AXS

AXIS Capital Holdings Limited

58
Fundamentals55/ 100
Valuation63/ 100
Upside potential47/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

AXS's fundamentals are mixed: revenue grew 9.8%, while its operating margin held steady at 17%. At 8.3x earnings, it's trading below its usual 11x. Analysts expect earnings to hold roughly steady.

AXS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
N/A
N/A

AXS's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like AXS.

AXS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE15x31x46x62x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE15x31x46x62x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap8.1x$106-2.2%
Current8.3x$108—
Forward8.4x$108—
Fair11x$141+31%
Expensive17x$219+102%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AXS's PE is in its cheap range at 8.3x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 8.4x.

AXS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Stable
Growth
Stable
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect AXS's revenue to grow, with its earnings and profitability holding steady.

AXS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+13%$122.77
Downside-15%$91.65

Calculated from the latest close: $108.24 on Nov 12.

AXS's one-year upside and downside scenarios are about the same size: +13% against −15%.

AXS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $4.02Q1 2024: $6.54Q2 2024: $7.27Q3 2024: $7.21Q4 2024: $12.35Q1 2025: $10.08Q2 2025: $10.40Q3 2025: $12.10Q4 2025: $12.35Q1 2026: $13.38Q2 2026: $14.04Q3 2026: $13.05Forward: $12.88
Q4 2023: $4.02Q1 2024: $6.54Q2 2024: $7.27Q3 2024: $7.21Q4 2024: $12.35Q1 2025: $10.08Q2 2025: $10.40Q3 2025: $12.10Q4 2025: $12.35Q1 2026: $13.38Q2 2026: $14.04Q3 2026: $13.05Forward: $12.88
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$12.88-1.3%
Q3 2026$13.05+7.9%
Q2 2026$14.04+35%
Q1 2026$13.38+33%
Q4 2025$12.350%
Q3 2025$12.10+68%
Q2 2025$10.40+43%
Q1 2025$10.08+54%
Q4 2024$12.35+207%

AXS earned $13.05 per share over the past year, up 7.9% from the year before.

AXS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.5BQ1 2024: $1.4BQ2 2024: $1.5BQ3 2024: $1.6BQ4 2024: $1.5BQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $1.6BQ3 2025: $1.7BQ4 2025: $1.7BQ1 2026: $1.6BQ2 2026: $1.8BQ3 2026: $1.8B
Q4 2023: $1.5BQ1 2024: $1.4BQ2 2024: $1.5BQ3 2024: $1.6BQ4 2024: $1.5BQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $1.6BQ3 2025: $1.7BQ4 2025: $1.7BQ1 2026: $1.6BQ2 2026: $1.8BQ3 2026: $1.8B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.8B+6.9%
Q2 2026$1.8B+7.4%
Q1 2026$1.6B+8%
Q4 2025$1.7B+18%
Q3 2025$1.7B+3.9%
Q2 2025$1.6B+13%
Q1 2025$1.5B+6.8%
Q4 2024$1.5B-0.6%

AXS's revenue has grown year over year for seven quarters in a row: $1.8B last quarter, up 6.9% from the same quarter a year ago.

AXS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $306MQ1 2024: $384MQ2 2024: $518MQ3 2024: $587MQ4 2024: $356MQ1 2025: $309MQ2 2025: −$1.7BQ3 2025: $674MQ4 2025: $630MQ1 2026: $519MQ2 2026: $632MQ3 2026: $878M
Q4 2023: $306MQ1 2024: $384MQ2 2024: $518MQ3 2024: $587MQ4 2024: $356MQ1 2025: $309MQ2 2025: −$1.7BQ3 2025: $674MQ4 2025: $630MQ1 2026: $519MQ2 2026: $632MQ3 2026: $878M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$877.5M+30%
Q2 2026$631.5M+$2.3B
Q1 2026$519.4M+68%
Q4 2025$630.4M+77%
Q3 2025$673.8M+15%
Q2 2025-$1.7B-419%
Q1 2025$309.1M-20%
Q4 2024$355.5M+16%

AXS's free cash flow was $2.7B over the past year, against −$316M the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like AXS.

AXS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 86MQ1 2024: 86MQ2 2024: 85MQ3 2024: 85MQ4 2024: 85MQ1 2025: 82MQ2 2025: 79MQ3 2025: 79MQ4 2025: 79MQ1 2026: 75MQ2 2026: 74MQ3 2026: 73M
Q4 2023: 86MQ1 2024: 86MQ2 2024: 85MQ3 2024: 85MQ4 2024: 85MQ1 2025: 82MQ2 2025: 79MQ3 2025: 79MQ4 2025: 79MQ1 2026: 75MQ2 2026: 74MQ3 2026: 73M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.1%-830K shares
1 year-6.7%-5.2M shares
3 years-15%-12.7M shares
5 years-14%-12M shares
Available history-13%-11.1M shares

AXS has 73M diluted shares, down 6.7% from a year ago, with $546M in buybacks over the past year.

AXS Net Leverage

AXS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI59.4Neutral
Stochastic68.1Neutral

AXS's weekly RSI is 59 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).

AXS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricAXSSector medianRelative
PE8.3x13x36% below
PE %216342 pts below

AXS is trading at 8.3x earnings, a 36% discount to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

AXS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$100.97.3% above
20 week MA$103.64.5% above
50 week MA$102.65.5% above
100 week MA$99.39% above
200 week MA$81.533% above

AXS is in an uptrend: it's above all five of its weekly moving averages, and 33% above its 200-week average.

AXS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$59.6$50.4-16%
2021$50.4$52.1+3.4%
2022$52.1$54.8+5.3%
2023$54.8$55.4+1%
2024$55.4$89.3+61%
2025$89.3$109.0+22%
2026 YTD$109.0$108.2-0.7%

AXS has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's down 0.7% so far in 2026.

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