CPA

Copa Holdings, S.A.

56
Fundamentals54/ 100
Valuation45/ 100
Upside potential44/ 100
Risk potential23/ 100

CPA's fundamentals are mixed: revenue grew 15%, but its operating margin fell 3 points to 20%. At 9.4x earnings, it's trading in line with its usual 8.6x. Analysts expect strong earnings growth, though they disagree widely on how much.

CPA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Healthy
Healthy
Strong

CPA's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

CPA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE24x47x71x94x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE24x47x71x94x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap6.6x$100-30%
Forward8.2x$143—
Fair8.5x$130-9.1%
Current9.4x$143—
Expensive11x$171+20%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

CPA's PE is in its fair range at 9.4x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 8.2x next year's earnings.

CPA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for CPA, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

CPA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+18%$168.74
Downside-23%$109.41

Calculated from the latest close: $142.82 on Nov 12.

CPA's one-year downside scenario is somewhat larger than its upside: −23% against +18%.

CPA Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $10.46Q4 2023: $13.00Q1 2024: $14.12Q2 2024: $16.56Q3 2024: $15.34Q4 2024: $14.56Q1 2025: $14.65Q2 2025: $15.38Q3 2025: $16.09Q4 2025: $16.28Q1 2026: $17.16Q2 2026: $15.22Forward: $17.32
Q3 2023: $10.46Q4 2023: $13.00Q1 2024: $14.12Q2 2024: $16.56Q3 2024: $15.34Q4 2024: $14.56Q1 2025: $14.65Q2 2025: $15.38Q3 2025: $16.09Q4 2025: $16.28Q1 2026: $17.16Q2 2026: $15.22Forward: $17.32
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$17.32+14%
Q2 2026$15.22-1%
Q1 2026$17.16+17%
Q4 2025$16.28+12%
Q3 2025$16.09+4.9%
Q2 2025$15.38-7.1%
Q1 2025$14.65+3.8%
Q4 2024$14.56+12%
Q3 2024$15.34+47%

CPA earned $15.22 per share over the past year, down 1% from the year before.

CPA Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $868MQ4 2023: $913MQ1 2024: $893MQ2 2024: $819MQ3 2024: $855MQ4 2024: $879MQ1 2025: $899MQ2 2025: $843MQ3 2025: $913MQ4 2025: $963MQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.1B
Q3 2023: $868MQ4 2023: $913MQ1 2024: $893MQ2 2024: $819MQ3 2024: $855MQ4 2024: $879MQ1 2025: $899MQ2 2025: $843MQ3 2025: $913MQ4 2025: $963MQ1 2026: $1.1BQ2 2026: $1.1B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$1.1B+26%
Q1 2026$1.1B+17%
Q4 2025$962.9M+9.6%
Q3 2025$913.1M+6.8%
Q2 2025$842.6M+2.8%
Q1 2025$899.2M+0.6%
Q4 2024$878.6M-3.7%
Q3 2024$854.7M-1.5%

CPA's revenue has grown year over year for six quarters in a row: $1.1B last quarter, up 26% from the same quarter a year ago.

CPA Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $344MQ4 2023: −$520MQ1 2024: $201MQ2 2024: $270MQ3 2024: $189MQ4 2024: −$289MQ1 2025: $205MQ2 2025: −$112MQ3 2025: −$78MQ4 2025: $352MQ1 2026: −$54MQ2 2026: −$49M
Q3 2023: $344MQ4 2023: −$520MQ1 2024: $201MQ2 2024: $270MQ3 2024: $189MQ4 2024: −$289MQ1 2025: $205MQ2 2025: −$112MQ3 2025: −$78MQ4 2025: $352MQ1 2026: −$54MQ2 2026: −$49M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$49.5M+$62.2M
Q1 2026-$54.4M-126%
Q4 2025$352.5M+$641.2M
Q3 2025-$78M-141%
Q2 2025-$111.7M-141%
Q1 2025$205.5M+2.2%
Q4 2024-$288.7M+$231.3M
Q3 2024$188.6M-45%

CPA's free cash flow has turned positive again: $171M over the past year, against −$6M the year before.

CPA Total Shares

Q3 2023: 40MQ4 2023: 40MQ1 2024: 42MQ2 2024: 42MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 41MQ2 2025: 41MQ3 2025: 41MQ4 2025: 41MQ1 2026: 41MQ2 2026: 41M
Q3 2023: 40MQ4 2023: 40MQ1 2024: 42MQ2 2024: 42MQ3 2024: 42MQ4 2024: 42MQ1 2025: 41MQ2 2025: 41MQ3 2025: 41MQ4 2025: 41MQ1 2026: 41MQ2 2026: 41M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.7%-278K shares
1 year-0.8%-341K shares
3 years+1.8%+704K shares
5 years-4.1%-1.7M shares
Available history-3.7%-1.6M shares

CPA has 41M diluted shares, down 0.8% from a year ago.

CPA Net Leverage

Q3 2023: 1.5xQ4 2023: 1.4xQ1 2024: 1.3xQ2 2024: 1.3xQ3 2024: 1.4xQ4 2024: 1.3xQ1 2025: 1.6xQ2 2025: 1.6xQ3 2025: 1.6xQ4 2025: 1.8xQ1 2026: 1.6xQ2 2026: 0.2x
Q3 2023: 1.5xQ4 2023: 1.4xQ1 2024: 1.3xQ2 2024: 1.3xQ3 2024: 1.4xQ4 2024: 1.3xQ1 2025: 1.6xQ2 2025: 1.6xQ3 2025: 1.6xQ4 2025: 1.8xQ1 2026: 1.6xQ2 2026: 0.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 20260.2xVery low
Q1 20261.6xHealthy
Q4 20251.8xHealthy
Q3 20251.6xHealthy
Q2 20251.6xHealthy
Q1 20251.6xHealthy
Q4 20241.3xHealthy
Q3 20241.4xHealthy

CPA's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 1.6 years a year ago.

CPA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI57.9Neutral
Stochastic49.0Neutral

CPA's weekly RSI is 58 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 49 (neutral).

CPA PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricCPASector medianRelative
PE9.4x24x61% below
PE %62584 pts above

CPA is trading at 9.4x earnings, a 61% discount to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

CPA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$134.95.9% above
20 week MA$136.54.6% above
50 week MA$132.37.9% above
100 week MA$118.820% above
200 week MA$107.833% above

CPA is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 33% above its 200-week average.

CPA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$107.5$74.9-30%
2021$74.9$82.4+10%
2022$82.4$84.6+2.6%
2023$84.6$106.3+26%
2024$106.3$87.6-18%
2025$87.6$121.5+39%
2026 YTD$121.5$142.8+18%

CPA has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's up 18% so far in 2026.

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