AVAV
AeroVironment, Inc.
AVAV has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
RDW
Redwire Corporation
RDW has the edge over AVAV overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.
AVAV Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Weak | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak |
AVAV's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are under pressure.
RDW Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Under pressure | |
| Under pressure | |
| Unavailable |
RDW's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
AVAV PE Valuation
AVAV has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
RDW PE Valuation
RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
AVAV Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for AVAV, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
RDW Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect RDW's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.
AVAV Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $3.74 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$4.06 | -$3.42 |
| Q2 2026 | -$5.40 | -448% |
| Q1 2026 | -$6.09 | -634% |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.25 | -174% |
| Q3 2025 | -$0.64 | -131% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.55 | -29% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.14 | +$5.54 |
| Q4 2024 | $1.70 | +$6.63 |
AVAV is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $4.06 per share over the past year, against $7.04 at its worst in early 2023.
RDW Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$1.17 | +$2.01 |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.37 | +$1.89 |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.59 | -$0.32 |
| Q4 2025 | -$2.28 | +$0.07 |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.18 | -$1.97 |
| Q2 2025 | -$3.26 | -$2.28 |
| Q1 2025 | -$2.27 | -$1.55 |
| Q4 2024 | -$2.35 | -$1.62 |
RDW has the edge over AVAV on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
AVAV Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $480.5M | +5.7% |
| Q2 2026 | $641.6M | +133% |
| Q1 2026 | $408M | +143% |
| Q4 2025 | $472.5M | +151% |
| Q3 2025 | $454.7M | +140% |
| Q2 2025 | $275.1M | +40% |
| Q1 2025 | $167.6M | -10% |
| Q4 2024 | $188.5M | +4.2% |
AVAV has the edge over RDW on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -2.3% | +13 points |
| Q2 2026 | 8.9% | +3.8 points |
| Q1 2026 | -66% | -64 points |
| Q4 2025 | -6.4% | -10 points |
| Q3 2025 | -15% | -27 points |
| Q2 2025 | 5% | +2 points |
| Q1 2025 | -1.8% | -9.5 points |
| Q4 2024 | 3.7% | -10 points |
AVAV has the edge over RDW on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
RDW Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $109M | +5.4% |
| Q2 2026 | $117.1M | +90% |
| Q1 2026 | $97M | +58% |
| Q4 2025 | $108.8M | +56% |
| Q3 2025 | $103.4M | +51% |
| Q2 2025 | $61.8M | -21% |
| Q1 2025 | $61.4M | -30% |
| Q4 2024 | $69.6M | +9.6% |
RDW's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $109M last quarter, up 5.4% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -24% | +16 points |
| Q2 2026 | -19% | +130 points |
| Q1 2026 | -72% | -49 points |
| Q4 2025 | -75% | -48 points |
| Q3 2025 | -40% | -22 points |
| Q2 2025 | -149% | -140 points |
| Q1 2025 | -23% | -19 points |
| Q4 2024 | -27% | -17 points |
RDW's operating margin was −24% last quarter, up 16 points from the same quarter a year ago.
AVAV Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$30.5M | +$115.9M |
| Q2 2026 | $79.1M | +$87.9M |
| Q1 2026 | -$17.7M | +$11.9M |
| Q4 2025 | -$55.9M | -$47.2M |
| Q3 2025 | -$146.5M | -739% |
| Q2 2025 | -$8.8M | +$12M |
| Q1 2025 | -$29.6M | -161% |
| Q4 2024 | -$8.7M | +$6.3M |
AVAV has the edge over RDW on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
RDW Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$65.3M | -$38.5M |
| Q2 2026 | -$33.5M | +$57.2M |
| Q1 2026 | -$11.4M | +$35.5M |
| Q4 2025 | -$26.5M | -659% |
| Q3 2025 | -$26.9M | -$7.6M |
| Q2 2025 | -$90.6M | -$80.2M |
| Q1 2025 | -$46.9M | -3996% |
| Q4 2024 | $4.7M | -65% |
RDW has burned cash in most quarters: −$137M over the past year, against −$160M the year before.
AVAV Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +1.5% | +735K shares |
| 1 year | +6.3% | +2.9M shares |
| 3 years | +99% | +24.8M shares |
| 5 years | +105% | +25.5M shares |
| Available history | +107% | +25.8M shares |
AVAV has the edge over RDW on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
RDW Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +13% | +29.6M shares |
| 1 year | +179% | +160M shares |
| 3 years | +289% | +186M shares |
| 5 years | +319% | +190M shares |
RDW has 250M diluted shares, up 179% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2020 | — |
| Q2 2020 | — |
| Q1 2020 | — |
AVAV Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q4 2025 | 4.4x | High |
| Q3 2025 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -0.6x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2024 | -0.6x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2024 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2023 | 1.4x | Healthy |
AVAV's net debt is about 4.4 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago.
RDW Net Leverage
RDW's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
AVAV Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 39.6 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 14.7 | Oversold |
AVAV's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 15 (oversold).
RDW Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 42.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 16.1 | Oversold |
RDW's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).
AVAV PE vs Industrials Sector
| Metric | AVAV | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 24x | — |
AVAV has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
RDW PE vs Industrials Sector
RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
AVAV Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $129.3 | 6.6% below |
| 20 week MA | $147.5 | 18% below |
| 50 week MA | $194.2 | 38% below |
| 100 week MA | $206.6 | 42% below |
| 200 week MA | $172.5 | 30% below |
AVAV is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 30% below its 200-week average.
RDW Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $9.06 | 11% below |
| 20 week MA | $10.1 | 20% below |
| 50 week MA | $10.6 | 24% below |
| 100 week MA | $11.6 | 31% below |
| 200 week MA | $8.07 | 0.5% below |
RDW is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 0.5% below its 200-week average.
AVAV Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $62.1 | $89.0 | +43% |
| 2021 | $89.0 | $63.8 | -28% |
| 2022 | $63.8 | $84.7 | +33% |
| 2023 | $84.7 | $126.0 | +49% |
| 2024 | $126.0 | $157.7 | +25% |
| 2025 | $157.7 | $255.0 | +62% |
| 2026 YTD | $255.0 | $120.8 | -53% |
AVAV is down 53% so far in 2026, after finishing higher in five of the previous six years.
RDW Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $10.2 | $7.34 | -28% |
| 2022 | $7.34 | $1.92 | -74% |
| 2023 | $1.92 | $2.85 | +48% |
| 2024 | $2.85 | $17.1 | +501% |
| 2025 | $17.1 | $7.15 | -58% |
| 2026 YTD | $7.15 | $8.03 | +12% |
RDW has the edge over AVAV on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.