AXP

American Express Company

62
Fundamentals62/ 100
Valuation56/ 100
Upside potential71/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

AXP's fundamentals are mixed: revenue grew 10%, while its operating margin held steady at 20%. At 18x earnings, it's trading in line with its usual 19x. Analysts expect earnings growth.

AXP Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
N/A
N/A

AXP's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like AXP.

AXP PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x21x31x41x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x21x31x41x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap16x$276-13%
Forward16x$318—
Current18x$318—
Fair19x$338+6.4%
Expensive23x$407+28%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AXP's PE is in its fair range at 18x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 16x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.

AXP Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for AXP, with profitability improving.

AXP Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+26%$399.98
Downside-10%$285.40

Calculated from the latest close: $318.06 on Nov 12.

AXP's one-year upside scenario is more than twice its downside: +26% against −10%.

AXP Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $11.21Q1 2024: $12.14Q2 2024: $13.40Q3 2024: $13.59Q4 2024: $14.01Q1 2025: $14.32Q2 2025: $14.25Q3 2025: $14.90Q4 2025: $15.38Q1 2026: $16.02Q2 2026: $16.47Q3 2026: $17.75Forward: $19.38
Q4 2023: $11.21Q1 2024: $12.14Q2 2024: $13.40Q3 2024: $13.59Q4 2024: $14.01Q1 2025: $14.32Q2 2025: $14.25Q3 2025: $14.90Q4 2025: $15.38Q1 2026: $16.02Q2 2026: $16.47Q3 2026: $17.75Forward: $19.38
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$19.38+9.2%
Q3 2026$17.75+19%
Q2 2026$16.47+16%
Q1 2026$16.02+12%
Q4 2025$15.38+9.8%
Q3 2025$14.90+9.6%
Q2 2025$14.25+6.3%
Q1 2025$14.32+18%
Q4 2024$14.01+25%

AXP's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $17.75 over the past year, up 19% from the year before, and higher year over year for 14 quarters in a row.

AXP Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $15.8BQ1 2024: $15.8BQ2 2024: $16.3BQ3 2024: $16.6BQ4 2024: $17.2BQ1 2025: $17BQ2 2025: $17.9BQ3 2025: $18.4BQ4 2025: $19BQ1 2026: $18.9BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $20.1B
Q4 2023: $15.8BQ1 2024: $15.8BQ2 2024: $16.3BQ3 2024: $16.6BQ4 2024: $17.2BQ1 2025: $17BQ2 2025: $17.9BQ3 2025: $18.4BQ4 2025: $19BQ1 2026: $18.9BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $20.1B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$20.1B+8.9%
Q2 2026$19.6B+10%
Q1 2026$18.9B+11%
Q4 2025$19B+10%
Q3 2025$18.4B+11%
Q2 2025$17.9B+9.3%
Q1 2025$17B+7.4%
Q4 2024$17.2B+8.7%

AXP's revenue has grown year over year for 22 quarters in a row: $20.1B last quarter, up 8.9% from the same quarter a year ago.

AXP Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $6.3BQ1 2024: $5.2BQ2 2024: $4BQ3 2024: −$2.3BQ4 2024: $5.3BQ1 2025: $4.3BQ2 2025: $3.7BQ3 2025: $5.6BQ4 2025: $2.3BQ1 2026: $2.7BQ2 2026: $4.5BQ3 2026: $4.4B
Q4 2023: $6.3BQ1 2024: $5.2BQ2 2024: $4BQ3 2024: −$2.3BQ4 2024: $5.3BQ1 2025: $4.3BQ2 2025: $3.7BQ3 2025: $5.6BQ4 2025: $2.3BQ1 2026: $2.7BQ2 2026: $4.5BQ3 2026: $4.4B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$4.4B-20%
Q2 2026$4.5B+19%
Q1 2026$2.7B-39%
Q4 2025$2.3B-56%
Q3 2025$5.6B+$7.8B
Q2 2025$3.7B-5.6%
Q1 2025$4.3B-16%
Q4 2024$5.3B-17%

AXP's free cash flow was $13.9B over the past year, down 27% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like AXP.

AXP Total Shares

Q4 2023: 736MQ1 2024: 722MQ2 2024: 717MQ3 2024: 709MQ4 2024: 713MQ1 2025: 702MQ2 2025: 699MQ3 2025: 693MQ4 2025: 696MQ1 2026: 686MQ2 2026: 679MQ3 2026: 674M
Q4 2023: 736MQ1 2024: 722MQ2 2024: 717MQ3 2024: 709MQ4 2024: 713MQ1 2025: 702MQ2 2025: 699MQ3 2025: 693MQ4 2025: 696MQ1 2026: 686MQ2 2026: 679MQ3 2026: 674M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.7%-5M shares
1 year-2.7%-19M shares
3 years-8%-59M shares
5 years-14%-113M shares
Available history-19%-156M shares

AXP has 674M diluted shares, down 2.7% from a year ago, with $6.7B in buybacks over the past year.

AXP Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 3.5xQ1 2024: 3.4xQ2 2024: 3.3xQ3 2024: 3.6xQ4 2024: 3.3xQ1 2025: 3.4xQ2 2025: 3.9xQ3 2025: 3.7xQ4 2025: 3.5xQ1 2026: 3.6xQ2 2026: 3.3xQ3 2026: 3.2x
Q4 2023: 3.5xQ1 2024: 3.4xQ2 2024: 3.3xQ3 2024: 3.6xQ4 2024: 3.3xQ1 2025: 3.4xQ2 2025: 3.9xQ3 2025: 3.7xQ4 2025: 3.5xQ1 2026: 3.6xQ2 2026: 3.3xQ3 2026: 3.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20263.2xElevated
Q2 20263.3xElevated
Q1 20263.6xElevated
Q4 20253.5xElevated
Q3 20253.7xElevated
Q2 20253.9xElevated
Q1 20253.4xElevated
Q4 20243.3xElevated

AXP's net debt is about 3.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 3.7 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like AXP.

AXP Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI46.8Neutral
Stochastic41.5Neutral

AXP's weekly RSI is 47 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 41 (neutral).

AXP PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricAXPSector medianRelative
PE18x13x38% above
PE %366327 pts below

AXP is trading at 18x earnings, a 38% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

AXP Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$313.11.6% above
20 week MA$327.02.7% below
50 week MA$331.44% below
100 week MA$319.70.5% below
200 week MA$261.522% above

AXP's trend is mixed: it's above two of its five weekly moving averages, and 22% above its 200-week average.

AXP Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$125.2$117.4-6.3%
2021$117.4$164.2+40%
2022$164.2$147.0-10%
2023$147.0$187.3+27%
2024$187.3$301.1+61%
2025$301.1$381.1+27%
2026 YTD$381.1$318.1-17%

AXP has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's down 17% so far in 2026.

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