ASO

Academy Sports and Outdoors, Inc.

53
Fundamentals62/ 100
Valuation28/ 100
Upside potential42/ 100
Risk potential29/ 100

ASO's fundamentals are mixed, but it looks expensive: trading at 11x earnings, above its usual 8.2x. Analysts expect earnings growth.

ASO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Healthy
Strong

ASO's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

ASO PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE3.0x6.0x9.0x12x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE3.0x6.0x9.0x12x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap6.5x$39.11-42%
Fair8.2x$48.95-27%
Expensive9.6x$57.29-15%
Forward9.7x$67.29—
Current11x$67.29—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ASO's PE is in its expensive range at 11x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 9.7x next year's earnings.

ASO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Stable
Stable
Limited
High

Analysts expect ASO's earnings to grow, with its revenue and profitability holding steady.

ASO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+21%$81.62
Downside-29%$47.52

Calculated from the latest close: $67.29 on Nov 12.

ASO's one-year downside scenario is somewhat larger than its upside: −29% against +21%.

ASO Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $6.48Q1 2024: $6.72Q2 2024: $6.54Q3 2024: $6.48Q4 2024: $6.09Q1 2025: $5.77Q2 2025: $5.44Q3 2025: $5.34Q4 2025: $5.47Q1 2026: $5.54Q2 2026: $5.66Q3 2026: $5.98Forward: $6.92
Q4 2023: $6.48Q1 2024: $6.72Q2 2024: $6.54Q3 2024: $6.48Q4 2024: $6.09Q1 2025: $5.77Q2 2025: $5.44Q3 2025: $5.34Q4 2025: $5.47Q1 2026: $5.54Q2 2026: $5.66Q3 2026: $5.98Forward: $6.92
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$6.92+16%
Q3 2026$5.98+12%
Q2 2026$5.66+4%
Q1 2026$5.54-4%
Q4 2025$5.47-10%
Q3 2025$5.34-18%
Q2 2025$5.44-17%
Q1 2025$5.77-14%
Q4 2024$6.09-6%

ASO earned $5.98 per share over the past year, up 12% from the year before.

ASO Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.4BQ1 2024: $1.8BQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: $1.5BQ4 2024: $1.3BQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.7BQ2 2026: $1.4BQ3 2026: $1.6B
Q4 2023: $1.4BQ1 2024: $1.8BQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: $1.5BQ4 2024: $1.3BQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.7BQ2 2026: $1.4BQ3 2026: $1.6B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.6B+3%
Q2 2026$1.4B+6.7%
Q1 2026$1.7B+2.5%
Q4 2025$1.4B+3%
Q3 2025$1.6B+3.3%
Q2 2025$1.4B-0.9%
Q1 2025$1.7B-6.6%
Q4 2024$1.3B-3.9%

ASO's revenue grew through 2022 and has held roughly level since: $1.6B last quarter, up 3% from the same quarter a year ago.

ASO Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $15MQ1 2024: $179MQ2 2024: $167MQ3 2024: $50MQ4 2024: $34MQ1 2025: $76MQ2 2025: $107MQ3 2025: $22MQ4 2025: −$14MQ1 2026: $107MQ2 2026: $122MQ3 2026: $116M
Q4 2023: $15MQ1 2024: $179MQ2 2024: $167MQ3 2024: $50MQ4 2024: $34MQ1 2025: $76MQ2 2025: $107MQ3 2025: $22MQ4 2025: −$14MQ1 2026: $107MQ2 2026: $122MQ3 2026: $116M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$116.1M+432%
Q2 2026$121.7M+14%
Q1 2026$107.2M+40%
Q4 2025-$13.6M-139%
Q3 2025$21.8M-56%
Q2 2025$106.6M-36%
Q1 2025$76.4M-57%
Q4 2024$34.4M+126%

ASO still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2020 peak: $331M over the past year.

ASO Total Shares

Q4 2023: 76MQ1 2024: 76MQ2 2024: 76MQ3 2024: 73MQ4 2024: 72MQ1 2025: 71MQ2 2025: 68MQ3 2025: 68MQ4 2025: 68MQ1 2026: 68MQ2 2026: 66MQ3 2026: 64M
Q4 2023: 76MQ1 2024: 76MQ2 2024: 76MQ3 2024: 73MQ4 2024: 72MQ1 2025: 71MQ2 2025: 68MQ3 2025: 68MQ4 2025: 68MQ1 2026: 68MQ2 2026: 66MQ3 2026: 64M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-3.6%-2.4M shares
1 year-6.1%-4.1M shares
3 years-19%-14.5M shares
5 years-34%-32.3M shares
Available history-19%-15M shares

ASO has 64M diluted shares, down 6.1% from a year ago, with $280M in buybacks over the past year.

ASO Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.4xQ1 2024: 0.2xQ2 2024: 0.1xQ3 2024: 0.2xQ4 2024: 0.3xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: 0.3xQ3 2025: 0.3xQ4 2025: 0.3xQ1 2026: 0.2xQ2 2026: 0.2xQ3 2026: 0.3x
Q4 2023: 0.4xQ1 2024: 0.2xQ2 2024: 0.1xQ3 2024: 0.2xQ4 2024: 0.3xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: 0.3xQ3 2025: 0.3xQ4 2025: 0.3xQ1 2026: 0.2xQ2 2026: 0.2xQ3 2026: 0.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.3xVery low
Q2 20260.2xVery low
Q1 20260.2xVery low
Q4 20250.3xVery low
Q3 20250.3xVery low
Q2 20250.3xVery low
Q1 20250.3xVery low
Q4 20240.3xVery low

ASO's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

ASO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.7Neutral
Stochastic88.0Overbought

ASO's weekly RSI is 69 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 88 (overbought).

ASO PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricASOSector medianRelative
PE11x18x38% below
PE %994851 pts above

ASO is trading at 11x earnings, a 38% discount to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

ASO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$58.016% above
20 week MA$51.730% above
50 week MA$53.626% above
100 week MA$50.932% above
200 week MA$53.725% above

ASO has climbed back above all five of its weekly moving averages, and it's now 25% above its 200-week average.

ASO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$13.0$20.1+55%
2021$20.1$40.1+99%
2022$40.1$51.4+28%
2023$51.4$66.0+28%
2024$66.0$60.1-9%
2025$60.1$50.9-15%
2026 YTD$50.9$67.3+32%

ASO has finished higher in four of the last six years, two of them by more than 50%. It's up 32% so far in 2026.

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