AVAV
AeroVironment, Inc.
AVAV offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
BA
The Boeing Company
BA has the edge over AVAV overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.
AVAV Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Weak | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak |
AVAV's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are under pressure.
BA Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Under pressure |
BA's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable, but its balance sheet is under pressure.
AVAV PE Valuation
AVAV has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
BA PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 18x | $172 | — |
| Cheap | 51x | $496 | +189% |
| Fair | 82x | $790 | +360% |
| Expensive | 91x | $876 | +411% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
BA's PE is 18x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.
AVAV Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for AVAV, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
BA Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Returning to profit | |
| Growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect BA to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
AVAV Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $3.74 | — |
| Q3 2026 | -$4.06 | -$3.42 |
| Q2 2026 | -$5.40 | -448% |
| Q1 2026 | -$6.09 | -634% |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.25 | -174% |
| Q3 2025 | -$0.64 | -131% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.55 | -29% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.14 | +$5.54 |
| Q4 2024 | $1.70 | +$6.63 |
AVAV is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $4.06 per share over the past year, against $7.04 at its worst in early 2023.
BA Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $9.66 | +$23.38 |
| Q2 2026 | $2.78 | +$19.33 |
| Q1 2026 | $2.53 | +$20.49 |
| Q4 2025 | $2.48 | +$20.84 |
| Q3 2025 | -$13.72 | -$0.83 |
| Q2 2025 | -$16.55 | -$10.93 |
| Q1 2025 | -$17.96 | -$14.42 |
| Q4 2024 | -$18.36 | -$14.69 |
BA has the edge over AVAV on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
AVAV Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $480.5M | +5.7% |
| Q2 2026 | $641.6M | +133% |
| Q1 2026 | $408M | +143% |
| Q4 2025 | $472.5M | +151% |
| Q3 2025 | $454.7M | +140% |
| Q2 2025 | $275.1M | +40% |
| Q1 2025 | $167.6M | -10% |
| Q4 2024 | $188.5M | +4.2% |
AVAV has the edge over BA on sales, with stronger typical year-over-year growth.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -2.3% | +13 points |
| Q2 2026 | 8.9% | +3.8 points |
| Q1 2026 | -66% | -64 points |
| Q4 2025 | -6.4% | -10 points |
| Q3 2025 | -15% | -27 points |
| Q2 2025 | 5% | +2 points |
| Q1 2025 | -1.8% | -9.5 points |
| Q4 2024 | 3.7% | -10 points |
AVAV's operating margin was −2.3% last quarter, up 13 points from the same quarter a year ago.
BA Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $24.2B | +3.9% |
| Q2 2026 | $24.6B | +8% |
| Q1 2026 | $22.2B | +14% |
| Q4 2025 | $23.9B | +57% |
| Q3 2025 | $23.3B | +30% |
| Q2 2025 | $22.7B | +35% |
| Q1 2025 | $19.5B | +18% |
| Q4 2024 | $15.2B | -31% |
BA's revenue has grown year over year for seven quarters in a row: $24.2B last quarter, up 3.9% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 1.5% | +22 points |
| Q2 2026 | 0.6% | +1.4 points |
| Q1 2026 | 2% | -0.3 points |
| Q4 2025 | 37% | +61 points |
| Q3 2025 | -21% | +12 points |
| Q2 2025 | -0.8% | +5.7 points |
| Q1 2025 | 2.4% | +2.9 points |
| Q4 2024 | -25% | -26 points |
BA has the edge over AVAV on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
AVAV Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$30.5M | +$115.9M |
| Q2 2026 | $79.1M | +$87.9M |
| Q1 2026 | -$17.7M | +$11.9M |
| Q4 2025 | -$55.9M | -$47.2M |
| Q3 2025 | -$146.5M | -739% |
| Q2 2025 | -$8.8M | +$12M |
| Q1 2025 | -$29.6M | -161% |
| Q4 2024 | -$8.7M | +$6.3M |
AVAV has burned cash in seven of the last eight quarters: −$25M over the past year, against −$194M the year before.
BA Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $464M | +95% |
| Q2 2026 | $631M | +$831M |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.5B | +$836M |
| Q4 2025 | $375M | +$4.5B |
| Q3 2025 | $238M | +$2.2B |
| Q2 2025 | -$200M | +$4.1B |
| Q1 2025 | -$2.3B | +$1.6B |
| Q4 2024 | -$4.1B | -239% |
BA has the edge over AVAV on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
AVAV Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +1.5% | +735K shares |
| 1 year | +6.3% | +2.9M shares |
| 3 years | +99% | +24.8M shares |
| 5 years | +105% | +25.5M shares |
| Available history | +107% | +25.8M shares |
AVAV has 50M diluted shares, up 6.3% from a year ago.
BA Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.3% | +2.1M shares |
| 1 year | +4.3% | +32.8M shares |
| 3 years | +31% | +186M shares |
| 5 years | +35% | +204M shares |
| Available history | +40% | +227M shares |
BA has the edge over AVAV on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2019 | — |
AVAV Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q4 2025 | 4.4x | High |
| Q3 2025 | 0.6x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -0.6x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2024 | -0.6x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2024 | -0.4x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2023 | 1.4x | Healthy |
AVAV's net debt is about 4.4 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), after holding more cash than debt a year ago.
BA Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 3.0x | Elevated |
| Q2 2026 | 5.7x | High |
| Q1 2026 | 6.0x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 6.9x | High |
| Q2 2024 | 361.8x | High |
| Q1 2024 | 36.1x | High |
| Q4 2023 | 36.4x | High |
| Q3 2023 | 96.1x | High |
BA's net debt is about 3.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from more than 20 years a year ago.
AVAV Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 39.6 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 14.7 | Oversold |
AVAV's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 15 (oversold).
BA Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 31.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 9.6 | Oversold |
BA's weekly RSI is 31 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).
AVAV PE vs Industrials Sector
| Metric | AVAV | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 24x | — |
AVAV has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
BA PE vs Industrials Sector
| Metric | BA | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 18x | 24x | 26% below |
| PE % | 0 | 58 | 58 pts below |
BA is trading at 18x earnings, a 26% discount to the Industrials sector's median of 24x, though its earnings don't support one.
AVAV Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $129.3 | 6.6% below |
| 20 week MA | $147.5 | 18% below |
| 50 week MA | $194.2 | 38% below |
| 100 week MA | $206.6 | 42% below |
| 200 week MA | $172.5 | 30% below |
AVAV is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 30% below its 200-week average.
BA Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $184.6 | 7.1% below |
| 20 week MA | $203.8 | 16% below |
| 50 week MA | $215.5 | 20% below |
| 100 week MA | $205.9 | 17% below |
| 200 week MA | $200.6 | 14% below |
BA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 14% below its 200-week average.
AVAV Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $62.1 | $89.0 | +43% |
| 2021 | $89.0 | $63.8 | -28% |
| 2022 | $63.8 | $84.7 | +33% |
| 2023 | $84.7 | $126.0 | +49% |
| 2024 | $126.0 | $157.7 | +25% |
| 2025 | $157.7 | $255.0 | +62% |
| 2026 YTD | $255.0 | $120.8 | -53% |
AVAV is down 53% so far in 2026, after finishing higher in five of the previous six years.
BA Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $330.1 | $217.2 | -34% |
| 2021 | $217.2 | $204.2 | -6% |
| 2022 | $204.2 | $189.1 | -7.4% |
| 2023 | $189.1 | $260.7 | +38% |
| 2024 | $260.7 | $180.7 | -31% |
| 2025 | $180.7 | $216.4 | +20% |
| 2026 YTD | $216.4 | $171.6 | -21% |
BA has the edge over AVAV on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.