ASPN

Aspen Aerogels, Inc.

58
Fundamentals55/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential37/ 100

ASPN's outlook is improving, though it still trails on the overall score.

VRT

Vertiv Holdings Co

87
Fundamentals85/ 100
Valuation87/ 100
Upside potential86/ 100
Risk potential19/ 100

VRT has the edge over ASPN overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger fundamentals.

ASPN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Under pressure
Healthy
Strong

ASPN's cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its revenue and profitability are under pressure.

VRT Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Strong
Strong
Strong

VRT's revenue, profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are all currently strong.

ASPN PE Valuation

ASPN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

VRT PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE39x77x116x155x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE39x77x116x155x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Forward23x$210—
Current39x$210—
Cheap58x$308+47%
Fair72x$383+83%
Expensive88x$472+125%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

VRT's PE is in its cheap range at 39x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 23x next year's earnings.

ASPN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect ASPN's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

VRT Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Strongly improving
Strong growth
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Moderate
Moderate

Analysts expect strong earnings and revenue growth for VRT, with profitability improving.

ASPN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+59%$9.55
Downside-37%$3.80

Calculated from the latest close: $5.99 on Nov 12.

ASPN trails VRT on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

VRT Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+122%$466.33
Downside-19%$169.11

Calculated from the latest close: $209.64 on Nov 12.

VRT has a better modeled risk to reward balance than ASPN, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

ASPN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.66Q1 2024: $-0.44Q2 2024: $-0.01Q3 2024: $0.01Q4 2024: $0.17Q1 2025: $-3.48Q2 2025: $-3.80Q3 2025: $-3.71Q4 2025: $-4.73Q1 2026: $-1.35Q2 2026: $-1.52Q3 2026: $-1.57
Q4 2023: $-0.66Q1 2024: $-0.44Q2 2024: $-0.01Q3 2024: $0.01Q4 2024: $0.17Q1 2025: $-3.48Q2 2025: $-3.80Q3 2025: $-3.71Q4 2025: $-4.73Q1 2026: $-1.35Q2 2026: $-1.52Q3 2026: $-1.57
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$1.57+$2.14
Q2 2026-$1.52+$2.28
Q1 2026-$1.35+$2.13
Q4 2025-$4.73-2882%
Q3 2025-$3.71-37200%
Q2 2025-$3.80-$3.79
Q1 2025-$3.48-$3.04
Q4 2024$0.17+$0.83

ASPN lost $1.57 per share over the past year, a smaller loss than the year before.

VRT Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $1.19Q1 2024: $1.05Q2 2024: $1.29Q3 2024: $1.51Q4 2024: $1.28Q1 2025: $1.72Q2 2025: $2.09Q3 2025: $2.65Q4 2025: $3.41Q1 2026: $3.98Q2 2026: $4.42Q3 2026: $5.35Forward: $9.14
Q4 2023: $1.19Q1 2024: $1.05Q2 2024: $1.29Q3 2024: $1.51Q4 2024: $1.28Q1 2025: $1.72Q2 2025: $2.09Q3 2025: $2.65Q4 2025: $3.41Q1 2026: $3.98Q2 2026: $4.42Q3 2026: $5.35Forward: $9.14
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$9.14+71%
Q3 2026$5.35+102%
Q2 2026$4.42+111%
Q1 2026$3.98+131%
Q4 2025$3.41+166%
Q3 2025$2.65+75%
Q2 2025$2.09+62%
Q1 2025$1.72+64%
Q4 2024$1.28+7.6%

VRT has the edge over ASPN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

ASPN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $84MQ1 2024: $95MQ2 2024: $118MQ3 2024: $117MQ4 2024: $123MQ1 2025: $79MQ2 2025: $78MQ3 2025: $73MQ4 2025: $41MQ1 2026: $38MQ2 2026: $50MQ3 2026: $85M
Q4 2023: $84MQ1 2024: $95MQ2 2024: $118MQ3 2024: $117MQ4 2024: $123MQ1 2025: $79MQ2 2025: $78MQ3 2025: $73MQ4 2025: $41MQ1 2026: $38MQ2 2026: $50MQ3 2026: $85M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$85.2M+17%
Q2 2026$49.8M-36%
Q1 2026$37.9M-52%
Q4 2025$41.3M-66%
Q3 2025$73M-38%
Q2 2025$78M-34%
Q1 2025$78.7M-17%
Q4 2024$123.1M+46%

ASPN's revenue is recovering but still below its 2024 peak: $85M last quarter, up 17% from the same quarter a year ago.

VRT Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.9BQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $2BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $2.3BQ1 2025: $2BQ2 2025: $2.6BQ3 2025: $2.7BQ4 2025: $2.9BQ1 2026: $2.6BQ2 2026: $3.3BQ3 2026: $4.3B
Q4 2023: $1.9BQ1 2024: $1.6BQ2 2024: $2BQ3 2024: $2.1BQ4 2024: $2.3BQ1 2025: $2BQ2 2025: $2.6BQ3 2025: $2.7BQ4 2025: $2.9BQ1 2026: $2.6BQ2 2026: $3.3BQ3 2026: $4.3B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$4.3B+61%
Q2 2026$3.3B+24%
Q1 2026$2.6B+30%
Q4 2025$2.9B+23%
Q3 2025$2.7B+29%
Q2 2025$2.6B+35%
Q1 2025$2B+24%
Q4 2024$2.3B+26%

VRT has the edge over ASPN on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ASPN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$31MQ1 2024: −$44MQ2 2024: −$18MQ3 2024: −$50,000Q4 2024: $21MQ1 2025: −$7MQ2 2025: −$17MQ3 2025: $6MQ4 2025: $14MQ1 2026: $33MQ2 2026: −$18MQ3 2026: −$9M
Q4 2023: −$31MQ1 2024: −$44MQ2 2024: −$18MQ3 2024: −$50,000Q4 2024: $21MQ1 2025: −$7MQ2 2025: −$17MQ3 2025: $6MQ4 2025: $14MQ1 2026: $33MQ2 2026: −$18MQ3 2026: −$9M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$8.5M-243%
Q2 2026-$18M-$1.2M
Q1 2026$32.8M+$40.1M
Q4 2025$13.7M-35%
Q3 2025$5.9M+$6M
Q2 2025-$16.8M+$1.2M
Q1 2025-$7.4M+$36.2M
Q4 2024$20.9M+$51.5M

ASPN has burned cash in most quarters: $20M over the past year, about seven times what it generated the year before.

VRT Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $308MQ1 2024: $102MQ2 2024: $344MQ3 2024: $342MQ4 2024: $365MQ1 2025: $267MQ2 2025: $278MQ3 2025: $464MQ4 2025: $886MQ1 2026: $654MQ2 2026: $927MQ3 2026: $655M
Q4 2023: $308MQ1 2024: $102MQ2 2024: $344MQ3 2024: $342MQ4 2024: $365MQ1 2025: $267MQ2 2025: $278MQ3 2025: $464MQ4 2025: $886MQ1 2026: $654MQ2 2026: $927MQ3 2026: $655M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$654.9M+41%
Q2 2026$926.5M+233%
Q1 2026$654.2M+145%
Q4 2025$885.6M+143%
Q3 2025$463.5M+36%
Q2 2025$277.9M-19%
Q1 2025$266.8M+162%
Q4 2024$364.5M+18%

VRT has the edge over ASPN on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ASPN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 69MQ1 2024: 76MQ2 2024: 79MQ3 2024: 76MQ4 2024: 80MQ1 2025: 82MQ2 2025: 82MQ3 2025: 82MQ4 2025: 82MQ1 2026: 83MQ2 2026: 83MQ3 2026: 83M
Q4 2023: 69MQ1 2024: 76MQ2 2024: 79MQ3 2024: 76MQ4 2024: 80MQ1 2025: 82MQ2 2025: 82MQ3 2025: 82MQ4 2025: 82MQ1 2026: 83MQ2 2026: 83MQ3 2026: 83M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+178K shares
1 year+0.8%+670K shares
3 years+20%+13.8M shares
5 years+191%+54.6M shares
Available history+245%+59M shares

ASPN has 83M diluted shares, up 0.8% from a year ago.

VRT Total Shares

Q4 2023: 386MQ1 2024: 379MQ2 2024: 384MQ3 2024: 384MQ4 2024: 386MQ1 2025: 390MQ2 2025: 390MQ3 2025: 391MQ4 2025: 391MQ1 2026: 392MQ2 2026: 393MQ3 2026: 393M
Q4 2023: 386MQ1 2024: 379MQ2 2024: 384MQ3 2024: 384MQ4 2024: 386MQ1 2025: 390MQ2 2025: 390MQ3 2025: 391MQ4 2025: 391MQ1 2026: 392MQ2 2026: 393MQ3 2026: 393M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly0%-64.9K shares
1 year+0.4%+1.8M shares
3 years+1.1%+4.4M shares
5 years+10%+36M shares
Available history+63%+152M shares

VRT has the edge over ASPN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

ASPN Net Leverage

Q2 2024: -3.0xQ3 2024: -0.3xQ4 2024: -1.6x
Q2 2024: -3.0xQ3 2024: -0.3xQ4 2024: -1.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q4 2024-1.6xNet Cash
Q3 2024-0.3xNet Cash
Q2 2024-3.0xNet Cash

ASPN has more cash than debt.

VRT Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 1.9xQ1 2024: 2.2xQ2 2024: 1.8xQ3 2024: 1.4xQ4 2024: 1.0xQ1 2025: 0.8xQ2 2025: 0.7xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: -0.2x
Q4 2023: 1.9xQ1 2024: 2.2xQ2 2024: 1.8xQ3 2024: 1.4xQ4 2024: 1.0xQ1 2025: 0.8xQ2 2025: 0.7xQ3 2025: 0.8xQ4 2025: 0.6xQ1 2026: 0.3xQ2 2026: 0.1xQ3 2026: -0.2x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 2026-0.2xNet Cash
Q2 20260.1xVery low
Q1 20260.3xVery low
Q4 20250.6xVery low
Q3 20250.8xVery low
Q2 20250.7xVery low
Q1 20250.8xVery low
Q4 20241.0xHealthy

VRT has more cash than debt.

ASPN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI57.7Neutral
Stochastic33.1Neutral

ASPN's weekly RSI is 58 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 33 (neutral).

VRT Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI43.0Neutral
Stochastic26.4Neutral

VRT's weekly RSI is 43 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).

ASPN PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricASPNSector medianRelative
PEN/A24x—

ASPN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

VRT PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricVRTSector medianRelative
PE39x24x63% above
PE %35855 pts below

VRT is trading at 39x earnings, a 63% premium to the Industrials sector's median of 24x.

ASPN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$5.4011% above
20 week MA$5.2813% above
50 week MA$4.5332% above
100 week MA$5.970.3% above
200 week MA$10.342% below

ASPN has the edge over VRT on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

VRT Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$221.85.5% below
20 week MA$254.418% below
50 week MA$253.917% below
100 week MA$189.111% above
200 week MA$123.570% above

VRT has pulled back, but its long-term trend is still up: it's below its 8-, 20- and 50-week averages, but 70% above its 200-week average.

ASPN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$7.74$17.7+129%
2021$17.7$50.8+187%
2022$50.8$11.6-77%
2023$11.6$15.8+36%
2024$15.8$12.5-21%
2025$12.5$2.94-76%
2026 YTD$2.94$5.99+104%

ASPN has the edge over VRT on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

VRT Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$10.9$18.9+73%
2021$18.9$24.9+31%
2022$24.9$12.8-48%
2023$12.8$48.0+275%
2024$48.0$115.1+140%
2025$115.1$167.6+46%
2026 YTD$167.6$209.6+25%

VRT's yearly returns have swung widely, from +275% in 2023 to −48% in 2022. It's up 25% so far in 2026.

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