 1.9BQ3 2026: 1.9B
Q4 2023: 2BQ1 2024: 2BQ2 2024: 1.9BQ3 2024: 1.9BQ4 2024: 1.9BQ1 2025: 1.9BQ2 2025: 1.9BQ3 2025: 1.9BQ4 2025: 1.9BQ1 2026: 1.9BQ2 2026: 1.9BQ3 2026: 1.9B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.3%-6M shares
1 year-0.7%-14M shares
3 years-7.3%-146M shares
5 years-17%-389M shares
Available history-23%-541M shares

CSX has the edge over BA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

BA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 36.4xQ1 2024: 36.1xQ2 2024: 361.8xQ4 2025: 6.9xQ1 2026: 6.0xQ2 2026: 5.7xQ3 2026: 3.0x
Q4 2023: 36.4xQ1 2024: 36.1xQ2 2024: 361.8xQ4 2025: 6.9xQ1 2026: 6.0xQ2 2026: 5.7xQ3 2026: 3.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20263.0xElevated
Q2 20265.7xHigh
Q1 20266.0xHigh
Q4 20256.9xHigh
Q2 2024361.8xHigh
Q1 202436.1xHigh
Q4 202336.4xHigh
Q3 202396.1xHigh

BA's net debt is about 3.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from more than 20 years a year ago.

CSX Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.4xQ1 2024: 2.4xQ2 2024: 2.5xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.5xQ1 2025: 2.7xQ2 2025: 2.9xQ3 2025: 3.0xQ4 2025: 2.9xQ1 2026: 2.8xQ2 2026: 2.7xQ3 2026: 2.5x
Q4 2023: 2.4xQ1 2024: 2.4xQ2 2024: 2.5xQ3 2024: 2.4xQ4 2024: 2.5xQ1 2025: 2.7xQ2 2025: 2.9xQ3 2025: 3.0xQ4 2025: 2.9xQ1 2026: 2.8xQ2 2026: 2.7xQ3 2026: 2.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.5xModerate
Q2 20262.7xModerate
Q1 20262.8xModerate
Q4 20252.9xModerate
Q3 20253.0xModerate
Q2 20252.9xModerate
Q1 20252.7xModerate
Q4 20242.5xModerate

CSX has the edge over BA on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

BA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI31.1Neutral
Stochastic9.6Oversold

BA's weekly RSI is 31 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).

CSX Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI62.0Neutral
Stochastic73.1Neutral

CSX's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 73 (neutral).

BA PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricBASector medianRelative
PE18x24x26% below
PE %05858 pts below

BA has the edge over CSX on valuation relative to its sector.

CSX PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricCSXSector medianRelative
PE27x24x13% above
PE %895831 pts above

CSX is trading at 27x earnings, a 13% premium to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

BA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$184.67.1% below
20 week MA$203.816% below
50 week MA$215.520% below
100 week MA$205.917% below
200 week MA$200.614% below

BA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 14% below its 200-week average.

CSX Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$49.36.3% above
20 week MA$49.85.2% above
50 week MA$44.717% above
100 week MA$38.736% above
200 week MA$35.946% above

CSX has the edge over BA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

BA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$330.1$217.2-34%
2021$217.2$204.2-6%
2022$204.2$189.1-7.4%
2023$189.1$260.7+38%
2024$260.7$180.7-31%
2025$180.7$216.4+20%
2026 YTD$216.4$171.6-21%

BA has finished lower in four of the last six years. It's down 21% so far in 2026.

CSX Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$24.3$30.0+24%
2021$30.0$36.8+23%
2022$36.8$31.3-15%
2023$31.3$34.7+11%
2024$34.7$32.5-6.4%
2025$32.5$36.6+13%
2026 YTD$36.6$52.4+43%

CSX has the edge over BA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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