ASTS
AST SpaceMobile, Inc.
ASTS offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
PAGS
PagSeguro Digital Ltd.
PAGS has a slight edge over ASTS overall, supported by lower modeled downside.
ASTS Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Weak | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
ASTS's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
PAGS Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Strong | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak |
PAGS's profitability is currently strong, and its revenue is stable, but its cash flow and balance sheet are under pressure.
ASTS PE Valuation
ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
PAGS PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 5.8x | $7.82 | — |
| Cheap | 7.1x | $9.52 | +22% |
| Fair | 12x | $16.50 | +111% |
| Expensive | 51x | $67.68 | +766% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
PAGS's PE is 5.8x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.
ASTS Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses growing | |
| Strong growth | |
| -- | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect ASTS's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
PAGS Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Limited | |
| Moderate |
Analysts expect PAGS's earnings, revenue and profitability to hold roughly steady.
ASTS Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$2.15 | -$0.91 |
| Q2 2026 | -$2.16 | -$0.27 |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.80 | +$0.19 |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.34 | +$0.61 |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.24 | +$0.88 |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.89 | -$0.64 |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.99 | -$1.01 |
| Q4 2022 | -$0.58 | -$0.21 |
ASTS is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.15 per share over the past year, against $5.76 at its worst in mid-2021.
PAGS Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $1.34 | +5.5% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.31 | +6.5% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.28 | +7.6% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.31 | +17% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.27 | +21% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.23 | +26% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.19 | +31% |
| Q3 2024 | $1.12 | +30% |
PAGS has the edge over ASTS on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
ASTS Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $42.3M | +187% |
| Q2 2026 | $31.5M | +2627% |
| Q1 2026 | $14.7M | +1952% |
| Q4 2025 | $54.3M | +2731% |
| Q3 2025 | $14.7M | +1240% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.2M | +28% |
| Q1 2025 | $718K | +44% |
| Q3 2022 | $4.2M | +70% |
ASTS has the edge over PAGS on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -415% | +694 points |
| Q2 2026 | -948% | +10744 points |
| Q1 2026 | -1686% | +7083 points |
| Q4 2025 | -175% | +2446 points |
| Q3 2025 | -1109% | +4850 points |
| Q2 2025 | -11692% | -4693 points |
| Q1 2025 | -8769% | +2331 points |
| Q4 2024 | -2621% | N/A |
ASTS's operating margin was −415% last quarter, up 694 points from the same quarter a year ago.
PAGS Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $873.8M | -0.2% |
| Q1 2026 | $840.1M | -0.4% |
| Q4 2025 | $949.7M | +6% |
| Q3 2025 | $880.1M | +4.5% |
| Q2 2025 | $875.7M | +11% |
| Q1 2025 | $843.5M | +12% |
| Q4 2024 | $895.7M | +17% |
| Q3 2024 | $842.3M | +19% |
PAGS's revenue has held roughly level: $874M last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 36% | -0.6 points |
| Q1 2026 | 37% | +1.6 points |
| Q4 2025 | 39% | +5.2 points |
| Q3 2025 | 38% | +6.6 points |
| Q2 2025 | 37% | +5 points |
| Q1 2025 | 36% | +3.3 points |
| Q4 2024 | 34% | -0.5 points |
| Q3 2024 | 32% | -2.1 points |
PAGS has the edge over ASTS on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
ASTS Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$464.2M | -$161.4M |
| Q2 2026 | -$694.8M | -$341.1M |
| Q1 2026 | -$309.7M | -$160.7M |
| Q4 2025 | -$330.7M | -$220.3M |
| Q3 2025 | -$302.9M | -$239.1M |
| Q2 2025 | -$353.6M | -$315.3M |
| Q1 2025 | -$149M | -$61.3M |
| Q4 2024 | -$110.5M | -$63.2M |
ASTS has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$1.8B over the past year, against −$916M the year before.
PAGS Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $139.8M | -54% |
| Q1 2026 | $39.4M | -61% |
| Q4 2025 | -$579.5M | -$433.3M |
| Q3 2025 | $299M | +$527.2M |
| Q2 2025 | $305.5M | +$1.2B |
| Q1 2025 | $101.6M | -70% |
| Q4 2024 | -$146.2M | -314% |
| Q3 2024 | -$228.1M | -387% |
PAGS has the edge over ASTS on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
ASTS Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.4% | +1.1M shares |
| 1 year | +10% | +27.3M shares |
| 3 years | +235% | +211M shares |
| 5 years | +480% | +248M shares |
| Available history | +944% | +271M shares |
ASTS has 300M diluted shares, up 10% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
| Q2 2024 | — |
| Q1 2024 | — |
| Q4 2023 | — |
| Q3 2023 | — |
| Q2 2023 | — |
PAGS Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -1.2% | -3.4M shares |
| 1 year | -7.1% | -21.2M shares |
| 3 years | -14% | -46M shares |
| 5 years | -15% | -50.9M shares |
| Available history | -15% | -51.1M shares |
PAGS has the edge over ASTS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $16.9M |
| Q1 2026 | $49.7M |
| Q4 2025 | $107.9M |
| Q3 2025 | $8.6M |
| Q2 2025 | $83.8M |
| Q1 2025 | $40.9M |
| Q4 2024 | $63.9M |
| Q3 2024 | $76.6M |
PAGS spent $183M buying back its own shares over the past year, down 31% from the year before.
ASTS Net Leverage
ASTS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
PAGS Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 4.7x | High |
| Q1 2026 | 4.6x | High |
| Q4 2025 | 4.5x | High |
| Q3 2025 | 4.5x | High |
| Q2 2025 | 4.8x | High |
| Q1 2025 | 4.7x | High |
| Q4 2024 | 5.3x | High |
| Q3 2024 | 5.1x | High |
PAGS's net debt is about 4.7 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.
ASTS Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 34.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 11.9 | Oversold |
ASTS's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).
PAGS Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 40.9 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 7.0 | Oversold |
PAGS's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).
ASTS PE vs Technology Sector
ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
PAGS PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | PAGS | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 5.8x | 28x | 79% below |
| PE % | 1 | 35 | 34 pts below |
PAGS is trading at 5.8x earnings, a 79% discount to the Technology sector's median of 28x, though its earnings don't support one.
ASTS Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $44.9 | 23% below |
| 20 week MA | $57.1 | 40% below |
| 50 week MA | $75.5 | 54% below |
| 100 week MA | $57.8 | 40% below |
| 200 week MA | $33.6 | 2.8% above |
ASTS has the edge over PAGS on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
PAGS Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $9.38 | 17% below |
| 20 week MA | $9.29 | 16% below |
| 50 week MA | $9.69 | 19% below |
| 100 week MA | $9.11 | 14% below |
| 200 week MA | $9.76 | 20% below |
PAGS is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 20% below its 200-week average.
ASTS Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $9.87 | $13.4 | +36% |
| 2021 | $13.4 | $8.71 | -35% |
| 2022 | $8.71 | $3.97 | -54% |
| 2023 | $3.97 | $6.03 | +52% |
| 2024 | $6.03 | $22.9 | +280% |
| 2025 | $22.9 | $72.0 | +214% |
| 2026 YTD | $72.0 | $34.5 | -52% |
ASTS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +280% in 2024 to −54% in 2022. It's down 52% so far in 2026.
PAGS Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $34.5 | $53.8 | +56% |
| 2021 | $53.8 | $26.7 | -50% |
| 2022 | $26.7 | $8.62 | -68% |
| 2023 | $8.62 | $12.5 | +45% |
| 2024 | $12.5 | $6.38 | -49% |
| 2025 | $6.38 | $9.77 | +53% |
| 2026 YTD | $9.77 | $7.82 | -20% |
PAGS has the edge over ASTS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.