AXP

American Express Company

62
Fundamentals62/ 100
Valuation56/ 100
Upside potential71/ 100
Risk potential10/ 100

AXP has the edge over BLK overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

BLK

BlackRock, Inc.

50
Fundamentals63/ 100
Valuation31/ 100
Upside potential50/ 100
Risk potential15/ 100

BLK offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

AXP Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
N/A
N/A

AXP's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like AXP.

BLK Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
N/A
N/A

BLK's revenue and profitability are currently healthy. Free cash flow and net leverage aren't meaningful measures for financial services companies like BLK.

AXP PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x21x31x41x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE10x21x31x41x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap16x$276-13%
Forward16x$318—
Current18x$318—
Fair19x$338+6.4%
Expensive23x$407+28%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AXP has the edge over BLK in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.

BLK PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.8x16x23x31x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE7.8x16x23x31x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap19x$848-30%
Fair22x$973-20%
Expensive26x$1,149-5.5%
Current28x$1,217—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BLK's PE is in its expensive range at 28x.

AXP Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Growth
Improving
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for AXP, with profitability improving.

BLK Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for BLK to show an outlook.

AXP Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+26%$399.98
Downside-10%$285.40

Calculated from the latest close: $318.06 on Nov 12.

AXP has a better modeled risk to reward balance than BLK, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

BLK Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+14%$1,392.25
Downside-15%$1,038.38

Calculated from the latest close: $1,216.61 on Nov 12.

BLK trails AXP on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

AXP Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $11.21Q1 2024: $12.14Q2 2024: $13.40Q3 2024: $13.59Q4 2024: $14.01Q1 2025: $14.32Q2 2025: $14.25Q3 2025: $14.90Q4 2025: $15.38Q1 2026: $16.02Q2 2026: $16.47Q3 2026: $17.75Forward: $19.38
Q4 2023: $11.21Q1 2024: $12.14Q2 2024: $13.40Q3 2024: $13.59Q4 2024: $14.01Q1 2025: $14.32Q2 2025: $14.25Q3 2025: $14.90Q4 2025: $15.38Q1 2026: $16.02Q2 2026: $16.47Q3 2026: $17.75Forward: $19.38
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$19.38+9.2%
Q3 2026$17.75+19%
Q2 2026$16.47+16%
Q1 2026$16.02+12%
Q4 2025$15.38+9.8%
Q3 2025$14.90+9.6%
Q2 2025$14.25+6.3%
Q1 2025$14.32+18%
Q4 2024$14.01+25%

AXP has the edge over BLK on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

BLK Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $36.51Q1 2024: $39.35Q2 2024: $40.28Q3 2024: $40.52Q4 2024: $42.53Q1 2025: $41.69Q2 2025: $41.89Q3 2025: $39.42Q4 2025: $35.31Q1 2026: $39.73Q2 2026: $41.73Q3 2026: $43.87
Q4 2023: $36.51Q1 2024: $39.35Q2 2024: $40.28Q3 2024: $40.52Q4 2024: $42.53Q1 2025: $41.69Q2 2025: $41.89Q3 2025: $39.42Q4 2025: $35.31Q1 2026: $39.73Q2 2026: $41.73Q3 2026: $43.87
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$43.87+11%
Q2 2026$41.73-0.4%
Q1 2026$39.73-4.7%
Q4 2025$35.31-17%
Q3 2025$39.42-2.7%
Q2 2025$41.89+4%
Q1 2025$41.69+5.9%
Q4 2024$42.53+16%

BLK earned $43.87 per share over the past year, up 11% from the year before.

AXP Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $15.8BQ1 2024: $15.8BQ2 2024: $16.3BQ3 2024: $16.6BQ4 2024: $17.2BQ1 2025: $17BQ2 2025: $17.9BQ3 2025: $18.4BQ4 2025: $19BQ1 2026: $18.9BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $20.1B
Q4 2023: $15.8BQ1 2024: $15.8BQ2 2024: $16.3BQ3 2024: $16.6BQ4 2024: $17.2BQ1 2025: $17BQ2 2025: $17.9BQ3 2025: $18.4BQ4 2025: $19BQ1 2026: $18.9BQ2 2026: $19.6BQ3 2026: $20.1B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$20.1B+8.9%
Q2 2026$19.6B+10%
Q1 2026$18.9B+11%
Q4 2025$19B+10%
Q3 2025$18.4B+11%
Q2 2025$17.9B+9.3%
Q1 2025$17B+7.4%
Q4 2024$17.2B+8.7%

AXP's revenue has grown year over year for 22 quarters in a row: $20.1B last quarter, up 8.9% from the same quarter a year ago.

BLK Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $4.6BQ1 2024: $4.7BQ2 2024: $4.8BQ3 2024: $5.2BQ4 2024: $5.7BQ1 2025: $5.3BQ2 2025: $5.4BQ3 2025: $6.5BQ4 2025: $7BQ1 2026: $6.7BQ2 2026: $7.1BQ3 2026: $7.8B
Q4 2023: $4.6BQ1 2024: $4.7BQ2 2024: $4.8BQ3 2024: $5.2BQ4 2024: $5.7BQ1 2025: $5.3BQ2 2025: $5.4BQ3 2025: $6.5BQ4 2025: $7BQ1 2026: $6.7BQ2 2026: $7.1BQ3 2026: $7.8B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$7.8B+19%
Q2 2026$7.1B+31%
Q1 2026$6.7B+27%
Q4 2025$7B+23%
Q3 2025$6.5B+25%
Q2 2025$5.4B+13%
Q1 2025$5.3B+12%
Q4 2024$5.7B+23%

BLK has the edge over AXP on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.

AXP Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $6.3BQ1 2024: $5.2BQ2 2024: $4BQ3 2024: −$2.3BQ4 2024: $5.3BQ1 2025: $4.3BQ2 2025: $3.7BQ3 2025: $5.6BQ4 2025: $2.3BQ1 2026: $2.7BQ2 2026: $4.5BQ3 2026: $4.4B
Q4 2023: $6.3BQ1 2024: $5.2BQ2 2024: $4BQ3 2024: −$2.3BQ4 2024: $5.3BQ1 2025: $4.3BQ2 2025: $3.7BQ3 2025: $5.6BQ4 2025: $2.3BQ1 2026: $2.7BQ2 2026: $4.5BQ3 2026: $4.4B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$4.4B-20%
Q2 2026$4.5B+19%
Q1 2026$2.7B-39%
Q4 2025$2.3B-56%
Q3 2025$5.6B+$7.8B
Q2 2025$3.7B-5.6%
Q1 2025$4.3B-16%
Q4 2024$5.3B-17%

AXP's free cash flow was $13.9B over the past year, down 27% from the year before. Free cash flow isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like AXP.

BLK Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $1.9BQ1 2024: −$472MQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: --Q4 2024: $2.5BQ1 2025: −$1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $2.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $1.1BQ3 2026: $2.6B
Q4 2023: $1.9BQ1 2024: −$472MQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: --Q4 2024: $2.5BQ1 2025: −$1.2BQ2 2025: $1.3BQ3 2025: $1.3BQ4 2025: $2.1BQ1 2026: −$1.1BQ2 2026: $1.1BQ3 2026: $2.6B
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$2.6B+95%
Q2 2026$1.1B-12%
Q1 2026-$1.1B+$120M
Q4 2025$2.1B-15%
Q2 2025$1.3B-6.1%
Q1 2025-$1.2B-$734M
Q4 2024$2.5B+35%
Q2 2024$1.4B+47%

BLK has the edge over AXP on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

AXP Total Shares

Q4 2023: 736MQ1 2024: 722MQ2 2024: 717MQ3 2024: 709MQ4 2024: 713MQ1 2025: 702MQ2 2025: 699MQ3 2025: 693MQ4 2025: 696MQ1 2026: 686MQ2 2026: 679MQ3 2026: 674M
Q4 2023: 736MQ1 2024: 722MQ2 2024: 717MQ3 2024: 709MQ4 2024: 713MQ1 2025: 702MQ2 2025: 699MQ3 2025: 693MQ4 2025: 696MQ1 2026: 686MQ2 2026: 679MQ3 2026: 674M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.7%-5M shares
1 year-2.7%-19M shares
3 years-8%-59M shares
5 years-14%-113M shares
Available history-19%-156M shares

AXP has the edge over BLK on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

BLK Total Shares

Q4 2023: 150MQ1 2024: 150MQ2 2024: 150MQ3 2024: 150MQ4 2024: 152MQ1 2025: 157MQ2 2025: 156MQ3 2025: 165MQ4 2025: 161MQ1 2026: 165MQ2 2026: 165MQ3 2026: 165M
Q4 2023: 150MQ1 2024: 150MQ2 2024: 150MQ3 2024: 150MQ4 2024: 152MQ1 2025: 157MQ2 2025: 156MQ3 2025: 165MQ4 2025: 161MQ1 2026: 165MQ2 2026: 165MQ3 2026: 165M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.1%-148K shares
1 year-0.4%-677K shares
3 years+9.3%+14M shares
5 years+6.2%+9.6M shares
Available history+4.4%+7M shares

BLK has 165M diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.

AXP Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 3.5xQ1 2024: 3.4xQ2 2024: 3.3xQ3 2024: 3.6xQ4 2024: 3.3xQ1 2025: 3.4xQ2 2025: 3.9xQ3 2025: 3.7xQ4 2025: 3.5xQ1 2026: 3.6xQ2 2026: 3.3xQ3 2026: 3.2x
Q4 2023: 3.5xQ1 2024: 3.4xQ2 2024: 3.3xQ3 2024: 3.6xQ4 2024: 3.3xQ1 2025: 3.4xQ2 2025: 3.9xQ3 2025: 3.7xQ4 2025: 3.5xQ1 2026: 3.6xQ2 2026: 3.3xQ3 2026: 3.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20263.2xElevated
Q2 20263.3xElevated
Q1 20263.6xElevated
Q4 20253.5xElevated
Q3 20253.7xElevated
Q2 20253.9xElevated
Q1 20253.4xElevated
Q4 20243.3xElevated

AXP's net debt is about 3.2 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 3.7 years a year ago. Net leverage isn't a meaningful measure for financial services companies like AXP.

BLK Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.3xQ4 2025: 0.2xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.2xQ3 2026: -0.0x
Q4 2023: 0.1xQ1 2024: 0.3xQ2 2024: 0.2xQ3 2025: 0.3xQ4 2025: 0.2xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.2xQ3 2026: -0.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.0xNet Cash
Q2 20260.2xVery low
Q1 20260.3xVery low
Q4 20250.2xVery low
Q3 20250.3xVery low
Q2 20240.2xVery low
Q1 20240.3xVery low
Q4 20230.1xVery low

BLK has the edge over AXP on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.

AXP Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI46.8Neutral
Stochastic41.5Neutral

AXP's weekly RSI is 47 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 41 (neutral).

BLK Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI64.5Neutral
Stochastic79.0Neutral

BLK's weekly RSI is 64 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 79 (neutral).

AXP PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricAXPSector medianRelative
PE18x13x38% above
PE %366327 pts below

AXP has the edge over BLK on valuation relative to its sector.

BLK PE vs Financial Services Sector

MetricBLKSector medianRelative
PE28x13x113% above
PE %976334 pts above

BLK is trading at 28x earnings, a 113% premium to the Financial Services sector's median of 13x.

AXP Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$313.11.6% above
20 week MA$327.02.7% below
50 week MA$331.44% below
100 week MA$319.70.5% below
200 week MA$261.522% above

AXP's trend is mixed: it's above two of its five weekly moving averages, and 22% above its 200-week average.

BLK Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$1,128.07.9% above
20 week MA$1,108.99.7% above
50 week MA$1,071.614% above
100 week MA$1,051.116% above
200 week MA$914.133% above

BLK has the edge over AXP on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

AXP Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$125.2$117.4-6.3%
2021$117.4$164.2+40%
2022$164.2$147.0-10%
2023$147.0$187.3+27%
2024$187.3$301.1+61%
2025$301.1$381.1+27%
2026 YTD$381.1$318.1-17%

AXP has finished higher in four of the last six years. It's down 17% so far in 2026.

BLK Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$503.0$707.2+41%
2021$707.2$913.9+29%
2022$913.9$703.9-23%
2023$703.9$811.8+15%
2024$811.8$1,044.2+29%
2025$1,044.2$1,088.1+4.2%
2026 YTD$1,088.1$1,216.6+12%

BLK has the edge over AXP on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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