AVAV

AeroVironment, Inc.

53
Fundamentals50/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential43/ 100

AVAV's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

VRT

Vertiv Holdings Co

87
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation87/ 100
Upside potential86/ 100
Risk potential19/ 100

VRT has the edge over AVAV overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

AVAV Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Under pressure
Weak

AVAV's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are under pressure.

VRT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

VRT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

AVAV PE Valuation

AVAV has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

VRT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE39x77x116x155x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE39x77x116x155x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward23x$210—
Current39x$210—
Cheap58x$308+47%
Fair72x$383+83%
Expensive88x$472+125%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

VRT's PE is in its cheap range at 39x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 23x next year's earnings.

AVAV Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for AVAV, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

VRT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for VRT, with profitability improving.

AVAV Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+80%$217.25
Downside-43%$68.53

Calculated from the latest close: $120.84 on Nov 12.

AVAV trails VRT on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

VRT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+122%$466.33
Downside-19%$169.11

Calculated from the latest close: $209.64 on Nov 12.

VRT has a better modeled risk to reward balance than AVAV, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

AVAV Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-4.93Q1 2024: $-4.40Q2 2024: $2.18Q3 2024: $2.09Q4 2024: $1.70Q1 2025: $1.14Q2 2025: $1.55Q3 2025: $-0.64Q4 2025: $-1.25Q1 2026: $-6.09Q2 2026: $-5.40Q3 2026: $-4.06Forward: $3.74
Q4 2023: $-4.93Q1 2024: $-4.40Q2 2024: $2.18Q3 2024: $2.09Q4 2024: $1.70Q1 2025: $1.14Q2 2025: $1.55Q3 2025: $-0.64Q4 2025: $-1.25Q1 2026: $-6.09Q2 2026: $-5.40Q3 2026: $-4.06Forward: $3.74
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.74—
Q3 2026-$4.06-$3.42
Q2 2026-$5.40-448%
Q1 2026-$6.09-634%
Q4 2025-$1.25-174%
Q3 2025-$0.64-131%
Q2 2025$1.55-29%
Q1 2025$1.14+$5.54
Q4 2024$1.70+$6.63

AVAV is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $4.06 per share over the past year, against $7.04 at its worst in early 2023.

VRT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.19Q1 2024: $1.05Q2 2024: $1.29Q3 2024: $1.51Q4 2024: $1.28Q1 2025: $1.72Q2 2025: $2.09Q3 2025: $2.65Q4 2025: $3.41Q1 2026: $3.98Q2 2026: $4.42Q3 2026: $5.35Forward: $9.14
Q4 2023: $1.19Q1 2024: $1.05Q2 2024: $1.29Q3 2024: $1.51Q4 2024: $1.28Q1 2025: $1.72Q2 2025: $2.09Q3 2025: $2.65Q4 2025: $3.41Q1 2026: $3.98Q2 2026: $4.42Q3 2026: $5.35Forward: $9.14
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$9.14+71%
Q3 2026$5.35+102%
Q2 2026$4.42+111%
Q1 2026$3.98+131%
Q4 2025$3.41+166%
Q3 2025$2.65+75%
Q2 2025$2.09+62%
Q1 2025$1.72+64%
Q4 2024$1.28+7.6%

VRT has the edge over AVAV on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

AVAV Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $181MQ1 2024: $187MQ2 2024: $197MQ3 2024: $189MQ4 2024: $188MQ1 2025: $168MQ2 2025: $275MQ3 2025: $455MQ4 2025: $473MQ1 2026: $408MQ2 2026: $642MQ3 2026: $480M
Q4 2023: $181MQ1 2024: $187MQ2 2024: $197MQ3 2024: $189MQ4 2024: $188MQ1 2025: $168MQ2 2025: $275MQ3 2025: $455MQ4 2025: $473MQ1 2026: $408MQ2 2026: $642MQ3 2026: $480M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$480.5M+5.7%
Q2 2026$641.6M+133%
Q1 2026$408M+143%
Q4 2025$472.5M+151%
Q3 2025$454.7M+140%
Q2 2025$275.1M+40%
Q1 2025$167.6M-10%
Q4 2024$188.5M+4.2%

AVAV's revenue has grown year over year for six quarters in a row: $480M last quarter, up 5.7% from the same quarter a year ago.

VRT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.9BQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $2BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $2.3BQ1 2025: $2BQ2 2025: $2.6BQ3 2025: $2.7BQ4 2025: $2.9BQ1 2026: $2.6BQ2 2026: $3.3BQ3 2026: $4.3B
Q4 2023: $1.9BQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $2BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $2.3BQ1 2025: $2BQ2 2025: $2.6BQ3 2025: $2.7BQ4 2025: $2.9BQ1 2026: $2.6BQ2 2026: $3.3BQ3 2026: $4.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$4.3B+61%
Q2 2026$3.3B+24%
Q1 2026$2.6B+30%
Q4 2025$2.9B+23%
Q3 2025$2.7B+29%
Q2 2025$2.6B+35%
Q1 2025$2B+24%
Q4 2024$2.3B+26%

VRT's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $4.3B last quarter, up 61% from the same quarter a year ago.

AVAV Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$15MQ1 2024: $49MQ2 2024: −$21MQ3 2024: $23MQ4 2024: −$9MQ1 2025: −$30MQ2 2025: −$9MQ3 2025: −$146MQ4 2025: −$56MQ1 2026: −$18MQ2 2026: $79MQ3 2026: −$31M
Q4 2023: −$15MQ1 2024: $49MQ2 2024: −$21MQ3 2024: $23MQ4 2024: −$9MQ1 2025: −$30MQ2 2025: −$9MQ3 2025: −$146MQ4 2025: −$56MQ1 2026: −$18MQ2 2026: $79MQ3 2026: −$31M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$30.5M+$115.9M
Q2 2026$79.1M+$87.9M
Q1 2026-$17.7M+$11.9M
Q4 2025-$55.9M-$47.2M
Q3 2025-$146.5M-739%
Q2 2025-$8.8M+$12M
Q1 2025-$29.6M-161%
Q4 2024-$8.7M+$6.3M

AVAV has burned cash in seven of the last eight quarters: −$25M over the past year, against −$194M the year before.

VRT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $308MQ1 2024: $102MQ2 2024: $344MQ3 2024: $342MQ4 2024: $365MQ1 2025: $267MQ2 2025: $278MQ3 2025: $464MQ4 2025: $886MQ1 2026: $654MQ2 2026: $927MQ3 2026: $655M
Q4 2023: $308MQ1 2024: $102MQ2 2024: $344MQ3 2024: $342MQ4 2024: $365MQ1 2025: $267MQ2 2025: $278MQ3 2025: $464MQ4 2025: $886MQ1 2026: $654MQ2 2026: $927MQ3 2026: $655M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$654.9M+41%
Q2 2026$926.5M+233%
Q1 2026$654.2M+145%
Q4 2025$885.6M+143%
Q3 2025$463.5M+36%
Q2 2025$277.9M-19%
Q1 2025$266.8M+162%
Q4 2024$364.5M+18%

VRT has the edge over AVAV on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

AVAV Total Shares

Q4 2023: 27MQ1 2024: 28MQ2 2024: 27MQ3 2024: 28MQ4 2024: 28MQ1 2025: 28MQ3 2025: 47MQ4 2025: 50MQ1 2026: 50MQ2 2026: 49MQ3 2026: 50M
Q4 2023: 27MQ1 2024: 28MQ2 2024: 27MQ3 2024: 28MQ4 2024: 28MQ1 2025: 28MQ3 2025: 47MQ4 2025: 50MQ1 2026: 50MQ2 2026: 49MQ3 2026: 50M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+1.5%+735K shares
1 year+6.3%+2.9M shares
3 years+99%+24.8M shares
5 years+105%+25.5M shares
Available history+107%+25.8M shares

AVAV has 50M diluted shares, up 6.3% from a year ago.

VRT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 386MQ1 2024: 379MQ2 2024: 384MQ3 2024: 384MQ4 2024: 386MQ1 2025: 390MQ2 2025: 390MQ3 2025: 391MQ4 2025: 391MQ1 2026: 392MQ2 2026: 393MQ3 2026: 393M
Q4 2023: 386MQ1 2024: 379MQ2 2024: 384MQ3 2024: 384MQ4 2024: 386MQ1 2025: 390MQ2 2025: 390MQ3 2025: 391MQ4 2025: 391MQ1 2026: 392MQ2 2026: 393MQ3 2026: 393M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-64.9K shares
1 year+0.4%+1.8M shares
3 years+1.1%+4.4M shares
5 years+10%+36M shares
Available history+63%+152M shares

VRT has the edge over AVAV on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

AVAV Net Leverage

Q2 2024: -0.4xQ3 2024: -0.6xQ4 2024: -0.6xQ1 2025: -0.3xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: 0.6xQ4 2025: 4.4x
Q2 2024: -0.4xQ3 2024: -0.6xQ4 2024: -0.6xQ1 2025: -0.3xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: 0.6xQ4 2025: 4.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q4 20254.4xHigh
Q3 20250.6xVery low
Q2 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.6xNet Cash
Q3 2024-0.6xNet Cash
Q2 2024-0.4xNet Cash
Q1 20231.4xHealthy

AVAV's net debt is about 4.4 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago.

VRT Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.9xQ1 2024: 2.2xQ2 2024: 1.8xQ3 2024: 1.4xQ4 2024: 1.0xQ1 2025: 0.8xQ2 2025: 0.7xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: -0.2x
Q4 2023: 1.9xQ1 2024: 2.2xQ2 2024: 1.8xQ3 2024: 1.4xQ4 2024: 1.0xQ1 2025: 0.8xQ2 2025: 0.7xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: -0.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.2xNet Cash
Q2 20260.1xVery low
Q1 20260.3xVery low
Q4 20250.6xVery low
Q3 20250.8xVery low
Q2 20250.7xVery low
Q1 20250.8xVery low
Q4 20241.0xHealthy

VRT has more cash than debt.

AVAV Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI39.6Neutral
Stochastic14.7Oversold

AVAV's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 15 (oversold).

VRT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.0Neutral
Stochastic26.4Neutral

VRT's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).

AVAV PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricAVAVSector medianRelative
PEN/A24x—

AVAV has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

VRT PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricVRTSector medianRelative
PE39x24x63% above
PE %35855 pts below

VRT is trading at 39x earnings, a 63% premium to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

AVAV Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$129.36.6% below
20 week MA$147.518% below
50 week MA$194.238% below
100 week MA$206.642% below
200 week MA$172.530% below

AVAV is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 30% below its 200-week average.

VRT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$221.85.5% below
20 week MA$254.418% below
50 week MA$253.917% below
100 week MA$189.111% above
200 week MA$123.570% above

VRT has the edge over AVAV on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

AVAV Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$62.1$89.0+43%
2021$89.0$63.8-28%
2022$63.8$84.7+33%
2023$84.7$126.0+49%
2024$126.0$157.7+25%
2025$157.7$255.0+62%
2026 YTD$255.0$120.8-53%

AVAV is down 53% so far in 2026, after finishing higher in five of the previous six years.

VRT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$10.9$18.9+73%
2021$18.9$24.9+31%
2022$24.9$12.8-48%
2023$12.8$48.0+275%
2024$48.0$115.1+140%
2025$115.1$167.6+46%
2026 YTD$167.6$209.6+25%

VRT has the edge over AVAV on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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