AXS
AXIS Capital Holdings Limited
AXS has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
SOFI
SoFi Technologies, Inc.
SOFI has the edge over AXS overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger fundamentals.
AXS Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
AXS's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like AXS.
SOFI Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| N/A | |
| N/A |
SOFI's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like SOFI.
AXS PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 8.1x | $106 | -2.2% |
| Current | 8.3x | $108 | — |
| Forward | 8.4x | $108 | — |
| Fair | 11x | $141 | +31% |
| Expensive | 17x | $219 | +102% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
AXS's PE is in its cheap range at 8.3x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 8.4x.
SOFI PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 19x | $15.63 | — |
| Current | 28x | $15.63 | — |
| Cheap | 33x | $18.24 | +17% |
| Fair | 43x | $23.82 | +52% |
| Expensive | 53x | $29.74 | +90% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
SOFI has the edge over AXS in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
AXS Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect AXS's revenue to grow, with its earnings and profitability holding steady.
SOFI Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
SOFI has the edge over AXS on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and earnings expectations.
AXS Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $12.88 | -1.3% |
| Q3 2026 | $13.05 | +7.9% |
| Q2 2026 | $14.04 | +35% |
| Q1 2026 | $13.38 | +33% |
| Q4 2025 | $12.35 | 0% |
| Q3 2025 | $12.10 | +68% |
| Q2 2025 | $10.40 | +43% |
| Q1 2025 | $10.08 | +54% |
| Q4 2024 | $12.35 | +207% |
AXS has the edge over SOFI on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
SOFI Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $0.82 | +47% |
| Q3 2026 | $0.56 | 0% |
| Q2 2026 | $0.49 | -2% |
| Q1 2026 | $0.45 | +4.7% |
| Q4 2025 | $0.39 | 0% |
| Q3 2025 | $0.56 | +367% |
| Q2 2025 | $0.50 | +$0.72 |
| Q1 2025 | $0.43 | +$0.72 |
| Q4 2024 | $0.39 | +$0.75 |
SOFI earned $0.56 per share over the past year, about the same as the year before.
AXS Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.8B | +6.9% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.8B | +7.4% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.6B | +8% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.7B | +18% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.7B | +3.9% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.6B | +13% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.5B | +6.8% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.5B | -0.6% |
AXS's revenue has grown year over year for seven quarters in a row: $1.8B last quarter, up 6.9% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 14% | -7.8 points |
| Q2 2026 | 18% | +0.9 points |
| Q1 2026 | 19% | +3.2 points |
| Q4 2025 | 19% | +0.4 points |
| Q3 2025 | 22% | +7.9 points |
| Q2 2025 | 17% | -0.3 points |
| Q1 2025 | 16% | -3.5 points |
| Q4 2024 | 19% | +31 points |
AXS's operating margin was 14% last quarter, down 7.8 points from the same quarter a year ago.
SOFI Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.4B | +44% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.2B | +43% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.1B | +43% |
| Q4 2025 | $1B | +40% |
| Q3 2025 | $961.6M | +38% |
| Q2 2025 | $854.9M | +43% |
| Q1 2025 | $771.8M | +20% |
| Q4 2024 | $734.1M | +19% |
SOFI has the edge over AXS on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 23% | +7.5 points |
| Q2 2026 | 17% | +3.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | 18% | +7.8 points |
| Q4 2025 | 18% | +9.9 points |
| Q3 2025 | 15% | +6.3 points |
| Q2 2025 | 13% | +11 points |
| Q1 2025 | 10% | -4.3 points |
| Q4 2024 | 8.2% | -0.2 points |
SOFI has the edge over AXS on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
AXS Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $877.5M | +30% |
| Q2 2026 | $631.5M | +$2.3B |
| Q1 2026 | $519.4M | +68% |
| Q4 2025 | $630.4M | +77% |
| Q3 2025 | $673.8M | +15% |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.7B | -419% |
| Q1 2025 | $309.1M | -20% |
| Q4 2024 | $355.5M | +16% |
AXS has the edge over SOFI on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
SOFI Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$3.1B | -$1.7B |
| Q2 2026 | -$4B | -$2.5B |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.4B | -$2.4B |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.1B | -$815.2M |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.4B | -$149M |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.5B | -$1B |
| Q1 2025 | -$31.1M | -104% |
| Q4 2024 | -$242.4M | +$39.9M |
SOFI's free cash flow was −$10.5B over the past year, against −$3.2B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like SOFI.
AXS Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -1.1% | -830K shares |
| 1 year | -6.7% | -5.2M shares |
| 3 years | -15% | -12.7M shares |
| 5 years | -14% | -12M shares |
| Available history | -13% | -11.1M shares |
AXS has the edge over SOFI on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $109.5M |
| Q2 2026 | $89.3M |
| Q1 2026 | $59.5M |
| Q4 2025 | $287.8M |
| Q3 2025 | $110M |
| Q2 2025 | $50M |
| Q1 2025 | $440M |
| Q4 2024 | $60.1M |
AXS spent $546M buying back its own shares over the past year, down 17% from the year before.
SOFI Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.4% | +5.8M shares |
| 1 year | +5.2% | +66.8M shares |
| 3 years | +43% | +407M shares |
| 5 years | +272% | +993M shares |
SOFI has 1.4B diluted shares, up 5.2% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2022 | — |
| Q3 2022 | — |
| Q2 2022 | — |
| Q1 2022 | — |
| Q4 2021 | — |
| Q3 2021 | — |
AXS Net Leverage
SOFI Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -2.4x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2026 | -3.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -3.8x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -6.5x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -5.2x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -4.0x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -4.9x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -5.8x | Net Cash |
SOFI has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like SOFI.
AXS Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 59.4 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 68.1 | Neutral |
AXS's weekly RSI is 59 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).
SOFI Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 43.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 41.5 | Neutral |
SOFI's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 41 (neutral).
AXS PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | AXS | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 8.3x | 13x | 36% below |
| PE % | 21 | 63 | 42 pts below |
AXS has the edge over SOFI on valuation relative to its sector.
SOFI PE vs Financial Services Sector
| Metric | SOFI | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 28x | 13x | 114% above |
| PE % | 2 | 61 | 59 pts below |
SOFI is trading at 28x earnings, a 114% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.
AXS Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $100.9 | 7.3% above |
| 20 week MA | $103.6 | 4.5% above |
| 50 week MA | $102.6 | 5.5% above |
| 100 week MA | $99.3 | 9% above |
| 200 week MA | $81.5 | 33% above |
AXS has the edge over SOFI on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
SOFI Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $15.7 | 0.7% below |
| 20 week MA | $17.0 | 7.8% below |
| 50 week MA | $18.9 | 17% below |
| 100 week MA | $18.9 | 17% below |
| 200 week MA | $13.5 | 16% above |
SOFI has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 16% above its 200-week average.
AXS Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $59.6 | $50.4 | -16% |
| 2021 | $50.4 | $52.1 | +3.4% |
| 2022 | $52.1 | $54.8 | +5.3% |
| 2023 | $54.8 | $55.4 | +1% |
| 2024 | $55.4 | $89.3 | +61% |
| 2025 | $89.3 | $109.0 | +22% |
| 2026 YTD | $109.0 | $108.2 | -0.7% |
AXS has the edge over SOFI on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
SOFI Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $10.4 | $12.4 | +19% |
| 2021 | $12.4 | $15.1 | +22% |
| 2022 | $15.1 | $4.61 | -69% |
| 2023 | $4.61 | $9.95 | +116% |
| 2024 | $9.95 | $16.0 | +61% |
| 2025 | $16.0 | $27.1 | +69% |
| 2026 YTD | $27.1 | $15.6 | -42% |
SOFI's yearly returns have swung widely, from +116% in 2023 to −69% in 2022. It's down 42% so far in 2026.