AXS

AXIS Capital Holdings Limited

58
Fundamentals55/ 100
Valuation63/ 100
Upside potential47/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

AXS offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

GS

The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc.

64
Fundamentals69/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

GS has the edge over AXS overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

AXS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
N/A
N/A

AXS's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like AXS.

GS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
N/A
N/A

GS's revenue and profitability are currently strong. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like GS.

AXS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE15x31x46x62x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE15x31x46x62x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap8.1x$106-2.2%
Current8.3x$108—
Forward8.4x$108—
Fair11x$141+31%
Expensive17x$219+102%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AXS has the edge over GS in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

GS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.2x10x16x21x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.2x10x16x21x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap7.6x$528-42%
Current13x$914—
Forward13x$914—
Fair14x$940+2.9%
Expensive17x$1,214+33%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GS's PE is 13x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

AXS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Stable
Growth
Stable
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect AXS's revenue to grow, with its earnings and profitability holding steady.

GS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

GS has the edge over AXS on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and profitability expectations.

AXS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+13%$122.77
Downside-15%$91.65

Calculated from the latest close: $108.24 on Nov 12.

AXS trails GS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

GS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+19%$1,085.26
Downside-14%$781.84

Calculated from the latest close: $913.60 on Nov 12.

GS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than AXS, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

AXS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $4.02Q1 2024: $6.54Q2 2024: $7.27Q3 2024: $7.21Q4 2024: $12.35Q1 2025: $10.08Q2 2025: $10.40Q3 2025: $12.10Q4 2025: $12.35Q1 2026: $13.38Q2 2026: $14.04Q3 2026: $13.05Forward: $12.88
Q4 2023: $4.02Q1 2024: $6.54Q2 2024: $7.27Q3 2024: $7.21Q4 2024: $12.35Q1 2025: $10.08Q2 2025: $10.40Q3 2025: $12.10Q4 2025: $12.35Q1 2026: $13.38Q2 2026: $14.04Q3 2026: $13.05Forward: $12.88
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$12.88-1.3%
Q3 2026$13.05+7.9%
Q2 2026$14.04+35%
Q1 2026$13.38+33%
Q4 2025$12.350%
Q3 2025$12.10+68%
Q2 2025$10.40+43%
Q1 2025$10.08+54%
Q4 2024$12.35+207%

AXS earned $13.05 per share over the past year, up 7.9% from the year before.

GS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $22.87Q1 2024: $25.66Q2 2024: $31.20Q3 2024: $34.13Q4 2024: $40.54Q1 2025: $43.08Q2 2025: $45.37Q3 2025: $49.22Q4 2025: $51.32Q1 2026: $54.75Q2 2026: $64.82Q3 2026: $69.58Forward: $72.35
Q4 2023: $22.87Q1 2024: $25.66Q2 2024: $31.20Q3 2024: $34.13Q4 2024: $40.54Q1 2025: $43.08Q2 2025: $45.37Q3 2025: $49.22Q4 2025: $51.32Q1 2026: $54.75Q2 2026: $64.82Q3 2026: $69.58Forward: $72.35
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$72.35+4%
Q3 2026$69.58+41%
Q2 2026$64.82+43%
Q1 2026$54.75+27%
Q4 2025$51.32+27%
Q3 2025$49.22+44%
Q2 2025$45.37+45%
Q1 2025$43.08+68%
Q4 2024$40.54+77%

GS has the edge over AXS on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

AXS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.5BQ1 2024: $1.4BQ2 2024: $1.5BQ3 2024: $1.6BQ4 2024: $1.5BQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $1.6BQ3 2025: $1.7BQ4 2025: $1.7BQ1 2026: $1.6BQ2 2026: $1.8BQ3 2026: $1.8B
Q4 2023: $1.5BQ1 2024: $1.4BQ2 2024: $1.5BQ3 2024: $1.6BQ4 2024: $1.5BQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $1.6BQ3 2025: $1.7BQ4 2025: $1.7BQ1 2026: $1.6BQ2 2026: $1.8BQ3 2026: $1.8B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.8B+6.9%
Q2 2026$1.8B+7.4%
Q1 2026$1.6B+8%
Q4 2025$1.7B+18%
Q3 2025$1.7B+3.9%
Q2 2025$1.6B+13%
Q1 2025$1.5B+6.8%
Q4 2024$1.5B-0.6%

AXS's revenue has grown year over year for seven quarters in a row: $1.8B last quarter, up 6.9% from the same quarter a year ago.

GS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $11.3BQ1 2024: $14.2BQ2 2024: $12.7BQ3 2024: $12.7BQ4 2024: $13.9BQ1 2025: $15.1BQ2 2025: $14.6BQ3 2025: $15.2BQ4 2025: $13.5BQ1 2026: $17.2BQ2 2026: $20.3BQ3 2026: $18.7B
Q4 2023: $11.3BQ1 2024: $14.2BQ2 2024: $12.7BQ3 2024: $12.7BQ4 2024: $13.9BQ1 2025: $15.1BQ2 2025: $14.6BQ3 2025: $15.2BQ4 2025: $13.5BQ1 2026: $17.2BQ2 2026: $20.3BQ3 2026: $18.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$18.7B+23%
Q2 2026$20.3B+39%
Q1 2026$17.2B+14%
Q4 2025$13.5B-3%
Q3 2025$15.2B+20%
Q2 2025$14.6B+15%
Q1 2025$15.1B+6%
Q4 2024$13.9B+23%

GS has the edge over AXS on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

AXS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $306MQ1 2024: $384MQ2 2024: $518MQ3 2024: $587MQ4 2024: $356MQ1 2025: $309MQ2 2025: −$1.7BQ3 2025: $674MQ4 2025: $630MQ1 2026: $519MQ2 2026: $632MQ3 2026: $878M
Q4 2023: $306MQ1 2024: $384MQ2 2024: $518MQ3 2024: $587MQ4 2024: $356MQ1 2025: $309MQ2 2025: −$1.7BQ3 2025: $674MQ4 2025: $630MQ1 2026: $519MQ2 2026: $632MQ3 2026: $878M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$877.5M+30%
Q2 2026$631.5M+$2.3B
Q1 2026$519.4M+68%
Q4 2025$630.4M+77%
Q3 2025$673.8M+15%
Q2 2025-$1.7B-419%
Q1 2025$309.1M-20%
Q4 2024$355.5M+16%

AXS has the edge over GS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

GS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$28.9BQ1 2024: −$28.5BQ2 2024: $5.6BQ3 2024: −$38.5BQ4 2024: $46.2BQ1 2025: −$37.7BQ2 2025: $5.2BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: −$16.8BQ1 2026: −$32.4BQ2 2026: $5.6BQ3 2026: $3.7B
Q4 2023: −$28.9BQ1 2024: −$28.5BQ2 2024: $5.6BQ3 2024: −$38.5BQ4 2024: $46.2BQ1 2025: −$37.7BQ2 2025: $5.2BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: −$16.8BQ1 2026: −$32.4BQ2 2026: $5.6BQ3 2026: $3.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.7B+72%
Q2 2026$5.6B+7.8%
Q1 2026-$32.4B+$5.3B
Q4 2025-$16.8B-136%
Q3 2025$2.1B+$40.6B
Q2 2025$5.2B-6.8%
Q1 2025-$37.7B-$9.2B
Q4 2024$46.2B+$75.1B

GS's free cash flow was −$40B over the past year, against $15.8B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like GS.

AXS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 86MQ1 2024: 86MQ2 2024: 85MQ3 2024: 85MQ4 2024: 85MQ1 2025: 82MQ2 2025: 79MQ3 2025: 79MQ4 2025: 79MQ1 2026: 75MQ2 2026: 74MQ3 2026: 73M
Q4 2023: 86MQ1 2024: 86MQ2 2024: 85MQ3 2024: 85MQ4 2024: 85MQ1 2025: 82MQ2 2025: 79MQ3 2025: 79MQ4 2025: 79MQ1 2026: 75MQ2 2026: 74MQ3 2026: 73M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.1%-830K shares
1 year-6.7%-5.2M shares
3 years-15%-12.7M shares
5 years-14%-12M shares
Available history-13%-11.1M shares

AXS has the edge over GS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

GS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 346MQ1 2024: 340MQ2 2024: 336MQ3 2024: 331MQ4 2024: 334MQ1 2025: 325MQ2 2025: 318MQ3 2025: 315MQ4 2025: 318MQ1 2026: 308MQ2 2026: 305MQ3 2026: 301M
Q4 2023: 346MQ1 2024: 340MQ2 2024: 336MQ3 2024: 331MQ4 2024: 334MQ1 2025: 325MQ2 2025: 318MQ3 2025: 315MQ4 2025: 318MQ1 2026: 308MQ2 2026: 305MQ3 2026: 301M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.2%-3.8M shares
1 year-4.4%-13.9M shares
3 years-12%-42.8M shares
5 years-15%-52.8M shares
Available history-20%-74.4M shares

GS has 301M diluted shares, down 4.4% from a year ago, with $15B in buybacks over the past year.

AXS Net Leverage

GS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -9.6xQ1 2024: -6.8xQ2 2024: -6.5xQ3 2024: -3.5xQ4 2024: -4.7xQ1 2025: -3.9xQ2 2025: -3.1xQ3 2025: -3.5xQ4 2025: -6.4xQ1 2026: -6.7xQ2 2026: -6.1xQ3 2026: -5.4x
Q4 2023: -9.6xQ1 2024: -6.8xQ2 2024: -6.5xQ3 2024: -3.5xQ4 2024: -4.7xQ1 2025: -3.9xQ2 2025: -3.1xQ3 2025: -3.5xQ4 2025: -6.4xQ1 2026: -6.7xQ2 2026: -6.1xQ3 2026: -5.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-5.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-6.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-6.7xNet Cash
Q4 2025-6.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-3.5xNet Cash
Q2 2025-3.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-3.9xNet Cash
Q4 2024-4.7xNet Cash

GS has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like GS.

AXS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI59.4Neutral
Stochastic68.1Neutral

AXS's weekly RSI is 59 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).

GS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI44.5Neutral
Stochastic16.3Oversold

GS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

AXS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricAXSSector medianRelative
PE8.3x13x36% below
PE %216342 pts below

AXS has the edge over GS on valuation relative to its sector.

GS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricGSSector medianRelative
PE13x13x0.8% above
PE %466317 pts below

GS is trading at 13x earnings, in line with the Financial Services sector's median of 13x, though its earnings don't support one.

AXS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$100.97.3% above
20 week MA$103.64.5% above
50 week MA$102.65.5% above
100 week MA$99.39% above
200 week MA$81.533% above

AXS has the edge over GS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

GS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$895.52% above
20 week MA$977.46.5% below
50 week MA$945.43.4% below
100 week MA$804.514% above
200 week MA$602.752% above

GS's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 52% above its 200-week average.

AXS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$59.6$50.4-16%
2021$50.4$52.1+3.4%
2022$52.1$54.8+5.3%
2023$54.8$55.4+1%
2024$55.4$89.3+61%
2025$89.3$109.0+22%
2026 YTD$109.0$108.2-0.7%

AXS has finished higher in five of the last six years. It's down 0.7% so far in 2026.

GS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$230.7$256.2+11%
2021$256.2$385.0+50%
2022$385.0$345.5-10%
2023$345.5$385.8+12%
2024$385.8$576.2+49%
2025$576.2$907.0+57%
2026 YTD$907.0$913.6+0.7%

GS has the edge over AXS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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