AVAV

AeroVironment, Inc.

53
Fundamentals50/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential43/ 100

AVAV lost money over the past year, so it has no meaningful PE right now. Analysts expect earnings to recover and profitability to improve, though they disagree widely on how much.

AVAV Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Under pressure
Weak

AVAV's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are under pressure.

AVAV PE Valuation

AVAV has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AVAV Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Strong growth
Growth
Improving
Moderate
Low

Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for AVAV, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

AVAV Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+80%$217.25
Downside-43%$68.53

Calculated from the latest close: $120.84 on Nov 12.

AVAV's one-year upside scenario is about twice its downside: +80% against −43%.

AVAV Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-4.93Q1 2024: $-4.40Q2 2024: $2.18Q3 2024: $2.09Q4 2024: $1.70Q1 2025: $1.14Q2 2025: $1.55Q3 2025: $-0.64Q4 2025: $-1.25Q1 2026: $-6.09Q2 2026: $-5.40Q3 2026: $-4.06Forward: $3.74
Q4 2023: $-4.93Q1 2024: $-4.40Q2 2024: $2.18Q3 2024: $2.09Q4 2024: $1.70Q1 2025: $1.14Q2 2025: $1.55Q3 2025: $-0.64Q4 2025: $-1.25Q1 2026: $-6.09Q2 2026: $-5.40Q3 2026: $-4.06Forward: $3.74
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$3.74—
Q3 2026-$4.06-$3.42
Q2 2026-$5.40-448%
Q1 2026-$6.09-634%
Q4 2025-$1.25-174%
Q3 2025-$0.64-131%
Q2 2025$1.55-29%
Q1 2025$1.14+$5.54
Q4 2024$1.70+$6.63

AVAV is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $4.06 per share over the past year, against $7.04 at its worst in early 2023.

AVAV Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $181MQ1 2024: $187MQ2 2024: $197MQ3 2024: $189MQ4 2024: $188MQ1 2025: $168MQ2 2025: $275MQ3 2025: $455MQ4 2025: $473MQ1 2026: $408MQ2 2026: $642MQ3 2026: $480M
Q4 2023: $181MQ1 2024: $187MQ2 2024: $197MQ3 2024: $189MQ4 2024: $188MQ1 2025: $168MQ2 2025: $275MQ3 2025: $455MQ4 2025: $473MQ1 2026: $408MQ2 2026: $642MQ3 2026: $480M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$480.5M+5.7%
Q2 2026$641.6M+133%
Q1 2026$408M+143%
Q4 2025$472.5M+151%
Q3 2025$454.7M+140%
Q2 2025$275.1M+40%
Q1 2025$167.6M-10%
Q4 2024$188.5M+4.2%

AVAV's revenue has grown year over year for six quarters in a row: $480M last quarter, up 5.7% from the same quarter a year ago.

AVAV Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$15MQ1 2024: $49MQ2 2024: −$21MQ3 2024: $23MQ4 2024: −$9MQ1 2025: −$30MQ2 2025: −$9MQ3 2025: −$146MQ4 2025: −$56MQ1 2026: −$18MQ2 2026: $79MQ3 2026: −$31M
Q4 2023: −$15MQ1 2024: $49MQ2 2024: −$21MQ3 2024: $23MQ4 2024: −$9MQ1 2025: −$30MQ2 2025: −$9MQ3 2025: −$146MQ4 2025: −$56MQ1 2026: −$18MQ2 2026: $79MQ3 2026: −$31M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$30.5M+$115.9M
Q2 2026$79.1M+$87.9M
Q1 2026-$17.7M+$11.9M
Q4 2025-$55.9M-$47.2M
Q3 2025-$146.5M-739%
Q2 2025-$8.8M+$12M
Q1 2025-$29.6M-161%
Q4 2024-$8.7M+$6.3M

AVAV has burned cash in seven of the last eight quarters: −$25M over the past year, against −$194M the year before.

AVAV Total Shares

Q4 2023: 27MQ1 2024: 28MQ2 2024: 27MQ3 2024: 28MQ4 2024: 28MQ1 2025: 28MQ3 2025: 47MQ4 2025: 50MQ1 2026: 50MQ2 2026: 49MQ3 2026: 50M
Q4 2023: 27MQ1 2024: 28MQ2 2024: 27MQ3 2024: 28MQ4 2024: 28MQ1 2025: 28MQ3 2025: 47MQ4 2025: 50MQ1 2026: 50MQ2 2026: 49MQ3 2026: 50M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+1.5%+735K shares
1 year+6.3%+2.9M shares
3 years+99%+24.8M shares
5 years+105%+25.5M shares
Available history+107%+25.8M shares

AVAV has 50M diluted shares, up 6.3% from a year ago.

AVAV Net Leverage

Q2 2024: -0.4xQ3 2024: -0.6xQ4 2024: -0.6xQ1 2025: -0.3xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: 0.6xQ4 2025: 4.4x
Q2 2024: -0.4xQ3 2024: -0.6xQ4 2024: -0.6xQ1 2025: -0.3xQ2 2025: -0.1xQ3 2025: 0.6xQ4 2025: 4.4x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q4 20254.4xHigh
Q3 20250.6xVery low
Q2 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.3xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.6xNet Cash
Q3 2024-0.6xNet Cash
Q2 2024-0.4xNet Cash
Q1 20231.4xHealthy

AVAV's net debt is about 4.4 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago.

AVAV Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI39.6Neutral
Stochastic14.7Oversold

AVAV's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 15 (oversold).

AVAV PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricAVAVSector medianRelative
PEN/A24x—

AVAV has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

AVAV Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$129.36.6% below
20 week MA$147.518% below
50 week MA$194.238% below
100 week MA$206.642% below
200 week MA$172.530% below

AVAV is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 30% below its 200-week average.

AVAV Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$62.1$89.0+43%
2021$89.0$63.8-28%
2022$63.8$84.7+33%
2023$84.7$126.0+49%
2024$126.0$157.7+25%
2025$157.7$255.0+62%
2026 YTD$255.0$120.8-53%

AVAV is down 53% so far in 2026, after finishing higher in five of the previous six years.

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