AXS

AXIS Capital Holdings Limited

58
Fundamentals55/ 100
Valuation63/ 100
Upside potential47/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

AXS has a slight edge over JPM overall, supported by stronger valuation.

JPM

JPMorgan Chase & Co.

57
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation38/ 100
Upside potential68/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

JPM has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

AXS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
N/A
N/A

AXS's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like AXS.

JPM Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

JPM's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like JPM.

AXS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE15x31x46x62x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE15x31x46x62x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap8.1x$106-2.2%
Current8.3x$108—
Forward8.4x$108—
Fair11x$141+31%
Expensive17x$219+102%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AXS has the edge over JPM in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

JPM PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.0x10x15x20x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.0x10x15x20x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap9.7x$231-33%
Fair12x$287-16%
Current14x$343—
Forward14x$343—
Expensive15x$361+5.2%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

JPM's PE is in its expensive range at 14.4x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 13.7x next year's earnings.

AXS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Stable
Growth
Stable
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect AXS's revenue to grow, with its earnings and profitability holding steady.

JPM Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

JPM has the edge over AXS on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and profitability expectations.

AXS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+13%$122.77
Downside-15%$91.65

Calculated from the latest close: $108.24 on Nov 12.

AXS trails JPM on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

JPM Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+20%$412.26
Downside-10%$310.03

Calculated from the latest close: $342.82 on Nov 12.

JPM has a better modeled risk to reward balance than AXS, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

AXS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $4.02Q1 2024: $6.54Q2 2024: $7.27Q3 2024: $7.21Q4 2024: $12.35Q1 2025: $10.08Q2 2025: $10.40Q3 2025: $12.10Q4 2025: $12.35Q1 2026: $13.38Q2 2026: $14.04Q3 2026: $13.05Forward: $12.88
Q4 2023: $4.02Q1 2024: $6.54Q2 2024: $7.27Q3 2024: $7.21Q4 2024: $12.35Q1 2025: $10.08Q2 2025: $10.40Q3 2025: $12.10Q4 2025: $12.35Q1 2026: $13.38Q2 2026: $14.04Q3 2026: $13.05Forward: $12.88
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$12.88-1.3%
Q3 2026$13.05+7.9%
Q2 2026$14.04+35%
Q1 2026$13.38+33%
Q4 2025$12.350%
Q3 2025$12.10+68%
Q2 2025$10.40+43%
Q1 2025$10.08+54%
Q4 2024$12.35+207%

AXS earned $13.05 per share over the past year, up 7.9% from the year before.

JPM Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $16.23Q1 2024: $16.57Q2 2024: $17.94Q3 2024: $17.98Q4 2024: $19.75Q1 2025: $20.38Q2 2025: $19.50Q3 2025: $20.20Q4 2025: $20.02Q1 2026: $20.89Q2 2026: $23.35Q3 2026: $23.85Forward: $24.99
Q4 2023: $16.23Q1 2024: $16.57Q2 2024: $17.94Q3 2024: $17.98Q4 2024: $19.75Q1 2025: $20.38Q2 2025: $19.50Q3 2025: $20.20Q4 2025: $20.02Q1 2026: $20.89Q2 2026: $23.35Q3 2026: $23.85Forward: $24.99
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$24.99+4.8%
Q3 2026$23.85+18%
Q2 2026$23.35+20%
Q1 2026$20.89+2.5%
Q4 2025$20.02+1.4%
Q3 2025$20.20+12%
Q2 2025$19.50+8.7%
Q1 2025$20.38+23%
Q4 2024$19.75+22%

JPM's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $23.85 over the past year, up 18% from the year before, and higher year over year for 15 quarters in a row.

AXS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.5BQ1 2024: $1.4BQ2 2024: $1.5BQ3 2024: $1.6BQ4 2024: $1.5BQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $1.6BQ3 2025: $1.7BQ4 2025: $1.7BQ1 2026: $1.6BQ2 2026: $1.8BQ3 2026: $1.8B
Q4 2023: $1.5BQ1 2024: $1.4BQ2 2024: $1.5BQ3 2024: $1.6BQ4 2024: $1.5BQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $1.6BQ3 2025: $1.7BQ4 2025: $1.7BQ1 2026: $1.6BQ2 2026: $1.8BQ3 2026: $1.8B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.8B+6.9%
Q2 2026$1.8B+7.4%
Q1 2026$1.6B+8%
Q4 2025$1.7B+18%
Q3 2025$1.7B+3.9%
Q2 2025$1.6B+13%
Q1 2025$1.5B+6.8%
Q4 2024$1.5B-0.6%

AXS's revenue has grown year over year for seven quarters in a row: $1.8B last quarter, up 6.9% from the same quarter a year ago.

JPM Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $38.6BQ1 2024: $41.9BQ2 2024: $50.2BQ3 2024: $42.7BQ4 2024: $42.8BQ1 2025: $45.3BQ2 2025: $44.9BQ3 2025: $46.4BQ4 2025: $45.8BQ1 2026: $49.8BQ2 2026: $57.3BQ3 2026: $50.2B
Q4 2023: $38.6BQ1 2024: $41.9BQ2 2024: $50.2BQ3 2024: $42.7BQ4 2024: $42.8BQ1 2025: $45.3BQ2 2025: $44.9BQ3 2025: $46.4BQ4 2025: $45.8BQ1 2026: $49.8BQ2 2026: $57.3BQ3 2026: $50.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$50.2B+8.1%
Q2 2026$57.3B+28%
Q1 2026$49.8B+10%
Q4 2025$45.8B+7.1%
Q3 2025$46.4B+8.8%
Q2 2025$44.9B-11%
Q1 2025$45.3B+8.1%
Q4 2024$42.8B+11%

JPM has the edge over AXS on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

AXS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $306MQ1 2024: $384MQ2 2024: $518MQ3 2024: $587MQ4 2024: $356MQ1 2025: $309MQ2 2025: −$1.7BQ3 2025: $674MQ4 2025: $630MQ1 2026: $519MQ2 2026: $632MQ3 2026: $878M
Q4 2023: $306MQ1 2024: $384MQ2 2024: $518MQ3 2024: $587MQ4 2024: $356MQ1 2025: $309MQ2 2025: −$1.7BQ3 2025: $674MQ4 2025: $630MQ1 2026: $519MQ2 2026: $632MQ3 2026: $878M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$877.5M+30%
Q2 2026$631.5M+$2.3B
Q1 2026$519.4M+68%
Q4 2025$630.4M+77%
Q3 2025$673.8M+15%
Q2 2025-$1.7B-419%
Q1 2025$309.1M-20%
Q4 2024$355.5M+16%

AXS has the edge over JPM on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

JPM Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $60.2BQ1 2024: −$154BQ2 2024: $38.5BQ3 2024: −$74.1BQ4 2024: $148BQ1 2025: −$252BQ2 2025: $29.5BQ3 2025: −$45.2BQ4 2025: $120BQ1 2026: −$212BQ2 2026: −$25.3BQ3 2026: $33.2B
Q4 2023: $60.2BQ1 2024: −$154BQ2 2024: $38.5BQ3 2024: −$74.1BQ4 2024: $148BQ1 2025: −$252BQ2 2025: $29.5BQ3 2025: −$45.2BQ4 2025: $120BQ1 2026: −$212BQ2 2026: −$25.3BQ3 2026: $33.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$33.2B+$78.4B
Q2 2026-$25.3B-186%
Q1 2026-$211.8B+$40.1B
Q4 2025$119.7B-19%
Q3 2025-$45.2B+$28.9B
Q2 2025$29.5B-23%
Q1 2025-$251.8B-$97.7B
Q4 2024$147.8B+145%

JPM's free cash flow was −$84.2B over the past year, against −$120B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like JPM.

AXS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 86MQ1 2024: 86MQ2 2024: 85MQ3 2024: 85MQ4 2024: 85MQ1 2025: 82MQ2 2025: 79MQ3 2025: 79MQ4 2025: 79MQ1 2026: 75MQ2 2026: 74MQ3 2026: 73M
Q4 2023: 86MQ1 2024: 86MQ2 2024: 85MQ3 2024: 85MQ4 2024: 85MQ1 2025: 82MQ2 2025: 79MQ3 2025: 79MQ4 2025: 79MQ1 2026: 75MQ2 2026: 74MQ3 2026: 73M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.1%-830K shares
1 year-6.7%-5.2M shares
3 years-15%-12.7M shares
5 years-14%-12M shares
Available history-13%-11.1M shares

AXS has the edge over JPM on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

JPM Total Shares

Q4 2023: 2.9BQ1 2024: 2.9BQ2 2024: 2.9BQ3 2024: 2.9BQ4 2024: 2.9BQ1 2025: 2.8BQ2 2025: 2.8BQ3 2025: 2.8BQ4 2025: 2.8BQ1 2026: 2.7BQ2 2026: 2.7BQ3 2026: 2.7B
Q4 2023: 2.9BQ1 2024: 2.9BQ2 2024: 2.9BQ3 2024: 2.9BQ4 2024: 2.9BQ1 2025: 2.8BQ2 2025: 2.8BQ3 2025: 2.8BQ4 2025: 2.8BQ1 2026: 2.7BQ2 2026: 2.7BQ3 2026: 2.7B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-11.2M shares
1 year-3.1%-84.6M shares
3 years-8.5%-249M shares
5 years-11%-322M shares
Available history-17%-547M shares

JPM has 2.7B diluted shares, down 3.1% from a year ago, with $24.5B in buybacks over the past year.

AXS Net Leverage

JPM Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.6xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: 0.6xQ2 2026: 0.5xQ3 2026: 0.5x
Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.6xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: 0.6xQ2 2026: 0.5xQ3 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.5xVery low
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.6xVery low
Q4 20250.5xVery low
Q3 20250.6xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.4xVery low

JPM's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA). Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like JPM.

AXS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI59.4Neutral
Stochastic68.1Neutral

AXS's weekly RSI is 59 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).

JPM Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.8Neutral
Stochastic31.5Neutral

JPM's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 31 (neutral).

AXS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricAXSSector medianRelative
PE8.3x13x36% below
PE %216342 pts below

AXS has the edge over JPM on valuation relative to its sector.

JPM PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricJPMSector medianRelative
PE14x13x10% above
PE %766313 pts above

JPM is trading at 14x earnings, a 10% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

AXS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$100.97.3% above
20 week MA$103.64.5% above
50 week MA$102.65.5% above
100 week MA$99.39% above
200 week MA$81.533% above

AXS has the edge over JPM on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

JPM Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$336.81.8% above
20 week MA$345.30.7% below
50 week MA$323.26.1% above
100 week MA$298.915% above
200 week MA$236.645% above

JPM's trend is mixed: it's above four of its five weekly moving averages, and 45% above its 200-week average.

AXS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$59.6$50.4-16%
2021$50.4$52.1+3.4%
2022$52.1$54.8+5.3%
2023$54.8$55.4+1%
2024$55.4$89.3+61%
2025$89.3$109.0+22%
2026 YTD$109.0$108.2-0.7%

AXS has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's down 0.7% so far in 2026.

JPM Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$139.1$124.5-11%
2021$124.5$157.3+26%
2022$157.3$131.3-17%
2023$131.3$170.1+30%
2024$170.1$241.2+42%
2025$241.2$327.9+36%
2026 YTD$327.9$342.8+4.5%

JPM has the edge over AXS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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