CSX
CSX Corporation
CSX's fundamentals are strong, but it looks expensive: trading at 27x earnings, above its usual 19x. Analysts expect strong earnings growth.
CSX Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Stable |
CSX's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its balance sheet is stable.
CSX PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 16x | $31.56 | -40% |
| Fair | 19x | $36.91 | -30% |
| Forward | 23x | $52.40 | — |
| Expensive | 25x | $49.12 | -6.3% |
| Current | 27x | $52.40 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
CSX's PE is in its expensive range at 27x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 23x next year's earnings.
CSX Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for CSX, with profitability improving.
CSX Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $2.29 | +19% |
| Q3 2026 | $1.93 | +25% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.73 | +6.1% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.63 | -3% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.54 | -14% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.54 | -18% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.63 | -11% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.68 | -8.2% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.80 | -2.7% |
CSX earned $1.93 per share over the past year, up 25% from the year before.
CSX Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $4B | +12% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.9B | +10% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.5B | +1.7% |
| Q4 2025 | $3.5B | -0.9% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.6B | -0.9% |
| Q2 2025 | $3.6B | -3.4% |
| Q1 2025 | $3.4B | -7% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.5B | -3.8% |
CSX's revenue has picked up after three years of holding roughly level: $4B last quarter, up 12% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 39% | +8.8 points |
| Q2 2026 | 38% | +2.4 points |
| Q1 2026 | 36% | +5.6 points |
| Q4 2025 | 32% | +0.4 points |
| Q3 2025 | 30% | -7.1 points |
| Q2 2025 | 36% | -3.2 points |
| Q1 2025 | 30% | -6.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 31% | -4.6 points |
CSX's operating margin was 39% last quarter, up 8.8 points from the same quarter a year ago.
CSX Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1B | +69% |
| Q2 2026 | $751M | +$892M |
| Q1 2026 | $729M | +36% |
| Q4 2025 | $709M | +29% |
| Q3 2025 | $607M | -43% |
| Q2 2025 | -$141M | -125% |
| Q1 2025 | $536M | -4.3% |
| Q4 2024 | $550M | -32% |
CSX generated $3.2B in free cash flow over the past year, up 107% from the year before.
CSX Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.3% | -6M shares |
| 1 year | -0.7% | -14M shares |
| 3 years | -7.3% | -146M shares |
| 5 years | -17% | -389M shares |
| Available history | -23% | -541M shares |
CSX has 1.9B diluted shares, down 0.7% from a year ago, with $1.2B in buybacks over the past year.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $543M |
| Q2 2026 | $296M |
| Q1 2026 | $222M |
| Q4 2025 | $112M |
| Q3 2025 | $112M |
| Q2 2025 | $421M |
| Q1 2025 | $751M |
| Q4 2024 | $1B |
CSX spent $1.2B buying back its own shares over the past year, down 49% from the year before.
CSX Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.5x | Moderate |
| Q2 2026 | 2.7x | Moderate |
| Q1 2026 | 2.8x | Moderate |
| Q4 2025 | 2.9x | Moderate |
| Q3 2025 | 3.0x | Moderate |
| Q2 2025 | 2.9x | Moderate |
| Q1 2025 | 2.7x | Moderate |
| Q4 2024 | 2.5x | Moderate |
CSX's net debt is about 2.5 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 3.0 years a year ago.
CSX Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 62.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 73.1 | Neutral |
CSX's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 73 (neutral).
CSX PE vs Industrials Sector
| Metric | CSX | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 27x | 24x | 13% above |
| PE % | 89 | 58 | 31 pts above |
CSX is trading at 27x earnings, a 13% premium to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.
CSX Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $49.3 | 6.3% above |
| 20 week MA | $49.8 | 5.2% above |
| 50 week MA | $44.7 | 17% above |
| 100 week MA | $38.7 | 36% above |
| 200 week MA | $35.9 | 46% above |
CSX is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 46% above its 200-week average.
CSX Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $24.3 | $30.0 | +24% |
| 2021 | $30.0 | $36.8 | +23% |
| 2022 | $36.8 | $31.3 | -15% |
| 2023 | $31.3 | $34.7 | +11% |
| 2024 | $34.7 | $32.5 | -6.4% |
| 2025 | $32.5 | $36.6 | +13% |
| 2026 YTD | $36.6 | $52.4 | +43% |
CSX has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's up 43% so far in 2026.