BA

The Boeing Company

57
Fundamentals73/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential20/ 100

BA has a slight edge over CPA overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

CPA

Copa Holdings, S.A.

56
Fundamentals54/ 100
Valuation45/ 100
Upside potential44/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

CPA's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

BA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Stable
Under pressure

BA's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable, but its balance sheet is under pressure.

CPA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Healthy
Strong

CPA's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

BA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE25x51x76x102x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE25x51x76x102x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current18x$172—
Cheap51x$496+189%
Fair82x$790+360%
Expensive91x$876+411%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BA has the edge over CPA in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

CPA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE24x47x71x94x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE24x47x71x94x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap6.6x$100-30%
Forward8.2x$143—
Fair8.5x$130-9.1%
Current9.4x$143—
Expensive11x$171+20%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CPA's PE is in its fair range at 9.4x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 8.2x next year's earnings.

BA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Growth
Improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect BA to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

CPA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for CPA, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

BA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+26%$216.09
Downside-20%$137.47

Calculated from the latest close: $171.55 on Nov 12.

BA has a better modeled risk to reward balance than CPA, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

CPA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+18%$168.74
Downside-23%$109.41

Calculated from the latest close: $142.82 on Nov 12.

CPA trails BA on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

BA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-3.67Q1 2024: $-3.54Q2 2024: $-5.62Q3 2024: $-12.89Q4 2024: $-18.36Q1 2025: $-17.96Q2 2025: $-16.55Q3 2025: $-13.72Q4 2025: $2.48Q1 2026: $2.53Q2 2026: $2.78Q3 2026: $9.66
Q4 2023: $-3.67Q1 2024: $-3.54Q2 2024: $-5.62Q3 2024: $-12.89Q4 2024: $-18.36Q1 2025: $-17.96Q2 2025: $-16.55Q3 2025: $-13.72Q4 2025: $2.48Q1 2026: $2.53Q2 2026: $2.78Q3 2026: $9.66
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$9.66+$23.38
Q2 2026$2.78+$19.33
Q1 2026$2.53+$20.49
Q4 2025$2.48+$20.84
Q3 2025-$13.72-$0.83
Q2 2025-$16.55-$10.93
Q1 2025-$17.96-$14.42
Q4 2024-$18.36-$14.69

BA has returned to profit: it earned $9.66 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.

CPA Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $10.46Q4 2023: $13.00Q1 2024: $14.12Q2 2024: $16.56Q3 2024: $15.34Q4 2024: $14.56Q1 2025: $14.65Q2 2025: $15.38Q3 2025: $16.09Q4 2025: $16.28Q1 2026: $17.16Q2 2026: $15.22Forward: $17.32
Q3 2023: $10.46Q4 2023: $13.00Q1 2024: $14.12Q2 2024: $16.56Q3 2024: $15.34Q4 2024: $14.56Q1 2025: $14.65Q2 2025: $15.38Q3 2025: $16.09Q4 2025: $16.28Q1 2026: $17.16Q2 2026: $15.22Forward: $17.32
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$17.32+14%
Q2 2026$15.22-1%
Q1 2026$17.16+17%
Q4 2025$16.28+12%
Q3 2025$16.09+4.9%
Q2 2025$15.38-7.1%
Q1 2025$14.65+3.8%
Q4 2024$14.56+12%
Q3 2024$15.34+47%

CPA has the edge over BA on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $22BQ1 2024: $16.6BQ2 2024: $16.9BQ3 2024: $17.8BQ4 2024: $15.2BQ1 2025: $19.5BQ2 2025: $22.7BQ3 2025: $23.3BQ4 2025: $23.9BQ1 2026: $22.2BQ2 2026: $24.6BQ3 2026: $24.2B
Q4 2023: $22BQ1 2024: $16.6BQ2 2024: $16.9BQ3 2024: $17.8BQ4 2024: $15.2BQ1 2025: $19.5BQ2 2025: $22.7BQ3 2025: $23.3BQ4 2025: $23.9BQ1 2026: $22.2BQ2 2026: $24.6BQ3 2026: $24.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$24.2B+3.9%
Q2 2026$24.6B+8%
Q1 2026$22.2B+14%
Q4 2025$23.9B+57%
Q3 2025$23.3B+30%
Q2 2025$22.7B+35%
Q1 2025$19.5B+18%
Q4 2024$15.2B-31%

BA has the edge over CPA on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CPA Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $868MQ4 2023: $913MQ1 2024: $893MQ2 2024: $819MQ3 2024: $855MQ4 2024: $879MQ1 2025: $899MQ2 2025: $843MQ3 2025: $913MQ4 2025: $963MQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.1B
Q3 2023: $868MQ4 2023: $913MQ1 2024: $893MQ2 2024: $819MQ3 2024: $855MQ4 2024: $879MQ1 2025: $899MQ2 2025: $843MQ3 2025: $913MQ4 2025: $963MQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.1B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$1.1B+26%
Q1 2026$1.1B+17%
Q4 2025$962.9M+9.6%
Q3 2025$913.1M+6.8%
Q2 2025$842.6M+2.8%
Q1 2025$899.2M+0.6%
Q4 2024$878.6M-3.7%
Q3 2024$854.7M-1.5%

CPA's revenue has grown year over year for six quarters in a row: $1.1B last quarter, up 26% from the same quarter a year ago.

BA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $3BQ1 2024: −$3.9BQ2 2024: −$4.3BQ3 2024: −$2BQ4 2024: −$4.1BQ1 2025: −$2.3BQ2 2025: −$200MQ3 2025: $238MQ4 2025: $375MQ1 2026: −$1.5BQ2 2026: $631MQ3 2026: $464M
Q4 2023: $3BQ1 2024: −$3.9BQ2 2024: −$4.3BQ3 2024: −$2BQ4 2024: −$4.1BQ1 2025: −$2.3BQ2 2025: −$200MQ3 2025: $238MQ4 2025: $375MQ1 2026: −$1.5BQ2 2026: $631MQ3 2026: $464M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$464M+95%
Q2 2026$631M+$831M
Q1 2026-$1.5B+$836M
Q4 2025$375M+$4.5B
Q3 2025$238M+$2.2B
Q2 2025-$200M+$4.1B
Q1 2025-$2.3B+$1.6B
Q4 2024-$4.1B-239%

BA has the edge over CPA on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CPA Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $344MQ4 2023: −$520MQ1 2024: $201MQ2 2024: $270MQ3 2024: $189MQ4 2024: −$289MQ1 2025: $205MQ2 2025: −$112MQ3 2025: −$78MQ4 2025: $352MQ1 2026: −$54MQ2 2026: −$49M
Q3 2023: $344MQ4 2023: −$520MQ1 2024: $201MQ2 2024: $270MQ3 2024: $189MQ4 2024: −$289MQ1 2025: $205MQ2 2025: −$112MQ3 2025: −$78MQ4 2025: $352MQ1 2026: −$54MQ2 2026: −$49M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$49.5M+$62.2M
Q1 2026-$54.4M-126%
Q4 2025$352.5M+$641.2M
Q3 2025-$78M-141%
Q2 2025-$111.7M-141%
Q1 2025$205.5M+2.2%
Q4 2024-$288.7M+$231.3M
Q3 2024$188.6M-45%

CPA's free cash flow has turned positive again: $171M over the past year, against −$6M the year before.

BA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 606MQ1 2024: 613MQ2 2024: 616MQ3 2024: 619MQ4 2024: 647MQ1 2025: 753MQ2 2025: 757MQ3 2025: 760MQ4 2025: 762MQ1 2026: 788MQ2 2026: 791MQ3 2026: 793M
Q4 2023: 606MQ1 2024: 613MQ2 2024: 616MQ3 2024: 619MQ4 2024: 647MQ1 2025: 753MQ2 2025: 757MQ3 2025: 760MQ4 2025: 762MQ1 2026: 788MQ2 2026: 791MQ3 2026: 793M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.3%+2.1M shares
1 year+4.3%+32.8M shares
3 years+31%+186M shares
5 years+35%+204M shares
Available history+40%+227M shares

BA has 793M diluted shares, up 4.3% from a year ago.

CPA Total Shares

Q3 2023: 40MQ4 2023: 40MQ1 2024: 42MQ2 2024: 42MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 41MQ2 2025: 41MQ3 2025: 41MQ4 2025: 41MQ1 2026: 41MQ2 2026: 41M
Q3 2023: 40MQ4 2023: 40MQ1 2024: 42MQ2 2024: 42MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 41MQ2 2025: 41MQ3 2025: 41MQ4 2025: 41MQ1 2026: 41MQ2 2026: 41M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.7%-278K shares
1 year-0.8%-341K shares
3 years+1.8%+704K shares
5 years-4.1%-1.7M shares
Available history-3.7%-1.6M shares

CPA has the edge over BA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

BA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 36.4xQ1 2024: 36.1xQ2 2024: 361.8xQ4 2025: 6.9xQ1 2026: 6.0xQ2 2026: 5.7xQ3 2026: 3.0x
Q4 2023: 36.4xQ1 2024: 36.1xQ2 2024: 361.8xQ4 2025: 6.9xQ1 2026: 6.0xQ2 2026: 5.7xQ3 2026: 3.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20263.0xElevated
Q2 20265.7xHigh
Q1 20266.0xHigh
Q4 20256.9xHigh
Q2 2024361.8xHigh
Q1 202436.1xHigh
Q4 202336.4xHigh
Q3 202396.1xHigh

BA's net debt is about 3.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from more than 20 years a year ago.

CPA Net Leverage

Q3 2023: 1.5xQ4 2023: 1.4xQ1 2024: 1.3xQ2 2024: 1.3xQ3 2024: 1.4xQ4 2024: 1.3xQ1 2025: 1.6xQ2 2025: 1.6xQ3 2025: 1.6xQ4 2025: 1.8xQ1 2026: 1.6xQ2 2026: 0.2x
Q3 2023: 1.5xQ4 2023: 1.4xQ1 2024: 1.3xQ2 2024: 1.3xQ3 2024: 1.4xQ4 2024: 1.3xQ1 2025: 1.6xQ2 2025: 1.6xQ3 2025: 1.6xQ4 2025: 1.8xQ1 2026: 1.6xQ2 2026: 0.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20260.2xVery low
Q1 20261.6xHealthy
Q4 20251.8xHealthy
Q3 20251.6xHealthy
Q2 20251.6xHealthy
Q1 20251.6xHealthy
Q4 20241.3xHealthy
Q3 20241.4xHealthy

CPA has the edge over BA on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

BA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI31.1Neutral
Stochastic9.6Oversold

BA's weekly RSI is 31 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).

CPA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI57.9Neutral
Stochastic49.0Neutral

CPA's weekly RSI is 58 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 49 (neutral).

BA PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricBASector medianRelative
PE18x24x26% below
PE %05858 pts below

BA is trading at 18x earnings, a 26% discount to the Industrials sector's median of 24x, though its earnings don't support one.

CPA PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricCPASector medianRelative
PE9.4x24x61% below
PE %62584 pts above

CPA has the edge over BA on valuation relative to its sector.

BA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$184.67.1% below
20 week MA$203.816% below
50 week MA$215.520% below
100 week MA$205.917% below
200 week MA$200.614% below

BA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 14% below its 200-week average.

CPA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$134.95.9% above
20 week MA$136.54.6% above
50 week MA$132.37.9% above
100 week MA$118.820% above
200 week MA$107.833% above

CPA has the edge over BA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

BA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$330.1$217.2-34%
2021$217.2$204.2-6%
2022$204.2$189.1-7.4%
2023$189.1$260.7+38%
2024$260.7$180.7-31%
2025$180.7$216.4+20%
2026 YTD$216.4$171.6-21%

BA has finished lower in four of the last six years. It's down 21% so far in 2026.

CPA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$107.5$74.9-30%
2021$74.9$82.4+10%
2022$82.4$84.6+2.6%
2023$84.6$106.3+26%
2024$106.3$87.6-18%
2025$87.6$121.5+39%
2026 YTD$121.5$142.8+18%

CPA has the edge over BA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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