ASTS
AST SpaceMobile, Inc.
ASTS offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
PRCH
Porch Group, Inc.
PRCH has the edge over ASTS overall, supported by lower modeled downside.
ASTS Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Weak | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
ASTS's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
PRCH Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Stable |
PRCH's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its balance sheet is stable.
ASTS PE Valuation
ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
PRCH PE Valuation
PRCH has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year. If it returns to profit as analysts expect, today's price would be 64x next year's earnings.
ASTS Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses growing | |
| Strong growth | |
| -- | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect ASTS's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
PRCH Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Returning to profit | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect PRCH to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
ASTS Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$2.15 | -$0.91 |
| Q2 2026 | -$2.16 | -$0.27 |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.80 | +$0.19 |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.34 | +$0.61 |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.24 | +$0.88 |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.89 | -$0.64 |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.99 | -$1.01 |
| Q4 2022 | -$0.58 | -$0.21 |
PRCH has the stronger earnings trend. Trailing diluted EPS is down 273% for ASTS versus PRCH down 54%.
PRCH Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $0.33 | +7.9% |
| Q3 2025 | $0.31 | +$0.99 |
| Q2 2025 | $0.53 | +$1.39 |
| Q1 2025 | -$0.12 | +$1.00 |
| Q4 2024 | -$0.33 | +$1.06 |
| Q3 2024 | -$0.68 | +$1.06 |
| Q2 2024 | -$0.86 | +$1.70 |
| Q1 2024 | -$1.12 | +$0.80 |
| Q4 2023 | -$1.39 | +$0.18 |
PRCH has returned to profit: it earned $0.31 per share over the past year, after losing money the year before.
ASTS Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $42.3M | +187% |
| Q2 2026 | $31.5M | +2627% |
| Q1 2026 | $14.7M | +1952% |
| Q4 2025 | $54.3M | +2731% |
| Q3 2025 | $14.7M | +1240% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.2M | +28% |
| Q1 2025 | $718K | +44% |
| Q3 2022 | $4.2M | +70% |
ASTS has the edge over PRCH on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -415% | +694 points |
| Q2 2026 | -948% | +10744 points |
| Q1 2026 | -1686% | +7083 points |
| Q4 2025 | -175% | +2446 points |
| Q3 2025 | -1109% | +4850 points |
| Q2 2025 | -11692% | -4693 points |
| Q1 2025 | -8769% | +2331 points |
| Q4 2024 | -2621% | N/A |
ASTS's operating margin was −415% last quarter, up 694 points from the same quarter a year ago.
PRCH Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $143.9M | +22% |
| Q2 2026 | $140.9M | +18% |
| Q1 2026 | $121.1M | +16% |
| Q4 2025 | $140.3M | +40% |
| Q3 2025 | $118.1M | +6.2% |
| Q2 2025 | $119.3M | +7.6% |
| Q1 2025 | $104.7M | -9.3% |
| Q4 2024 | $100.4M | -12% |
PRCH's revenue has grown year over year for six quarters in a row: $144M last quarter, up 22% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 13% | -1.3 points |
| Q2 2026 | -2.9% | -7.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 9.8% | +11 points |
| Q4 2025 | 12% | -13 points |
| Q3 2025 | 14% | +16 points |
| Q2 2025 | 4.2% | +52 points |
| Q1 2025 | -1.2% | +29 points |
| Q4 2024 | 25% | +19 points |
PRCH has the edge over ASTS on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
ASTS Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$464.2M | -$161.4M |
| Q2 2026 | -$694.8M | -$341.1M |
| Q1 2026 | -$309.7M | -$160.7M |
| Q4 2025 | -$330.7M | -$220.3M |
| Q3 2025 | -$302.9M | -$239.1M |
| Q2 2025 | -$353.6M | -$315.3M |
| Q1 2025 | -$149M | -$61.3M |
| Q4 2024 | -$110.5M | -$63.2M |
ASTS has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$1.8B over the past year, against −$916M the year before.
PRCH Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $59.2M | +45% |
| Q2 2026 | $40.9M | +16% |
| Q1 2026 | $12.8M | +$24.1M |
| Q4 2025 | $1.1M | +$27.9M |
| Q3 2025 | $40.7M | +234% |
| Q2 2025 | $35.4M | +$61.4M |
| Q1 2025 | -$11.2M | -233% |
| Q4 2024 | -$26.8M | +$14.3M |
PRCH has the edge over ASTS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
ASTS Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.4% | +1.1M shares |
| 1 year | +10% | +27.3M shares |
| 3 years | +235% | +211M shares |
| 5 years | +480% | +248M shares |
| Available history | +944% | +271M shares |
ASTS has 300M diluted shares, up 10% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
| Q2 2024 | — |
| Q1 2024 | — |
| Q4 2023 | — |
| Q3 2023 | — |
| Q2 2023 | — |
PRCH Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +4.6% | +5.6M shares |
| 1 year | -4.1% | -5.4M shares |
| 3 years | +32% | +30.6M shares |
| 5 years | +33% | +31.1M shares |
PRCH has the edge over ASTS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | $2.5M |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
| Q2 2024 | — |
| Q1 2024 | — |
| Q4 2023 | — |
ASTS Net Leverage
ASTS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
PRCH Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.5x | Moderate |
| Q2 2026 | 3.0x | Elevated |
| Q1 2026 | 4.6x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 5.7x | High |
| Q3 2025 | 4.5x | High |
| Q2 2025 | 6.3x | High |
PRCH's net debt is about 2.5 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 4.5 years a year ago.
ASTS Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 34.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 11.9 | Oversold |
ASTS's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).
PRCH Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 71.1 | Overbought |
| Stochastic | 82.5 | Overbought |
PRCH's weekly RSI is 71 (overbought) and its Stochastic is 83 (overbought).
ASTS PE vs Technology Sector
ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
PRCH PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | PRCH | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 28x | — |
PRCH has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
ASTS Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $44.9 | 23% below |
| 20 week MA | $57.1 | 40% below |
| 50 week MA | $75.5 | 54% below |
| 100 week MA | $57.8 | 40% below |
| 200 week MA | $33.6 | 2.8% above |
ASTS has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 2.8% above its 200-week average.
PRCH Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $18.5 | 15% above |
| 20 week MA | $16.8 | 27% above |
| 50 week MA | $12.1 | 76% above |
| 100 week MA | $11.2 | 91% above |
| 200 week MA | $6.59 | 223% above |
PRCH has the edge over ASTS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
ASTS Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $9.87 | $13.4 | +36% |
| 2021 | $13.4 | $8.71 | -35% |
| 2022 | $8.71 | $3.97 | -54% |
| 2023 | $3.97 | $6.03 | +52% |
| 2024 | $6.03 | $22.9 | +280% |
| 2025 | $22.9 | $72.0 | +214% |
| 2026 YTD | $72.0 | $34.5 | -52% |
ASTS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +280% in 2024 to −54% in 2022. It's down 52% so far in 2026.
PRCH Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $10.0 | $15.0 | +50% |
| 2021 | $15.0 | $17.8 | +19% |
| 2022 | $17.8 | $1.70 | -90% |
| 2023 | $1.70 | $3.08 | +81% |
| 2024 | $3.08 | $5.44 | +77% |
| 2025 | $5.44 | $8.93 | +64% |
| 2026 YTD | $8.93 | $21.3 | +139% |
PRCH has the edge over ASTS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.