AXS

AXIS Capital Holdings Limited

58
Fundamentals55/ 100
Valuation63/ 100
Upside potential47/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

AXS offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

BAC

Bank of America Corporation

60
Fundamentals72/ 100
Valuation55/ 100
Upside potential71/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

BAC has a slight edge over AXS overall, supported by stronger modeled upside and stronger fundamentals.

AXS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
N/A
N/A

AXS's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like AXS.

BAC Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

BAC's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like BAC.

AXS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE15x31x46x62x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE15x31x46x62x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap8.1x$106-2.2%
Current8.3x$108—
Forward8.4x$108—
Fair11x$141+31%
Expensive17x$219+102%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AXS has the edge over BAC in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

BAC PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.6x11x17x22x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.6x11x17x22x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap9.4x$39.50-22%
Forward10x$50.51—
Current12x$50.51—
Fair13x$53.81+6.5%
Expensive15x$62.23+23%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BAC's PE is in its fair range at 12x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 10x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

AXS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Stable
Growth
Stable
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect AXS's revenue to grow, with its earnings and profitability holding steady.

BAC Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

BAC has the edge over AXS on the outlook, with more favorable valuation and earnings expectations.

AXS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+13%$122.77
Downside-15%$91.65

Calculated from the latest close: $108.24 on Nov 12.

AXS trails BAC on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

BAC Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+25%$63.36
Downside-10%$45.36

Calculated from the latest close: $50.51 on Nov 12.

BAC has a better modeled risk to reward balance than AXS, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

AXS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $4.02Q1 2024: $6.54Q2 2024: $7.27Q3 2024: $7.21Q4 2024: $12.35Q1 2025: $10.08Q2 2025: $10.40Q3 2025: $12.10Q4 2025: $12.35Q1 2026: $13.38Q2 2026: $14.04Q3 2026: $13.05Forward: $12.88
Q4 2023: $4.02Q1 2024: $6.54Q2 2024: $7.27Q3 2024: $7.21Q4 2024: $12.35Q1 2025: $10.08Q2 2025: $10.40Q3 2025: $12.10Q4 2025: $12.35Q1 2026: $13.38Q2 2026: $14.04Q3 2026: $13.05Forward: $12.88
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$12.88-1.3%
Q3 2026$13.05+7.9%
Q2 2026$14.04+35%
Q1 2026$13.38+33%
Q4 2025$12.350%
Q3 2025$12.10+68%
Q2 2025$10.40+43%
Q1 2025$10.08+54%
Q4 2024$12.35+207%

AXS earned $13.05 per share over the past year, up 7.9% from the year before.

BAC Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.08Q1 2024: $2.90Q2 2024: $2.85Q3 2024: $2.76Q4 2024: $3.21Q1 2025: $3.35Q2 2025: $3.41Q3 2025: $3.66Q4 2025: $3.81Q1 2026: $4.02Q2 2026: $4.34Q3 2026: $4.19Forward: $4.92
Q4 2023: $3.08Q1 2024: $2.90Q2 2024: $2.85Q3 2024: $2.76Q4 2024: $3.21Q1 2025: $3.35Q2 2025: $3.41Q3 2025: $3.66Q4 2025: $3.81Q1 2026: $4.02Q2 2026: $4.34Q3 2026: $4.19Forward: $4.92
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$4.92+17%
Q3 2026$4.19+14%
Q2 2026$4.34+27%
Q1 2026$4.02+20%
Q4 2025$3.81+19%
Q3 2025$3.66+33%
Q2 2025$3.41+20%
Q1 2025$3.35+16%
Q4 2024$3.21+4.2%

BAC's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $4.19 over the past year, up 14% from the year before, and higher year over year for eight quarters in a row.

AXS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.5BQ1 2024: $1.4BQ2 2024: $1.5BQ3 2024: $1.6BQ4 2024: $1.5BQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $1.6BQ3 2025: $1.7BQ4 2025: $1.7BQ1 2026: $1.6BQ2 2026: $1.8BQ3 2026: $1.8B
Q4 2023: $1.5BQ1 2024: $1.4BQ2 2024: $1.5BQ3 2024: $1.6BQ4 2024: $1.5BQ1 2025: $1.5BQ2 2025: $1.6BQ3 2025: $1.7BQ4 2025: $1.7BQ1 2026: $1.6BQ2 2026: $1.8BQ3 2026: $1.8B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.8B+6.9%
Q2 2026$1.8B+7.4%
Q1 2026$1.6B+8%
Q4 2025$1.7B+18%
Q3 2025$1.7B+3.9%
Q2 2025$1.6B+13%
Q1 2025$1.5B+6.8%
Q4 2024$1.5B-0.6%

AXS's revenue has grown year over year for seven quarters in a row: $1.8B last quarter, up 6.9% from the same quarter a year ago.

BAC Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $22BQ1 2024: $25.8BQ2 2024: $25.4BQ3 2024: $25.3BQ4 2024: $25.3BQ1 2025: $27.4BQ2 2025: $26.5BQ3 2025: $28.1BQ4 2025: $31.2BQ1 2026: $30.3BQ2 2026: $31.6BQ3 2026: $30B
Q4 2023: $22BQ1 2024: $25.8BQ2 2024: $25.4BQ3 2024: $25.3BQ4 2024: $25.3BQ1 2025: $27.4BQ2 2025: $26.5BQ3 2025: $28.1BQ4 2025: $31.2BQ1 2026: $30.3BQ2 2026: $31.6BQ3 2026: $30B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$30B+6.7%
Q2 2026$31.6B+19%
Q1 2026$30.3B+11%
Q4 2025$31.2B+23%
Q3 2025$28.1B+11%
Q2 2025$26.5B+4.3%
Q1 2025$27.4B+6%
Q4 2024$25.3B+15%

BAC has the edge over AXS on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

AXS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $306MQ1 2024: $384MQ2 2024: $518MQ3 2024: $587MQ4 2024: $356MQ1 2025: $309MQ2 2025: −$1.7BQ3 2025: $674MQ4 2025: $630MQ1 2026: $519MQ2 2026: $632MQ3 2026: $878M
Q4 2023: $306MQ1 2024: $384MQ2 2024: $518MQ3 2024: $587MQ4 2024: $356MQ1 2025: $309MQ2 2025: −$1.7BQ3 2025: $674MQ4 2025: $630MQ1 2026: $519MQ2 2026: $632MQ3 2026: $878M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$877.5M+30%
Q2 2026$631.5M+$2.3B
Q1 2026$519.4M+68%
Q4 2025$630.4M+77%
Q3 2025$673.8M+15%
Q2 2025-$1.7B-419%
Q1 2025$309.1M-20%
Q4 2024$355.5M+16%

AXS has the edge over BAC on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BAC Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $32.7BQ1 2024: −$15.5BQ2 2024: $18.1BQ3 2024: −$37.3BQ4 2024: $25.9BQ1 2025: −$2.2BQ2 2025: −$9.1BQ3 2025: $46.9BQ4 2025: −$22.9BQ1 2026: $41.8BQ2 2026: $29BQ3 2026: −$6.5B
Q4 2023: $32.7BQ1 2024: −$15.5BQ2 2024: $18.1BQ3 2024: −$37.3BQ4 2024: $25.9BQ1 2025: −$2.2BQ2 2025: −$9.1BQ3 2025: $46.9BQ4 2025: −$22.9BQ1 2026: $41.8BQ2 2026: $29BQ3 2026: −$6.5B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$6.5B-114%
Q2 2026$29B+$38.2B
Q1 2026$41.8B+$44B
Q4 2025-$22.9B-189%
Q3 2025$46.9B+$84.2B
Q2 2025-$9.1B-150%
Q1 2025-$2.2B+$13.4B
Q4 2024$25.9B-21%

BAC's free cash flow was $41.4B over the past year, down 33% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like BAC.

AXS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 86MQ1 2024: 86MQ2 2024: 85MQ3 2024: 85MQ4 2024: 85MQ1 2025: 82MQ2 2025: 79MQ3 2025: 79MQ4 2025: 79MQ1 2026: 75MQ2 2026: 74MQ3 2026: 73M
Q4 2023: 86MQ1 2024: 86MQ2 2024: 85MQ3 2024: 85MQ4 2024: 85MQ1 2025: 82MQ2 2025: 79MQ3 2025: 79MQ4 2025: 79MQ1 2026: 75MQ2 2026: 74MQ3 2026: 73M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.1%-830K shares
1 year-6.7%-5.2M shares
3 years-15%-12.7M shares
5 years-14%-12M shares
Available history-13%-11.1M shares

AXS has the edge over BAC on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

BAC Total Shares

Q4 2023: 8.1BQ1 2024: 8BQ2 2024: 8BQ3 2024: 7.9BQ4 2024: 7.9BQ1 2025: 7.8BQ2 2025: 7.7BQ3 2025: 7.6BQ4 2025: 7.7BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.3BQ3 2026: 7.2B
Q4 2023: 8.1BQ1 2024: 8BQ2 2024: 8BQ3 2024: 7.9BQ4 2024: 7.9BQ1 2025: 7.8BQ2 2025: 7.7BQ3 2025: 7.6BQ4 2025: 7.7BQ1 2026: 7.4BQ2 2026: 7.3BQ3 2026: 7.2B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1%-72M shares
1 year-5.3%-405M shares
3 years-11%-854M shares
5 years-15%-1.3B shares
Available history-24%-2.2B shares

BAC has 7.2B diluted shares, down 5.3% from a year ago, with $25.6B in buybacks over the past year.

AXS Net Leverage

BAC Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 9.5xQ1 2024: 9.5xQ2 2024: 9.4xQ3 2024: 9.9xQ4 2024: 9.0xQ1 2025: 8.6xQ2 2025: 8.8xQ3 2025: 8.3xQ4 2025: 7.7xQ1 2026: 7.1xQ2 2026: 6.7xQ3 2026: 6.4x
Q4 2023: 9.5xQ1 2024: 9.5xQ2 2024: 9.4xQ3 2024: 9.9xQ4 2024: 9.0xQ1 2025: 8.6xQ2 2025: 8.8xQ3 2025: 8.3xQ4 2025: 7.7xQ1 2026: 7.1xQ2 2026: 6.7xQ3 2026: 6.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20266.4xHigh
Q2 20266.7xHigh
Q1 20267.1xHigh
Q4 20257.7xHigh
Q3 20258.3xHigh
Q2 20258.8xHigh
Q1 20258.6xHigh
Q4 20249.0xHigh

BAC's net debt is about 6.4 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 8.3 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like BAC.

AXS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI59.4Neutral
Stochastic68.1Neutral

AXS's weekly RSI is 59 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 68 (neutral).

BAC Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI37.1Neutral
Stochastic4.9Oversold

BAC's weekly RSI is 37 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 5 (oversold).

AXS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricAXSSector medianRelative
PE8.3x13x36% below
PE %216342 pts below

AXS has the edge over BAC on valuation relative to its sector.

BAC PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricBACSector medianRelative
PE12x13x7.5% below
PE %406323 pts below

BAC is trading at 12x earnings, in line with the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

AXS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$100.97.3% above
20 week MA$103.64.5% above
50 week MA$102.65.5% above
100 week MA$99.39% above
200 week MA$81.533% above

AXS has the edge over BAC on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

BAC Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$52.13% below
20 week MA$57.813% below
50 week MA$54.77.7% below
100 week MA$50.50% below
200 week MA$42.519% above

BAC has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 19% above its 200-week average.

AXS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$59.6$50.4-16%
2021$50.4$52.1+3.4%
2022$52.1$54.8+5.3%
2023$54.8$55.4+1%
2024$55.4$89.3+61%
2025$89.3$109.0+22%
2026 YTD$109.0$108.2-0.7%

AXS has the edge over BAC on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

BAC Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$35.4$30.0-15%
2021$30.0$44.4+48%
2022$44.4$32.5-27%
2023$32.5$33.7+3.7%
2024$33.7$44.3+32%
2025$44.3$56.2+27%
2026 YTD$56.2$50.5-10%

BAC has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's down 10% so far in 2026.

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