ASTS
AST SpaceMobile, Inc.
ASTS offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
SAIL
SailPoint, Inc.
SAIL has the edge over ASTS overall, supported by lower modeled downside.
ASTS Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Weak | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
ASTS's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
SAIL Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Weak | |
| Strong | |
| Strong |
SAIL's revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its profitability is weak.
ASTS PE Valuation
ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
SAIL PE Valuation
SAIL has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
ASTS Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses growing | |
| Strong growth | |
| -- | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect ASTS's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
SAIL Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for SAIL, with profitability improving.
ASTS Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$2.15 | -$0.91 |
| Q2 2026 | -$2.16 | -$0.27 |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.80 | +$0.19 |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.34 | +$0.61 |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.24 | +$0.88 |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.89 | -$0.64 |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.99 | -$1.01 |
| Q4 2022 | -$0.58 | -$0.21 |
SAIL has the stronger earnings trend. Trailing diluted EPS is down 273% for ASTS versus SAIL down 133%.
SAIL Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $0.38 | — |
| Q2 2022 | -$0.98 | -$0.57 |
| Q1 2022 | -$0.85 | -$0.65 |
| Q4 2021 | -$0.67 | -$0.55 |
| Q3 2021 | -$0.61 | -$0.60 |
| Q2 2021 | -$0.41 | -1125% |
| Q1 2021 | -$0.20 | -$0.11 |
| Q4 2020 | -$0.12 | -$0.02 |
| Q3 2020 | -$0.01 | +$0.01 |
SAIL is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.32 per share over the past year, against $0.98 at its worst in mid-2022.
ASTS Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $42.3M | +187% |
| Q2 2026 | $31.5M | +2627% |
| Q1 2026 | $14.7M | +1952% |
| Q4 2025 | $54.3M | +2731% |
| Q3 2025 | $14.7M | +1240% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.2M | +28% |
| Q1 2025 | $718K | +44% |
| Q3 2022 | $4.2M | +70% |
ASTS's revenue has grown year over year for 11 quarters in a row: $42M last quarter, up 187% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -415% | +694 points |
| Q2 2026 | -948% | +10744 points |
| Q1 2026 | -1686% | +7083 points |
| Q4 2025 | -175% | +2446 points |
| Q3 2025 | -1109% | +4850 points |
| Q2 2025 | -11692% | -4693 points |
| Q1 2025 | -8769% | +2331 points |
| Q4 2024 | -2621% | N/A |
ASTS's operating margin was −415% last quarter, up 694 points from the same quarter a year ago.
SAIL Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $308.8M | +17% |
| Q2 2026 | $280.1M | +22% |
| Q1 2026 | $294.6M | +23% |
| Q4 2025 | $281.9M | +20% |
| Q3 2025 | $264.4M | +33% |
| Q2 2025 | $230.5M | +23% |
| Q1 2025 | $240.1M | +18% |
| Q2 2022 | $134.3M | +31% |
SAIL's revenue has grown year over year every quarter since mid-2019: $309M last quarter, up 17% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -19% | -3.7 points |
| Q2 2026 | -28% | +52 points |
| Q1 2026 | -14% | -55 points |
| Q4 2025 | -15% | -4.3 points |
| Q3 2025 | -15% | +18 points |
| Q2 2025 | -80% | -44 points |
| Q1 2025 | 42% | +237 points |
| Q4 2024 | -10% | +9.5 points |
SAIL has the edge over ASTS on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
ASTS Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$464.2M | -$161.4M |
| Q2 2026 | -$694.8M | -$341.1M |
| Q1 2026 | -$309.7M | -$160.7M |
| Q4 2025 | -$330.7M | -$220.3M |
| Q3 2025 | -$302.9M | -$239.1M |
| Q2 2025 | -$353.6M | -$315.3M |
| Q1 2025 | -$149M | -$61.3M |
| Q4 2024 | -$110.5M | -$63.2M |
ASTS has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$1.8B over the past year, against −$916M the year before.
SAIL Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $43M | -12% |
| Q2 2026 | $37.3M | +$136.3M |
| Q1 2026 | $62.1M | +425% |
| Q4 2025 | $52.5M | +$69.3M |
| Q3 2025 | $49M | +$105.5M |
| Q2 2025 | -$99M | -$40.5M |
| Q1 2025 | $11.8M | +$66.7M |
| Q2 2022 | -$18.4M | -$4.8M |
SAIL has the edge over ASTS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
ASTS Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.4% | +1.1M shares |
| 1 year | +10% | +27.3M shares |
| 3 years | +235% | +211M shares |
| 5 years | +480% | +248M shares |
| Available history | +944% | +271M shares |
ASTS has 300M diluted shares, up 10% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
| Q2 2024 | — |
| Q1 2024 | — |
| Q4 2023 | — |
| Q3 2023 | — |
| Q2 2023 | — |
SAIL Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.6% | +3.6M shares |
| 1 year | +2.2% | +12.4M shares |
| 3 years | +513% | +475M shares |
| 5 years | +539% | +479M shares |
| Available history | +559% | +482M shares |
SAIL has the edge over ASTS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | — |
| Q1 2025 | $275,000 |
| Q4 2024 | $4.1M |
| Q3 2024 | — |
| Q2 2024 | $1.8M |
ASTS Net Leverage
ASTS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
SAIL Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | -41.3x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2025 | -7.4x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2025 | -4.7x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2025 | -4.9x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2025 | 5.2x | High |
| Q1 2021 | -45.8x | Net Cash |
| Q4 2020 | -26.6x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2020 | -17.3x | Net Cash |
SAIL has more cash than debt.
ASTS Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 34.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 11.9 | Oversold |
ASTS's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).
SAIL Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 56.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 62.8 | Neutral |
SAIL's weekly RSI is 56 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 63 (neutral).
ASTS PE vs Technology Sector
ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
SAIL PE vs Technology Sector
SAIL has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
ASTS Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $44.9 | 23% below |
| 20 week MA | $57.1 | 40% below |
| 50 week MA | $75.5 | 54% below |
| 100 week MA | $57.8 | 40% below |
| 200 week MA | $33.6 | 2.8% above |
SAIL has stronger trend alignment. ASTS is above 1 of 5 weekly averages versus SAIL above 3 of 3.
SAIL Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $20.4 | 0.9% above |
| 20 week MA | $18.6 | 11% above |
| 50 week MA | $16.8 | 23% above |
SAIL is in an uptrend: it's above all three of its weekly moving averages, and 23% above its 50-week average.
ASTS Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $9.87 | $13.4 | +36% |
| 2021 | $13.4 | $8.71 | -35% |
| 2022 | $8.71 | $3.97 | -54% |
| 2023 | $3.97 | $6.03 | +52% |
| 2024 | $6.03 | $22.9 | +280% |
| 2025 | $22.9 | $72.0 | +214% |
| 2026 YTD | $72.0 | $34.5 | -52% |
ASTS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +280% in 2024 to −54% in 2022. It's down 52% so far in 2026.
SAIL Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $24.6 | $21.2 | -14% |
| 2026 YTD | $21.2 | $20.6 | -2.7% |
SAIL has the edge over ASTS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.