ASTS
AST SpaceMobile, Inc.
ASTS trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.
NVMI
Nova Ltd.
NVMI has the edge over ASTS overall, supported by lower modeled downside and stronger modeled upside.
ASTS Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Weak | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
ASTS's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
NVMI Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Strong | |
| Healthy | |
| Stable |
NVMI's revenue, profitability and cash flow are currently healthy, and its balance sheet is stable.
ASTS PE Valuation
ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
NVMI PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Forward | 25x | $328 | — |
| Cheap | 26x | $211 | -36% |
| Fair | 39x | $313 | -4.5% |
| Current | 41x | $328 | — |
| Expensive | 54x | $433 | +32% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
NVMI's PE is in its fair range at 41x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 25x next year's earnings, in its cheap range.
ASTS Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses growing | |
| Strong growth | |
| -- | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect ASTS's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
NVMI Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strong growth | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for NVMI, with profitability improving.
ASTS Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$2.15 | -$0.91 |
| Q2 2026 | -$2.16 | -$0.27 |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.80 | +$0.19 |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.34 | +$0.61 |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.24 | +$0.88 |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.89 | -$0.64 |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.99 | -$1.01 |
| Q4 2022 | -$0.58 | -$0.21 |
ASTS is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.15 per share over the past year, against $5.76 at its worst in mid-2021.
NVMI Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $13.34 | +66% |
| Q2 2026 | $8.05 | +9.5% |
| Q1 2026 | $7.99 | +21% |
| Q4 2025 | $8.01 | +40% |
| Q3 2025 | $7.65 | +43% |
| Q2 2025 | $7.35 | +53% |
| Q1 2025 | $6.61 | +53% |
| Q4 2024 | $5.73 | +34% |
| Q3 2024 | $5.34 | +27% |
NVMI has the edge over ASTS on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
ASTS Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $42.3M | +187% |
| Q2 2026 | $31.5M | +2627% |
| Q1 2026 | $14.7M | +1952% |
| Q4 2025 | $54.3M | +2731% |
| Q3 2025 | $14.7M | +1240% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.2M | +28% |
| Q1 2025 | $718K | +44% |
| Q3 2022 | $4.2M | +70% |
ASTS's revenue has grown year over year for 11 quarters in a row: $42M last quarter, up 187% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -415% | +694 points |
| Q2 2026 | -948% | +10744 points |
| Q1 2026 | -1686% | +7083 points |
| Q4 2025 | -175% | +2446 points |
| Q3 2025 | -1109% | +4850 points |
| Q2 2025 | -11692% | -4693 points |
| Q1 2025 | -8769% | +2331 points |
| Q4 2024 | -2621% | N/A |
ASTS's operating margin was −415% last quarter, up 694 points from the same quarter a year ago.
NVMI Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $255M | +16% |
| Q1 2026 | $235.3M | +10% |
| Q4 2025 | $222.6M | +14% |
| Q3 2025 | $224.6M | +25% |
| Q2 2025 | $220M | +40% |
| Q1 2025 | $213.4M | +50% |
| Q4 2024 | $194.8M | +45% |
| Q3 2024 | $179M | +39% |
NVMI's revenue has grown year over year for 10 quarters in a row: $255M last quarter, up 16% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 30% | 0 points |
| Q1 2026 | 30% | +0.5 points |
| Q4 2025 | 27% | -1.2 points |
| Q3 2025 | 28% | +0.9 points |
| Q2 2025 | 30% | +0.8 points |
| Q1 2025 | 30% | +3.4 points |
| Q4 2024 | 28% | +3.4 points |
| Q3 2024 | 28% | +1 points |
NVMI has the edge over ASTS on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
ASTS Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$464.2M | -$161.4M |
| Q2 2026 | -$694.8M | -$341.1M |
| Q1 2026 | -$309.7M | -$160.7M |
| Q4 2025 | -$330.7M | -$220.3M |
| Q3 2025 | -$302.9M | -$239.1M |
| Q2 2025 | -$353.6M | -$315.3M |
| Q1 2025 | -$149M | -$61.3M |
| Q4 2024 | -$110.5M | -$63.2M |
ASTS has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$1.8B over the past year, against −$916M the year before.
NVMI Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | $38.4M | -10% |
| Q1 2026 | $36M | -40% |
| Q4 2025 | $48.4M | -21% |
| Q3 2025 | $66.9M | +55% |
| Q2 2025 | $42.9M | -26% |
| Q1 2025 | $59.7M | +5.3% |
| Q4 2024 | $61M | +191% |
| Q3 2024 | $43.1M | -0.2% |
NVMI has the edge over ASTS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
ASTS Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.4% | +1.1M shares |
| 1 year | +10% | +27.3M shares |
| 3 years | +235% | +211M shares |
| 5 years | +480% | +248M shares |
| Available history | +944% | +271M shares |
ASTS has 300M diluted shares, up 10% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
| Q2 2024 | — |
| Q1 2024 | — |
| Q4 2023 | — |
| Q3 2023 | — |
| Q2 2023 | — |
NVMI Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | 0% | +11K shares |
| 1 year | +7.5% | +2.4M shares |
| 3 years | +7.9% | +2.5M shares |
| 5 years | +16% | +4.6M shares |
| Available history | +21% | +6M shares |
NVMI has the edge over ASTS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | $15M |
| Q3 2025 | $55M |
| Q2 2025 | $96,440 |
| Q1 2025 | $20M |
| Q4 2024 | $30M |
| Q3 2024 | — |
NVMI spent $70M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 40% from the year before.
ASTS Net Leverage
ASTS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
NVMI Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q2 2026 | 2.1x | Moderate |
| Q1 2026 | 1.1x | Healthy |
| Q4 2025 | 2.0x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | 1.2x | Healthy |
| Q2 2025 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.4x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q3 2024 | 0.4x | Very low |
NVMI's net debt is about 2.1 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), up from less than a year a year ago.
ASTS Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 34.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 11.9 | Oversold |
ASTS's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).
NVMI Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 39.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 21.0 | Neutral |
NVMI's weekly RSI is 39 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 21 (neutral).
ASTS PE vs Technology Sector
ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
NVMI PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | NVMI | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 41x | 28x | 46% above |
| PE % | 56 | 35 | 21 pts above |
NVMI is trading at 41x earnings, a 46% premium to the Technology sector's median of 28x.
ASTS Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $44.9 | 23% below |
| 20 week MA | $57.1 | 40% below |
| 50 week MA | $75.5 | 54% below |
| 100 week MA | $57.8 | 40% below |
| 200 week MA | $33.6 | 2.8% above |
ASTS has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 2.8% above its 200-week average.
NVMI Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $337.9 | 3% below |
| 20 week MA | $377.6 | 13% below |
| 50 week MA | $422.9 | 23% below |
| 100 week MA | $336.0 | 2.5% below |
| 200 week MA | $242.9 | 35% above |
NVMI has fallen below most of its moving averages, though it's still 35% above its 200-week average.
ASTS Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $9.87 | $13.4 | +36% |
| 2021 | $13.4 | $8.71 | -35% |
| 2022 | $8.71 | $3.97 | -54% |
| 2023 | $3.97 | $6.03 | +52% |
| 2024 | $6.03 | $22.9 | +280% |
| 2025 | $22.9 | $72.0 | +214% |
| 2026 YTD | $72.0 | $34.5 | -52% |
ASTS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +280% in 2024 to −54% in 2022. It's down 52% so far in 2026.
NVMI Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $38.1 | $70.3 | +85% |
| 2021 | $70.3 | $137.0 | +95% |
| 2022 | $137.0 | $81.7 | -40% |
| 2023 | $81.7 | $137.4 | +68% |
| 2024 | $137.4 | $200.1 | +46% |
| 2025 | $200.1 | $330.9 | +65% |
| 2026 YTD | $330.9 | $327.6 | -1% |
NVMI has the edge over ASTS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.