AXS

AXIS Capital Holdings Limited

58
Fundamentals55/ 100
Valuation63/ 100
Upside potential47/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

AXS's fundamentals are mixed: revenue grew 9.8%, while its operating margin held steady at 17%. At 8.3x earnings, it's trading below its usual 11x. Analysts expect earnings to hold roughly steady.

CIFR

Cipher Mining Inc.

There isn't enough reported data to score CIFR yet.

AXS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
N/A
N/A

AXS's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like AXS.

CIFR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Weak
Weak
N/A
N/A

CIFR's revenue and profitability are currently weak. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like CIFR.

AXS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE15x31x46x62x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE15x31x46x62x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap8.1x$106-2.2%
Current8.3x$108โ€”
Forward8.4x$108โ€”
Fair11x$141+31%
Expensive17x$219+102%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AXS's PE is in its cheap range at 8.3x. On analysts' estimates for next year's earnings, today's price would be 8.4x.

CIFR PE Valuation

CIFR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AXS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Stable
Growth
Stable
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect AXS's revenue to grow, with its earnings and profitability holding steady.

CIFR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

CIFR has the edge over AXS on the outlook, with more favorable earnings and profitability expectations.

AXS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+13%$122.77
Downside-15%$91.65

Calculated from the latest close: $108.24 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare AXS and CIFR's risk to reward.

CIFR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
UpsideUnknownโ€”
DownsideUnknownโ€”

Calculated from the latest close: $7.15 on Nov 12.

There is not enough scenario data to compare AXS and CIFR's risk to reward.

AXS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $4.02Q1 2024: $6.54Q2 2024: $7.27Q3 2024: $7.21Q4 2024: $12.35Q1 2025: $10.08Q2 2025: $10.40Q3 2025: $12.10Q4 2025: $12.35Q1 2026: $13.38Q2 2026: $14.04Q3 2026: $13.05Forward: $12.88
Q4 2023: $4.02Q1 2024: $6.54Q2 2024: $7.27Q3 2024: $7.21Q4 2024: $12.35Q1 2025: $10.08Q2 2025: $10.40Q3 2025: $12.10Q4 2025: $12.35Q1 2026: $13.38Q2 2026: $14.04Q3 2026: $13.05Forward: $12.88
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$12.88-1.3%
Q3 2026$13.05+7.9%
Q2 2026$14.04+35%
Q1 2026$13.38+33%
Q4 2025$12.350%
Q3 2025$12.10+68%
Q2 2025$10.40+43%
Q1 2025$10.08+54%
Q4 2024$12.35+207%

AXS has the edge over CIFR on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

CIFR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.10Q1 2024: $0.06Q2 2024: $0.06Q3 2024: $-0.13Q4 2024: $-0.14Q1 2025: $-0.38Q2 2025: $-0.45Q3 2025: $-0.20Q4 2025: $-2.15Q1 2026: $-2.32Q2 2026: $-2.85Q3 2026: $-3.06
Q4 2023: $-0.10Q1 2024: $0.06Q2 2024: $0.06Q3 2024: $-0.13Q4 2024: $-0.14Q1 2025: $-0.38Q2 2025: $-0.45Q3 2025: $-0.20Q4 2025: $-2.15Q1 2026: $-2.32Q2 2026: $-2.85Q3 2026: $-3.06
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$3.06-$2.86
Q2 2026-$2.85-$2.40
Q1 2026-$2.32-$1.94
Q4 2025-$2.15-$2.01
Q3 2025-$0.20-$0.07
Q2 2025-$0.45-850%
Q1 2025-$0.38-733%
Q4 2024-$0.14-$0.04

CIFR lost $3.06 per share over the past year, and its loss has widened in each of the last four quarters.

AXS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.5BQ1 2024: $1.4BQ2 2024: $1.5BQ3 2024: $1.6BQ4 2024: $1.5BQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $1.6BQ3 2025: $1.7BQ4 2025: $1.7BQ1 2026: $1.6BQ2 2026: $1.8BQ3 2026: $1.8B
Q4 2023: $1.5BQ1 2024: $1.4BQ2 2024: $1.5BQ3 2024: $1.6BQ4 2024: $1.5BQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $1.6BQ3 2025: $1.7BQ4 2025: $1.7BQ1 2026: $1.6BQ2 2026: $1.8BQ3 2026: $1.8B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.8B+6.9%
Q2 2026$1.8B+7.4%
Q1 2026$1.6B+8%
Q4 2025$1.7B+18%
Q3 2025$1.7B+3.9%
Q2 2025$1.6B+13%
Q1 2025$1.5B+6.8%
Q4 2024$1.5B-0.6%

AXS has the edge over CIFR on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

CIFR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $43MQ1 2024: $48MQ2 2024: $37MQ3 2024: $24MQ4 2024: $42MQ1 2025: $49MQ2 2025: $44MQ3 2025: $72MQ4 2025: $60MQ1 2026: $35MQ2 2026: $25MQ3 2026: $27M
Q4 2023: $43MQ1 2024: $48MQ2 2024: $37MQ3 2024: $24MQ4 2024: $42MQ1 2025: $49MQ2 2025: $44MQ3 2025: $72MQ4 2025: $60MQ1 2026: $35MQ2 2026: $25MQ3 2026: $27M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$26.7M-63%
Q2 2026$24.8M-43%
Q1 2026$34.8M-29%
Q4 2025$59.7M+41%
Q3 2025$71.7M+198%
Q2 2025$43.6M+18%
Q1 2025$49M+1.7%
Q4 2024$42.2M-2.8%

CIFR's revenue has slid since its 2025 peak: $27M last quarter, down 63% from the same quarter a year ago.

AXS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $306MQ1 2024: $384MQ2 2024: $518MQ3 2024: $587MQ4 2024: $356MQ1 2025: $309MQ2 2025: โˆ’$1.7BQ3 2025: $674MQ4 2025: $630MQ1 2026: $519MQ2 2026: $632MQ3 2026: $878M
Q4 2023: $306MQ1 2024: $384MQ2 2024: $518MQ3 2024: $587MQ4 2024: $356MQ1 2025: $309MQ2 2025: โˆ’$1.7BQ3 2025: $674MQ4 2025: $630MQ1 2026: $519MQ2 2026: $632MQ3 2026: $878M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$877.5M+30%
Q2 2026$631.5M+$2.3B
Q1 2026$519.4M+68%
Q4 2025$630.4M+77%
Q3 2025$673.8M+15%
Q2 2025-$1.7B-419%
Q1 2025$309.1M-20%
Q4 2024$355.5M+16%

AXS has the edge over CIFR on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

CIFR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: โˆ’$114MQ1 2024: โˆ’$35MQ2 2024: โˆ’$33MQ3 2024: โˆ’$83MQ4 2024: โˆ’$76MQ1 2025: โˆ’$72MQ2 2025: โˆ’$88MQ3 2025: โˆ’$256MQ4 2025: โˆ’$280MQ1 2026: โˆ’$462MQ2 2026: โˆ’$654MQ3 2026: โˆ’$1.7B
Q4 2023: โˆ’$114MQ1 2024: โˆ’$35MQ2 2024: โˆ’$33MQ3 2024: โˆ’$83MQ4 2024: โˆ’$76MQ1 2025: โˆ’$72MQ2 2025: โˆ’$88MQ3 2025: โˆ’$256MQ4 2025: โˆ’$280MQ1 2026: โˆ’$462MQ2 2026: โˆ’$654MQ3 2026: โˆ’$1.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$1.7B-$1.4B
Q2 2026-$653.8M-$566.3M
Q1 2026-$462.5M-$390.7M
Q4 2025-$280.3M-$204.2M
Q3 2025-$256.2M-$173.1M
Q2 2025-$87.5M-$54.3M
Q1 2025-$71.8M-$37.3M
Q4 2024-$76.1M+$38M

CIFR's free cash flow was โˆ’$3.1B over the past year, against โˆ’$492M the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like CIFR.

AXS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 86MQ1 2024: 86MQ2 2024: 85MQ3 2024: 85MQ4 2024: 85MQ1 2025: 82MQ2 2025: 79MQ3 2025: 79MQ4 2025: 79MQ1 2026: 75MQ2 2026: 74MQ3 2026: 73M
Q4 2023: 86MQ1 2024: 86MQ2 2024: 85MQ3 2024: 85MQ4 2024: 85MQ1 2025: 82MQ2 2025: 79MQ3 2025: 79MQ4 2025: 79MQ1 2026: 75MQ2 2026: 74MQ3 2026: 73M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.1%-830K shares
1 year-6.7%-5.2M shares
3 years-15%-12.7M shares
5 years-14%-12M shares
Available history-13%-11.1M shares

AXS has the edge over CIFR on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

CIFR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 252MQ1 2024: 304MQ2 2024: 314MQ3 2024: 333MQ4 2024: 323MQ1 2025: 361MQ2 2025: 375MQ3 2025: 393MQ4 2025: 382MQ1 2026: 405MQ2 2026: 409MQ3 2026: 440M
Q4 2023: 252MQ1 2024: 304MQ2 2024: 314MQ3 2024: 333MQ4 2024: 323MQ1 2025: 361MQ2 2025: 375MQ3 2025: 393MQ4 2025: 382MQ1 2026: 405MQ2 2026: 409MQ3 2026: 440M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+7.4%+30.3M shares
1 year+12%+46.5M shares
3 years+75%+188M shares
5 years+102%+222M shares

CIFR has 440M diluted shares, up 12% from a year ago, despite $151M in buybacks over the past year.

AXS Net Leverage

CIFR Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -2.2xQ1 2024: -0.9xQ2 2024: -1.2xQ3 2024: -0.7xQ4 2024: 0.5xQ1 2025: 125.4xQ3 2025: -2.3x
Q4 2023: -2.2xQ1 2024: -0.9xQ2 2024: -1.2xQ3 2024: -0.7xQ4 2024: 0.5xQ1 2025: 125.4xQ3 2025: -2.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2025-2.3xNet Cash
Q1 2025125.4xHigh
Q4 20240.5xVery low
Q3 2024-0.7xNet Cash
Q2 2024-1.2xNet Cash
Q1 2024-0.9xNet Cash
Q4 2023-2.2xNet Cash
Q2 2023-0.1xNet Cash

CIFR has more cash than debt. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like CIFR.

AXS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI59.4Neutral
Stochastic68.1Neutral

AXS's weekly RSI is 59 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).

CIFR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.4Neutral
Stochastic7.8Oversold

CIFR's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 8 (oversold).

AXS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricAXSSector medianRelative
PE8.3x13x36% below
PE %216342 pts below

AXS is trading at 8.3x earnings, a 36% discount to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

CIFR PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricCIFRSector medianRelative
PEN/A13xโ€”

CIFR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AXS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$100.97.3% above
20 week MA$103.64.5% above
50 week MA$102.65.5% above
100 week MA$99.39% above
200 week MA$81.533% above

AXS has the edge over CIFR on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

CIFR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$10.633% below
20 week MA$15.554% below
50 week MA$17.058% below
100 week MA$12.241% below
200 week MA$7.869% below

CIFR is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 9% below its 200-week average.

AXS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$59.6$50.4-16%
2021$50.4$52.1+3.4%
2022$52.1$54.8+5.3%
2023$54.8$55.4+1%
2024$55.4$89.3+61%
2025$89.3$109.0+22%
2026 YTD$109.0$108.2-0.7%

AXS has the edge over CIFR on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

CIFR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.92$9.95+0.3%
2021$9.95$5.21-48%
2022$5.21$0.54-90%
2023$0.54$4.13+665%
2024$4.13$4.86+18%
2025$4.86$15.2+213%
2026 YTD$15.2$7.15-53%

CIFR's yearly returns have swung widely, from +665% in 2023 to โˆ’90% in 2022. It's down 53% so far in 2026.

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