ATI
ATI Inc.
ATI has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.
RDW
Redwire Corporation
RDW has a slight edge over ATI overall, supported by stronger valuation.
ATI Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Healthy |
ATI's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.
RDW Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Under pressure | |
| Under pressure | |
| Unavailable |
RDW's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
ATI PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 18x | $73.57 | -61% |
| Fair | 26x | $104 | -45% |
| Forward | 30x | $190 | — |
| Current | 47x | $190 | — |
| Expensive | 57x | $228 | +20% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
ATI's PE is in its expensive range at 47x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 30x next year's earnings, in its fair range.
RDW PE Valuation
RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
ATI Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for ATI, with profitability improving.
RDW Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect RDW's losses to shrink, with revenue growing.
ATI Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $6.33 | +58% |
| Q3 2026 | $4.01 | +30% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.42 | +19% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.03 | +9.8% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.85 | +12% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.09 | +19% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.88 | +13% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.76 | +11% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.55 | +1.6% |
ATI has the edge over RDW on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
RDW Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$1.17 | +$2.01 |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.37 | +$1.89 |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.59 | -$0.32 |
| Q4 2025 | -$2.28 | +$0.07 |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.18 | -$1.97 |
| Q2 2025 | -$3.26 | -$2.28 |
| Q1 2025 | -$2.27 | -$1.55 |
| Q4 2024 | -$2.35 | -$1.62 |
RDW is still losing money, but far less than before: $1.17 per share over the past year, against $3.26 at its worst in mid-2025.
ATI Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.4B | +26% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.3B | +11% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.2B | +0.6% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.2B | +0.4% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.1B | +7.1% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.1B | +4.1% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.1B | +9.7% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.2B | +10% |
ATI's revenue has grown year over year for 12 quarters in a row: $1.4B last quarter, up 26% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 19% | +4.7 points |
| Q2 2026 | 17% | +3.3 points |
| Q1 2026 | 14% | +1.4 points |
| Q4 2025 | 14% | -3.3 points |
| Q3 2025 | 14% | +0.9 points |
| Q2 2025 | 14% | +1.1 points |
| Q1 2025 | 13% | +1.8 points |
| Q4 2024 | 18% | +7.6 points |
ATI has the edge over RDW on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
RDW Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $109M | +5.4% |
| Q2 2026 | $117.1M | +90% |
| Q1 2026 | $97M | +58% |
| Q4 2025 | $108.8M | +56% |
| Q3 2025 | $103.4M | +51% |
| Q2 2025 | $61.8M | -21% |
| Q1 2025 | $61.4M | -30% |
| Q4 2024 | $69.6M | +9.6% |
RDW's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $109M last quarter, up 5.4% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -24% | +16 points |
| Q2 2026 | -19% | +130 points |
| Q1 2026 | -72% | -49 points |
| Q4 2025 | -75% | -48 points |
| Q3 2025 | -40% | -22 points |
| Q2 2025 | -149% | -140 points |
| Q1 2025 | -23% | -19 points |
| Q4 2024 | -27% | -17 points |
RDW's operating margin was −24% last quarter, up 16 points from the same quarter a year ago.
ATI Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $61.8M | -63% |
| Q2 2026 | $63.2M | -29% |
| Q1 2026 | $73M | +$218.8M |
| Q4 2025 | $223.1M | -33% |
| Q3 2025 | $167M | +$208.8M |
| Q2 2025 | $89.4M | +119% |
| Q1 2025 | -$145.8M | +$18.8M |
| Q4 2024 | $333.6M | -8.3% |
ATI has the edge over RDW on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
RDW Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$65.3M | -$38.5M |
| Q2 2026 | -$33.5M | +$57.2M |
| Q1 2026 | -$11.4M | +$35.5M |
| Q4 2025 | -$26.5M | -659% |
| Q3 2025 | -$26.9M | -$7.6M |
| Q2 2025 | -$90.6M | -$80.2M |
| Q1 2025 | -$46.9M | -3996% |
| Q4 2024 | $4.7M | -65% |
RDW has burned cash in most quarters: −$137M over the past year, against −$160M the year before.
ATI Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.1% | +100K shares |
| 1 year | -1.5% | -2.1M shares |
| 3 years | -7.9% | -11.8M shares |
| 5 years | -9.3% | -14.2M shares |
| Available history | -5.5% | -8.1M shares |
ATI has the edge over RDW on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $70M |
| Q2 2026 | $50M |
| Q1 2026 | $75M |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | $150M |
| Q2 2025 | $250M |
| Q1 2025 | $70M |
| Q4 2024 | $70M |
ATI spent $195M buying back its own shares over the past year, down 64% from the year before.
RDW Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +13% | +29.6M shares |
| 1 year | +179% | +160M shares |
| 3 years | +289% | +186M shares |
| 5 years | +319% | +190M shares |
RDW has 250M diluted shares, up 179% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2020 | — |
| Q2 2020 | — |
| Q1 2020 | — |
ATI Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 1.4x | Healthy |
| Q2 2026 | 1.6x | Healthy |
| Q1 2026 | 1.7x | Healthy |
| Q4 2025 | 1.7x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | 1.8x | Healthy |
| Q2 2025 | 1.9x | Healthy |
| Q1 2025 | 1.8x | Healthy |
| Q4 2024 | 1.5x | Healthy |
ATI's net debt is about 1.4 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 1.8 years a year ago.
RDW Net Leverage
RDW's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
ATI Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 53.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 26.3 | Neutral |
ATI's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).
RDW Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 42.3 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 16.1 | Oversold |
RDW's weekly RSI is 42 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 16 (oversold).
ATI PE vs Industrials Sector
| Metric | ATI | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 47x | 24x | 97% above |
| PE % | 76 | 58 | 18 pts above |
ATI is trading at 47x earnings, a 97% premium to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.
RDW PE vs Industrials Sector
RDW has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
ATI Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $180.5 | 5.4% above |
| 20 week MA | $193.3 | 1.6% below |
| 50 week MA | $165.9 | 15% above |
| 100 week MA | $119.2 | 60% above |
| 200 week MA | $83.7 | 127% above |
ATI has the edge over RDW on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
RDW Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $9.06 | 11% below |
| 20 week MA | $10.1 | 20% below |
| 50 week MA | $10.6 | 24% below |
| 100 week MA | $11.6 | 31% below |
| 200 week MA | $8.07 | 0.5% below |
RDW is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 0.5% below its 200-week average.
ATI Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $21.0 | $16.7 | -20% |
| 2021 | $16.7 | $15.6 | -6.7% |
| 2022 | $15.6 | $30.3 | +94% |
| 2023 | $30.3 | $45.5 | +50% |
| 2024 | $45.5 | $55.5 | +22% |
| 2025 | $55.5 | $117.0 | +111% |
| 2026 YTD | $117.0 | $190.2 | +63% |
ATI has the edge over RDW on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
RDW Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $10.2 | $7.34 | -28% |
| 2022 | $7.34 | $1.92 | -74% |
| 2023 | $1.92 | $2.85 | +48% |
| 2024 | $2.85 | $17.1 | +501% |
| 2025 | $17.1 | $7.15 | -58% |
| 2026 YTD | $7.15 | $8.03 | +12% |
RDW's yearly returns have swung widely, from +501% in 2024 to −74% in 2022. It's up 12% so far in 2026.