ASTS

AST SpaceMobile, Inc.

49
Fundamentals66/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential65/ 100
Risk potential46/ 100

ASTS has the edge over GTM overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and stronger modeled upside.

GTM

ZoomInfo Technologies Inc.

46
Fundamentals47/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential63/ 100
Risk potential40/ 100

GTM has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

ASTS Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Healthy
Weak
Weak
Unavailable

ASTS's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

GTM Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Weak
Healthy
Under pressure

GTM's cash flow is currently healthy, and its revenue is stable, but its profitability and balance sheet are under pressure.

ASTS PE Valuation

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

GTM PE Valuation

GTM has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ASTS Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses growing
Strong growth
--
Limited
Low

Analysts expect ASTS's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

GTM Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Stable
Stable
Strongly improving
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect GTM's profitability to improve, with its earnings and revenue holding steady.

ASTS Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+86%$64.16
Downside-46%$18.77

Calculated from the latest close: $34.50 on Nov 12.

ASTS has a better modeled risk to reward balance than GTM, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

GTM Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+67%$5.52
Downside-40%$1.97

Calculated from the latest close: $3.30 on Nov 12.

GTM trails ASTS on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ASTS Earnings Per Share

Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
Q1 2024: $-0.98Q2 2024: $-1.25Q3 2024: $-2.12Q4 2024: $-1.95Q1 2025: $-1.99Q2 2025: $-1.89Q3 2025: $-1.24Q4 2025: $-1.34Q1 2026: $-1.80Q2 2026: $-2.16Q3 2026: $-2.15
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$2.15-$0.91
Q2 2026-$2.16-$0.27
Q1 2026-$1.80+$0.19
Q4 2025-$1.34+$0.61
Q3 2025-$1.24+$0.88
Q2 2025-$1.89-$0.64
Q1 2025-$1.99-$1.01
Q4 2022-$0.58-$0.21

ASTS is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.15 per share over the past year, against $5.76 at its worst in mid-2021.

GTM Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $0.27Q1 2024: $0.20Q2 2024: $0.04Q3 2024: $0.03Q4 2024: $0.08Q1 2025: $0.12Q2 2025: $0.26Q3 2025: $0.31Q4 2025: $0.38Q1 2026: $0.40Q2 2026: $-1.86Q3 2026: $-1.97Forward: $1.11
Q4 2023: $0.27Q1 2024: $0.20Q2 2024: $0.04Q3 2024: $0.03Q4 2024: $0.08Q1 2025: $0.12Q2 2025: $0.26Q3 2025: $0.31Q4 2025: $0.38Q1 2026: $0.40Q2 2026: $-1.86Q3 2026: $-1.97Forward: $1.11
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$1.11—
Q3 2026-$1.97-735%
Q2 2026-$1.86-815%
Q1 2026$0.40+233%
Q4 2025$0.38+375%
Q3 2025$0.31+933%
Q2 2025$0.26+550%
Q1 2025$0.12-40%
Q4 2024$0.08-70%

GTM has the edge over ASTS on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ASTS Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
Q4 2023: $0Q1 2024: $500,000Q2 2024: $900,000Q3 2024: $1MQ4 2024: $2MQ1 2025: $718,000Q2 2025: $1MQ3 2025: $15MQ4 2025: $54MQ1 2026: $15MQ2 2026: $32MQ3 2026: $42M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$42.3M+187%
Q2 2026$31.5M+2627%
Q1 2026$14.7M+1952%
Q4 2025$54.3M+2731%
Q3 2025$14.7M+1240%
Q2 2025$1.2M+28%
Q1 2025$718K+44%
Q3 2022$4.2M+70%

ASTS has the edge over GTM on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

GTM Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $316MQ1 2024: $310MQ2 2024: $292MQ3 2024: $304MQ4 2024: $309MQ1 2025: $306MQ2 2025: $307MQ3 2025: $318MQ4 2025: $319MQ1 2026: $310MQ2 2026: $310MQ3 2026: $309M
Q4 2023: $316MQ1 2024: $310MQ2 2024: $292MQ3 2024: $304MQ4 2024: $309MQ1 2025: $306MQ2 2025: $307MQ3 2025: $318MQ4 2025: $319MQ1 2026: $310MQ2 2026: $310MQ3 2026: $309M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$308.8M-2.9%
Q2 2026$310.4M+1.2%
Q1 2026$310.2M+1.5%
Q4 2025$319.1M+3.2%
Q3 2025$318M+4.7%
Q2 2025$306.7M+5.2%
Q1 2025$305.7M-1.4%
Q4 2024$309.1M-2.3%

GTM's revenue grew through 2023 and has held roughly level since: $309M last quarter, down 2.9% from the same quarter a year ago.

ASTS Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
Q4 2023: −$47MQ1 2024: −$88MQ2 2024: −$38MQ3 2024: −$64MQ4 2024: −$110MQ1 2025: −$149MQ2 2025: −$354MQ3 2025: −$303MQ4 2025: −$331MQ1 2026: −$310MQ2 2026: −$695MQ3 2026: −$464M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$464.2M-$161.4M
Q2 2026-$694.8M-$341.1M
Q1 2026-$309.7M-$160.7M
Q4 2025-$330.7M-$220.3M
Q3 2025-$302.9M-$239.1M
Q2 2025-$353.6M-$315.3M
Q1 2025-$149M-$61.3M
Q4 2024-$110.5M-$63.2M

ASTS has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$1.8B over the past year, against −$916M the year before.

GTM Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $120MQ1 2024: $103MQ2 2024: $115MQ3 2024: $600,000Q4 2024: $86MQ1 2025: $104MQ2 2025: $87MQ3 2025: $71MQ4 2025: $127MQ1 2026: $91MQ2 2026: $70MQ3 2026: $34M
Q4 2023: $120MQ1 2024: $103MQ2 2024: $115MQ3 2024: $600,000Q4 2024: $86MQ1 2025: $104MQ2 2025: $87MQ3 2025: $71MQ4 2025: $127MQ1 2026: $91MQ2 2026: $70MQ3 2026: $34M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$33.8M-52%
Q2 2026$69.7M-20%
Q1 2026$90.6M-13%
Q4 2025$127.1M+48%
Q3 2025$70.9M+11717%
Q2 2025$86.9M-25%
Q1 2025$104.4M+1.3%
Q4 2024$85.6M-29%

GTM has the edge over ASTS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.

ASTS Total Shares

Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
Q4 2023: 90MQ1 2024: 121MQ2 2024: 141MQ3 2024: 156MQ4 2024: 199MQ1 2025: 224MQ2 2025: 242MQ3 2025: 273MQ4 2025: 256MQ1 2026: 291MQ2 2026: 299MQ3 2026: 300M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.4%+1.1M shares
1 year+10%+27.3M shares
3 years+235%+211M shares
5 years+480%+248M shares
Available history+944%+271M shares

ASTS has 300M diluted shares, up 10% from a year ago.

GTM Total Shares

Q4 2023: 380MQ1 2024: 374MQ2 2024: 365MQ3 2024: 343MQ4 2024: 362MQ1 2025: 329MQ2 2025: 327MQ3 2025: 317MQ4 2025: 324MQ1 2026: 302MQ2 2026: 295MQ3 2026: 293M
Q4 2023: 380MQ1 2024: 374MQ2 2024: 365MQ3 2024: 343MQ4 2024: 362MQ1 2025: 329MQ2 2025: 327MQ3 2025: 317MQ4 2025: 324MQ1 2026: 302MQ2 2026: 295MQ3 2026: 293M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-0.5%-1.6M shares
1 year-7.6%-24.1M shares
3 years-25%-96.9M shares
5 years+11%+28.9M shares
Available history+95%+143M shares

GTM has the edge over ASTS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

ASTS Net Leverage

ASTS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

GTM Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 2.3xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 3.6xQ3 2024: 4.9xQ4 2024: 5.9xQ1 2025: 5.7xQ2 2025: 4.3xQ3 2025: 4.1xQ4 2025: 3.7xQ1 2026: 3.6x
Q4 2023: 2.3xQ1 2024: 2.6xQ2 2024: 3.6xQ3 2024: 4.9xQ4 2024: 5.9xQ1 2025: 5.7xQ2 2025: 4.3xQ3 2025: 4.1xQ4 2025: 3.7xQ1 2026: 3.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q1 20263.6xElevated
Q4 20253.7xElevated
Q3 20254.1xHigh
Q2 20254.3xHigh
Q1 20255.7xHigh
Q4 20245.9xHigh
Q3 20244.9xHigh
Q2 20243.6xElevated

GTM's net debt is about 3.6 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from 5.7 years a year ago.

ASTS Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI34.1Neutral
Stochastic11.9Oversold

ASTS's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).

GTM Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI37.9Neutral
Stochastic40.2Neutral

GTM's weekly RSI is 38 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 40 (neutral).

ASTS PE vs Technology Sector

ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

GTM PE vs Technology Sector

MetricGTMSector medianRelative
PEN/A28x—

GTM has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ASTS Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$44.923% below
20 week MA$57.140% below
50 week MA$75.554% below
100 week MA$57.840% below
200 week MA$33.62.8% above

ASTS has the edge over GTM on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

GTM Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$3.8314% below
20 week MA$3.7011% below
50 week MA$5.3939% below
100 week MA$7.7758% below
200 week MA$12.473% below

GTM is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 73% below its 200-week average.

ASTS Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$9.87$13.4+36%
2021$13.4$8.71-35%
2022$8.71$3.97-54%
2023$3.97$6.03+52%
2024$6.03$22.9+280%
2025$22.9$72.0+214%
2026 YTD$72.0$34.5-52%

ASTS has the edge over GTM on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

GTM Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$38.9$44.8+15%
2021$44.8$65.7+47%
2022$65.7$28.8-56%
2023$28.8$18.5-36%
2024$18.5$10.7-42%
2025$10.7$10.1-5.1%
2026 YTD$10.1$3.30-67%

GTM has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 67% so far in 2026.

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