ASPN

Aspen Aerogels, Inc.

58
Fundamentals55/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential37/ 100

ASPN lost money over the past year, so it has no meaningful PE right now. Analysts expect losses to shrink, though they disagree widely on how much.

ASPN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Under pressure
Healthy
Strong

ASPN's cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its revenue and profitability are under pressure.

ASPN PE Valuation

ASPN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ASPN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect ASPN's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

ASPN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+59%$9.55
Downside-37%$3.80

Calculated from the latest close: $5.99 on Nov 12.

ASPN's one-year upside scenario is somewhat larger than its downside: +59% against −37%.

ASPN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.66Q1 2024: $-0.44Q2 2024: $-0.01Q3 2024: $0.01Q4 2024: $0.17Q1 2025: $-3.48Q2 2025: $-3.80Q3 2025: $-3.71Q4 2025: $-4.73Q1 2026: $-1.35Q2 2026: $-1.52Q3 2026: $-1.57
Q4 2023: $-0.66Q1 2024: $-0.44Q2 2024: $-0.01Q3 2024: $0.01Q4 2024: $0.17Q1 2025: $-3.48Q2 2025: $-3.80Q3 2025: $-3.71Q4 2025: $-4.73Q1 2026: $-1.35Q2 2026: $-1.52Q3 2026: $-1.57
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$1.57+$2.14
Q2 2026-$1.52+$2.28
Q1 2026-$1.35+$2.13
Q4 2025-$4.73-2882%
Q3 2025-$3.71-37200%
Q2 2025-$3.80-$3.79
Q1 2025-$3.48-$3.04
Q4 2024$0.17+$0.83

ASPN lost $1.57 per share over the past year, a smaller loss than the year before.

ASPN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $84MQ1 2024: $95MQ2 2024: $118MQ3 2024: $117MQ4 2024: $123MQ1 2025: $79MQ2 2025: $78MQ3 2025: $73MQ4 2025: $41MQ1 2026: $38MQ2 2026: $50MQ3 2026: $85M
Q4 2023: $84MQ1 2024: $95MQ2 2024: $118MQ3 2024: $117MQ4 2024: $123MQ1 2025: $79MQ2 2025: $78MQ3 2025: $73MQ4 2025: $41MQ1 2026: $38MQ2 2026: $50MQ3 2026: $85M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$85.2M+17%
Q2 2026$49.8M-36%
Q1 2026$37.9M-52%
Q4 2025$41.3M-66%
Q3 2025$73M-38%
Q2 2025$78M-34%
Q1 2025$78.7M-17%
Q4 2024$123.1M+46%

ASPN's revenue is recovering but still below its 2024 peak: $85M last quarter, up 17% from the same quarter a year ago.

ASPN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$31MQ1 2024: −$44MQ2 2024: −$18MQ3 2024: −$50,000Q4 2024: $21MQ1 2025: −$7MQ2 2025: −$17MQ3 2025: $6MQ4 2025: $14MQ1 2026: $33MQ2 2026: −$18MQ3 2026: −$9M
Q4 2023: −$31MQ1 2024: −$44MQ2 2024: −$18MQ3 2024: −$50,000Q4 2024: $21MQ1 2025: −$7MQ2 2025: −$17MQ3 2025: $6MQ4 2025: $14MQ1 2026: $33MQ2 2026: −$18MQ3 2026: −$9M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$8.5M-243%
Q2 2026-$18M-$1.2M
Q1 2026$32.8M+$40.1M
Q4 2025$13.7M-35%
Q3 2025$5.9M+$6M
Q2 2025-$16.8M+$1.2M
Q1 2025-$7.4M+$36.2M
Q4 2024$20.9M+$51.5M

ASPN has burned cash in most quarters: $20M over the past year, about seven times what it generated the year before.

ASPN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 69MQ1 2024: 76MQ2 2024: 79MQ3 2024: 76MQ4 2024: 80MQ1 2025: 82MQ2 2025: 82MQ3 2025: 82MQ4 2025: 82MQ1 2026: 83MQ2 2026: 83MQ3 2026: 83M
Q4 2023: 69MQ1 2024: 76MQ2 2024: 79MQ3 2024: 76MQ4 2024: 80MQ1 2025: 82MQ2 2025: 82MQ3 2025: 82MQ4 2025: 82MQ1 2026: 83MQ2 2026: 83MQ3 2026: 83M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+178K shares
1 year+0.8%+670K shares
3 years+20%+13.8M shares
5 years+191%+54.6M shares
Available history+245%+59M shares

ASPN has 83M diluted shares, up 0.8% from a year ago.

ASPN Net Leverage

Q2 2024: -3.0xQ3 2024: -0.3xQ4 2024: -1.6x
Q2 2024: -3.0xQ3 2024: -0.3xQ4 2024: -1.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q4 2024-1.6xNet Cash
Q3 2024-0.3xNet Cash
Q2 2024-3.0xNet Cash

ASPN has more cash than debt.

ASPN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI57.7Neutral
Stochastic33.1Neutral

ASPN's weekly RSI is 58 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 33 (neutral).

ASPN PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricASPNSector medianRelative
PEN/A24x—

ASPN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ASPN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$5.4011% above
20 week MA$5.2813% above
50 week MA$4.5332% above
100 week MA$5.970.3% above
200 week MA$10.342% below

ASPN has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-, 20-, 50- and 100-week averages, but 42% below its 200-week average.

ASPN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$7.74$17.7+129%
2021$17.7$50.8+187%
2022$50.8$11.6-77%
2023$11.6$15.8+36%
2024$15.8$12.5-21%
2025$12.5$2.94-76%
2026 YTD$2.94$5.99+104%

ASPN's yearly returns have swung widely, from +187% in 2021 to −77% in 2022. It's up 104% so far in 2026.

Give your agent the market.

Get API key