ASTS
AST SpaceMobile, Inc.
ASTS offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
YMM
Full Truck Alliance Co. Ltd.
YMM has the edge over ASTS overall, supported by lower modeled downside.
ASTS Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Weak | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
ASTS's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
YMM Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Strong | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
YMM's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently strong, and its revenue is stable.
ASTS PE Valuation
ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
YMM PE Valuation
YMM has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
ASTS Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses growing | |
| Strong growth | |
| -- | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect ASTS's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
YMM Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Growth | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect earnings and revenue growth for YMM, with profitability holding steady.
ASTS Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$2.15 | -$0.91 |
| Q2 2026 | -$2.16 | -$0.27 |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.80 | +$0.19 |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.34 | +$0.61 |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.24 | +$0.88 |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.89 | -$0.64 |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.99 | -$1.01 |
| Q4 2022 | -$0.58 | -$0.21 |
YMM has the stronger earnings trend. Trailing diluted EPS is down 273% for ASTS versus YMM up 60%.
YMM Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2025 | $0.08 | +60% |
| Q1 2025 | $0.07 | +40% |
| Q4 2024 | $0.06 | +50% |
| Q3 2024 | $0.06 | +50% |
| Q2 2024 | $0.05 | +67% |
| Q1 2024 | $0.05 | +150% |
| Q4 2023 | $0.04 | +300% |
| Q3 2023 | $0.04 | +$0.06 |
YMM's earnings per share have climbed steadily: $0.08 over the past year, up 60% from the year before, and higher year over year for 11 quarters in a row.
ASTS Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $42.3M | +187% |
| Q2 2026 | $31.5M | +2627% |
| Q1 2026 | $14.7M | +1952% |
| Q4 2025 | $54.3M | +2731% |
| Q3 2025 | $14.7M | +1240% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.2M | +28% |
| Q1 2025 | $718K | +44% |
| Q3 2022 | $4.2M | +70% |
ASTS's revenue has grown year over year for 11 quarters in a row: $42M last quarter, up 187% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -415% | +694 points |
| Q2 2026 | -948% | +10744 points |
| Q1 2026 | -1686% | +7083 points |
| Q4 2025 | -175% | +2446 points |
| Q3 2025 | -1109% | +4850 points |
| Q2 2025 | -11692% | -4693 points |
| Q1 2025 | -8769% | +2331 points |
| Q4 2024 | -2621% | N/A |
ASTS's operating margin was −415% last quarter, up 694 points from the same quarter a year ago.
YMM Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $506M | +4.1% |
| Q1 2026 | $427.5M | +5.5% |
| Q4 2025 | $479.1M | +0.6% |
| Q3 2025 | $504M | +11% |
| Q2 2025 | $486.1M | +17% |
| Q1 2025 | $405.2M | +19% |
| Q4 2024 | $476.4M | +32% |
| Q3 2024 | $454.9M | +34% |
YMM's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since late 2020: $506M last quarter, up 4.1% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 44% | +8.7 points |
| Q1 2026 | 35% | -9.2 points |
| Q4 2025 | 32% | +5.9 points |
| Q3 2025 | 23% | -2 points |
| Q2 2025 | 35% | +15 points |
| Q1 2025 | 45% | +31 points |
| Q4 2024 | 26% | +16 points |
| Q3 2024 | 25% | +14 points |
YMM has the edge over ASTS on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
ASTS Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$464.2M | -$161.4M |
| Q2 2026 | -$694.8M | -$341.1M |
| Q1 2026 | -$309.7M | -$160.7M |
| Q4 2025 | -$330.7M | -$220.3M |
| Q3 2025 | -$302.9M | -$239.1M |
| Q2 2025 | -$353.6M | -$315.3M |
| Q1 2025 | -$149M | -$61.3M |
| Q4 2024 | -$110.5M | -$63.2M |
ASTS has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$1.8B over the past year, against −$916M the year before.
YMM Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $322.7M | +$322.7M |
| Q1 2026 | $234.4M | +$234.4M |
| Q4 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q3 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q2 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q1 2025 | $0 | $0 |
| Q4 2024 | $0 | $0 |
| Q3 2024 | $0 | $0 |
YMM has the edge over ASTS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
ASTS Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.4% | +1.1M shares |
| 1 year | +10% | +27.3M shares |
| 3 years | +235% | +211M shares |
| 5 years | +480% | +248M shares |
| Available history | +944% | +271M shares |
ASTS has 300M diluted shares, up 10% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
| Q2 2024 | — |
| Q1 2024 | — |
| Q4 2023 | — |
| Q3 2023 | — |
| Q2 2023 | — |
YMM Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -0.3% | -3.2M shares |
| 1 year | -0.7% | -7M shares |
| 3 years | -2.5% | -26.7M shares |
| 5 years | -5.2% | -57.3M shares |
| Available history | -5.2% | -57.3M shares |
YMM has the edge over ASTS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
YMM hasn't bought back shares in the past year.
ASTS Net Leverage
ASTS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
YMM Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -1.4x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2026 | -1.5x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -1.3x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -1.3x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -1.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | -2.4x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2024 | -2.3x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2024 | -2.3x | Net Cash |
YMM has more cash than debt.
ASTS Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 34.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 11.9 | Oversold |
ASTS's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).
YMM Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 47.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 41.8 | Neutral |
YMM's weekly RSI is 47 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 42 (neutral).
ASTS PE vs Technology Sector
ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
YMM PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | YMM | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 28x | — |
YMM has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
ASTS Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $44.9 | 23% below |
| 20 week MA | $57.1 | 40% below |
| 50 week MA | $75.5 | 54% below |
| 100 week MA | $57.8 | 40% below |
| 200 week MA | $33.6 | 2.8% above |
ASTS has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 2.8% above its 200-week average.
YMM Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $8.49 | 0% above |
| 20 week MA | $8.69 | 2.3% below |
| 50 week MA | $9.06 | 6.3% below |
| 100 week MA | $10.5 | 19% below |
| 200 week MA | $9.02 | 5.9% below |
YMM is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 5.9% below its 200-week average.
ASTS Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $9.87 | $13.4 | +36% |
| 2021 | $13.4 | $8.71 | -35% |
| 2022 | $8.71 | $3.97 | -54% |
| 2023 | $3.97 | $6.03 | +52% |
| 2024 | $6.03 | $22.9 | +280% |
| 2025 | $22.9 | $72.0 | +214% |
| 2026 YTD | $72.0 | $34.5 | -52% |
ASTS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +280% in 2024 to −54% in 2022. It's down 52% so far in 2026.
YMM Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $19.7 | $8.30 | -58% |
| 2022 | $8.30 | $8.14 | -1.9% |
| 2023 | $8.14 | $7.01 | -14% |
| 2024 | $7.01 | $11.0 | +56% |
| 2025 | $11.0 | $11.2 | +1.8% |
| 2026 YTD | $11.2 | $8.49 | -24% |
YMM has the edge over ASTS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.