ASTS

AST SpaceMobile, Inc.

49
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

ASTS offers stronger modeled upside, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.

SONO

Sonos, Inc.

63
Fundamentals71/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential24/ 100

SONO has the edge over ASTS overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger fundamentals.

ASTS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

ASTS's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

SONO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Healthy
Strong

SONO's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

ASTS PE Valuation

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

SONO PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE71x141x212x282x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE71x141x212x282x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap21x$9.83-46%
Current25x$18.11—
Fair34x$15.43-15%
Expensive148x$67.98+275%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

SONO's PE is 25x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

ASTS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect ASTS's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

SONO Forward outlook

There aren't enough analyst estimates for SONO to show an outlook.

ASTS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+86%$64.16
Downside-46%$18.77

Calculated from the latest close: $34.50 on Nov 12.

ASTS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than SONO, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

SONO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+32%$23.82
Downside-24%$13.80

Calculated from the latest close: $18.11 on Nov 12.

SONO trails ASTS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ASTS Earnings Per Share

Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.15-$0.91
Q2 2026-$2.16-$0.27
Q1 2026-$1.80+$0.19
Q4 2025-$1.34+$0.61
Q3 2025-$1.24+$0.88
Q2 2025-$1.89-$0.64
Q1 2025-$1.99-$1.01
Q4 2022-$0.58-$0.21

ASTS is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.15 per share over the past year, against $5.76 at its worst in mid-2021.

SONO Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $-0.10Q4 2023: $-0.03Q1 2024: $-0.35Q2 2024: $-0.14Q3 2024: $-0.31Q4 2024: $-0.55Q1 2025: $-0.57Q2 2025: $-0.63Q3 2025: $-0.51Q4 2025: $-0.16Q1 2026: $0.18Q2 2026: $0.46
Q3 2023: $-0.10Q4 2023: $-0.03Q1 2024: $-0.35Q2 2024: $-0.14Q3 2024: $-0.31Q4 2024: $-0.55Q1 2025: $-0.57Q2 2025: $-0.63Q3 2025: $-0.51Q4 2025: $-0.16Q1 2026: $0.18Q2 2026: $0.46
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026$0.46+$1.09
Q1 2026$0.18+$0.75
Q4 2025-$0.16+$0.39
Q3 2025-$0.51-$0.20
Q2 2025-$0.63-$0.49
Q1 2025-$0.57-$0.22
Q4 2024-$0.55-$0.52
Q3 2024-$0.31-$0.21

SONO has the edge over ASTS on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

ASTS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$42.3M+187%
Q2 2026$31.5M+2627%
Q1 2026$14.7M+1952%
Q4 2025$54.3M+2731%
Q3 2025$14.7M+1240%
Q2 2025$1.2M+28%
Q1 2025$718K+44%
Q3 2022$4.2M+70%

ASTS has the edge over SONO on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

SONO Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $305MQ4 2023: $613MQ1 2024: $253MQ2 2024: $397MQ3 2024: $255MQ4 2024: $551MQ1 2025: $260MQ2 2025: $345MQ3 2025: $288MQ4 2025: $546MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $375M
Q3 2023: $305MQ4 2023: $613MQ1 2024: $253MQ2 2024: $397MQ3 2024: $255MQ4 2024: $551MQ1 2025: $260MQ2 2025: $345MQ3 2025: $288MQ4 2025: $546MQ1 2026: $282MQ2 2026: $375M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$375.3M+8.8%
Q1 2026$281.5M+8.4%
Q4 2025$545.7M-0.9%
Q3 2025$287.9M+13%
Q2 2025$344.8M-13%
Q1 2025$259.8M+2.8%
Q4 2024$550.9M-10%
Q3 2024$255.4M-16%

SONO's revenue is recovering but still below its 2022 peak: $375M last quarter, up 8.8% from the same quarter a year ago.

ASTS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$464.2M-$161.4M
Q2 2026-$694.8M-$341.1M
Q1 2026-$309.7M-$160.7M
Q4 2025-$330.7M-$220.3M
Q3 2025-$302.9M-$239.1M
Q2 2025-$353.6M-$315.3M
Q1 2025-$149M-$61.3M
Q4 2024-$110.5M-$63.2M

ASTS has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$1.8B over the past year, against −$916M the year before.

SONO Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: $12MQ4 2023: $269MQ1 2024: −$121MQ2 2024: $40MQ3 2024: −$54MQ4 2024: $143MQ1 2025: −$65MQ2 2025: $33MQ3 2025: −$2MQ4 2025: $157MQ1 2026: −$70MQ2 2026: $40M
Q3 2023: $12MQ4 2023: $269MQ1 2024: −$121MQ2 2024: $40MQ3 2024: −$54MQ4 2024: $143MQ1 2025: −$65MQ2 2025: $33MQ3 2025: −$2MQ4 2025: $157MQ1 2026: −$70MQ2 2026: $40M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$40.3M+23%
Q1 2026-$70.2M-$4.9M
Q4 2025$157.3M+10%
Q3 2025-$2.3M+$51.2M
Q2 2025$32.7M-19%
Q1 2025-$65.2M+$56.2M
Q4 2024$143.1M-47%
Q3 2024-$53.5M-546%

SONO has the edge over ASTS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

ASTS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+1.1M shares
1 year+10%+27.3M shares
3 years+235%+211M shares
5 years+480%+248M shares
Available history+944%+271M shares

ASTS has 300M diluted shares, up 10% from a year ago.

SONO Total Shares

Q3 2023: 128MQ4 2023: 127MQ1 2024: 124MQ2 2024: 127MQ3 2024: 123MQ4 2024: 125MQ1 2025: 120MQ2 2025: 120MQ3 2025: 121MQ4 2025: 125MQ1 2026: 120MQ2 2026: 121M
Q3 2023: 128MQ4 2023: 127MQ1 2024: 124MQ2 2024: 127MQ3 2024: 123MQ4 2024: 125MQ1 2025: 120MQ2 2025: 120MQ3 2025: 121MQ4 2025: 125MQ1 2026: 120MQ2 2026: 121M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.6%+773K shares
1 year+0.5%+559K shares
3 years-5.7%-7.3M shares
5 years-16%-23.2M shares
Available history+17%+17.2M shares

SONO has the edge over ASTS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

ASTS Net Leverage

ASTS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

SONO Net Leverage

Q3 2023: -7.8xQ4 2023: -20.7xQ1 2024: -29.4xQ2 2024: -5.4xQ3 2024: -39.2xQ3 2025: -14.7xQ4 2025: -5.2xQ1 2026: -2.3xQ2 2026: -1.8x
Q3 2023: -7.8xQ4 2023: -20.7xQ1 2024: -29.4xQ2 2024: -5.4xQ3 2024: -39.2xQ3 2025: -14.7xQ4 2025: -5.2xQ1 2026: -2.3xQ2 2026: -1.8x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q2 2026-1.8xNet Cash
Q1 2026-2.3xNet Cash
Q4 2025-5.2xNet Cash
Q3 2025-14.7xNet Cash
Q3 2024-39.2xNet Cash
Q2 2024-5.4xNet Cash
Q1 2024-29.4xNet Cash
Q4 2023-20.7xNet Cash

SONO has more cash than debt.

ASTS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.1Neutral
Stochastic11.9Oversold

ASTS's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

SONO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI61.6Neutral
Stochastic58.7Neutral

SONO's weekly RSI is 62 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 59 (neutral).

ASTS PE vs Technology Sector

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

SONO PE vs Technology Sector

MetricSONOSector medianRelative
PE25x28x9.7% below
PE %33352 pts below

SONO is trading at 25x earnings, in line with the Technology sector's median of 28x, though its earnings don't support one.

ASTS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$44.923% below
20 week MA$57.140% below
50 week MA$75.554% below
100 week MA$57.840% below
200 week MA$33.62.8% above

ASTS has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 2.8% above its 200-week average.

SONO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$17.34.4% above
20 week MA$16.013% above
50 week MA$15.616% above
100 week MA$14.327% above
200 week MA$14.921% above

SONO has the edge over ASTS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

ASTS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.87$13.4+36%
2021$13.4$8.71-35%
2022$8.71$3.97-54%
2023$3.97$6.03+52%
2024$6.03$22.9+280%
2025$22.9$72.0+214%
2026 YTD$72.0$34.5-52%

ASTS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +280% in 2024 to −54% in 2022. It's down 52% so far in 2026.

SONO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$15.0$24.4+63%
2021$24.4$29.9+22%
2022$29.9$17.0-43%
2023$17.0$17.1+0.8%
2024$17.1$15.0-12%
2025$15.0$18.1+20%
2026 YTD$18.1$18.1+0.2%

SONO has the edge over ASTS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

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