ASTS
AST SpaceMobile, Inc.
ASTS offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
DBD
Diebold Nixdorf, Incorporated
DBD has the edge over ASTS overall, supported by lower modeled downside.
ASTS Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Weak | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
ASTS's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
DBD Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Stable |
DBD's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue, cash flow and balance sheet are stable.
ASTS PE Valuation
ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
DBD PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 0.7x | $1.54 | -97% |
| Forward | 9.8x | $54.75 | — |
| Fair | 22x | $44.94 | -18% |
| Current | 26x | $54.75 | — |
| Expensive | 32x | $67.83 | +24% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
DBD's PE is in its fair range at 26x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 9.8x next year's earnings.
ASTS Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses growing | |
| Strong growth | |
| -- | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect ASTS's losses to grow, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
DBD Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly improving | |
| Strong growth | |
| Stable | |
| Improving | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect DBD's earnings to grow and its profitability to improve, with its revenue holding steady.
ASTS Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$2.15 | -$0.91 |
| Q2 2026 | -$2.16 | -$0.27 |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.80 | +$0.19 |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.34 | +$0.61 |
| Q3 2025 | -$1.24 | +$0.88 |
| Q2 2025 | -$1.89 | -$0.64 |
| Q1 2025 | -$1.99 | -$1.01 |
| Q4 2022 | -$0.58 | -$0.21 |
ASTS is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.15 per share over the past year, against $5.76 at its worst in mid-2021.
DBD Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $5.56 | +166% |
| Q3 2026 | $2.09 | +53% |
| Q2 2026 | $3.01 | +$3.35 |
| Q1 2026 | $2.90 | +$3.17 |
| Q4 2025 | $2.54 | +$2.98 |
| Q3 2025 | $1.37 | +$1.37 |
| Q2 2025 | -$0.34 | -101% |
| Q1 2025 | -$0.27 | -101% |
| Q4 2024 | -$0.44 | -101% |
DBD has the edge over ASTS on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
ASTS Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $42.3M | +187% |
| Q2 2026 | $31.5M | +2627% |
| Q1 2026 | $14.7M | +1952% |
| Q4 2025 | $54.3M | +2731% |
| Q3 2025 | $14.7M | +1240% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.2M | +28% |
| Q1 2025 | $718K | +44% |
| Q3 2022 | $4.2M | +70% |
ASTS has the edge over DBD on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -415% | +694 points |
| Q2 2026 | -948% | +10744 points |
| Q1 2026 | -1686% | +7083 points |
| Q4 2025 | -175% | +2446 points |
| Q3 2025 | -1109% | +4850 points |
| Q2 2025 | -11692% | -4693 points |
| Q1 2025 | -8769% | +2331 points |
| Q4 2024 | -2621% | N/A |
ASTS's operating margin was −415% last quarter, up 694 points from the same quarter a year ago.
DBD Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $994.3M | +5.2% |
| Q2 2026 | $930.8M | +1.7% |
| Q1 2026 | $891.8M | +6% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.1B | +12% |
| Q3 2025 | $945.2M | +2% |
| Q2 2025 | $915.2M | -2.6% |
| Q1 2025 | $841.1M | -6.1% |
| Q4 2024 | $988.9M | -4.6% |
DBD's revenue has grown year over year for five quarters in a row: $994M last quarter, up 5.2% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 3.9% | -3.9 points |
| Q2 2026 | 6.2% | 0 points |
| Q1 2026 | 3.7% | +0.1 points |
| Q4 2025 | 7.5% | +3.3 points |
| Q3 2025 | 7.8% | +2.8 points |
| Q2 2025 | 6.1% | -1.4 points |
| Q1 2025 | 3.5% | +0.9 points |
| Q4 2024 | 4.2% | -1.2 points |
DBD has the edge over ASTS on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
ASTS Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$464.2M | -$161.4M |
| Q2 2026 | -$694.8M | -$341.1M |
| Q1 2026 | -$309.7M | -$160.7M |
| Q4 2025 | -$330.7M | -$220.3M |
| Q3 2025 | -$302.9M | -$239.1M |
| Q2 2025 | -$353.6M | -$315.3M |
| Q1 2025 | -$149M | -$61.3M |
| Q4 2024 | -$110.5M | -$63.2M |
ASTS has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$1.8B over the past year, against −$916M the year before.
DBD Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$47.4M | -227% |
| Q2 2026 | -$13.6M | -145% |
| Q1 2026 | $31.7M | +102% |
| Q4 2025 | $217.5M | +11% |
| Q3 2025 | $37.4M | +$52.9M |
| Q2 2025 | $30.1M | +$38.1M |
| Q1 2025 | $15.7M | +$39.2M |
| Q4 2024 | $196.2M | +26% |
DBD has the edge over ASTS on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
ASTS Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.4% | +1.1M shares |
| 1 year | +10% | +27.3M shares |
| 3 years | +235% | +211M shares |
| 5 years | +480% | +248M shares |
| Available history | +944% | +271M shares |
ASTS has 300M diluted shares, up 10% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q1 2025 | — |
| Q4 2024 | — |
| Q3 2024 | — |
| Q2 2024 | — |
| Q1 2024 | — |
| Q4 2023 | — |
| Q3 2023 | — |
| Q2 2023 | — |
DBD Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -2% | -700K shares |
| 1 year | -6.5% | -2.4M shares |
| 3 years | -7.9% | -3M shares |
| 5 years | -56% | -43.7M shares |
| Available history | -55% | -42.2M shares |
DBD has the edge over ASTS on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $33.9M |
| Q2 2026 | $60.6M |
| Q1 2026 | $60.4M |
| Q4 2025 | $51.1M |
| Q3 2025 | $39.9M |
| Q2 2025 | $30.1M |
| Q1 2025 | $9.6M |
| Q4 2024 | $2.3M |
DBD spent $206M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 152% from the year before.
ASTS Net Leverage
ASTS's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
DBD Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 2.3x | Moderate |
| Q2 2026 | 1.8x | Healthy |
| Q1 2026 | 1.5x | Healthy |
| Q4 2025 | 1.5x | Healthy |
| Q3 2025 | 2.2x | Moderate |
| Q2 2025 | 2.5x | Moderate |
| Q1 2025 | 2.7x | Moderate |
| Q4 2024 | 2.8x | Moderate |
DBD's net debt is about 2.3 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), about the same as a year ago.
ASTS Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 34.1 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 11.9 | Oversold |
ASTS's weekly RSI is 34 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 12 (oversold).
DBD Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 34.8 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 11.4 | Oversold |
DBD's weekly RSI is 35 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 11 (oversold).
ASTS PE vs Technology Sector
ASTS has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
DBD PE vs Technology Sector
| Metric | DBD | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 26x | 28x | 6% below |
| PE % | 61 | 25 | 36 pts above |
DBD is trading at 26x earnings, in line with the Technology sector's median of 28x.
ASTS Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $44.9 | 23% below |
| 20 week MA | $57.1 | 40% below |
| 50 week MA | $75.5 | 54% below |
| 100 week MA | $57.8 | 40% below |
| 200 week MA | $33.6 | 2.8% above |
ASTS has stronger trend alignment. ASTS is above 1 of 5 weekly averages versus DBD above 0 of 4.
DBD Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $61.8 | 11% below |
| 20 week MA | $69.7 | 21% below |
| 50 week MA | $73.3 | 25% below |
| 100 week MA | $62.4 | 12% below |
DBD is in a downtrend: it's below all four of its weekly moving averages, and 12% below its 100-week average.
ASTS Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $9.87 | $13.4 | +36% |
| 2021 | $13.4 | $8.71 | -35% |
| 2022 | $8.71 | $3.97 | -54% |
| 2023 | $3.97 | $6.03 | +52% |
| 2024 | $6.03 | $22.9 | +280% |
| 2025 | $22.9 | $72.0 | +214% |
| 2026 YTD | $72.0 | $34.5 | -52% |
ASTS's yearly returns have swung widely, from +280% in 2024 to −54% in 2022. It's down 52% so far in 2026.
DBD Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | $20.1 | $29.0 | +44% |
| 2024 | $29.0 | $42.9 | +48% |
| 2025 | $42.9 | $69.3 | +61% |
| 2026 YTD | $69.3 | $54.8 | -21% |
DBD has the edge over ASTS on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.