AWR

American States Water Company

61
Fundamentals63/ 100
Valuation64/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

AWR has the edge over SMR overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.

SMR

NuScale Power Corporation

39
Fundamentals12/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential64/ 100
Risk potential40/ 100

SMR offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

AWR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
Under pressure
Stable

AWR's profitability is currently strong, and its revenue and balance sheet are stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.

SMR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Weak
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

SMR's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

AWR PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE12x24x36x48x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE12x24x36x48x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap23x$84.07-5.4%
Current24x$88.89โ€”
Forward24x$88.89โ€”
Fair32x$116+30%
Expensive37x$136+52%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AWR's PE is in its cheap range at 24.4x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 23.6x next year's earnings.

SMR PE Valuation

SMR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AWR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Growth
Growth
Weakening
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for AWR, but weaker profitability.

SMR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
--
Limited
High

Analysts expect SMR's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.

AWR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+15%$102.33
Downside-11%$78.76

Calculated from the latest close: $88.89 on Nov 12.

AWR trails SMR on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

SMR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+70%$8.20
Downside-40%$2.88

Calculated from the latest close: $4.82 on Nov 12.

SMR has a better modeled risk to reward balance than AWR, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

AWR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.36Q1 2024: $3.05Q2 2024: $2.86Q3 2024: $2.96Q4 2024: $3.17Q1 2025: $3.25Q2 2025: $3.27Q3 2025: $3.38Q4 2025: $3.37Q1 2026: $3.43Q2 2026: $3.65Q3 2026: $3.65Forward: $3.77
Q4 2023: $3.36Q1 2024: $3.05Q2 2024: $2.86Q3 2024: $2.96Q4 2024: $3.17Q1 2025: $3.25Q2 2025: $3.27Q3 2025: $3.38Q4 2025: $3.37Q1 2026: $3.43Q2 2026: $3.65Q3 2026: $3.65Forward: $3.77
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.77+3.3%
Q3 2026$3.65+8%
Q2 2026$3.65+12%
Q1 2026$3.43+5.5%
Q4 2025$3.37+6.3%
Q3 2025$3.38+14%
Q2 2025$3.27+14%
Q1 2025$3.25+6.6%
Q4 2024$3.17-5.7%

AWR has the edge over SMR on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

SMR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.80Q1 2024: $-0.85Q2 2024: $-1.03Q3 2024: $-0.95Q4 2024: $-1.47Q1 2025: $-1.37Q2 2025: $-1.19Q3 2025: $-2.86Q4 2025: $-2.43Q1 2026: $-2.46Q2 2026: $-2.46Q3 2026: $-0.72
Q4 2023: $-0.80Q1 2024: $-0.85Q2 2024: $-1.03Q3 2024: $-0.95Q4 2024: $-1.47Q1 2025: $-1.37Q2 2025: $-1.19Q3 2025: $-2.86Q4 2025: $-2.43Q1 2026: $-2.46Q2 2026: $-2.46Q3 2026: $-0.72
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$0.72+$2.14
Q2 2026-$2.46-$1.27
Q1 2026-$2.46-$1.09
Q4 2025-$2.43-$0.96
Q3 2025-$2.86-$1.91
Q2 2025-$1.19-$0.16
Q1 2025-$1.37-$0.52
Q4 2024-$1.47-$0.67

SMR is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.72 per share over the past year, against $2.86 at its worst in late 2025.

AWR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $125MQ1 2024: $135MQ2 2024: $155MQ3 2024: $162MQ4 2024: $143MQ1 2025: $148MQ2 2025: $163MQ3 2025: $183MQ4 2025: $164MQ1 2026: $169MQ2 2026: $181MQ3 2026: $193M
Q4 2023: $125MQ1 2024: $135MQ2 2024: $155MQ3 2024: $162MQ4 2024: $143MQ1 2025: $148MQ2 2025: $163MQ3 2025: $183MQ4 2025: $164MQ1 2026: $169MQ2 2026: $181MQ3 2026: $193M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$192.5M+5.4%
Q2 2026$181.3M+11%
Q1 2026$169.2M+14%
Q4 2025$164.3M+15%
Q3 2025$182.7M+13%
Q2 2025$163.1M+5%
Q1 2025$148M+9.4%
Q4 2024$143.1M+14%

AWR's revenue has grown year over year for nine quarters in a row: $193M last quarter, up 5.4% from the same quarter a year ago.

SMR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $5MQ1 2024: $1MQ2 2024: $967,000Q3 2024: $475,000Q4 2024: $34MQ1 2025: $13MQ2 2025: $8MQ3 2025: $8MQ4 2025: $2MQ1 2026: $565,000Q2 2026: $75,000Q3 2026: $281,000
Q4 2023: $5MQ1 2024: $1MQ2 2024: $967,000Q3 2024: $475,000Q4 2024: $34MQ1 2025: $13MQ2 2025: $8MQ3 2025: $8MQ4 2025: $2MQ1 2026: $565,000Q2 2026: $75,000Q3 2026: $281,000
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$281K-97%
Q2 2026$75K-99%
Q1 2026$565K-96%
Q4 2025$1.8M-95%
Q3 2025$8.2M+1635%
Q2 2025$8.1M+733%
Q1 2025$13.4M+870%
Q4 2024$34.2M+651%

SMR's revenue has slid since its 2024 peak: $281,000 last quarter, down 97% from the same quarter a year ago.

AWR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: โˆ’$41MQ1 2024: โˆ’$2MQ2 2024: โˆ’$37MQ3 2024: โˆ’$478,000Q4 2024: $6MQ1 2025: โˆ’$23MQ2 2025: $14MQ3 2025: $38MQ4 2025: โˆ’$36MQ1 2026: $23MQ2 2026: โˆ’$4MQ3 2026: $27M
Q4 2023: โˆ’$41MQ1 2024: โˆ’$2MQ2 2024: โˆ’$37MQ3 2024: โˆ’$478,000Q4 2024: $6MQ1 2025: โˆ’$23MQ2 2025: $14MQ3 2025: $38MQ4 2025: โˆ’$36MQ1 2026: $23MQ2 2026: โˆ’$4MQ3 2026: $27M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$27.2M-28%
Q2 2026-$3.6M-126%
Q1 2026$22.6M+$45.1M
Q4 2025-$36M-696%
Q3 2025$37.7M+$38.2M
Q2 2025$13.7M+$50.7M
Q1 2025-$22.5M-$20.8M
Q4 2024$6M+$47.3M

AWR has the stronger cash trend. Its trailing FCF is up 128% versus its history, compared with SMR at down 161%.

SMR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: โˆ’$73MQ1 2024: โˆ’$33MQ2 2024: โˆ’$36MQ3 2024: โˆ’$13MQ4 2024: โˆ’$26MQ1 2025: โˆ’$23MQ2 2025: โˆ’$33MQ3 2025: --Q4 2025: โˆ’$204MQ1 2026: โˆ’$316MQ2 2026: โˆ’$59MQ3 2026: โˆ’$29M
Q4 2023: โˆ’$73MQ1 2024: โˆ’$33MQ2 2024: โˆ’$36MQ3 2024: โˆ’$13MQ4 2024: โˆ’$26MQ1 2025: โˆ’$23MQ2 2025: โˆ’$33MQ3 2025: --Q4 2025: โˆ’$204MQ1 2026: โˆ’$316MQ2 2026: โˆ’$59MQ3 2026: โˆ’$29M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$58.6M-$25.3M
Q1 2026-$316.2M-$293.3M
Q4 2025-$204.1M-$177.6M
Q2 2025-$33.3M+$2.7M
Q1 2025-$22.9M+$10.6M
Q4 2024-$26.5M+$46.8M
Q3 2024-$12.7M+$15M
Q2 2024-$36M+$4.5M

SMR has burned cash in almost every quarter: โˆ’$608M over the past year, against โˆ’$95M the year before.

AWR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 37MQ1 2024: 37MQ2 2024: 37MQ3 2024: 38MQ4 2024: 38MQ1 2025: 38MQ2 2025: 39MQ3 2025: 39MQ4 2025: 39MQ1 2026: 39MQ2 2026: 39MQ3 2026: 40M
Q4 2023: 37MQ1 2024: 37MQ2 2024: 37MQ3 2024: 38MQ4 2024: 38MQ1 2025: 38MQ2 2025: 39MQ3 2025: 39MQ4 2025: 39MQ1 2026: 39MQ2 2026: 39MQ3 2026: 40M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.8%+300K shares
1 year+2.8%+1.1M shares
3 years+7.3%+2.7M shares
5 years+7.4%+2.8M shares
Available history+7.6%+2.8M shares

AWR has the edge over SMR on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

SMR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 73MQ1 2024: 80MQ2 2024: 90MQ3 2024: 95MQ4 2024: 93MQ1 2025: 128MQ2 2025: 133MQ3 2025: 148MQ4 2025: 164MQ1 2026: 320MQ2 2026: 365MQ3 2026: 410M
Q4 2023: 73MQ1 2024: 80MQ2 2024: 90MQ3 2024: 95MQ4 2024: 93MQ1 2025: 128MQ2 2025: 133MQ3 2025: 148MQ4 2025: 164MQ1 2026: 320MQ2 2026: 365MQ3 2026: 410M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+13%+45.9M shares
1 year+178%+263M shares
3 years+448%+336M shares

SMR has 410M diluted shares, up 178% from a year ago.

AWR Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.4xQ1 2024: 2.5xQ2 2024: 2.9xQ3 2024: 2.8xQ4 2024: 2.7xQ1 2025: 2.8xQ2 2025: 3.3xQ3 2025: 3.1xQ4 2025: 3.1xQ1 2026: 3.0xQ2 2026: 2.6xQ3 2026: 2.5x
Q4 2023: 2.4xQ1 2024: 2.5xQ2 2024: 2.9xQ3 2024: 2.8xQ4 2024: 2.7xQ1 2025: 2.8xQ2 2025: 3.3xQ3 2025: 3.1xQ4 2025: 3.1xQ1 2026: 3.0xQ2 2026: 2.6xQ3 2026: 2.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.5xModerate
Q2 20262.6xModerate
Q1 20263.0xModerate
Q4 20253.1xElevated
Q3 20253.1xElevated
Q2 20253.3xElevated
Q1 20252.8xModerate
Q4 20242.7xModerate

AWR's net debt is about 2.5 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 3.1 years a year ago.

SMR Net Leverage

SMR's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

AWR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI61.1Neutral
Stochastic69.2Neutral

AWR's weekly RSI is 61 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 69 (neutral).

SMR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI29.5Oversold
Stochastic8.6Oversold

SMR's weekly RSI is 30 (oversold) and its Stochastic is 9 (oversold).

AWR PE vs Utilities Sector

MetricAWRSector medianRelative
PE24x20x19% above
PE %284416 pts below

AWR is trading at 24x earnings, a 19% premium to the Utilities sector's median of 20x.

SMR PE vs Utilities Sector

SMR has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AWR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$85.24.3% above
20 week MA$86.42.9% above
50 week MA$79.811% above
100 week MA$77.814% above
200 week MA$79.911% above

AWR has the edge over SMR on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

SMR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$6.2623% below
20 week MA$7.8839% below
50 week MA$11.458% below
100 week MA$20.276% below
200 week MA$14.467% below

SMR is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 67% below its 200-week average.

AWR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$86.9$77.7-11%
2021$77.7$100.4+29%
2022$100.4$93.7-6.6%
2023$93.7$80.4-14%
2024$80.4$78.0-3%
2025$78.0$73.0-6.3%
2026 YTD$73.0$88.9+22%

AWR has the edge over SMR on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

SMR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$10.1$10.3+1.2%
2021$10.3$10.1-1.9%
2022$10.1$10.1+0.5%
2023$10.1$3.29-67%
2024$3.29$19.5+493%
2025$19.5$14.9-24%
2026 YTD$14.9$4.82-68%

SMR's yearly returns have swung widely, from +493% in 2024 to โˆ’67% in 2023. It's down 68% so far in 2026.

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