ASO
Academy Sports and Outdoors, Inc.
ASO offers stronger fundamentals, but that advantage does not outweigh its weaker overall profile.
NKE
NIKE, Inc.
NKE has the edge over ASO overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.
ASO Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Healthy | |
| Strong |
ASO's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.
NKE Fundamentals
| Metric | Status |
|---|---|
| Stable | |
| Healthy | |
| Stable | |
| Strong |
NKE's profitability and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue and cash flow are stable.
ASO PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cheap | 6.5x | $39.11 | -42% |
| Fair | 8.2x | $48.95 | -27% |
| Expensive | 9.6x | $57.29 | -15% |
| Forward | 9.7x | $67.29 | — |
| Current | 11x | $67.29 | — |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
ASO's PE is in its expensive range at 11x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 9.7x next year's earnings.
NKE PE Valuation
| Level | PE | Price | Vs current |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 18x | $37.76 | — |
| Cheap | 23x | $47.70 | +26% |
| Forward | 30x | $37.76 | — |
| Fair | 33x | $68.16 | +80% |
| Expensive | 47x | $97.86 | +159% |
Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.
NKE has the edge over ASO in the historical PE scenario, which offers more potential upside but is not a forecast.
ASO Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Improving | |
| Growth | |
| Stable | |
| Stable | |
| Limited | |
| High |
Analysts expect ASO's earnings to grow, with its revenue and profitability holding steady.
NKE Forward outlook
| Metric | Outlook |
|---|---|
| Strongly deteriorating | |
| Stable | |
| Decline | |
| Improving | |
| Moderate | |
| Low |
Analysts expect NKE's profitability to improve, but its revenue to decline. However, they disagree widely on these estimates.
ASO Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $6.94 | +16% |
| Q3 2026 | $5.98 | +12% |
| Q2 2026 | $5.66 | +4% |
| Q1 2026 | $5.54 | -4% |
| Q4 2025 | $5.47 | -10% |
| Q3 2025 | $5.34 | -18% |
| Q2 2025 | $5.44 | -17% |
| Q1 2025 | $5.77 | -14% |
| Q4 2024 | $6.09 | -6% |
ASO has the edge over NKE on earnings, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
NKE Earnings Per Share
| Quarter | TTM EPS | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Forward | $1.27 | -39% |
| Q3 2026 | $2.09 | +7.2% |
| Q2 2026 | $2.10 | -2.8% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.51 | -50% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.70 | -48% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.95 | -44% |
| Q2 2025 | $2.16 | -42% |
| Q1 2025 | $3.01 | -11% |
| Q4 2024 | $3.24 | -5.3% |
NKE's earnings per share have fallen from their peak: $2.09 over the past year, against $3.82 in late 2021.
ASO Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $1.6B | +3% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.4B | +6.7% |
| Q1 2026 | $1.7B | +2.5% |
| Q4 2025 | $1.4B | +3% |
| Q3 2025 | $1.6B | +3.3% |
| Q2 2025 | $1.4B | -0.9% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.7B | -6.6% |
| Q4 2024 | $1.3B | -3.9% |
ASO has the edge over NKE on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 15% | +4.2 points |
| Q2 2026 | 5.2% | 0 points |
| Q1 2026 | 9.9% | +0.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 7.3% | +0.5 points |
| Q3 2025 | 11% | -1.5 points |
| Q2 2025 | 5.1% | -2.4 points |
| Q1 2025 | 9.2% | -2.1 points |
| Q4 2024 | 6.8% | -3 points |
ASO has the edge over NKE on profitability, with a higher operating margin.
NKE Quarterly Revenue
| Quarter | Revenue | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $11.2B | -4.3% |
| Q2 2026 | $11B | -1.1% |
| Q1 2026 | $11.3B | +0.1% |
| Q4 2025 | $12.4B | +0.6% |
| Q3 2025 | $11.7B | +1.1% |
| Q2 2025 | $11.1B | -12% |
| Q1 2025 | $11.3B | -9.3% |
| Q4 2024 | $12.4B | -7.7% |
NKE's revenue fell from its 2023 peak and has held roughly level since: $11.2B last quarter, down 4.3% from the same quarter a year ago.
| Quarter | Margin | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 8.2% | +0.3 points |
| Q2 2026 | 12% | +9.2 points |
| Q1 2026 | 5.8% | -1.7 points |
| Q4 2025 | 8% | -3.4 points |
| Q3 2025 | 7.9% | -3.4 points |
| Q2 2025 | 2.9% | -11 points |
| Q1 2025 | 7.5% | -3.8 points |
| Q4 2024 | 11% | -2.9 points |
NKE's operating margin was 8.2% last quarter, about level with the same quarter a year ago.
ASO Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $116.1M | +432% |
| Q2 2026 | $121.7M | +14% |
| Q1 2026 | $107.2M | +40% |
| Q4 2025 | -$13.6M | -139% |
| Q3 2025 | $21.8M | -56% |
| Q2 2025 | $106.6M | -36% |
| Q1 2025 | $76.4M | -57% |
| Q4 2024 | $34.4M | +126% |
ASO has the edge over NKE on cash flow, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.
NKE Free Cash Flow
| Quarter | Free cash flow | YoY |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | -$64M | -527% |
| Q2 2026 | $1.5B | +313% |
| Q1 2026 | $284M | -83% |
| Q4 2025 | $386M | -58% |
| Q3 2025 | $15M | -95% |
| Q2 2025 | $363M | -85% |
| Q1 2025 | $1.7B | -11% |
| Q4 2024 | $920M | -65% |
NKE usually generates cash, though not every quarter: the latest was −$64M, but it generated $2.1B over the past year.
ASO Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | -3.6% | -2.4M shares |
| 1 year | -6.1% | -4.1M shares |
| 3 years | -19% | -14.5M shares |
| 5 years | -34% | -32.3M shares |
| Available history | -19% | -15M shares |
ASO has the edge over NKE on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | $82.1M |
| Q2 2026 | $98.4M |
| Q1 2026 | $99.9M |
| Q4 2025 | — |
| Q3 2025 | — |
| Q2 2025 | $99M |
| Q1 2025 | $91.1M |
| Q4 2024 | $53.4M |
ASO spent $280M buying back its own shares over the past year, up 15% from the year before.
NKE Total Shares
| Period | Change % | Net change |
|---|---|---|
| Quarterly | +0.2% | +3.2M shares |
| 1 year | +0.4% | +5.2M shares |
| 3 years | -3.8% | -59.1M shares |
| 5 years | -8.4% | -135M shares |
| Available history | -6.9% | -110M shares |
NKE has 1.5B diluted shares, about the same as a year ago.
| Quarter | Spent |
|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | — |
| Q2 2026 | — |
| Q1 2026 | — |
| Q4 2025 | $20M |
| Q3 2025 | $126M |
| Q2 2025 | $199M |
| Q1 2025 | $506M |
| Q4 2024 | $1.1B |
NKE has spent almost nothing on buybacks in the past year.
ASO Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q1 2026 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q4 2025 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q3 2025 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q2 2025 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.3x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.3x | Very low |
ASO's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).
NKE Net Leverage
| Quarter | Net Leverage | Status |
|---|---|---|
| Q3 2026 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q2 2026 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q1 2025 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q4 2024 | 0.2x | Very low |
| Q3 2024 | 0.1x | Very low |
| Q2 2024 | -0.1x | Net Cash |
| Q1 2024 | -0.0x | Very low |
| Q4 2023 | 0.1x | Very low |
NKE has the edge over ASO on leverage, with a lower net debt burden relative to earnings.
ASO Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 68.7 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 88.0 | Overbought |
ASO's weekly RSI is 69 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 88 (overbought).
NKE Weekly Momentum
| Metric | Value | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RSI | 40.0 | Neutral |
| Stochastic | 57.5 | Neutral |
NKE's weekly RSI is 40 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 58 (neutral).
ASO PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | ASO | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 11x | 18x | 38% below |
| PE % | 99 | 48 | 51 pts above |
ASO has the edge over NKE on valuation relative to its sector.
NKE PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector
| Metric | NKE | Sector median | Relative |
|---|---|---|---|
| PE | 18x | 18x | 0.3% above |
| PE % | 2 | 47 | 45 pts below |
NKE is trading at 18x earnings, in line with the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.
ASO Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $58.0 | 16% above |
| 20 week MA | $51.7 | 30% above |
| 50 week MA | $53.6 | 26% above |
| 100 week MA | $50.9 | 32% above |
| 200 week MA | $53.7 | 25% above |
ASO has the edge over NKE on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.
NKE Weekly Moving Averages
| Moving average | MA price | Relative |
|---|---|---|
| 8 week MA | $36.7 | 2.8% above |
| 20 week MA | $39.2 | 3.6% below |
| 50 week MA | $48.0 | 21% below |
| 100 week MA | $58.4 | 35% below |
| 200 week MA | $79.2 | 52% below |
NKE has bounced recently, but its long-term trend is still down: it's above its 8-week average, but 52% below its 200-week average.
ASO Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $13.0 | $20.1 | +55% |
| 2021 | $20.1 | $40.1 | +99% |
| 2022 | $40.1 | $51.4 | +28% |
| 2023 | $51.4 | $66.0 | +28% |
| 2024 | $66.0 | $60.1 | -9% |
| 2025 | $60.1 | $50.9 | -15% |
| 2026 YTD | $50.9 | $67.3 | +32% |
ASO has the edge over NKE on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.
NKE Yearly ROI
| Year | Start price | End price | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | $101.6 | $141.6 | +39% |
| 2021 | $141.6 | $165.7 | +17% |
| 2022 | $165.7 | $116.3 | -30% |
| 2023 | $116.3 | $108.6 | -6.6% |
| 2024 | $108.6 | $76.4 | -30% |
| 2025 | $76.4 | $60.9 | -20% |
| 2026 YTD | $60.9 | $37.8 | -38% |
NKE has finished four years in a row lower, and it's down 38% so far in 2026.