ATI
ATI Inc.
ATI's fundamentals are strong, but it looks expensive: trading at 47x earnings, about twice its usual 26x. Analysts expect strong earnings growth.
ATI Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Healthy |
ATI's revenue, profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its cash flow is stable.
ATI PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 18x | $73.57 | -61% |
| Fair | 26x | $104 | -45% |
| Forward | 30x | $190 | — |
| Current | 47x | $190 | — |
| Expensive | 57x | $228 | +20% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
ATI's PE is in its expensive range at 47x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 30x next year's earnings, in its fair range.
ATI Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for ATI, with profitability improving.
ATI Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $6.27 | +56% |
| Q3 2026 | $4.01 | +30% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.42 | +19% |
| Q1 2026 | $3.03 | +9.8% |
| Q4 2025 | $2.85 | +12% |
| Q3 2025 | $3.09 | +19% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.88 | +13% |
| Q1 2025 | $2.76 | +11% |
| Q4 2024 | $2.55 | +1.6% |
ATI's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $4.01 over the past year, up 30% from the year before, and higher year over year for 20 quarters in a row.
ATI Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.4B | +26% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.3B | +11% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.2B | +0.6% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.2B | +0.4% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.1B | +7.1% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.1B | +4.1% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.1B | +9.7% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.2B | +10% |
ATI's revenue has grown year over year for 12 quarters in a row: $1.4B last quarter, up 26% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 19% | +4.7 points |
| Q2 2026 | 17% | +3.3 points |
| Q1 2026 | 14% | +1.4 points |
| Q4 2025 | 14% | -3.3 points |
| Q3 2025 | 14% | +0.9 points |
| Q2 2025 | 14% | +1.1 points |
| Q1 2025 | 13% | +1.8 points |
| Q4 2024 | 18% | +7.6 points |
ATI's operating margin was 19% last quarter, up 4.7 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2019.
ATI Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $61.8M | -63% |
| Q2 2026 | $63.2M | -29% |
| Q1 2026 | $73M | +$218.8M |
| Q4 2025 | $223.1M | -33% |
| Q3 2025 | $167M | +$208.8M |
| Q2 2025 | $89.4M | +119% |
| Q1 2025 | -$145.8M | +$18.8M |
| Q4 2024 | $333.6M | -8.3% |
ATI generated $421M in free cash flow over the past year, down 5.2% from the year before.
ATI Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.1% | +100K shares |
| 1 year | -1.5% | -2.1M shares |
| 3 years | -7.9% | -11.8M shares |
| 5 years | -9.3% | -14.2M shares |
| Available history | -5.5% | -8.1M shares |
ATI has 138M diluted shares, down 1.5% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $70M |
| Q2 2026 | $50M |
| Q1 2026 | $75M |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | $150M |
| Q2 2025 | $250M |
| Q1 2025 | $70M |
| Q4 2024 | $70M |
ATI spent $195M buying back its own shares over the past year, down 64% from the year before.
ATI Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 1.4x | Healthy |
| Q2 2026 | 1.6x | Healthy |
| Q1 2026 | 1.7x | Healthy |
| Q4 2025 | 1.7x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | 1.8x | Healthy |
| Q2 2025 | 1.9x | Healthy |
| Q1 2025 | 1.8x | Healthy |
| Q4 2024 | 1.5x | Healthy |
ATI's net debt is about 1.4 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 1.8 years a year ago.
ATI Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 53.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 26.3 | Neutral |
ATI's weekly RSI is 54 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).
ATI PE vs Industrials Sector
| Metric | ATI | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 47x | 24x | 97% above |
| PE % | 76 | 58 | 18 pts above |
ATI is trading at 47x earnings, a 97% premium to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.
ATI Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $180.5 | 5.4% above |
| 20 week MA | $193.3 | 1.6% below |
| 50 week MA | $165.9 | 15% above |
| 100 week MA | $119.2 | 60% above |
| 200 week MA | $83.7 | 127% above |
ATI's trend is mixed: it's above four of its five weekly moving averages, and 127% above its 200-week average.
ATI Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $21.0 | $16.7 | -20% |
| 2021 | $16.7 | $15.6 | -6.7% |
| 2022 | $15.6 | $30.3 | +94% |
| 2023 | $30.3 | $45.5 | +50% |
| 2024 | $45.5 | $55.5 | +22% |
| 2025 | $55.5 | $117.0 | +111% |
| 2026 YTD | $117.0 | $190.2 | +63% |
ATI has finished higher in four of the last six years, three of them by more than 50%. It's up 63% so far in 2026.