ASPN
Aspen Aerogels, Inc.
ASPN has a slight edge over RKLB overall, supported by lower modeled downside.
RKLB
Rocket Lab USA, Inc.
RKLB offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
ASPN Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Under pressure | |
| Under pressure | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong |
ASPN's cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its revenue and profitability are under pressure.
RKLB Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Strong | |
| Under pressure | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
RKLB's revenue is currently strong, but its profitability and cash flow are under pressure. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
ASPN PE Valuation
ASPN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
RKLB PE Valuation
RKLB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
ASPN Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect ASPN's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
RKLB Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
Analysts expect RKLB's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
ASPN Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$1.57 | +$2.14 |
| Q2 2026 | -$1.52 | +$2.28 |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.35 | +$2.13 |
| Q4 2025 | -$4.73 | -2882% |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.71 | -37200% |
| Q2 2025 | -$3.80 | -$3.79 |
| Q1 2025 | -$3.48 | -$3.04 |
| Q4 2024 | $0.17 | +$0.83 |
ASPN lost $1.57 per share over the past year, a smaller loss than the year before.
RKLB Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$0.36 | +$0.03 |
| Q2 2026 | -$0.27 | +$0.19 |
| Q1 2026 | -$0.32 | +$0.09 |
| Q4 2025 | -$0.37 | +$0.01 |
| Q3 2025 | -$0.39 | -$0.02 |
| Q2 2025 | -$0.46 | -$0.11 |
| Q1 2025 | -$0.41 | -$0.04 |
| Q4 2024 | -$0.38 | $0.00 |
RKLB is still losing money, but less than at its worst: $0.36 per share over the past year, against $0.46 at its worst in mid-2025.
ASPN Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $85.2M | +17% |
| Q2 2026 | $49.8M | -36% |
| Q1 2026 | $37.9M | -52% |
| Q4 2025 | $41.3M | -66% |
| Q3 2025 | $73M | -38% |
| Q2 2025 | $78M | -34% |
| Q1 2025 | $78.7M | -17% |
| Q4 2024 | $123.1M | +46% |
ASPN's revenue is recovering but still below its 2024 peak: $85M last quarter, up 17% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -8.4% | -3.8 points |
| Q2 2026 | -58% | -51 points |
| Q1 2026 | -55% | +325 points |
| Q4 2025 | -170% | -182 points |
| Q3 2025 | -4.6% | -19 points |
| Q2 2025 | -6.6% | -24 points |
| Q1 2025 | -380% | -383 points |
| Q4 2024 | 12% | +10 points |
ASPN has the edge over RKLB on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
RKLB Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $267.8M | +73% |
| Q2 2026 | $234.1M | +62% |
| Q1 2026 | $200.3M | +63% |
| Q4 2025 | $179.7M | +36% |
| Q3 2025 | $155.1M | +48% |
| Q2 2025 | $144.5M | +36% |
| Q1 2025 | $122.6M | +32% |
| Q4 2024 | $132.4M | +121% |
RKLB has the edge over ASPN on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -30% | +8.5 points |
| Q2 2026 | -25% | +17 points |
| Q1 2026 | -28% | +20 points |
| Q4 2025 | -28% | +11 points |
| Q3 2025 | -38% | +12 points |
| Q2 2025 | -41% | -0.5 points |
| Q1 2025 | -48% | -1.9 points |
| Q4 2024 | -39% | +41 points |
RKLB's operating margin was −30% last quarter, up 8.5 points from the same quarter a year ago.
ASPN Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$8.5M | -243% |
| Q2 2026 | -$18M | -$1.2M |
| Q1 2026 | $32.8M | +$40.1M |
| Q4 2025 | $13.7M | -35% |
| Q3 2025 | $5.9M | +$6M |
| Q2 2025 | -$16.8M | +$1.2M |
| Q1 2025 | -$7.4M | +$36.2M |
| Q4 2024 | $20.9M | +$51.5M |
ASPN has the edge over RKLB on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
RKLB Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$23.9M | +$45.5M |
| Q2 2026 | -$110.1M | -$54.8M |
| Q1 2026 | -$77.4M | +$5.5M |
| Q4 2025 | -$114.2M | -$90.2M |
| Q3 2025 | -$69.4M | -$27.5M |
| Q2 2025 | -$55.3M | -$26.9M |
| Q1 2025 | -$82.9M | -$61.1M |
| Q4 2024 | -$23.9M | +$28.7M |
RKLB has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$326M over the past year, against −$232M the year before.
ASPN Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.2% | +178K shares |
| 1 year | +0.8% | +670K shares |
| 3 years | +20% | +13.8M shares |
| 5 years | +191% | +54.6M shares |
| Available history | +245% | +59M shares |
ASPN has the edge over RKLB on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
RKLB Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +3.6% | +22.6M shares |
| 1 year | +23% | +124M shares |
| 3 years | +35% | +168M shares |
| 5 years | +46% | +204M shares |
RKLB has 652M diluted shares, up 23% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q4 2020 | — |
| Q2 2020 | — |
| Q1 2020 | — |
ASPN Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q4 2024 | -1.6x | Net Cash |
| Q3 2024 | -0.3x | Net Cash |
| Q2 2024 | -3.0x | Net Cash |
ASPN has more cash than debt.
RKLB Net Leverage
RKLB's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
ASPN Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 57.7 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 33.1 | Neutral |
ASPN's weekly RSI is 58 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 33 (neutral).
RKLB Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 46.8 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 27.6 | Neutral |
RKLB's weekly RSI is 47 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 28 (neutral).
ASPN PE vs Industrials Sector
| Metric | ASPN | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | N/A | 24x | — |
ASPN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
RKLB PE vs Industrials Sector
RKLB has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
ASPN Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $5.40 | 11% above |
| 20 week MA | $5.28 | 13% above |
| 50 week MA | $4.53 | 32% above |
| 100 week MA | $5.97 | 0.3% above |
| 200 week MA | $10.3 | 42% below |
ASPN has the edge over RKLB on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
RKLB Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $61.4 | 4.3% above |
| 20 week MA | $68.1 | 5.9% below |
| 50 week MA | $77.6 | 17% below |
| 100 week MA | $56.5 | 13% above |
| 200 week MA | $31.4 | 104% above |
RKLB's trend is mixed: it's above three of its five weekly moving averages, and 104% above its 200-week average.
ASPN Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $7.74 | $17.7 | +129% |
| 2021 | $17.7 | $50.8 | +187% |
| 2022 | $50.8 | $11.6 | -77% |
| 2023 | $11.6 | $15.8 | +36% |
| 2024 | $15.8 | $12.5 | -21% |
| 2025 | $12.5 | $2.94 | -76% |
| 2026 YTD | $2.94 | $5.99 | +104% |
ASPN has the edge over RKLB on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
RKLB Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $9.82 | $10.3 | +4.9% |
| 2021 | $10.3 | $12.0 | +17% |
| 2022 | $12.0 | $3.77 | -69% |
| 2023 | $3.77 | $5.53 | +47% |
| 2024 | $5.53 | $27.2 | +392% |
| 2025 | $27.2 | $70.7 | +160% |
| 2026 YTD | $70.7 | $64.1 | -9.3% |
RKLB's yearly returns have swung widely, from +392% in 2024 to −69% in 2022. It's down 9.3% so far in 2026.