AXP

American Express Company

62
Fundamentals62/ 100
Valuation56/ 100
Upside potential71/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

AXP has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

GS

The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc.

64
Fundamentals69/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential14/ 100

GS has a slight edge over AXP overall, supported by stronger fundamentals.

AXP Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
N/A
N/A

AXP's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like AXP.

GS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
N/A
N/A

GS's revenue and profitability are currently strong. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like GS.

AXP PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x21x31x41x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x21x31x41x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap16x$276-13%
Forward16x$318—
Current18x$318—
Fair19x$338+6.4%
Expensive23x$407+28%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AXP has the edge over GS in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

GS PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.2x10x16x21x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE5.2x10x16x21x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap7.6x$528-42%
Current13x$914—
Forward13x$914—
Fair14x$940+2.9%
Expensive17x$1,214+33%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

GS's PE is 13x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

AXP Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
High

AXP has the edge over GS on the outlook, with more favorable valuation expectations.

GS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Strong growth
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for GS, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

AXP Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+26%$399.98
Downside-10%$285.40

Calculated from the latest close: $318.06 on Nov 12.

AXP has a better modeled risk to reward balance than GS, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

GS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+19%$1,085.26
Downside-14%$781.84

Calculated from the latest close: $913.60 on Nov 12.

GS trails AXP on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

AXP Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $11.21Q1 2024: $12.14Q2 2024: $13.40Q3 2024: $13.59Q4 2024: $14.01Q1 2025: $14.32Q2 2025: $14.25Q3 2025: $14.90Q4 2025: $15.38Q1 2026: $16.02Q2 2026: $16.47Q3 2026: $17.75Forward: $19.38
Q4 2023: $11.21Q1 2024: $12.14Q2 2024: $13.40Q3 2024: $13.59Q4 2024: $14.01Q1 2025: $14.32Q2 2025: $14.25Q3 2025: $14.90Q4 2025: $15.38Q1 2026: $16.02Q2 2026: $16.47Q3 2026: $17.75Forward: $19.38
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$19.38+9.2%
Q3 2026$17.75+19%
Q2 2026$16.47+16%
Q1 2026$16.02+12%
Q4 2025$15.38+9.8%
Q3 2025$14.90+9.6%
Q2 2025$14.25+6.3%
Q1 2025$14.32+18%
Q4 2024$14.01+25%

AXP's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $17.75 over the past year, up 19% from the year before, and higher year over year for 14 quarters in a row.

GS Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $22.87Q1 2024: $25.66Q2 2024: $31.20Q3 2024: $34.13Q4 2024: $40.54Q1 2025: $43.08Q2 2025: $45.37Q3 2025: $49.22Q4 2025: $51.32Q1 2026: $54.75Q2 2026: $64.82Q3 2026: $69.58Forward: $72.35
Q4 2023: $22.87Q1 2024: $25.66Q2 2024: $31.20Q3 2024: $34.13Q4 2024: $40.54Q1 2025: $43.08Q2 2025: $45.37Q3 2025: $49.22Q4 2025: $51.32Q1 2026: $54.75Q2 2026: $64.82Q3 2026: $69.58Forward: $72.35
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$72.35+4%
Q3 2026$69.58+41%
Q2 2026$64.82+43%
Q1 2026$54.75+27%
Q4 2025$51.32+27%
Q3 2025$49.22+44%
Q2 2025$45.37+45%
Q1 2025$43.08+68%
Q4 2024$40.54+77%

GS has the edge over AXP on earnings, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

AXP Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $15.8BQ1 2024: $15.8BQ2 2024: $16.3BQ3 2024: $16.6BQ4 2024: $17.2BQ1 2025: $17BQ2 2025: $17.9BQ3 2025: $18.4BQ4 2025: $19BQ1 2026: $18.9BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $20.1B
Q4 2023: $15.8BQ1 2024: $15.8BQ2 2024: $16.3BQ3 2024: $16.6BQ4 2024: $17.2BQ1 2025: $17BQ2 2025: $17.9BQ3 2025: $18.4BQ4 2025: $19BQ1 2026: $18.9BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $20.1B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$20.1B+8.9%
Q2 2026$19.6B+10%
Q1 2026$18.9B+11%
Q4 2025$19B+10%
Q3 2025$18.4B+11%
Q2 2025$17.9B+9.3%
Q1 2025$17B+7.4%
Q4 2024$17.2B+8.7%

AXP's revenue has grown year over year for 22 quarters in a row: $20.1B last quarter, up 8.9% from the same quarter a year ago.

GS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $11.3BQ1 2024: $14.2BQ2 2024: $12.7BQ3 2024: $12.7BQ4 2024: $13.9BQ1 2025: $15.1BQ2 2025: $14.6BQ3 2025: $15.2BQ4 2025: $13.5BQ1 2026: $17.2BQ2 2026: $20.3BQ3 2026: $18.7B
Q4 2023: $11.3BQ1 2024: $14.2BQ2 2024: $12.7BQ3 2024: $12.7BQ4 2024: $13.9BQ1 2025: $15.1BQ2 2025: $14.6BQ3 2025: $15.2BQ4 2025: $13.5BQ1 2026: $17.2BQ2 2026: $20.3BQ3 2026: $18.7B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$18.7B+23%
Q2 2026$20.3B+39%
Q1 2026$17.2B+14%
Q4 2025$13.5B-3%
Q3 2025$15.2B+20%
Q2 2025$14.6B+15%
Q1 2025$15.1B+6%
Q4 2024$13.9B+23%

GS's revenue is growing: $18.7B last quarter, up 23% from the same quarter a year ago.

AXP Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $6.3BQ1 2024: $5.2BQ2 2024: $4BQ3 2024: −$2.3BQ4 2024: $5.3BQ1 2025: $4.3BQ2 2025: $3.7BQ3 2025: $5.6BQ4 2025: $2.3BQ1 2026: $2.7BQ2 2026: $4.5BQ3 2026: $4.4B
Q4 2023: $6.3BQ1 2024: $5.2BQ2 2024: $4BQ3 2024: −$2.3BQ4 2024: $5.3BQ1 2025: $4.3BQ2 2025: $3.7BQ3 2025: $5.6BQ4 2025: $2.3BQ1 2026: $2.7BQ2 2026: $4.5BQ3 2026: $4.4B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$4.4B-20%
Q2 2026$4.5B+19%
Q1 2026$2.7B-39%
Q4 2025$2.3B-56%
Q3 2025$5.6B+$7.8B
Q2 2025$3.7B-5.6%
Q1 2025$4.3B-16%
Q4 2024$5.3B-17%

AXP has the edge over GS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

GS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$28.9BQ1 2024: −$28.5BQ2 2024: $5.6BQ3 2024: −$38.5BQ4 2024: $46.2BQ1 2025: −$37.7BQ2 2025: $5.2BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: −$16.8BQ1 2026: −$32.4BQ2 2026: $5.6BQ3 2026: $3.7B
Q4 2023: −$28.9BQ1 2024: −$28.5BQ2 2024: $5.6BQ3 2024: −$38.5BQ4 2024: $46.2BQ1 2025: −$37.7BQ2 2025: $5.2BQ3 2025: $2.1BQ4 2025: −$16.8BQ1 2026: −$32.4BQ2 2026: $5.6BQ3 2026: $3.7B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$3.7B+72%
Q2 2026$5.6B+7.8%
Q1 2026-$32.4B+$5.3B
Q4 2025-$16.8B-136%
Q3 2025$2.1B+$40.6B
Q2 2025$5.2B-6.8%
Q1 2025-$37.7B-$9.2B
Q4 2024$46.2B+$75.1B

GS's free cash flow was −$40B over the past year, against $15.8B the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like GS.

AXP Total Shares

Q4 2023: 736MQ1 2024: 722MQ2 2024: 717MQ3 2024: 709MQ4 2024: 713MQ1 2025: 702MQ2 2025: 699MQ3 2025: 693MQ4 2025: 696MQ1 2026: 686MQ2 2026: 679MQ3 2026: 674M
Q4 2023: 736MQ1 2024: 722MQ2 2024: 717MQ3 2024: 709MQ4 2024: 713MQ1 2025: 702MQ2 2025: 699MQ3 2025: 693MQ4 2025: 696MQ1 2026: 686MQ2 2026: 679MQ3 2026: 674M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.7%-5M shares
1 year-2.7%-19M shares
3 years-8%-59M shares
5 years-14%-113M shares
Available history-19%-156M shares

AXP has 674M diluted shares, down 2.7% from a year ago, with $6.7B in buybacks over the past year.

GS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 346MQ1 2024: 340MQ2 2024: 336MQ3 2024: 331MQ4 2024: 334MQ1 2025: 325MQ2 2025: 318MQ3 2025: 315MQ4 2025: 318MQ1 2026: 308MQ2 2026: 305MQ3 2026: 301M
Q4 2023: 346MQ1 2024: 340MQ2 2024: 336MQ3 2024: 331MQ4 2024: 334MQ1 2025: 325MQ2 2025: 318MQ3 2025: 315MQ4 2025: 318MQ1 2026: 308MQ2 2026: 305MQ3 2026: 301M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-1.2%-3.8M shares
1 year-4.4%-13.9M shares
3 years-12%-42.8M shares
5 years-15%-52.8M shares
Available history-20%-74.4M shares

GS has the edge over AXP on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AXP Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 3.5xQ1 2024: 3.4xQ2 2024: 3.3xQ3 2024: 3.6xQ4 2024: 3.3xQ1 2025: 3.4xQ2 2025: 3.9xQ3 2025: 3.7xQ4 2025: 3.5xQ1 2026: 3.6xQ2 2026: 3.3xQ3 2026: 3.2x
Q4 2023: 3.5xQ1 2024: 3.4xQ2 2024: 3.3xQ3 2024: 3.6xQ4 2024: 3.3xQ1 2025: 3.4xQ2 2025: 3.9xQ3 2025: 3.7xQ4 2025: 3.5xQ1 2026: 3.6xQ2 2026: 3.3xQ3 2026: 3.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20263.2xElevated
Q2 20263.3xElevated
Q1 20263.6xElevated
Q4 20253.5xElevated
Q3 20253.7xElevated
Q2 20253.9xElevated
Q1 20253.4xElevated
Q4 20243.3xElevated

AXP's net debt is about 3.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 3.7 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like AXP.

GS Net Leverage

Q4 2023: -9.6xQ1 2024: -6.8xQ2 2024: -6.5xQ3 2024: -3.5xQ4 2024: -4.7xQ1 2025: -3.9xQ2 2025: -3.1xQ3 2025: -3.5xQ4 2025: -6.4xQ1 2026: -6.7xQ2 2026: -6.1xQ3 2026: -5.4x
Q4 2023: -9.6xQ1 2024: -6.8xQ2 2024: -6.5xQ3 2024: -3.5xQ4 2024: -4.7xQ1 2025: -3.9xQ2 2025: -3.1xQ3 2025: -3.5xQ4 2025: -6.4xQ1 2026: -6.7xQ2 2026: -6.1xQ3 2026: -5.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-5.4xNet Cash
Q2 2026-6.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-6.7xNet Cash
Q4 2025-6.4xNet Cash
Q3 2025-3.5xNet Cash
Q2 2025-3.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-3.9xNet Cash
Q4 2024-4.7xNet Cash

GS has the edge over AXP on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

AXP Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI46.8Neutral
Stochastic41.5Neutral

AXP's weekly RSI is 47 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 41 (neutral).

GS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI44.5Neutral
Stochastic16.3Oversold

GS's weekly RSI is 45 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).

AXP PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricAXPSector medianRelative
PE18x13x38% above
PE %366327 pts below

AXP is trading at 18x earnings, a 38% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

GS PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricGSSector medianRelative
PE13x13x0.8% above
PE %466317 pts below

GS has the edge over AXP on valuation relative to its sector.

AXP Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$313.11.6% above
20 week MA$327.02.7% below
50 week MA$331.44% below
100 week MA$319.70.5% below
200 week MA$261.522% above

AXP's trend is mixed: it's above two of its five weekly moving averages, and 22% above its 200-week average.

GS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$895.52% above
20 week MA$977.46.5% below
50 week MA$945.43.4% below
100 week MA$804.514% above
200 week MA$602.752% above

GS has the edge over AXP on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

AXP Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$125.2$117.4-6.3%
2021$117.4$164.2+40%
2022$164.2$147.0-10%
2023$147.0$187.3+27%
2024$187.3$301.1+61%
2025$301.1$381.1+27%
2026 YTD$381.1$318.1-17%

AXP has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's down 17% so far in 2026.

GS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$230.7$256.2+11%
2021$256.2$385.0+50%
2022$385.0$345.5-10%
2023$345.5$385.8+12%
2024$385.8$576.2+49%
2025$576.2$907.0+57%
2026 YTD$907.0$913.6+0.7%

GS has the edge over AXP on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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