ASO
Academy Sports and Outdoors, Inc.
ASO has a slight edge over RIVN overall, supported by stronger fundamentals and lower modeled downside.
RIVN
Rivian Automotive, Inc.
RIVN offers stronger valuation, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
ASO Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong |
ASO's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.
RIVN Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Healthy | |
| Weak | |
| Weak | |
| Unavailable |
RIVN's revenue is currently healthy, but its profitability and cash flow are weak. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.
ASO PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 6.5x | $39.11 | -42% |
| Fair | 8.2x | $48.95 | -27% |
| Expensive | 9.6x | $57.29 | -15% |
| Forward | 9.7x | $67.29 | — |
| Current | 11x | $67.29 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
ASO's PE is in its expensive range at 11x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 9.7x next year's earnings.
RIVN PE Valuation
RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
ASO Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect ASO's earnings to grow, with its revenue and profitability holding steady.
RIVN Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| -- | |
| Losses shrinking | |
| Strong growth | |
| Strongly improving | |
| Limited | |
| Low |
RIVN has the edge over ASO on the outlook, with more favorable revenue and profitability expectations.
ASO Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $6.94 | +16% |
| Q3 2026 | $5.98 | +12% |
| Q2 2026 | $5.66 | +4% |
| Q1 2026 | $5.54 | -4% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.47 | -10% |
| Q3 2025 | $5.34 | -18% |
| Q2 2025 | $5.44 | -17% |
| Q1 2025 | $5.77 | -14% |
| Q4 2024 | $6.09 | -6% |
ASO has the edge over RIVN on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.
RIVN Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$2.25 | +$0.83 |
| Q2 2026 | -$2.58 | +$0.62 |
| Q1 2026 | -$2.92 | +$0.77 |
| Q4 2025 | -$3.07 | +$1.62 |
| Q3 2025 | -$3.08 | +$2.52 |
| Q2 2025 | -$3.20 | +$2.76 |
| Q1 2025 | -$3.69 | +$2.08 |
| Q4 2024 | -$4.69 | +$1.05 |
RIVN is still losing money, but far less than before: $2.25 per share over the past year, against $7.40 at its worst in late 2022.
ASO Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.6B | +3% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.4B | +6.7% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.7B | +2.5% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.4B | +3% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.6B | +3.3% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.4B | -0.9% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.7B | -6.6% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.3B | -3.9% |
ASO's revenue grew through 2022 and has held roughly level since: $1.6B last quarter, up 3% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 15% | +4.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 5.2% | 0 points |
| Q1 2026 | 9.9% | +0.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 7.3% | +0.5 points |
| Q3 2025 | 11% | -1.5 points |
| Q2 2025 | 5.1% | -2.4 points |
| Q1 2025 | 9.2% | -2.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 6.8% | -3 points |
ASO has the edge over RIVN on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
RIVN Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $2.2B | +38% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.7B | +27% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.4B | +11% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.3B | -26% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.6B | +78% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.3B | +13% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.2B | +3% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.7B | +32% |
RIVN has the edge over ASO on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -41% | +22 points |
| Q2 2026 | -50% | +35 points |
| Q1 2026 | -64% | -11 points |
| Q4 2025 | -65% | -27 points |
| Q3 2025 | -63% | +71 points |
| Q2 2025 | -86% | +33 points |
| Q1 2025 | -53% | +70 points |
| Q4 2024 | -38% | +82 points |
RIVN's operating margin was −41% last quarter, up 22 points from the same quarter a year ago, near the top of its range since 2021.
ASO Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $116.1M | +432% |
| Q2 2026 | $121.7M | +14% |
| Q1 2026 | $107.2M | +40% |
| Q4 2025 | -$13.6M | -139% |
| Q3 2025 | $21.8M | -56% |
| Q2 2025 | $106.6M | -36% |
| Q1 2025 | $76.4M | -57% |
| Q4 2024 | $34.4M | +126% |
ASO has the edge over RIVN on cash generation, producing positive trailing cash flow while its opponent burns cash.
RIVN Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$1.1B | -$703M |
| Q2 2026 | -$849M | -$451M |
| Q1 2026 | -$1.1B | -$549M |
| Q4 2025 | -$1.1B | -234% |
| Q3 2025 | -$421M | +$732M |
| Q2 2025 | -$398M | +$639M |
| Q1 2025 | -$526M | +$997M |
| Q4 2024 | $856M | +$2.3B |
RIVN has burned cash in almost every quarter: −$4.2B over the past year, against −$489M the year before.
ASO Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -3.6% | -2.4M shares |
| 1 year | -6.1% | -4.1M shares |
| 3 years | -19% | -14.5M shares |
| 5 years | -34% | -32.3M shares |
| Available history | -19% | -15M shares |
ASO has the edge over RIVN on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $82.1M |
| Q2 2026 | $98.4M |
| Q1 2026 | $99.9M |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | $99M |
| Q1 2025 | $91.1M |
| Q4 2024 | $53.4M |
ASO spent $280M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 15% from the year before.
RIVN Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +9.1% | +121M shares |
| 1 year | +19% | +226M shares |
| 3 years | +52% | +494M shares |
RIVN has 1.4B diluted shares, up 19% from a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q2 2021 | — |
| Q1 2021 | — |
| Q4 2020 | $6M |
| Q3 2020 | — |
| Q2 2020 | — |
| Q1 2020 | — |
ASO Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.3x | Very low |
ASO's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
RIVN Net Leverage
RIVN's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.
ASO Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 68.7 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 88.0 | Overbought |
ASO's weekly RSI is 69 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 88 (overbought).
RIVN Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 41.5 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 25.6 | Neutral |
RIVN's weekly RSI is 41 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 26 (neutral).
ASO PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | ASO | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 11x | 18x | 38% below |
| PE % | 99 | 48 | 51 pts above |
ASO is trading at 11x earnings, a 38% discount to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
RIVN PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
RIVN has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.
ASO Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $58.0 | 16% above |
| 20 week MA | $51.7 | 30% above |
| 50 week MA | $53.6 | 26% above |
| 100 week MA | $50.9 | 32% above |
| 200 week MA | $53.7 | 25% above |
ASO has the edge over RIVN on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
RIVN Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $13.3 | 3.9% below |
| 20 week MA | $15.1 | 15% below |
| 50 week MA | $15.9 | 19% below |
| 100 week MA | $14.7 | 13% below |
| 200 week MA | $15.1 | 15% below |
RIVN is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 15% below its 200-week average.
ASO Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $13.0 | $20.1 | +55% |
| 2021 | $20.1 | $40.1 | +99% |
| 2022 | $40.1 | $51.4 | +28% |
| 2023 | $51.4 | $66.0 | +28% |
| 2024 | $66.0 | $60.1 | -9% |
| 2025 | $60.1 | $50.9 | -15% |
| 2026 YTD | $50.9 | $67.3 | +32% |
ASO has the edge over RIVN on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
RIVN Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021 | $130.0 | $96.8 | -25% |
| 2022 | $96.8 | $19.1 | -80% |
| 2023 | $19.1 | $23.5 | +23% |
| 2024 | $23.5 | $13.7 | -42% |
| 2025 | $13.7 | $20.9 | +53% |
| 2026 YTD | $20.9 | $12.8 | -39% |
RIVN has finished lower in three of the last five years. It's down 39% so far in 2026.