ASTS

AST SpaceMobile, Inc.

49
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

ASTS offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

TSEM

Tower Semiconductor Ltd.

65
Fundamentals82/ 100
Valuation15/ 100
Upside potential86/ 100
Risk potential16/ 100

TSEM has the edge over ASTS overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger modeled upside.

ASTS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

ASTS's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

TSEM Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Strong
Strong
Strong

TSEM's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently healthy.

ASTS PE Valuation

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

TSEM PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE38x77x115x154x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE38x77x115x154x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap11x$27.61-83%
Forward25x$158—
Fair26x$66.20-58%
Expensive42x$106-33%
Current62x$158—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

TSEM's PE is in its expensive range at 62x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 25x next year's earnings, in its fair range.

ASTS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect ASTS's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

TSEM Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for TSEM, with profitability improving. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

ASTS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+86%$64.16
Downside-46%$18.77

Calculated from the latest close: $34.50 on Nov 12.

ASTS trails TSEM on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

TSEM Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+99%$313.86
Downside-16%$131.91

Calculated from the latest close: $157.86 on Nov 12.

TSEM has a better modeled risk to reward balance than ASTS, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

ASTS Earnings Per Share

Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.15-$0.91
Q2 2026-$2.16-$0.27
Q1 2026-$1.80+$0.19
Q4 2025-$1.34+$0.61
Q3 2025-$1.24+$0.88
Q2 2025-$1.89-$0.64
Q1 2025-$1.99-$1.01
Q4 2022-$0.58-$0.21

ASTS is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.15 per share over the past year, against $5.76 at its worst in mid-2021.

TSEM Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $4.92Q4 2023: $4.65Q1 2024: $4.41Q2 2024: $4.43Q3 2024: $1.85Q4 2024: $1.86Q1 2025: $1.81Q2 2025: $1.74Q3 2025: $1.72Q4 2025: $1.93Q1 2026: $2.15Q2 2026: $2.53Forward: $6.34
Q3 2023: $4.92Q4 2023: $4.65Q1 2024: $4.41Q2 2024: $4.43Q3 2024: $1.85Q4 2024: $1.86Q1 2025: $1.81Q2 2025: $1.74Q3 2025: $1.72Q4 2025: $1.93Q1 2026: $2.15Q2 2026: $2.53Forward: $6.34
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$6.34+151%
Q2 2026$2.53+45%
Q1 2026$2.15+19%
Q4 2025$1.93+3.8%
Q3 2025$1.72-7%
Q2 2025$1.74-61%
Q1 2025$1.81-59%
Q4 2024$1.86-60%
Q3 2024$1.85-62%

TSEM has the edge over ASTS on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

ASTS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$42.3M+187%
Q2 2026$31.5M+2627%
Q1 2026$14.7M+1952%
Q4 2025$54.3M+2731%
Q3 2025$14.7M+1240%
Q2 2025$1.2M+28%
Q1 2025$718K+44%
Q3 2022$4.2M+70%

ASTS's revenue has grown year over year for 11 quarters in a row: $42M last quarter, up 187% from the same quarter a year ago.

TSEM Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $358MQ4 2023: $352MQ1 2024: $327MQ2 2024: $351MQ3 2024: $371MQ4 2024: $387MQ1 2025: $358MQ2 2025: $372MQ3 2025: $396MQ4 2025: $440MQ1 2026: $414MQ2 2026: $460M
Q3 2023: $358MQ4 2023: $352MQ1 2024: $327MQ2 2024: $351MQ3 2024: $371MQ4 2024: $387MQ1 2025: $358MQ2 2025: $372MQ3 2025: $396MQ4 2025: $440MQ1 2026: $414MQ2 2026: $460M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$460.1M+24%
Q1 2026$413.6M+15%
Q4 2025$440.2M+14%
Q3 2025$395.7M+6.8%
Q2 2025$372.1M+5.9%
Q1 2025$358.2M+9.5%
Q4 2024$387.2M+10%
Q3 2024$370.5M+3.4%

TSEM's revenue has grown year over year for eight quarters in a row: $460M last quarter, up 24% from the same quarter a year ago.

ASTS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$464.2M-$161.4M
Q2 2026-$694.8M-$341.1M
Q1 2026-$309.7M-$160.7M
Q4 2025-$330.7M-$220.3M
Q3 2025-$302.9M-$239.1M
Q2 2025-$353.6M-$315.3M
Q1 2025-$149M-$61.3M
Q4 2024-$110.5M-$63.2M

ASTS has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$1.8B over the past year, against −$916M the year before.

TSEM Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $301MQ4 2023: −$23MQ1 2024: $12MQ2 2024: $470,000Q3 2024: −$3MQ4 2024: $3MQ1 2025: −$17MQ2 2025: $12MQ3 2025: $36MQ4 2025: −$75MQ1 2026: $354MQ2 2026: −$10M
Q3 2023: $301MQ4 2023: −$23MQ1 2024: $12MQ2 2024: $470,000Q3 2024: −$3MQ4 2024: $3MQ1 2025: −$17MQ2 2025: $12MQ3 2025: $36MQ4 2025: −$75MQ1 2026: $354MQ2 2026: −$10M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026-$9.6M-181%
Q1 2026$353.6M+$371.1M
Q4 2025-$75.3M-2680%
Q3 2025$35.9M+$38.8M
Q2 2025$11.9M+2436%
Q1 2025-$17.5M-245%
Q4 2024$2.9M+$25.6M
Q3 2024-$2.9M-101%

TSEM has the edge over ASTS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

ASTS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+1.1M shares
1 year+10%+27.3M shares
3 years+235%+211M shares
5 years+480%+248M shares
Available history+944%+271M shares

ASTS has 300M diluted shares, up 10% from a year ago.

TSEM Total Shares

Q3 2023: 111MQ4 2023: 111MQ1 2024: 112MQ2 2024: 112MQ3 2024: 112MQ4 2024: 113MQ1 2025: 113MQ2 2025: 113MQ3 2025: 114MQ4 2025: 114MQ1 2026: 114MQ2 2026: 114M
Q3 2023: 111MQ4 2023: 111MQ1 2024: 112MQ2 2024: 112MQ3 2024: 112MQ4 2024: 113MQ1 2025: 113MQ2 2025: 113MQ3 2025: 114MQ4 2025: 114MQ1 2026: 114MQ2 2026: 114M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.1%+85K shares
1 year+1%+1.1M shares
3 years+2.9%+3.2M shares
5 years+4.4%+4.8M shares
Available history+6.3%+6.8M shares

TSEM has the edge over ASTS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

ASTS Net Leverage

ASTS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

TSEM Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -0.2xQ4 2023: -0.0xQ1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: -0.2xQ1 2025: -0.2xQ2 2025: -0.2xQ3 2025: -0.2xQ4 2025: -0.1xQ1 2026: -0.2xQ2 2026: -0.1x
Q3 2023: -0.2xQ4 2023: -0.0xQ1 2024: -0.1xQ2 2024: -0.1xQ3 2024: -0.1xQ4 2024: -0.2xQ1 2025: -0.2xQ2 2025: -0.2xQ3 2025: -0.2xQ4 2025: -0.1xQ1 2026: -0.2xQ2 2026: -0.1x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 2026-0.1xNet Cash
Q1 2026-0.2xNet Cash
Q4 2025-0.1xNet Cash
Q3 2025-0.2xNet Cash
Q2 2025-0.2xNet Cash
Q1 2025-0.2xNet Cash
Q4 2024-0.2xNet Cash
Q3 2024-0.1xNet Cash

TSEM has more cash than debt.

ASTS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.1Neutral
Stochastic11.9Oversold

ASTS's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

TSEM Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI40.7Neutral
Stochastic9.7Oversold

TSEM's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).

ASTS PE vs Technology Sector

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

TSEM PE vs Technology Sector

MetricTSEMSector medianRelative
PE62x28x124% above
PE %873552 pts above

TSEM is trading at 62x earnings, a 124% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.

ASTS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$44.923% below
20 week MA$57.140% below
50 week MA$75.554% below
100 week MA$57.840% below
200 week MA$33.62.8% above

ASTS has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 2.8% above its 200-week average.

TSEM Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$190.617% below
20 week MA$213.026% below
50 week MA$191.317% below
100 week MA$122.329% above
200 week MA$79.499% above

TSEM has the edge over ASTS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

ASTS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.87$13.4+36%
2021$13.4$8.71-35%
2022$8.71$3.97-54%
2023$3.97$6.03+52%
2024$6.03$22.9+280%
2025$22.9$72.0+214%
2026 YTD$72.0$34.5-52%

ASTS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +280% in 2024 to −54% in 2022. It's down 52% so far in 2026.

TSEM Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$24.3$25.4+4.7%
2021$25.4$38.4+51%
2022$38.4$43.9+14%
2023$43.9$30.5-31%
2024$30.5$52.1+71%
2025$52.1$121.6+134%
2026 YTD$121.6$157.9+30%

TSEM has the edge over ASTS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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