AXP

American Express Company

62
Fundamentals62/ 100
Valuation56/ 100
Upside potential71/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

AXP has the edge over JPM overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

JPM

JPMorgan Chase & Co.

57
Fundamentals65/ 100
Valuation38/ 100
Upside potential68/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

JPM offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

AXP Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
N/A
N/A

AXP's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like AXP.

JPM Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

JPM's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like JPM.

AXP PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x21x31x41x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x21x31x41x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap16x$276-13%
Forward16x$318—
Current18x$318—
Fair19x$338+6.4%
Expensive23x$407+28%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AXP's PE is in its fair range at 18x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 16x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

JPM PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.0x10x15x20x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.0x10x15x20x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap9.7x$231-33%
Fair12x$287-16%
Current14x$343—
Forward14x$343—
Expensive15x$361+5.2%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

JPM has the edge over AXP in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

AXP Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
High

AXP has the edge over JPM on the outlook, with more favorable valuation expectations.

JPM Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
Moderate

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for JPM, with profitability improving.

AXP Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+26%$399.98
Downside-10%$285.40

Calculated from the latest close: $318.06 on Nov 12.

AXP has a better modeled risk to reward balance than JPM, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

JPM Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+20%$412.26
Downside-10%$310.03

Calculated from the latest close: $342.82 on Nov 12.

JPM trails AXP on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AXP Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $11.21Q1 2024: $12.14Q2 2024: $13.40Q3 2024: $13.59Q4 2024: $14.01Q1 2025: $14.32Q2 2025: $14.25Q3 2025: $14.90Q4 2025: $15.38Q1 2026: $16.02Q2 2026: $16.47Q3 2026: $17.75Forward: $19.38
Q4 2023: $11.21Q1 2024: $12.14Q2 2024: $13.40Q3 2024: $13.59Q4 2024: $14.01Q1 2025: $14.32Q2 2025: $14.25Q3 2025: $14.90Q4 2025: $15.38Q1 2026: $16.02Q2 2026: $16.47Q3 2026: $17.75Forward: $19.38
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$19.38+9.2%
Q3 2026$17.75+19%
Q2 2026$16.47+16%
Q1 2026$16.02+12%
Q4 2025$15.38+9.8%
Q3 2025$14.90+9.6%
Q2 2025$14.25+6.3%
Q1 2025$14.32+18%
Q4 2024$14.01+25%

AXP's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $17.75 over the past year, up 19% from the year before, and higher year over year for 14 quarters in a row.

JPM Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $16.23Q1 2024: $16.57Q2 2024: $17.94Q3 2024: $17.98Q4 2024: $19.75Q1 2025: $20.38Q2 2025: $19.50Q3 2025: $20.20Q4 2025: $20.02Q1 2026: $20.89Q2 2026: $23.35Q3 2026: $23.85Forward: $24.99
Q4 2023: $16.23Q1 2024: $16.57Q2 2024: $17.94Q3 2024: $17.98Q4 2024: $19.75Q1 2025: $20.38Q2 2025: $19.50Q3 2025: $20.20Q4 2025: $20.02Q1 2026: $20.89Q2 2026: $23.35Q3 2026: $23.85Forward: $24.99
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$24.99+4.8%
Q3 2026$23.85+18%
Q2 2026$23.35+20%
Q1 2026$20.89+2.5%
Q4 2025$20.02+1.4%
Q3 2025$20.20+12%
Q2 2025$19.50+8.7%
Q1 2025$20.38+23%
Q4 2024$19.75+22%

JPM has the edge over AXP on earnings, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

AXP Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $15.8BQ1 2024: $15.8BQ2 2024: $16.3BQ3 2024: $16.6BQ4 2024: $17.2BQ1 2025: $17BQ2 2025: $17.9BQ3 2025: $18.4BQ4 2025: $19BQ1 2026: $18.9BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $20.1B
Q4 2023: $15.8BQ1 2024: $15.8BQ2 2024: $16.3BQ3 2024: $16.6BQ4 2024: $17.2BQ1 2025: $17BQ2 2025: $17.9BQ3 2025: $18.4BQ4 2025: $19BQ1 2026: $18.9BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $20.1B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$20.1B+8.9%
Q2 2026$19.6B+10%
Q1 2026$18.9B+11%
Q4 2025$19B+10%
Q3 2025$18.4B+11%
Q2 2025$17.9B+9.3%
Q1 2025$17B+7.4%
Q4 2024$17.2B+8.7%

AXP has the edge over JPM on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

JPM Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $38.6BQ1 2024: $41.9BQ2 2024: $50.2BQ3 2024: $42.7BQ4 2024: $42.8BQ1 2025: $45.3BQ2 2025: $44.9BQ3 2025: $46.4BQ4 2025: $45.8BQ1 2026: $49.8BQ2 2026: $57.3BQ3 2026: $50.2B
Q4 2023: $38.6BQ1 2024: $41.9BQ2 2024: $50.2BQ3 2024: $42.7BQ4 2024: $42.8BQ1 2025: $45.3BQ2 2025: $44.9BQ3 2025: $46.4BQ4 2025: $45.8BQ1 2026: $49.8BQ2 2026: $57.3BQ3 2026: $50.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$50.2B+8.1%
Q2 2026$57.3B+28%
Q1 2026$49.8B+10%
Q4 2025$45.8B+7.1%
Q3 2025$46.4B+8.8%
Q2 2025$44.9B-11%
Q1 2025$45.3B+8.1%
Q4 2024$42.8B+11%

JPM's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $50.2B last quarter, up 8.1% from the same quarter a year ago.

AXP Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $6.3BQ1 2024: $5.2BQ2 2024: $4BQ3 2024: −$2.3BQ4 2024: $5.3BQ1 2025: $4.3BQ2 2025: $3.7BQ3 2025: $5.6BQ4 2025: $2.3BQ1 2026: $2.7BQ2 2026: $4.5BQ3 2026: $4.4B
Q4 2023: $6.3BQ1 2024: $5.2BQ2 2024: $4BQ3 2024: −$2.3BQ4 2024: $5.3BQ1 2025: $4.3BQ2 2025: $3.7BQ3 2025: $5.6BQ4 2025: $2.3BQ1 2026: $2.7BQ2 2026: $4.5BQ3 2026: $4.4B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$4.4B-20%
Q2 2026$4.5B+19%
Q1 2026$2.7B-39%
Q4 2025$2.3B-56%
Q3 2025$5.6B+$7.8B
Q2 2025$3.7B-5.6%
Q1 2025$4.3B-16%
Q4 2024$5.3B-17%

AXP has the edge over JPM on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

JPM Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $60.2BQ1 2024: −$154BQ2 2024: $38.5BQ3 2024: −$74.1BQ4 2024: $148BQ1 2025: −$252BQ2 2025: $29.5BQ3 2025: −$45.2BQ4 2025: $120BQ1 2026: −$212BQ2 2026: −$25.3BQ3 2026: $33.2B
Q4 2023: $60.2BQ1 2024: −$154BQ2 2024: $38.5BQ3 2024: −$74.1BQ4 2024: $148BQ1 2025: −$252BQ2 2025: $29.5BQ3 2025: −$45.2BQ4 2025: $120BQ1 2026: −$212BQ2 2026: −$25.3BQ3 2026: $33.2B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$33.2B+$78.4B
Q2 2026-$25.3B-186%
Q1 2026-$211.8B+$40.1B
Q4 2025$119.7B-19%
Q3 2025-$45.2B+$28.9B
Q2 2025$29.5B-23%
Q1 2025-$251.8B-$97.7B
Q4 2024$147.8B+145%

JPM's free cash flow was −$84.2B over the past year, against −$120B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like JPM.

AXP Total Shares

Q4 2023: 736MQ1 2024: 722MQ2 2024: 717MQ3 2024: 709MQ4 2024: 713MQ1 2025: 702MQ2 2025: 699MQ3 2025: 693MQ4 2025: 696MQ1 2026: 686MQ2 2026: 679MQ3 2026: 674M
Q4 2023: 736MQ1 2024: 722MQ2 2024: 717MQ3 2024: 709MQ4 2024: 713MQ1 2025: 702MQ2 2025: 699MQ3 2025: 693MQ4 2025: 696MQ1 2026: 686MQ2 2026: 679MQ3 2026: 674M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.7%-5M shares
1 year-2.7%-19M shares
3 years-8%-59M shares
5 years-14%-113M shares
Available history-19%-156M shares

AXP has 674M diluted shares, down 2.7% from a year ago, with $6.7B in buybacks over the past year.

JPM Total Shares

Q4 2023: 2.9BQ1 2024: 2.9BQ2 2024: 2.9BQ3 2024: 2.9BQ4 2024: 2.9BQ1 2025: 2.8BQ2 2025: 2.8BQ3 2025: 2.8BQ4 2025: 2.8BQ1 2026: 2.7BQ2 2026: 2.7BQ3 2026: 2.7B
Q4 2023: 2.9BQ1 2024: 2.9BQ2 2024: 2.9BQ3 2024: 2.9BQ4 2024: 2.9BQ1 2025: 2.8BQ2 2025: 2.8BQ3 2025: 2.8BQ4 2025: 2.8BQ1 2026: 2.7BQ2 2026: 2.7BQ3 2026: 2.7B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.4%-11.2M shares
1 year-3.1%-84.6M shares
3 years-8.5%-249M shares
5 years-11%-322M shares
Available history-17%-547M shares

JPM has the edge over AXP on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AXP Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 3.5xQ1 2024: 3.4xQ2 2024: 3.3xQ3 2024: 3.6xQ4 2024: 3.3xQ1 2025: 3.4xQ2 2025: 3.9xQ3 2025: 3.7xQ4 2025: 3.5xQ1 2026: 3.6xQ2 2026: 3.3xQ3 2026: 3.2x
Q4 2023: 3.5xQ1 2024: 3.4xQ2 2024: 3.3xQ3 2024: 3.6xQ4 2024: 3.3xQ1 2025: 3.4xQ2 2025: 3.9xQ3 2025: 3.7xQ4 2025: 3.5xQ1 2026: 3.6xQ2 2026: 3.3xQ3 2026: 3.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20263.2xElevated
Q2 20263.3xElevated
Q1 20263.6xElevated
Q4 20253.5xElevated
Q3 20253.7xElevated
Q2 20253.9xElevated
Q1 20253.4xElevated
Q4 20243.3xElevated

AXP's net debt is about 3.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 3.7 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like AXP.

JPM Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.6xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: 0.6xQ2 2026: 0.5xQ3 2026: 0.5x
Q4 2023: 0.2xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.3xQ3 2024: 0.4xQ4 2024: 0.4xQ1 2025: 0.5xQ2 2025: 0.5xQ3 2025: 0.6xQ4 2025: 0.5xQ1 2026: 0.6xQ2 2026: 0.5xQ3 2026: 0.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.5xVery low
Q2 20260.5xVery low
Q1 20260.6xVery low
Q4 20250.5xVery low
Q3 20250.6xVery low
Q2 20250.5xVery low
Q1 20250.5xVery low
Q4 20240.4xVery low

JPM has the edge over AXP on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

AXP Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI46.8Neutral
Stochastic41.5Neutral

AXP's weekly RSI is 47 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 41 (neutral).

JPM Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI54.8Neutral
Stochastic31.5Neutral

JPM's weekly RSI is 55 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 31 (neutral).

AXP PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricAXPSector medianRelative
PE18x13x38% above
PE %366327 pts below

AXP is trading at 18x earnings, a 38% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

JPM PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricJPMSector medianRelative
PE14x13x10% above
PE %766313 pts above

JPM has the edge over AXP on valuation relative to its sector.

AXP Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$313.11.6% above
20 week MA$327.02.7% below
50 week MA$331.44% below
100 week MA$319.70.5% below
200 week MA$261.522% above

AXP's trend is mixed: it's above two of its five weekly moving averages, and 22% above its 200-week average.

JPM Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$336.81.8% above
20 week MA$345.30.7% below
50 week MA$323.26.1% above
100 week MA$298.915% above
200 week MA$236.645% above

JPM has the edge over AXP on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

AXP Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$125.2$117.4-6.3%
2021$117.4$164.2+40%
2022$164.2$147.0-10%
2023$147.0$187.3+27%
2024$187.3$301.1+61%
2025$301.1$381.1+27%
2026 YTD$381.1$318.1-17%

AXP has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's down 17% so far in 2026.

JPM Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$139.1$124.5-11%
2021$124.5$157.3+26%
2022$157.3$131.3-17%
2023$131.3$170.1+30%
2024$170.1$241.2+42%
2025$241.2$327.9+36%
2026 YTD$327.9$342.8+4.5%

JPM has the edge over AXP on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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