ASPN

Aspen Aerogels, Inc.

58
Fundamentals55/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential62/ 100
Risk potential37/ 100

ASPN has a slight edge over BA overall, supported by stronger modeled upside.

BA

The Boeing Company

57
Fundamentals73/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential57/ 100
Risk potential20/ 100

BA has lower modeled downside risk, despite its lower overall score.

ASPN Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Under pressure
Under pressure
Healthy
Strong

ASPN's cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, but its revenue and profitability are under pressure.

BA Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Stable
Under pressure

BA's profitability is currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable, but its balance sheet is under pressure.

ASPN PE Valuation

ASPN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

BA PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE25x51x76x102x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE25x51x76x102x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Current18x$172—
Cheap51x$496+189%
Fair82x$790+360%
Expensive91x$876+411%

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

BA's PE is 18x, but its earnings don't support one, so it isn't a reliable read right now.

ASPN Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Strong growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect ASPN's losses to shrink, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

BA Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Returning to profit
Growth
Improving
Limited
Low

Analysts expect BA to return to profit, with revenue growing. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.

ASPN Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+59%$9.55
Downside-37%$3.80

Calculated from the latest close: $5.99 on Nov 12.

ASPN has a better modeled risk to reward balance than BA, with more potential upside relative to its potential downside.

BA Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+26%$216.09
Downside-20%$137.47

Calculated from the latest close: $171.55 on Nov 12.

BA trails ASPN on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside relative to its potential downside.

ASPN Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-0.66Q1 2024: $-0.44Q2 2024: $-0.01Q3 2024: $0.01Q4 2024: $0.17Q1 2025: $-3.48Q2 2025: $-3.80Q3 2025: $-3.71Q4 2025: $-4.73Q1 2026: $-1.35Q2 2026: $-1.52Q3 2026: $-1.57
Q4 2023: $-0.66Q1 2024: $-0.44Q2 2024: $-0.01Q3 2024: $0.01Q4 2024: $0.17Q1 2025: $-3.48Q2 2025: $-3.80Q3 2025: $-3.71Q4 2025: $-4.73Q1 2026: $-1.35Q2 2026: $-1.52Q3 2026: $-1.57
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026-$1.57+$2.14
Q2 2026-$1.52+$2.28
Q1 2026-$1.35+$2.13
Q4 2025-$4.73-2882%
Q3 2025-$3.71-37200%
Q2 2025-$3.80-$3.79
Q1 2025-$3.48-$3.04
Q4 2024$0.17+$0.83

ASPN lost $1.57 per share over the past year, a smaller loss than the year before.

BA Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $-3.67Q1 2024: $-3.54Q2 2024: $-5.62Q3 2024: $-12.89Q4 2024: $-18.36Q1 2025: $-17.96Q2 2025: $-16.55Q3 2025: $-13.72Q4 2025: $2.48Q1 2026: $2.53Q2 2026: $2.78Q3 2026: $9.66
Q4 2023: $-3.67Q1 2024: $-3.54Q2 2024: $-5.62Q3 2024: $-12.89Q4 2024: $-18.36Q1 2025: $-17.96Q2 2025: $-16.55Q3 2025: $-13.72Q4 2025: $2.48Q1 2026: $2.53Q2 2026: $2.78Q3 2026: $9.66
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q3 2026$9.66+$23.38
Q2 2026$2.78+$19.33
Q1 2026$2.53+$20.49
Q4 2025$2.48+$20.84
Q3 2025-$13.72-$0.83
Q2 2025-$16.55-$10.93
Q1 2025-$17.96-$14.42
Q4 2024-$18.36-$14.69

BA has the edge over ASPN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

ASPN Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $84MQ1 2024: $95MQ2 2024: $118MQ3 2024: $117MQ4 2024: $123MQ1 2025: $79MQ2 2025: $78MQ3 2025: $73MQ4 2025: $41MQ1 2026: $38MQ2 2026: $50MQ3 2026: $85M
Q4 2023: $84MQ1 2024: $95MQ2 2024: $118MQ3 2024: $117MQ4 2024: $123MQ1 2025: $79MQ2 2025: $78MQ3 2025: $73MQ4 2025: $41MQ1 2026: $38MQ2 2026: $50MQ3 2026: $85M
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$85.2M+17%
Q2 2026$49.8M-36%
Q1 2026$37.9M-52%
Q4 2025$41.3M-66%
Q3 2025$73M-38%
Q2 2025$78M-34%
Q1 2025$78.7M-17%
Q4 2024$123.1M+46%

ASPN's revenue is recovering but still below its 2024 peak: $85M last quarter, up 17% from the same quarter a year ago.

BA Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $22BQ1 2024: $16.6BQ2 2024: $16.9BQ3 2024: $17.8BQ4 2024: $15.2BQ1 2025: $19.5BQ2 2025: $22.7BQ3 2025: $23.3BQ4 2025: $23.9BQ1 2026: $22.2BQ2 2026: $24.6BQ3 2026: $24.2B
Q4 2023: $22BQ1 2024: $16.6BQ2 2024: $16.9BQ3 2024: $17.8BQ4 2024: $15.2BQ1 2025: $19.5BQ2 2025: $22.7BQ3 2025: $23.3BQ4 2025: $23.9BQ1 2026: $22.2BQ2 2026: $24.6BQ3 2026: $24.2B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$24.2B+3.9%
Q2 2026$24.6B+8%
Q1 2026$22.2B+14%
Q4 2025$23.9B+57%
Q3 2025$23.3B+30%
Q2 2025$22.7B+35%
Q1 2025$19.5B+18%
Q4 2024$15.2B-31%

BA has the edge over ASPN on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ASPN Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: −$31MQ1 2024: −$44MQ2 2024: −$18MQ3 2024: −$50,000Q4 2024: $21MQ1 2025: −$7MQ2 2025: −$17MQ3 2025: $6MQ4 2025: $14MQ1 2026: $33MQ2 2026: −$18MQ3 2026: −$9M
Q4 2023: −$31MQ1 2024: −$44MQ2 2024: −$18MQ3 2024: −$50,000Q4 2024: $21MQ1 2025: −$7MQ2 2025: −$17MQ3 2025: $6MQ4 2025: $14MQ1 2026: $33MQ2 2026: −$18MQ3 2026: −$9M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026-$8.5M-243%
Q2 2026-$18M-$1.2M
Q1 2026$32.8M+$40.1M
Q4 2025$13.7M-35%
Q3 2025$5.9M+$6M
Q2 2025-$16.8M+$1.2M
Q1 2025-$7.4M+$36.2M
Q4 2024$20.9M+$51.5M

ASPN has burned cash in most quarters: $20M over the past year, about seven times what it generated the year before.

BA Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $3BQ1 2024: −$3.9BQ2 2024: −$4.3BQ3 2024: −$2BQ4 2024: −$4.1BQ1 2025: −$2.3BQ2 2025: −$200MQ3 2025: $238MQ4 2025: $375MQ1 2026: −$1.5BQ2 2026: $631MQ3 2026: $464M
Q4 2023: $3BQ1 2024: −$3.9BQ2 2024: −$4.3BQ3 2024: −$2BQ4 2024: −$4.1BQ1 2025: −$2.3BQ2 2025: −$200MQ3 2025: $238MQ4 2025: $375MQ1 2026: −$1.5BQ2 2026: $631MQ3 2026: $464M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$464M+95%
Q2 2026$631M+$831M
Q1 2026-$1.5B+$836M
Q4 2025$375M+$4.5B
Q3 2025$238M+$2.2B
Q2 2025-$200M+$4.1B
Q1 2025-$2.3B+$1.6B
Q4 2024-$4.1B-239%

BA has the edge over ASPN on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ASPN Total Shares

Q4 2023: 69MQ1 2024: 76MQ2 2024: 79MQ3 2024: 76MQ4 2024: 80MQ1 2025: 82MQ2 2025: 82MQ3 2025: 82MQ4 2025: 82MQ1 2026: 83MQ2 2026: 83MQ3 2026: 83M
Q4 2023: 69MQ1 2024: 76MQ2 2024: 79MQ3 2024: 76MQ4 2024: 80MQ1 2025: 82MQ2 2025: 82MQ3 2025: 82MQ4 2025: 82MQ1 2026: 83MQ2 2026: 83MQ3 2026: 83M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.2%+178K shares
1 year+0.8%+670K shares
3 years+20%+13.8M shares
5 years+191%+54.6M shares
Available history+245%+59M shares

ASPN has the edge over BA on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

BA Total Shares

Q4 2023: 606MQ1 2024: 613MQ2 2024: 616MQ3 2024: 619MQ4 2024: 647MQ1 2025: 753MQ2 2025: 757MQ3 2025: 760MQ4 2025: 762MQ1 2026: 788MQ2 2026: 791MQ3 2026: 793M
Q4 2023: 606MQ1 2024: 613MQ2 2024: 616MQ3 2024: 619MQ4 2024: 647MQ1 2025: 753MQ2 2025: 757MQ3 2025: 760MQ4 2025: 762MQ1 2026: 788MQ2 2026: 791MQ3 2026: 793M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.3%+2.1M shares
1 year+4.3%+32.8M shares
3 years+31%+186M shares
5 years+35%+204M shares
Available history+40%+227M shares

BA has 793M diluted shares, up 4.3% from a year ago.

ASPN Net Leverage

Q2 2024: -3.0xQ3 2024: -0.3xQ4 2024: -1.6x
Q2 2024: -3.0xQ3 2024: -0.3xQ4 2024: -1.6x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q4 2024-1.6xNet Cash
Q3 2024-0.3xNet Cash
Q2 2024-3.0xNet Cash

ASPN has more cash than debt.

BA Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 36.4xQ1 2024: 36.1xQ2 2024: 361.8xQ4 2025: 6.9xQ1 2026: 6.0xQ2 2026: 5.7xQ3 2026: 3.0x
Q4 2023: 36.4xQ1 2024: 36.1xQ2 2024: 361.8xQ4 2025: 6.9xQ1 2026: 6.0xQ2 2026: 5.7xQ3 2026: 3.0x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20263.0xElevated
Q2 20265.7xHigh
Q1 20266.0xHigh
Q4 20256.9xHigh
Q2 2024361.8xHigh
Q1 202436.1xHigh
Q4 202336.4xHigh
Q3 202396.1xHigh

BA's net debt is about 3.0 years of its operating earnings (EBITDA), down from more than 20 years a year ago.

ASPN Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI57.7Neutral
Stochastic33.1Neutral

ASPN's weekly RSI is 58 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 33 (neutral).

BA Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI31.1Neutral
Stochastic9.6Oversold

BA's weekly RSI is 31 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 10 (oversold).

ASPN PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricASPNSector medianRelative
PEN/A24x—

ASPN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

BA PE vs Industrials Sector

MetricBASector medianRelative
PE18x24x26% below
PE %05858 pts below

BA is trading at 18x earnings, a 26% discount to the Industrials sector's median of 24x, though its earnings don't support one.

ASPN Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$5.4011% above
20 week MA$5.2813% above
50 week MA$4.5332% above
100 week MA$5.970.3% above
200 week MA$10.342% below

ASPN has the edge over BA on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

BA Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$184.67.1% below
20 week MA$203.816% below
50 week MA$215.520% below
100 week MA$205.917% below
200 week MA$200.614% below

BA is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 14% below its 200-week average.

ASPN Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$7.74$17.7+129%
2021$17.7$50.8+187%
2022$50.8$11.6-77%
2023$11.6$15.8+36%
2024$15.8$12.5-21%
2025$12.5$2.94-76%
2026 YTD$2.94$5.99+104%

ASPN has the edge over BA on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

BA Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$330.1$217.2-34%
2021$217.2$204.2-6%
2022$204.2$189.1-7.4%
2023$189.1$260.7+38%
2024$260.7$180.7-31%
2025$180.7$216.4+20%
2026 YTD$216.4$171.6-21%

BA has finished lower in four of the last six years. It's down 21% so far in 2026.

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