ASO

Academy Sports and Outdoors, Inc.

53
Fundamentals62/ 100
Valuation28/ 100
Upside potential42/ 100
Risk potential29/ 100

ASO trails on the overall score without a compensating advantage in the available component scores.

NIO

NIO Inc.

56
Fundamentals77/ 100
Valuation50/ 100
Upside potential58/ 100
Risk potential27/ 100

NIO has a slight edge over ASO overall, supported by stronger valuation and stronger modeled upside.

ASO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Stable
Healthy
Healthy
Strong

ASO's profitability, cash flow and balance sheet are currently healthy, and its revenue is stable.

NIO Fundamentals

MetricStatus
Strong
Stable
Stable
Unavailable

NIO's revenue is currently strong, and its profitability and cash flow are stable. There isn't enough data to rate its balance sheet.

ASO PE Valuation

CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE3.0x6.0x9.0x12x
CHEAPFAIREXPENSIVE3.0x6.0x9.0x12x
LevelPEPriceVs current
Cheap6.5x$39.11-42%
Fair8.2x$48.95-27%
Expensive9.6x$57.29-15%
Forward9.7x$67.29—
Current11x$67.29—

Historical ranges are pointers, not guarantees.

ASO's PE is in its expensive range at 11x. If earnings grow as analysts expect, today's price would be 9.7x next year's earnings.

NIO PE Valuation

NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ASO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
Improving
Growth
Stable
Stable
Limited
High

Analysts expect ASO's earnings to grow, with its revenue and profitability holding steady.

NIO Forward outlook

MetricOutlook
--
Losses shrinking
Growth
Strongly improving
Limited
Moderate

NIO has the edge over ASO on the outlook, with more favorable revenue and profitability expectations.

ASO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+21%$81.62
Downside-29%$47.52

Calculated from the latest close: $67.29 on Nov 12.

ASO trails NIO on modeled risk to reward, with less potential upside and more potential downside.

NIO Risk to reward

ScenarioChangePrice
Upside+38%$4.21
Downside-27%$2.22

Calculated from the latest close: $3.05 on Nov 12.

NIO has a better modeled risk to reward balance than ASO, with more potential upside and less potential downside.

ASO Earnings Per Share

Q4 2023: $6.48Q1 2024: $6.72Q2 2024: $6.54Q3 2024: $6.48Q4 2024: $6.09Q1 2025: $5.77Q2 2025: $5.44Q3 2025: $5.34Q4 2025: $5.47Q1 2026: $5.54Q2 2026: $5.66Q3 2026: $5.98Forward: $6.94
Q4 2023: $6.48Q1 2024: $6.72Q2 2024: $6.54Q3 2024: $6.48Q4 2024: $6.09Q1 2025: $5.77Q2 2025: $5.44Q3 2025: $5.34Q4 2025: $5.47Q1 2026: $5.54Q2 2026: $5.66Q3 2026: $5.98Forward: $6.94
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Forward$6.94+16%
Q3 2026$5.98+12%
Q2 2026$5.66+4%
Q1 2026$5.54-4%
Q4 2025$5.47-10%
Q3 2025$5.34-18%
Q2 2025$5.44-17%
Q1 2025$5.77-14%
Q4 2024$6.09-6%

ASO has the edge over NIO on earnings quality, reporting a profit while its opponent remains loss making.

NIO Earnings Per Share

Q3 2023: $-1.93Q4 2023: $-1.87Q1 2024: $-1.82Q2 2024: $-1.64Q3 2024: $-1.61Q4 2024: $-1.66Q1 2025: $-1.76Q2 2025: $-1.74Q3 2025: $-1.59Q4 2025: $-1.06Q1 2026: $-0.60Q2 2026: $-0.29
Q3 2023: $-1.93Q4 2023: $-1.87Q1 2024: $-1.82Q2 2024: $-1.64Q3 2024: $-1.61Q4 2024: $-1.66Q1 2025: $-1.76Q2 2025: $-1.74Q3 2025: $-1.59Q4 2025: $-1.06Q1 2026: $-0.60Q2 2026: $-0.29
QuarterTTM EPSYoY
Q2 2026-$0.29+$1.45
Q1 2026-$0.60+$1.16
Q4 2025-$1.06+$0.60
Q3 2025-$1.59+$0.02
Q2 2025-$1.74-$0.10
Q1 2025-$1.76+$0.06
Q4 2024-$1.66+$0.21
Q3 2024-$1.61+$0.32

NIO is still losing money, but far less than before: $0.29 per share over the past year, against $1.93 at its worst in late 2023.

ASO Quarterly Revenue

Q4 2023: $1.4BQ1 2024: $1.8BQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: $1.5BQ4 2024: $1.3BQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.7BQ2 2026: $1.4BQ3 2026: $1.6B
Q4 2023: $1.4BQ1 2024: $1.8BQ2 2024: $1.4BQ3 2024: $1.5BQ4 2024: $1.3BQ1 2025: $1.7BQ2 2025: $1.4BQ3 2025: $1.6BQ4 2025: $1.4BQ1 2026: $1.7BQ2 2026: $1.4BQ3 2026: $1.6B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q3 2026$1.6B+3%
Q2 2026$1.4B+6.7%
Q1 2026$1.7B+2.5%
Q4 2025$1.4B+3%
Q3 2025$1.6B+3.3%
Q2 2025$1.4B-0.9%
Q1 2025$1.7B-6.6%
Q4 2024$1.3B-3.9%

ASO's revenue grew through 2022 and has held roughly level since: $1.6B last quarter, up 3% from the same quarter a year ago.

NIO Quarterly Revenue

Q3 2023: $2.9BQ4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.5BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.8BQ4 2024: $3BQ1 2025: $1.8BQ2 2025: $2.9BQ3 2025: $3.3BQ4 2025: $5.2BQ1 2026: $3.8BQ2 2026: $4.8B
Q3 2023: $2.9BQ4 2023: $2.6BQ1 2024: $1.5BQ2 2024: $2.6BQ3 2024: $2.8BQ4 2024: $3BQ1 2025: $1.8BQ2 2025: $2.9BQ3 2025: $3.3BQ4 2025: $5.2BQ1 2026: $3.8BQ2 2026: $4.8B
QuarterRevenueYoY
Q2 2026$4.8B+69%
Q1 2026$3.8B+112%
Q4 2025$5.2B+76%
Q3 2025$3.3B+17%
Q2 2025$2.9B+9%
Q1 2025$1.8B+21%
Q4 2024$3B+15%
Q3 2024$2.8B-2.1%

NIO has the edge over ASO on sales, with more consistent year-over-year improvement.

ASO Free Cash Flow

Q4 2023: $15MQ1 2024: $179MQ2 2024: $167MQ3 2024: $50MQ4 2024: $34MQ1 2025: $76MQ2 2025: $107MQ3 2025: $22MQ4 2025: −$14MQ1 2026: $107MQ2 2026: $122MQ3 2026: $116M
Q4 2023: $15MQ1 2024: $179MQ2 2024: $167MQ3 2024: $50MQ4 2024: $34MQ1 2025: $76MQ2 2025: $107MQ3 2025: $22MQ4 2025: −$14MQ1 2026: $107MQ2 2026: $122MQ3 2026: $116M
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q3 2026$116.1M+432%
Q2 2026$121.7M+14%
Q1 2026$107.2M+40%
Q4 2025-$13.6M-139%
Q3 2025$21.8M-56%
Q2 2025$106.6M-36%
Q1 2025$76.4M-57%
Q4 2024$34.4M+126%

ASO still generates free cash flow, though less than at its 2020 peak: $331M over the past year.

NIO Free Cash Flow

Q3 2023: --Q4 2023: $137MQ1 2024: $0Q2 2024: −$2.2BQ3 2024: $0Q4 2024: −$391MQ1 2025: $0Q2 2025: −$2.1BQ3 2025: $0Q4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $0Q2 2026: $0
Q3 2023: --Q4 2023: $137MQ1 2024: $0Q2 2024: −$2.2BQ3 2024: $0Q4 2024: −$391MQ1 2025: $0Q2 2025: −$2.1BQ3 2025: $0Q4 2025: $0Q1 2026: $0Q2 2026: $0
QuarterFree cash flowYoY
Q2 2026$0+$2.1B
Q1 2026$0$0
Q4 2025$0+$391.3M
Q3 2025$0$0
Q2 2025-$2.1B+$73.9M
Q1 2025$0$0
Q4 2024-$391.3M-386%
Q2 2024-$2.2B+$337.9M

NIO's free cash flow was $0 over the past year, against −$2.5B the year before.

ASO Total Shares

Q4 2023: 76MQ1 2024: 76MQ2 2024: 76MQ3 2024: 73MQ4 2024: 72MQ1 2025: 71MQ2 2025: 68MQ3 2025: 68MQ4 2025: 68MQ1 2026: 68MQ2 2026: 66MQ3 2026: 64M
Q4 2023: 76MQ1 2024: 76MQ2 2024: 76MQ3 2024: 73MQ4 2024: 72MQ1 2025: 71MQ2 2025: 68MQ3 2025: 68MQ4 2025: 68MQ1 2026: 68MQ2 2026: 66MQ3 2026: 64M
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly-3.6%-2.4M shares
1 year-6.1%-4.1M shares
3 years-19%-14.5M shares
5 years-34%-32.3M shares
Available history-19%-15M shares

ASO has the edge over NIO on shareholder dilution, with a more favorable share count trend.

NIO Total Shares

Q3 2023: 1.7BQ4 2023: 1.8BQ1 2024: 2BQ2 2024: 2BQ3 2024: 2.1BQ4 2024: 2.1BQ1 2025: 2.1BQ2 2025: 2.2BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.5BQ1 2026: 2.5BQ2 2026: 2.5B
Q3 2023: 1.7BQ4 2023: 1.8BQ1 2024: 2BQ2 2024: 2BQ3 2024: 2.1BQ4 2024: 2.1BQ1 2025: 2.1BQ2 2025: 2.2BQ3 2025: 2.4BQ4 2025: 2.5BQ1 2026: 2.5BQ2 2026: 2.5B
PeriodChange %Net change
Quarterly+0.6%+15.6M shares
1 year+12%+267M shares
3 years+51%+844M shares
5 years+60%+933M shares
Available history+143%+1.5B shares

NIO has 2.5B diluted shares, up 12% from a year ago.

ASO Net Leverage

Q4 2023: 0.4xQ1 2024: 0.2xQ2 2024: 0.1xQ3 2024: 0.2xQ4 2024: 0.3xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: 0.3xQ3 2025: 0.3xQ4 2025: 0.3xQ1 2026: 0.2xQ2 2026: 0.2xQ3 2026: 0.3x
Q4 2023: 0.4xQ1 2024: 0.2xQ2 2024: 0.1xQ3 2024: 0.2xQ4 2024: 0.3xQ1 2025: 0.3xQ2 2025: 0.3xQ3 2025: 0.3xQ4 2025: 0.3xQ1 2026: 0.2xQ2 2026: 0.2xQ3 2026: 0.3x
QuarterNet LeverageStatus
Q3 20260.3xVery low
Q2 20260.2xVery low
Q1 20260.2xVery low
Q4 20250.3xVery low
Q3 20250.3xVery low
Q2 20250.3xVery low
Q1 20250.3xVery low
Q4 20240.3xVery low

ASO's net debt is less than a year of its operating earnings (EBITDA).

NIO Net Leverage

NIO's operating earnings (EBITDA) were negative over the past year, so its debt can't be measured against them.

ASO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI68.7Neutral
Stochastic88.0Overbought

ASO's weekly RSI is 69 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 88 (overbought).

NIO Weekly Momentum

MetricValueStatus
RSI30.7Neutral
Stochastic6.9Oversold

NIO's weekly RSI is 31 (neutral) and its Stochastic is 7 (oversold).

ASO PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

MetricASOSector medianRelative
PE11x18x38% below
PE %994851 pts above

ASO is trading at 11x earnings, a 38% discount to the Consumer Cyclical sector's median of 18x.

NIO PE vs Consumer Cyclical Sector

NIO has no meaningful PE right now: it lost money over the past year.

ASO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$58.016% above
20 week MA$51.730% above
50 week MA$53.626% above
100 week MA$50.932% above
200 week MA$53.725% above

ASO has the edge over NIO on trend strength, trading above more of its moving averages.

NIO Weekly Moving Averages

Moving averageMA priceRelative
8 week MA$3.369.2% below
20 week MA$4.0124% below
50 week MA$4.8137% below
100 week MA$4.8537% below
200 week MA$6.0349% below

NIO is in a downtrend: it's below all five of its weekly moving averages, and 49% below its 200-week average.

ASO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$13.0$20.1+55%
2021$20.1$40.1+99%
2022$40.1$51.4+28%
2023$51.4$66.0+28%
2024$66.0$60.1-9%
2025$60.1$50.9-15%
2026 YTD$50.9$67.3+32%

ASO has the edge over NIO on returns for 2026, with the stronger performance.

NIO Yearly ROI

YearStart priceEnd priceROI
2020$2.42$45.8+1791%
2021$45.8$30.5-33%
2022$30.5$11.0-64%
2023$11.0$9.07-17%
2024$9.07$4.48-51%
2025$4.48$5.10+14%
2026 YTD$5.10$3.05-40%

NIO's yearly returns have swung widely, from +1791% in 2020 to −64% in 2022. It's down 40% so far in 2026.

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