AWR

American States Water Company

61
Fundamentals63/ 100
Valuation64/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential11/ 100

AWR's fundamentals are mixed: revenue grew 11%, but free cash flow fell 71%. At 24x earnings, it's trading below its usual 32x. Analysts expect earnings growth.

AWR Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Strong
Under pressure
Stable

AWR's profitability is currently strong, and its revenue and balance sheet are stable, but its cash flow is under pressure.

AWR PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE12x24x36x48x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE12x24x36x48x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap23x$84.07-5.4%
Current24x$88.89—
Forward24x$88.89—
Fair32x$116+30%
Expensive37x$136+52%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

AWR's PE is in its cheap range at 24.4x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 23.6x next year's earnings.

AWR Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Stable
Growth
Growth
Weakening
Limited
High

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for AWR, but weaker profitability.

AWR Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+15%$102.33
Downside-11%$78.76

Calculated from the latest close: $88.89 on Nov 12.

AWR's one-year upside scenario is somewhat larger than its downside: +15% against −11%.

AWR Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $3.36Q1 2024: $3.05Q2 2024: $2.86Q3 2024: $2.96Q4 2024: $3.17Q1 2025: $3.25Q2 2025: $3.27Q3 2025: $3.38Q4 2025: $3.37Q1 2026: $3.43Q2 2026: $3.65Q3 2026: $3.65Forward: $3.77
Q4 2023: $3.36Q1 2024: $3.05Q2 2024: $2.86Q3 2024: $2.96Q4 2024: $3.17Q1 2025: $3.25Q2 2025: $3.27Q3 2025: $3.38Q4 2025: $3.37Q1 2026: $3.43Q2 2026: $3.65Q3 2026: $3.65Forward: $3.77
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.77+3.3%
Q3 2026$3.65+8%
Q2 2026$3.65+12%
Q1 2026$3.43+5.5%
Q4 2025$3.37+6.3%
Q3 2025$3.38+14%
Q2 2025$3.27+14%
Q1 2025$3.25+6.6%
Q4 2024$3.17-5.7%

AWR earned $3.65 per share over the past year, up 8% from the year before.

AWR Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $125MQ1 2024: $135MQ2 2024: $155MQ3 2024: $162MQ4 2024: $143MQ1 2025: $148MQ2 2025: $163MQ3 2025: $183MQ4 2025: $164MQ1 2026: $169MQ2 2026: $181MQ3 2026: $193M
Q4 2023: $125MQ1 2024: $135MQ2 2024: $155MQ3 2024: $162MQ4 2024: $143MQ1 2025: $148MQ2 2025: $163MQ3 2025: $183MQ4 2025: $164MQ1 2026: $169MQ2 2026: $181MQ3 2026: $193M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$192.5M+5.4%
Q2 2026$181.3M+11%
Q1 2026$169.2M+14%
Q4 2025$164.3M+15%
Q3 2025$182.7M+13%
Q2 2025$163.1M+5%
Q1 2025$148M+9.4%
Q4 2024$143.1M+14%

AWR's revenue has grown year over year for nine quarters in a row: $193M last quarter, up 5.4% from the same quarter a year ago.

AWR Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$41MQ1 2024: −$2MQ2 2024: −$37MQ3 2024: −$478,000Q4 2024: $6MQ1 2025: −$23MQ2 2025: $14MQ3 2025: $38MQ4 2025: −$36MQ1 2026: $23MQ2 2026: −$4MQ3 2026: $27M
Q4 2023: −$41MQ1 2024: −$2MQ2 2024: −$37MQ3 2024: −$478,000Q4 2024: $6MQ1 2025: −$23MQ2 2025: $14MQ3 2025: $38MQ4 2025: −$36MQ1 2026: $23MQ2 2026: −$4MQ3 2026: $27M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$27.2M-28%
Q2 2026-$3.6M-126%
Q1 2026$22.6M+$45.1M
Q4 2025-$36M-696%
Q3 2025$37.7M+$38.2M
Q2 2025$13.7M+$50.7M
Q1 2025-$22.5M-$20.8M
Q4 2024$6M+$47.3M

AWR has burned cash in most quarters: $10M over the past year, down 71% from the year before.

AWR Total Shares

Q4 2023: 37MQ1 2024: 37MQ2 2024: 37MQ3 2024: 38MQ4 2024: 38MQ1 2025: 38MQ2 2025: 39MQ3 2025: 39MQ4 2025: 39MQ1 2026: 39MQ2 2026: 39MQ3 2026: 40M
Q4 2023: 37MQ1 2024: 37MQ2 2024: 37MQ3 2024: 38MQ4 2024: 38MQ1 2025: 38MQ2 2025: 39MQ3 2025: 39MQ4 2025: 39MQ1 2026: 39MQ2 2026: 39MQ3 2026: 40M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.8%+300K shares
1 year+2.8%+1.1M shares
3 years+7.3%+2.7M shares
5 years+7.4%+2.8M shares
Available history+7.6%+2.8M shares

AWR has 40M diluted shares, up 2.8% from a year ago.

AWR Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.4xQ1 2024: 2.5xQ2 2024: 2.9xQ3 2024: 2.8xQ4 2024: 2.7xQ1 2025: 2.8xQ2 2025: 3.3xQ3 2025: 3.1xQ4 2025: 3.1xQ1 2026: 3.0xQ2 2026: 2.6xQ3 2026: 2.5x
Q4 2023: 2.4xQ1 2024: 2.5xQ2 2024: 2.9xQ3 2024: 2.8xQ4 2024: 2.7xQ1 2025: 2.8xQ2 2025: 3.3xQ3 2025: 3.1xQ4 2025: 3.1xQ1 2026: 3.0xQ2 2026: 2.6xQ3 2026: 2.5x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20262.5xModerate
Q2 20262.6xModerate
Q1 20263.0xModerate
Q4 20253.1xElevated
Q3 20253.1xElevated
Q2 20253.3xElevated
Q1 20252.8xModerate
Q4 20242.7xModerate

AWR's net debt is about 2.5 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 3.1 years a year ago.

AWR Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI61.1Neutral
Stochastic69.2Neutral

AWR's weekly RSI is 61 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 69 (neutral).

AWR PE vs Utilities Sector

MetricAWRSector medianRelative
PE24x20x19% above
PE %284416 pts below

AWR is trading at 24x earnings, a 19% premium to the Utilities sector's median of 20x.

AWR Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$85.24.3% above
20 week MA$86.42.9% above
50 week MA$79.811% above
100 week MA$77.814% above
200 week MA$79.911% above

AWR has climbed back above all five of its weekly moving averages, and it's now 11% above its 200-week average.

AWR Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$86.9$77.7-11%
2021$77.7$100.4+29%
2022$100.4$93.7-6.6%
2023$93.7$80.4-14%
2024$80.4$78.0-3%
2025$78.0$73.0-6.3%
2026 YTD$73.0$88.9+22%

AWR has finished four years in a row lower, and it's up 22% so far in 2026.

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